Company Announcements

Interim Results - NatWest Markets

Source: RNS
RNS Number : 9948G
Natwest Markets PLC
30 July 2021
 

 

 

 

 

 

             NatWest Markets Group

             Interim Results 2021

 

            

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                            ci.natwest.com

 

 

 

NatWest Markets Group (NWM Group)

Results for the half year ended 30 June 2021

 

Becoming a more sustainable business

We continued to support customers with innovative financial solutions while delivering on plans to become a more sustainable part of NatWest Group. We have further developed our capability to offer better integrated solutions, particularly in foreign exchange and funds financing targeted to the investment management community. We continued to build momentum and grow our Climate and Sustainable Financing and Funding, with a strong performance during the first half of 2021 delivering £6.3 billion (Full year 2020: £7.2 billion) towards NatWest Group's 2020 to 2021 target of £20 billion.

 

Robust business continuity plans remained in place, to ensure that we were able to support customers and protect employees during the COVID-19 pandemic, with the vast majority of the workforce working remotely throughout the first half of 2021. In the various regions where we operate, a small proportion of employees continue to operate from the workplace, primarily those in regulated roles and key oversight functions.

 

Financial review

NWM Group reported a loss of £119 million for H1 2021 compared with a loss of £129 million in H1 2020. Income was down by £513 million to £296 million, largely reflecting reduced levels of customer activity and own credit adjustments compared with H1 2020 when the market reacted to the COVID-19 pandemic. Operating expenses decreased by £334 million to £480 million in H1 2021, largely due to lower litigation and conduct costs reflecting continued progress in closing legacy matters during the period, and continued progress on underlying cost reductions.

 

Income and costs

Total income was £296 million, compared with £809 million in H1 2020. Income excluding asset disposals/strategic risk reduction and own credit adjustments was £335 million in H1 2021 compared with £819 million in H1 2020, driven by weaker performance in Fixed Income and a reduction in Currencies as volumes were impacted by low volatility during the current period, in addition to increased levels of customer activity in the comparative period as the market reacted to the COVID-19 pandemic. Own credit adjustments were down by £52 million compared with H1 2020 when credit spreads widened across the market at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Operating expenses of £480 million in H1 2021 were £334 million lower than £814 million in H1 2020. Litigation and conduct costs of £68 million credit reflects continued progress in closing legacy matters during the period, and were £181 million lower than in H1 2020. Other operating expenses were down £136 million to £453 million in H1 2021, primarily reflecting continued progress on underlying cost reductions.

The impairment release for H1 2021 was £16 million, driven mainly by credit improvements in the period and releases on individual IFRS 9 Stage 2 and Stage 3 exposures, compared with a charge of £45 million in H1 2020 when expected credit loss (ECL) provisions increased in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic.

 

Balance sheet

NWM Group's total assets and liabilities decreased by £51.2 billion and £50.1 billion to £221.9 billion and £213.7 billion respectively at 30 June 2021, compared with 31 December 2020. The decreases primarily reflect lower derivative fair values, largely driven by increases in interest rates across major currencies.

Valuation reserves, comprised of credit valuation adjustments (CVA), funding valuation adjustment (FVA), bid-offer and product and deal specific reserves, decreased to £678 million at 30 June 2021 (31 December 2020 - £803 million). There was a reallocation of FVA to CVA during the period following an update to the risk management of certain exposures. The net decrease across CVA, FVA and bid-offer reserves was driven by reduced exposures, due to increases in interest rates and trade exit activity, in addition to reduced risk.

On 9 June 2021 NWM Plc paid an interim ordinary dividend to its parent company, NatWest Group plc, of £250 million, with the total interim ordinary dividends paid in H1 2021 amounting to £750 million.

 

Liquidity and funding

NWM Plc's liquidity portfolio at 30 June 2021 was £17.7 billion with a LCR of 227% (31 December 2020 - £19.4 billion with LCR 268%).

NWM Plc issued £2.5 billion of term senior unsecured debt securities in H1 2021, including benchmark transactions of $1.25 billion of notes under the US MTN programme and €1.25 billion of notes issued under the EMTN programme, and other private placements.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial review

Capital and leverage

Total NWM Plc RWAs were £24.6 billion at 30 June 2021, compared with £25.6 billion at 31 December 2020. The decrease reflected lower levels of credit, counterparty credit and operational risk, offset by an increase in market risk. Following the announcement of GBP LIBOR cessation in March 2021, the market risk RWAs became elevated by £2.5 billion as a result of including modelled GBP LIBOR basis risk post 4 January 2022. Regulatory approval has been obtained in July 2021 to update the VaR model and this will remove this impact in Q3 2021. If this model approval was back dated to Q2 2021 the reported RWAs would have been £22.1 billion. Underlying levels of market risk were low and progress continues to be made on asset disposals in line with the strategy.

NWM Plc's CET1 ratio was 20.2% at 30 June 2021 compared with 21.7% at 31 December 2020. The decrease in the period reflected the impact of dividends paid and other reserve movements, partially offset by the reduction in RWAs.

Total MREL for NWM Plc at 30 June 2021 was £10.8 billion, or 43.8% of RWAs, down from £12.7 billion or 49.6% of RWAs at 31 December 2020. The reduction in the period was largely due to the redemption of a $1.5 billion internal instrument issued to NatWest Group plc and the reduction in CET1 capital.

 

 

NWM Group business review

The table below sets out the performance key metrics and ratios(1).

 

30 June

31 March

31 December

 

2021

2021

2020

Balance sheet

 

 

 

Total assets

221.9

230.2

273.1

Funded assets

113.3

108.1

107.5

Derivative assets

108.6

122.1

165.6

 

 

 

 

Liquidity and funding 

 

 

 

Liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) (%) (2)

227

233

268

Liquidity portfolio (£bn) (2)

17.7

16.5

19.4

Total wholesale funding (£bn) (3)

20.7

18.8

20.6

Total funding including repo (£bn)

71.6

67.9

75.9

 

 

 

 

Capital and leverage 

 

 

 

Common Equity Tier (CET1) ratio (%)

20.2

21.1

21.7

CRR leverage ratio (%) (2)

4.7

4.9

5.2

Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn)

24.6

24.7

25.6

Total Capital ratio (%)

28.9

29.8

30.3

Total MREL (£bn) (4)

10.8

11.1

12.7

Total MREL ratio (%)

43.8

44.8

49.6

 

Notes:

(1)   Capital, leverage and RWAs are based on PRA transitional arrangements for NWM Plc. Regulatory capital is monitored and reported at NWM Plc level.

(2)   These metrics have been presented for NWM Plc as they are monitored and reported for regulatory purposes.

(3)   Excludes derivative cash collateral received, customer deposits, repo and intra-NatWest Group balances.

(4)   Includes senior internal debt instruments issued to NatWest Group plc with a regulatory value of £3.7 billion (31 March 2021 - £3.7 billion; 31 December 2020 - £4.9 billion).

 

 

Outlook (1)

NatWest Markets Plc, like all companies, continues to deal with a range of significant risks and uncertainties in the external economic, political and regulatory environment. The outlook remains uncertain. We will continue to actively monitor market conditions.

 

We retain the medium-term target capital metrics, including RWA reduction, as set out in the NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts. We expect 2021 exit and disposal costs to be no more than £0.1 billion for the full year.

 

Depending on market conditions in H2 2021, NWM Group will continue its plans for moderate term issuance to cover maturities and support business initiatives with the rest of NatWest Group.

 

 

 

Note:

(1)

The targets, expectations and trends discussed in this section represent management's current expectations and are subject to change, including as a result of the factors described in the Risk Factors section on pages 156 to 172 of the NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts, and the Summary Risk Factors set out on pages 48 and 49 of this announcement for H1 2021. These statements constitute forward-looking statements. Refer to Forward-looking statements in this announcement.

 

 

Financial review            

The segmental analysis of key income statement lines for the half year ended 30 June 2021 is set out below. Commentary refers to the tables below as well as the consolidated income statement shown on page 25.

 

Half year ended 30 June 2021

 

Half year ended 30 June 2020

 

 

Central

 

 

 

Central

 

 

NatWest

items &

 

 

NatWest

items &

 

 

Markets

other

Total

 

Markets

other

Total

Income statement

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Net interest income

(4)

-

(4)

 

(39)

-

(39)

Non-interest income

294

6

300

 

848

-

848

Total income

290

6

296

 

809

-

809

Strategic costs

(89)

(6)

(95)

 

(105)

(7)

(112)

Litigation and conduct costs

2

66

68

 

(2)

(111)

(113)

Other operating expenses 

(455)

2

(453)

 

(610)

21

(589)

Operating expenses

(542)

62

(480)

 

(717)

(97)

(814)

Operating (loss)/profit before impairments

(252)

68

(184)

 

92

(97)

(5)

Impairment releases/(losses)

16

-

16

 

(40)

(5)

(45)

Operating (loss)/profit before tax

(236)

68

(168)

 

52

(102)

(50)

Tax credit/(charge)

 

 

49

 

 

 

(79)

Loss for the period

 

 

(119)

 

 

 

(129)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed Income (1,2,3,4)

43

-

43

 

403

-

403

Currencies (2,4)

205

-

205

 

336

-

336

Capital Markets (1,2,3,4)

166

-

166

 

219

-

219

Capital Management Unit & other (2,5)

13

6

19

 

(44)

-

(44)

Revenue share paid to other NatWest Group segments

(98)

-

(98)

 

(95)

-

(95)

Income excluding Asset disposals and OCA

329

6

335

 

819

-

819

Asset disposals/Strategic risk reduction (6)

(40)

-

(40)

 

(63)

-

(63)

Own credit adjustments (OCA)

1

-

1

 

53

-

53

Total income

290

6

296

 

809

-

809

 

Notes:

(1)

Fixed Income comprises Rates and Credit trading. Rates was presented as a separate business in NWM Group results publications prior to the Q3 2020 Interim Management Statement (H1 2020: £451 million). Credit trading and Capital Markets were previously reported as Financing.

 

(2)

Income of £(40) million, £(8) million and £(14) million reported within Fixed Income, Currencies and Capital Markets respectively at H1 2020 relates to business that was subsequently transferred to Capital Management Unit during 2020.

 

(3)

Income of £33 million reported within Capital Markets at H1 2020 relates to business that subsequently transferred to Fixed Income during 2020.

 

(4)

Income of £47 million and £5 million reported within Fixed Income at H1 2020 relates to business that was subsequently transferred to Currencies and Capital Markets respectively during 2020.

 

(5)

Capital Management Unit was set up in Q3 2020 to manage capital usage and optimisation across all parts of NatWest Markets. The income shown here relates to legacy assets. Other relates to income booked to the Central items & other operating segment.

 

(6)

Asset disposals/Strategic risk reduction relates to the costs of exiting positions, which includes changes in carrying value to align to the expected exit valuation, and the impact of risk reduction transactions entered into, in respect of the strategic announcements of 14 February 2020.

 

Net interest income was a net expense of £4 million in H1 2021 compared with £39 million net expense in H1 2020.

Non-interest income of £300 million in H1 2021 decreased by £548 million compared with £848 million in H1 2020, reflecting  a weaker performance in the Fixed Income business and reduced Currencies income as volumes were impacted by low volatility in the current period, in addition to increased customer activity and elevated own credit adjustments at the onset of the COVID-19 crisis in the comparative period. H1 2021 also included a £20 million loss from a liability management exercise which thereafter reduces the cost of funding. Asset disposals/Strategic risk reduction of £(40) million was driven by a number of transactions, compared with £(63) million in the comparative period which was largely driven by a single significant transaction undertaken to mitigate the RWA usage of NWM Group.

Operating expenses were £480 million in H1 2021, a decrease of £334 million from £814 million in H1 2020. Litigation and conduct costs of £68 million credit reflects continued progress in closing legacy matters during the period, and were £181 million lower than £113 million in H1 2020. Strategic costs were £95 million in H1 2021, compared with £112 million in H1 2020, as work continued on the refocusing of NWM Group. Other operating expenses decreased to £453 million in H1 2021 from £589 million in H1 2020, primarily reflecting ongoing progress on underlying cost reductions.

Impairment releases were £16 million in H1 2021, largely driven by credit improvements in the period and releases on individual IFRS 9 Stage 2 and Stage 3 exposures, compared with a charge of £45 million in H1 2020 when ECL provisions increased at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

NatWest Markets operating loss before tax was £236 million compared with a profit of £52 million in H1 2020. Income excluding asset disposals and own credit adjustments of £329 million was £490 million lower than £819 million in H1 2020, reflecting a weaker performance in Fixed Income and reduction in Currencies in the current period, in addition to increased customer activity in the comparative period as the market reacted to COVID-19. Asset disposals of £(40) million in the period was driven by a number of transactions, compared with £(63) million in H1 2020 that included £40 million from a single significant transaction. Own credit adjustments were £52 million lower than in H1 2020 when credit spreads widened at the onset of the COVID-19 crisis. Operating expenses of £542 million were lower compared with £717 million in H1 2020, largely driven by a decrease in other operating expenses reflecting continued progress on underlying cost reductions.

Central items & other operating profit before tax was £68 million in H1 2021 compared with a £102 million loss in H1 2020. Litigation and conduct costs of £66 million credit in the current period reflects continued progress in closing legacy matters, and were £177 million lower than in H1 2020.

         

 

Financial review

The segmental analysis of key income statement lines for the quarter ended 30 June 2021 is set out below.

 

Q2 2021

 

Q1 2021

 

Q2 2020

 

 

Central

 

 

 

Central

 

 

 

Central

 

 

NatWest

items &

 

 

NatWest

items &

 

 

NatWest

items &

 

 

Markets

other

Total

 

Markets

other

Total

 

Markets

other

Total

Income statement

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Net interest income

3

-

3

 

(7)

-

(7)

 

4

-

4

Non-interest income

99

6

105

 

195

-

195

 

265

-

265

Total income

102

6

108

 

188

-

188

 

269

-

269

Strategic costs

(59)

(4)

(63)

 

(30)

(2)

(32)

 

(75)

(5)

(80)

Litigation and conduct costs

2

79

81

 

-

(13)

(13)

 

-

(9)

(9)

Other operating expenses 

(226)

-

(226)

 

(229)

2

(227)

 

(285)

15

(270)

Operating expenses

(283)

75

(208)

 

(259)

(13)

(272)

 

(360)

1

(359)

Operating profit/(loss) before impairments

(181)

81

(100)

 

(71)

(13)

(84)

 

(91)

1

(90)

Impairment releases/(losses)

10

-

10

 

6

-

6

 

(45)

(5)

(50)

Operating (loss)/profit before tax

(171)

81

(90)

 

(65)

(13)

(78)

 

(136)

(4)

(140)

Tax credit

 

 

32

 

 

 

17

 

 

 

3

Loss for the period

 

 

(58)

 

 

 

(61)

 

 

 

(137)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed Income (1,2,3,4)

5

-

5

 

38

-

38

 

226

-

226

Currencies (2,4)

87

-

87

 

118

-

118

 

142

-

142

Capital Markets (1,2,3,4)

92

-

92

 

74

-

74

 

131

-

131

Capital Management Unit & other (2,5)

5

6

11

 

8

-

8

 

(17)

 

(17)

Revenue share paid to other NatWest Group segments

(50)

-

(50)

 

(48)

-

(48)

 

(48)

-

(48)

Income excluding Asset disposals and OCA

139

6

145

 

190

-

190

 

434

-

434

Asset disposals/Strategic risk reduction (6)

(36)

-

(36)

 

(4)

-

(4)

 

(63)

-

(63)

Own credit adjustments (OCA)

(1)

-

(1)

 

2

-

2

 

(102)

-

(102)

Total income

102

6

108

 

188

-

188

 

269

-

269

Notes:

(1)

Fixed Income comprises Rates and Credit trading. Rates was presented as a separate business in NWM Group results publications prior to the Q3 2020 Interim Management Statement (Q2 2020: £175 million). Credit trading and Capital Markets were previously reported as Financing.

 

(2)

Income of £2 million, £1 million and £5 million reported within Fixed Income, Currencies and Capital Markets respectively at Q2 2020 relates to business that was subsequently transferred to Capital Management Unit during 2020.

 

(3)

Income of £21 million reported within Capital Markets at Q2 2020 relates to business that subsequently transferred to Fixed Income during 2020.

 

(4)

Income of £36 million and £2 million reported within Fixed Income at Q2 2020 relates to business that was subsequently transferred to Currencies and Capital Markets respectively during 2020.

 

(5)

Capital Management Unit was set up in Q3 2020 to manage capital usage and optimisation across all parts of NatWest Markets. The income shown here relates to legacy assets. Other relates to income booked to the Central items & other operating segment.

 

(6)

Asset disposals/Strategic risk reduction relates to the costs of exiting positions, which includes changes in carrying value to align to the expected exit valuation, and the impact of risk reduction transactions entered into, in respect of the strategic announcements of 14 February 2020.

 

Net interest income was £3 million in Q2 2021, compared with net expense of £7 million in Q1 2021 and net income of £4 million in Q2 2020.

Non-interest income of £105 million decreased by £90 million compared with £195 million in Q1 2021 and by £160 million compared with £265 million in Q2 2020, reflecting a weaker performance in the Fixed Income business and lower Currencies income as volumes were impacted by low volatility in the current quarter, and the increased levels of customer activity and elevated own credit adjustments in Q2 2020 in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic. Asset disposals of £(36) million reflected a number of transactions in the quarter, compared with £(4) million in Q1 2021 and £(63) million in Q2 2020, which included £(40) million from a single significant transaction.

Operating expenses were £208 million in Q2 2021, compared with £272 million in Q1 2021 and £359 million in Q2 2020.  Litigation and conduct costs of £81 million credit in Q2 2021 reflects continued progress in closing legacy matters during the period. Other operating expenses of £226 million in Q2 2021 were comparable with £227 million in Q1 2021 but down from £270 million in Q2 2020, reflecting ongoing progress on underlying cost reductions.

Impairment releases were £10 million in Q2 2021, largely driven by credit improvements on IFRS 9 Stage 1 and Stage 2 exposures, compared with a release of £6 million in Q1 2021 and a charge of £50 million in Q2 2020 when ECL provisions increased at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

NatWest Markets operating loss before tax was £171 million compared with £65 million in Q1 2021 and £136 million in Q2 2020. Income excluding asset disposals and own credit adjustments was £139 million in Q2 2021 (Q1 2021 - £190 million; Q2 2020 - £434 million), reflecting a weaker performance in Fixed Income and a reduction in Currencies in the current quarter, and the increased levels of customer activity in Q2 2020 in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic. Asset disposals of £(36) million in Q2 2021 included a number of transactions, compared with £(4) million in Q1 2021 and £(63) million in Q2 2020. Operating expenses of £283 million in Q2 2021 were higher compared with £259 million in Q1 2021, largely due to higher strategic costs, but lower compared with £360 million in Q2 2020 largely due to lower other operating expenses, reflecting ongoing progress on underlying cost reductions.

Central items & other operating profit before tax was £81 million compared with losses of £13 million in Q1 2021 and £4 million in Q2 2020. Litigation and conduct costs credit of £79 million in the current quarter reflects continued progress in closing legacy matters.

         

 

 

 

Financial review

Balance sheet profile as at 30 June 2021

NWM Group's balance sheet profile is summarised below. Commentary refers to the table below as well as the consolidated balance sheet on page 26.

 

Assets

 

Liabilities

 

30 June

31 December

 

30 June

31 December

 

 

 

2021

2020

 

2021

2020

 

 

 

£bn

£bn

 

£bn

£bn

 

 

Cash and balances at central banks

17.1

15.8

 

 

 

 

 

Trading assets

70.2

68.7

 

75.7

72.3

 

Trading liabilities 

Securities 

31.4

29.2

 

32.1

26.8

 

Short positions 

Reverse repos (1)

24.7

19.4

 

23.7

19.0

 

Repos (2)

Derivative cash collateral given (3)

12.9

18.5

 

17.0

23.2

 

Derivative cash collateral received (4)

Other trading assets

1.2

1.6

 

2.9

3.3

 

Other trading liabilities 

Loans - amortised cost

7.5

9.4

 

4.2

4.4

 

Deposits - amortised cost 

Settlement balances 

7.5

2.3

 

7.1

2.2

 

Settlement balances 

Amounts due from holding company

 

 

 

 

 

 

Amounts due to holding company

  and fellow subsidiaries

1.4

1.6

 

6.4

8.1

 

  and fellow subsidiaries

Other financial assets 

8.9

9.0

 

17.6

18.2

 

Other financial liabilities

Other assets 

0.7

0.7

 

0.9

1.3

 

Other liabilities 

Funded assets 

113.3

107.5

 

111.9

106.5

 

Liabilities excluding derivatives 

Derivative assets 

108.6

165.6

 

101.8

157.3

 

Derivative liabilities 

Total assets 

221.9

273.1

 

213.7

263.8

 

Total liabilities 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

of which:

 

 

 

 

20.7

20.6

 

wholesale funding (5)

 

 

 

 

8.7

9.5

 

short-term wholesale funding (5)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net derivative assets (6)

3.9

4.7

 

3.1

3.6

 

Net derivative liabilities (6)

 

Notes:

(1)

Comprises bank reverse repos of £3.6 billion (31 December 2020 - £2.2 billion) and customer reverse repos of £21.1 billion (31 December 2020 - £17.2 billion).

(2)

Comprises bank repos of £1.3 billion (31 December 2020 - £1.0 billion) and customer repos of £22.4 billion (31 December 2020 - £18.0 billion).

(3)

Comprises derivative cash collateral given relating to banks of £5.8 billion (31 December 2020 - £7.5 billion) and customers of £7.1 billion (31 December 2020 - £11.0 billion).

(4)

Comprises derivative cash collateral received relating to banks of £7.9 billion (31 December 2020 - £11.8 billion) and customers of £9.1 billion (31 December 2020 - £11.4 billion).

(5)

Excludes derivative cash collateral received, repo, customer deposits and intra-NatWest Group balances.

(6)

Refer to page 14 for further details.

 

 

Total assets and liabilities decreased by £51.2 billion and £50.1 billion to £221.9 billion and £213.7 billion respectively at 30 June 2021, compared with £273.1 billion and £263.8 billion at 31 December 2020. The decreases primarily reflect lower derivative fair values, largely driven by increases in interest rates across major currencies. Funded assets, which exclude derivatives, increased by £5.8 billion to £113.3 billion.

Cash and balances at central banks increased by £1.3 billion to £17.1 billion, compared with £15.8 billion at 31 December 2020, driven by liquidity and capital management actions.

Trading assets were up by £1.5 billion to £70.2 billion at 30 June 2021, with increases in securities and reverse repos driven by customer flows and the management of balance sheet within limits, partially offset by a decrease in derivative cash collateral posted. Trading liabilities increased by £3.4 billion to £75.7 billion, with increases in short positions and repos partially offset by a decrease in derivative cash collateral received.

Derivative assets and derivative liabilities were down £57.0 billion to £108.6 billion and £55.5 billion to £101.8 billion respectively at 30 June 2021, largely driven by increases in interest rates across major currencies since year end 2020.

Settlement balance assets and liabilities were up £5.2 billion and £4.9 billion to £7.5 billion and £7.1 billion respectively, due to increased trading compared with the seasonally lower levels of customer activity leading up to 31 December 2020.

Loans to customers - amortised cost were down £2.1 billion to £6.3 billion, largely reflecting liquidity management actions.

Other financial liabilities decreased by £0.6 billion to £17.6 billion (31 December 2020 - £18.2 billion), largely driven by maturities in the period offset partially by new issuance. The balance at 30 June 2021 includes £12.1 billion of medium-term notes issued.

Owners' equity was down £1.3 billion to £8.1 billion (31 December 2020 - £9.4 billion), driven by interim dividend payments to NatWest Group plc totalling £0.8 billion, and other reserve movements in the period.

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Certain disclosures in this section are within the scope of EY's review report and are marked accordingly by a bracket in the right-hand margin.

 

Market risk

Traded internal VaR

The table below shows one-day 99% internal VaR for the trading portfolios of NWM Group, split by exposure type.

 

 

Half year ended 

 

30 June 2021

 

30 June 2020

 

31 December 2020

 

 

 

 

Period

 

 

 

 

Period

 

 

 

 

Period

Traded Internal VaR

Average 

Maximum 

Minimum 

end

 

Average 

Maximum 

Minimum 

end

 

Average 

Maximum 

Minimum 

end

(1-day 99%)

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Interest rate

11.3

19.0

4.5

17.4

 

10.1

20.2

6.1

6.1

 

7.3

11.4

4.8

6.3

Credit spread 

11.0

13.4

9.4

11.2

 

16.3

27.2

8.7

17.7

 

14.4

18.8

10.0

10.3

Currency

3.9

9.4

2.0

2.4

 

4.2

8.4

2.1

3.9

 

4.1

7.0

2.1

3.0

Equity

0.5

0.8

0.2

0.2

 

0.8

2.0

0.3

0.3

 

0.4

0.8

0.2

0.7

Commodity

0.2

0.5

-

-

 

0.1

0.3

-

0.1

 

0.2

0.6

-

0.2

Diversification (1)

(13.5)

 

 

(15.5)

 

(14.8)

 

 

(9.6)

 

(10.9)

 

 

(10.3)

Total

13.4

23.9

9.5

15.7

 

16.7

25.7

10.1

18.5

 

15.5

22.2

10.2

10.2

 

Note:

(1)   NWM Group benefits from diversification across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of the diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total.

 

Key points

·   The increase in average interest rate VaR, compared to the prior period, reflected a rise in tenor basis risk in sterling flow trading. This related to the transition from LIBOR to alternative risk-free rates. The regulator has approved an update of the VaR model, which will remove this impact during Q3 2021.

·   The decrease in average credit spread VaR mostly reflected a tightening of credit spreads over the period.

·   Traded VaR remained within appetite throughout the period.

 

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Capital, liquidity and funding risk

Capital, RWAs and leverage

Capital resources, RWAs and leverage based on the PRA transitional arrangements for NWM Plc are set out below. Regulatory capital is monitored and reported at legal entity level for large subsidiaries of NatWest Group.

 

 

30 June

31 December

 

2021

2020

Capital adequacy ratios

%

%

CET1 

20.2

21.7

Tier 1

23.9

25.2

Total

28.9

30.3

 

 

 

Capital (1)

£m

£m

CET1

4,969

5,547

Tier 1

5,864

6,433

Total

7,100

7,753

 

 

 

Risk-weighted assets

 

 

Credit risk

5,941

6,902

Counterparty credit risk

7,424

8,130

Market risk

9,197

8,150

Operational risk

2,020

2,382

Total RWAs

24,582

25,564

 

 

 

Leverage (2)

 

 

CRR leverage exposure (£m) 

124,600

123,927

Tier 1 capital (£m)

5,864

6,433

CRR leverage ratio (%)

4.7

5.2

 

Notes:

(1)   CRR end-point for UK banks set by the PRA is 10.5% minimum total capital ratio, with a minimum CET1 ratio of 7.0%.

(2)   Leverage exposure is broadly aligned to the accounting value of on and off-balance sheet exposures albeit subject to specific adjustments for derivatives, securities financing positions and off-balance sheet exposures.

 

Key points

·   NWM Plc's Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio decreased to 20.2%, from 21.7% at 31 December 2020, primarily reflecting reserve movements in the period, partially offset by the £1.0 billion decrease in RWAs. NWM Plc's CRR leverage ratio decreased to 4.7% at 30 June 2021 (31 December 2020 - 5.2%), primarily driven by the decrease in Tier 1 capital.

·   During 2020, the European Commission amended the prudent valuation Regulatory Technical Standard such that, due to the exceptional levels of market volatility, the aggregation factor was increased from 50% to 66% until 31 December 2020 inclusive. From 1 January 2021 the aggregation factor reverted to 50% from 66%. This has increased NWM Plc's Prudential Valuation Adjustment (PVA) deduction by £115 million.

·   RWAs were £24.6 billion at 30 June 2021, compared with £25.6 billion at 31 December 2020. The decrease reflected lower levels of credit, counterparty credit and operational risk; offset by an increase in market risk. The increase in market risk RWAs compared to the prior period reflected a rise in tenor basis risk in sterling flow trading. This related to the transition from LIBOR to alternative risk-free rates. The regulator has approved an update of the VaR model, which will remove this impact during Q3 2021.

 

Risk and capital management

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Capital resources

The minimum requirement for own funds is set out for NWM Plc legal entity under the Capital Requirements Regulation. Transitional arrangements on the phasing in of end-point capital resources are set by the PRA.

 

 

30 June

31 December

 

2021

2020

Shareholders' equity 

£m

£m

Shareholders' equity 

7,980

9,152

Other equity instruments 

(904)

(904)

 

7,076

8,248

 

 

 

Regulatory adjustments and deductions

 

 

Own credit

50

43

Defined benefit pension fund adjustment 

(176)

(174)

Cash flow hedging reserve

(116)

(201)

Prudential valuation adjustments

(236)

(251)

Expected losses less impairments

(2)

(1)

Instruments of financial sector entities where the institution has a significant investment

(1,631)

(1,624)

Adjustments under IFRS 9 transitional arrangements

4

7

Foreseeable ordinary dividends

-

(500)

 

(2,107)

(2,701)

 

 

 

CET1 capital

4,969

5,547

 

 

 

Additional Tier 1 (AT1) capital

 

 

Qualifying instruments and related share premium

904

904

Qualifying instruments and related share premium subject to phase out

217

219

 

1,121

1,123

 

 

 

Tier 1 deductions

 

 

Instruments of financial sector entities where the institution has a significant investment

(226)

(237)

 

 

 

Tier 1 capital

5,864

6,433

 

 

 

Qualifying Tier 2 capital

 

 

Qualifying instruments and related share premium

1,614

1,704

 

 

 

Tier 2 deductions

 

 

Instruments of financial sector entities where the institution has a significant investment

(397)

(406)

Other regulatory adjustments

19

22

 

(378)

(384)

 

 

 

Tier 2 capital

1,236

1,320

Total regulatory capital

7,100

7,753

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Leverage exposure

The leverage exposure below is based on the CRR Delegated Act.

 

30 June

31 December

 

2021

2020

Leverage

£m

£m

Cash and balances at central banks

13,922

11,736

Trading assets

51,035

52,169

Derivatives

106,405

164,104

Net loans to customers

21,873

23,827

Other assets

7,150

4,246

Total assets

200,385

256,082

Derivatives

 

 

  - netting 

(108,882)

(169,152)

  - potential future exposures

34,692

35,654

Securities financing transactions gross up

1,230

999

Undrawn commitments

4,540

5,037

Regulatory deductions and other adjustments

(5,763)

(2,977)

Exclusion of core UK-group exposures

(1,602)

(1,716)

Leverage exposure

124,600

123,927

 

 

Liquidity portfolio

The table below shows the liquidity portfolio by LCR product, with the incorporation of discounts (or haircuts) used within the internal stressed outflow coverage. Secondary liquidity comprises assets eligible for discount at central banks, which do not form part of the liquid asset portfolio for LCR or stressed outflow coverage purposes.

 

Liquidity value (1)

 

30 June

31 December

 

2021

2020

NatWest Markets Plc

£m

£m

Cash and balances at central banks

14,071

11,773

 AAA to AA- rated governments

3,176

7,207

 A+ and lower rated governments 

33

79

 Government guaranteed issuers, public sector entities and government sponsored entities

-

-

 International organisations and multilateral development banks

233

144

LCR level 1 bonds

3,442

7,430

LCR level 1 assets

17,513

19,203

LCR level 2 assets

-

-

Non-LCR eligible assets

-

-

Primary liquidity

17,513

19,203

Secondary liquidity (2)

223

224

Total liquidity value

17,736

19,427

 

 

GBP 

USD

EUR

Other

Total 

Total liquidity portfolio

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

30 June 2021

8,891

2,821

5,988

36

17,736

31 December 2020

8,838

3,793

6,716

80

19,427

 

Notes:

(1)   Liquidity value was aligned to the internal stressed outflow coverage, which is stated after discounts (or haircuts) are applied to the instruments.

(2)   Comprises assets eligible for discounting at the Bank of England and other central banks.

 

 

Risk and capital management

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Funding sources

The table below shows NWM Group's carrying values of the principal funding sources based on contractual maturity.

 

 

30 June 2021

 

31 December 2020

 

Short-term

Long-term

 

 

Short-term

Long-term

 

 

less than

more than

 

 

less than

more than

 

 

1 year

1 year

Total

 

1 year

1 year

Total

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Bank deposits 

1,364

330

1,694

 

1,294

514

1,808

   of which: repos (amortised cost)

526

-

526

 

200

-

200

Customer deposits 

2,417

43

2,460

 

2,526

92

2,618

   of which: repos (amortised cost)

128

-

128

 

-

-

-

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Trading liabilities (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Repos (2)

23,720

-

23,720

 

19,036

-

19,036

 Derivative cash collateral received

17,017

-

17,017

 

23,226

-

23,226

 Other bank and customer deposits

919

726

1,645

 

818

985

1,803

 Debt securities in issue

378

827

1,205

 

527

881

1,408

 

42,034

1,553

43,587

 

43,607

1,866

45,473

Other financial liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Customer deposits (designated fair value)

546

172

718

 

616

180

796

 Debt securities in issue

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   commercial paper and certificates of deposits

3,651

143

3,794

 

3,253

168

3,421

   medium term notes (MTNs)

2,852

9,222

12,074

 

4,441

8,407

12,848

 Subordinated liabilities

280

771

1,051

 

-

1,105

1,105

 

7,329

10,308

17,637

 

8,310

9,860

18,170

Amounts due to holding company and fellow subsidiaries (3)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Internal MREL

952

2,920

3,872

 

-

5,181

5,181

 Other bank and customer deposits

651

-

651

 

925

-

925

 Subordinated liabilities

-

1,678

1,678

 

-

1,753

1,753

 

1,603

4,598

6,201

 

925

6,934

7,859

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total funding

54,747

16,832

71,579

 

56,662

19,266

75,928

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Of which: available in resolution (4)

-

5,369

5,369

 

-

8,039

8,039

 

Notes:

(1)   Funding sources excludes short positions of £32,111 million (31 December 2020 - £26,779 million) reflected as trading liabilities on the balance sheet.

(2)   Comprises Central and other bank repos of £1,319 million (31 December 2020 - £1,048 million), other financial institution repos of £20,487 million (31 December 2020 - £15,973 million) and other corporate repos of £1,914 million (31 December 2020 - £2,015 million).

(3)   Amounts due to holding company and fellow subsidiaries relating to non-financial instruments of £155 million (31 December 2020 - £275 million) have been excluded from the table.

(4)   Eligible liabilities (as defined in the Banking Act 2009 as amended from time to time) that meet the eligibility criteria set out in the regulations, rules, policies, guidelines, or statements of the Bank of England including the Statement of Policy published in June 2018.

 

Key points

·   During H1 2021, NWM Group continued to access capital markets raising £2.5 billion of funding in the form of benchmark transactions and private placements. The benchmark transactions were $1.25 billion 3.25 year fixed and floating rate notes issued under the US Rule 144A programme and €1.25 billion five-year fixed rate notes issued under the EMTN programme.

·   Depending on market conditions in H2 2021, NWM Group will continue its plans for moderate term issuance to cover maturities and support business initiatives with the rest of NatWest Group.

·   NWM Group also maintains a portfolio of bi-lateral borrowing in other formats, such as secured notes and loans backed by banking book or other collateral.

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Senior notes and subordinated liabilities - residual maturity profile by instrument type

The table below shows NWM Group's debt securities in issue, subordinated liabilities and internal resolution instruments by residual maturity.

 

Trading

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

liabilities

 

Other financial liabilities

 

Amounts due to holding 

 

 

Debt 

 

Debt securities in issue

 

 

 

company and fellow

 

 

securities

 

Commercial

 

 

 

 

subsidiaries

 

 

 in issue

 

paper

 

Subordinated 

 

 

Internal

Subordinated 

Total notes

 

MTNs 

 

and CDs 

MTNs 

liabilities 

Total

 

MREL

liabilities

in issue

30 June 2021

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Less than 1 year

378

 

3,651

2,852

280

6,783

 

952

-

8,113

1-3 years

277

 

133

4,882

241

5,256

 

2,920

832

9,285

3-5 years

155

 

10

3,800

-

3,810

 

-

-

3,965

More than 5 years

395

 

-

540

530

1,070

 

-

846

2,311

Total

1,205

 

3,794

12,074

1,051

16,919

 

3,872

1,678

23,674

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Less than 1 year

527

 

3,253

4,441

-

7,694

 

-

-

8,221

1-3 years

169

 

165

4,444

549

5,158

 

5,181

-

10,508

3-5 years

240

 

3

3,356

-

3,359

 

-

889

4,488

More than 5 years

472

 

-

607

556

1,163

 

-

864

2,499

Total

1,408

 

3,421

12,848

1,105

17,374

 

5,181

1,753

25,716

 

The table below shows the currency breakdown of total notes in issue.

 

 

GBP

USD

 

EUR

Other

Total

30 June 2021

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Commercial paper and CDs

226

1,342

 

2,226

-

3,794

MTNs

476

3,588

 

7,531

1,684

13,279

External subordinated liabilities

94

213

 

744

-

1,051

Internal MREL due to NatWest Group plc

-

2,048

 

1,824

-

3,872

Subordinated liabilities due to NatWest Group plc

-

846

 

832

-

1,678

Total

796

8,037

 

13,157

1,684

23,674

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2020

724

8,029

 

14,588

2,375

25,716

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk - Trading activities

This section details the credit risk profile of NWM Group's trading activities.

 

Securities financing transactions and collateral

The table below shows securities financing transactions in NWM Group. Balance sheet captions include balances held at all classifications under IFRS 9.

 

 

Reverse repos

 

Repos

 

 

 

Outside

 

 

 

Outside

 

 

Of which:

netting

 

 

Of which:

netting

 

Total

can be offset

arrangements

 

Total

can be offset

arrangements

30 June 2021

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Gross

53,657

52,648

1,009

 

52,748

51,616

1,132

IFRS offset

(28,374)

(28,374)

-

 

(28,374)

(28,374)

-

Carrying value

25,283

24,274

1,009

 

24,374

23,242

1,132

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Master netting arrangements

(2,838)

(2,838)

-

 

(2,838)

(2,838)

-

Securities collateral

(21,302)

(21,302)

-

 

(20,371)

(20,371)

-

Potential for offset not recognised under IFRS 

(24,140)

(24,140)

-

 

(23,209)

(23,209)

-

Net

1,143

134

1,009

 

1,165

33

1,132

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross

46,169

45,806

363

 

44,102

42,402

1,700

IFRS offset

(24,866)

(24,866)

-

 

(24,866)

(24,866)

-

Carrying value

21,303

20,940

363

 

19,236

17,536

1,700

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Master netting arrangements

(929)

(929)

-

 

(929)

(929)

-

Securities collateral

(19,938)

(19,938)

-

 

(16,607)

(16,607)

-

Potential for offset not recognised under IFRS 

(20,867)

(20,867)

-

 

(17,536)

(17,536)

-

Net

436

73

363

 

1,700

-

1,700

 

Key points

·   Reverse repos and repos increased on both gross and carrying value basis when compared to 2020. These trends are consistent with seasonal lower levels of activity.

·   Reverse repo and repo transactions are primarily backed by highly-rated sovereign, supranational and agency collateral.

 

 

 

 

Debt securities

The table below shows debt securities held at mandatory fair value through profit or loss by issuer as well as ratings based on the lowest of Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch.

 

 

Central and local government

Financial

 

 

 

UK

US

Other

institutions

Corporate

Total

30 June 2021

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

AAA

-

-

2,469

1,013

-

3,482

AA to AA+

-

4,088

4,829

1,010

44

9,971

A to AA-

5,121

-

1,781

397

75

7,374

BBB- to A-

-

-

9,235

386

518

10,139

Non-investment grade

-

-

33

252

102

387

Unrated

-

-

-

10

4

14

Total

5,121

4,088

18,347

3,068

743

31,367

Short positions

(5,487)

(2,303)

(22,185)

(2,030)

(106)

(32,111)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

AAA

-

-

3,114

1,113

-

4,227

AA to AA+

-

5,149

3,651

576

49

9,425

A to AA-

4,184

-

1,358

272

81

5,895

BBB- to A-

-

-

8,277

444

656

9,377

Non-investment grade

-

-

36

127

53

216

Unrated

-

-

-

150

1

151

Total

4,184

5,149

16,436

2,682

840

29,291

Short positions

(5,704)

(1,123)

(18,135)

(1,761)

(56)

(26,779)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk - Trading activities continued

Derivatives

The table below shows third-party derivatives by type of contract. The master netting agreements and collateral shown do not result in a net presentation on the balance sheet under IFRS.

 

 

30 June 2021

 

31 December 2020

 

Notional

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GBP

USD

Euro

Other

Total

Assets

Liabilities

 

Notional

Assets

Liabilities

 

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£m

£m

 

£bn

£m

£m

Gross exposure

 

 

 

 

 

107,677

100,572

 

 

164,252

155,787

IFRS offset

 

 

 

 

 

-

-

 

 

-

-

Carrying value

3,580

3,782

4,891

1,410

13,663

107,677

100,572

 

13,697

164,252

155,787

Of which:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest rate (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Interest rate swaps

 

 

 

 

 

59,264

50,297

 

 

91,352

80,440

  Options purchased

 

 

 

 

 

14,663

-

 

 

20,526

-

  Options written

 

 

 

 

 

-

14,803

 

 

-

20,190

  Futures and forwards

 

 

 

 

 

-

-

 

 

1

2

Total

3,220

2,264

4,269

424

10,177

73,927

65,100

 

10,371

111,879

100,632

Exchange rate

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Spot, forwards and futures

 

 

 

 

 

22,035

22,134

 

 

34,902

35,022

  Currency swaps

 

 

 

 

 

6,932

8,081

 

 

10,025

12,087

  Options purchased

 

 

 

 

 

4,562

-

 

 

7,277

-

  Options written

 

 

 

 

 

-

4,825

 

 

-

7,662

Total

358

1,514

611

986

3,469

33,529

35,040

 

3,310

52,204

54,771

Credit

2

4

11

-

17

221

431

 

15

161

376

Equity and commodity

-

-

-

-

-

-

1

 

1

8

8

Carrying value

 

 

 

 

13,663

107,677

100,572

 

13,697

164,252

155,787

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Counterparty mark-to-market netting

 

 

 

 

 

(85,710)

(85,710)

 

 

(134,913)

(134,913)

Cash collateral

 

 

 

 

 

(13,867)

(10,346)

 

 

(19,606)

(14,778)

Securities collateral

 

 

 

 

 

(4,170)

(1,384)

 

 

(5,053)

(2,487)

Net exposure

 

 

 

 

 

3,930

3,132

 

 

4,680

3,609

Of which outside netting agreements

 

 

 

 

 

964

919

 

 

853

577

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Banks (2)

 

 

 

 

 

135

682

 

 

206

532

Other financial institutions (3)

 

 

 

 

 

1,731

1,364

 

 

1,416

1,939

Corporate (4)

 

 

 

 

 

1,966

927

 

 

2,921

1,046

Government (5)

 

 

 

 

 

98

159

 

 

137

92

Net exposure

 

 

 

 

 

3,930

3,132

 

 

4,680

3,609

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK

 

 

 

 

 

2,297

750

 

 

2,833

1,516

Europe

 

 

 

 

 

846

1,172

 

 

1,076

1,192

US

 

 

 

 

 

573

945

 

 

470

644

RoW

 

 

 

 

 

214

265

 

 

301

257

Net exposure

 

 

 

 

 

3,930

3,132

 

 

4,680

3,609

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asset quality of uncollateralised derivative assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AQ1-AQ4

 

 

 

 

 

3,048

 

 

 

3,388

 

AQ5-AQ8

 

 

 

 

 

824

 

 

 

1,263

 

AQ9-AQ10

 

 

 

 

 

58

 

 

 

29

 

Net exposure

 

 

 

 

 

3,930

 

 

 

4,680

 

 

Notes:

(1)   The notional amount of interest rate derivatives includes £7,019 billion (31 December 2020 - £7,074 billion) in respect of contracts cleared through central clearing counterparties.

(2)   Transactions with certain counterparties with whom NWM Group has netting arrangements but collateral is not posted on a daily basis; certain transactions with specific terms that may not fall within netting and collateral arrangements; derivative positions in certain jurisdictions, for example China, where the collateral agreements are not deemed to be legally enforceable.

(3)   Includes transactions with securitisation vehicles and funds where collateral posting is contingent on NWM Group's external rating.

(4)   Mainly large corporates with whom NWM Group may have netting arrangements in place, but operational capability does not support collateral posting.

(5)   Sovereigns and supranational entities with no collateral arrangements, collateral arrangements that are not considered enforceable, or one-way collateral agreements in their favour.

 

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk - Net credit exposures for banking and trading activities

Asset quality

The table below shows the current and potential exposure by high level asset class and asset quality. It represents total credit risk for assets held in the banking book in addition to counterparty credit risk for traded products.

 

 

Cash &

Sovereign

Loans 

 

Collateralised

Uncollateralised

 

 

 

 

 

balances at

debt

& other

Other debt

rate risk 

rate risk

Repo &

Off-balance

 

 

 

central banks

securities

lending

securities

management

management

reverse repo

sheet items

Leasing

Total

30 June 2021

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

AQ1-AQ4

17,304

5,587

5,217

2,755

2,063

1,451

277

666

50

35,370

AQ5-AQ8

-

-

618

226

338

570

-

49

-

1,801

AQ9

-

-

153

-

2

51

-

-

-

206

AQ10

-

-

17

1

-

3

-

-

-

21

Current exposure

17,304

5,587

6,005

2,982

2,403

2,075

277

715

50

37,398

Potential exposure

17,304

5,587

16,522

2,982

11,166

3,780

1,997

1,843

50

61,231

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AQ1-AQ4

15,771

5,968

6,687

1,432

2,399

2,109

351

815

55

35,587

AQ5-AQ8

-

-

1,183

58

479

985

-

59

-

2,764

AQ9

-

-

168

-

2

3

-

1

-

174

AQ10

-

-

30

1

1

8

-

1

4

45

Current exposure

15,771

5,968

8,068

1,491

2,881

3,105

351

876

59

38,570

Potential exposure

15,771

5,968

20,119

1,491

11,969

4,764

1,306

1,811

59

63,258

 

Key point

·   Measured against NWM Group's asset quality scale, 95% (31 December 2020 - 92%) of total current exposure was rated in the AQ1-AQ4 bands. When considered against external credit ratings, 95%, or £35.5 billion (31 December 2020 - 93%, £36.0 billion) of current exposure was equivalent to an investment grade rating (BBB- or better).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk - Economics

Economic loss drivers

Introduction

The portfolio segmentation and selection of economic loss drivers for IFRS 9 follow closely the approach used in stress testing. To enable robust modelling the forecasting models for each portfolio segment (defined by product or asset class and where relevant, industry sector and region) are based on a selected, small number of economic factors, (typically three to four) that best explain the temporal variations in portfolio loss rates. The process to select economic loss drivers involves empirical analysis and expert judgement.

 

The most material economic loss drivers for the UK portfolios include UK GDP, world GDP, the unemployment rate, the house price index, and the Bank of England base rate. Similar metrics are used for other key country exposures in NWM Group.

 

Economic scenarios

There was improvement in the economic outlook for the UK since 31 December 2020, which was reflected in a more optimistic base case scenario as at 30 June 2021. The main drivers of the improvement were as follows:

·    Rapid roll-out of the COVID-19 vaccination in the UK and in other developed countries, leading to relaxation of restrictions.

·    The success of various government support measures in containing the fallout from lockdown.

·    Faster than expected economic recovery, with GDP having made material gains since the lifting of restrictions, and labour and housing markets in particular showing continued signs of resiliency.

 

The range of anticipated future economic conditions was defined by a set of four internally developed scenarios and their respective probabilities. In addition to the base case, they comprised upside, downside and extreme downside scenarios. The scenarios primarily reflect a range of outcomes for the path of COVID-19 as well as recovery, and the associated effects on labour and asset markets.

 

The four scenarios were deemed appropriate in capturing the uncertainty in economic forecasts and the non-linearity in outcomes under different scenarios. The scenarios were developed to provide sufficient coverage across potential changes in unemployment, asset price and the degree of permanent damage to the economy, around which there are pronounced levels of uncertainty at this stage.

 

The tables below provide details of the key economic parameters under the four scenarios.

 

The main macroeconomic variables for each of the four scenarios used for expected credit loss (ECL) modelling are set out in the table below. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for GDP is shown. It also shows the five-year average for unemployment and the Bank of England base rate. The house price index and commercial real estate figures show the total change in each asset over five years.

 

Main macroeconomic variables

 

Five-year summary

30 June 2021

 

31 December 2020

 

 

 

 

Extreme

 

 

 

 

Extreme

 

Upside 

Base case

Downside

downside

 

Upside 

Base case

Downside

downside

UK

%

%

 %

%

 

%

%

 %

%

GDP - CAGR

3.9

3.5

2.9

2.5

 

3.6

3.1

2.8

1.3

Unemployment - average

4.1

4.6

5.8

8.1

 

4.4

5.7

7.1

9.7

House price index - total change

23.4

14.2

4.9

(0.8)

 

12.5

7.6

4.4

(19.0)

Bank of England base rate - average

0.9

0.4

-

(0.5)

 

0.2

-

(0.1)

(0.5)

Commercial real estate price - total change

13.6

4.7

0.1

(8.7)

 

4.3

0.7

(12.0)

(31.5)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

World GDP - CAGR

3.8

3.5

2.7

1.8

 

3.5

3.4

2.9

2.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Probability weight

35.0

40.0

20.0

5.0

 

20.0

40.0

30.0

10.0

 

 

 

Note:

(1)   The five year period starts at Q1 2021 for 30 June 2021 and Q3 2020 for 31 December 2020.

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk - Economics continued

Economic loss drivers 

Annual figures

UK GDP - annual growth

 

 

 

 

Extreme

 

Upside 

Base case

Downside

downside

 

%

%

 %

%

2021

10.1

7.3

2.7

0.1

2022

5.4

5.8

4.3

-

2023

1.6

1.6

4.4

7.7

2024

1.6

1.6

2.2

3.7

2025

1.6

1.6

1.5

1.7

 

UK unemployment rate - annual average

 

 

 

 

Extreme

 

Upside 

Base case

Downside

downside

 

%

%

 %

%

2021

4.7

5.3

5.4

5.9

2022

4.3

4.8

7.0

11.8

2023

4.0

4.5

6.5

10.4

2024

3.8

4.5

5.4

7.1

2025

3.8

4.3

4.8

5.2

 

UK house price index - four quarter growth

 

 

 

 

Extreme

 

Upside 

Base case

Downside

downside

 

%

%

 %

%

2021

8.0

2.0

(2.4)

(5.4)

2022

1.7

0.5

(3.0)

(27.0)

2023

2.8

1.9

1.3

12.2

2024

4.8

4.8

4.8

19.5

2025

4.0

4.0

4.0

6.2

 

UK commercial real estate price - four quarter growth

 

 

 

 

Extreme

 

Upside 

Base case

Downside

downside

 

%

%

 %

%

2021

7.0

(1.4)

(8.4)

(13.4)

2022

2.1

2.0

(1.3)

(18.2)

2023

1.7

1.7

5.8

15.7

2024

1.3

1.3

2.3

5.4

2025

1.2

1.2

2.3

5.1

 

 

Worst points

 

30 June 2021

 

31 December 2020

 

 

 

 

Extreme

 

 

 

 

Extreme

 

Upside 

Base case

Downside

downside

 

Upside 

Base case

Downside

downside

UK

%

%

 %

%

 

%

%

 %

%

GDP

-

-

-

(10.2)

 

-

(1.8)

(5.1)

(10.4)

Unemployment rate (peak)

5.0

5.5

7.0

11.9

 

5.9

7.0

9.4

13.9

House price index

-

-

(6.1)

(33.1)

 

-

(3.6)

(11.2)

(32.0)

Commercial real estate price

-

(2.1)

(14.1)

(33.1)

 

(3.4)

(10.1)

(28.9)

(40.4)

 

 

Note:

(1)   For the unemployment rate, the figures show the peak levels between 2021 and 2026 for 30 June 2021, and between 2020 and 2025 for 31 December 2020. For the other parameters, the figures show falls relative to the starting periods mentioned under the five-year summary table above.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk - Economics continued

Economic loss drivers

Probability weightings of scenarios

NWM Group's approach to IFRS 9 multiple economic scenarios (MES) involves selecting a suitable set of discrete scenarios to characterise the distribution of risks in the economic outlook and assigning appropriate probability weights. The scale of the economic impact of COVID-19 and the range of recovery paths necessitates a change of approach to assigning probability weights from that used in recent updates. Prior to 2020, GDP paths for NWM Group's scenarios were compared against a set of 1,000 model runs, following which a percentile in the distribution was established that most closely corresponded to the scenario.

 

Instead, NWM Group has subjectively applied probability weights, reflecting expert views within NWM Group. The probability weight assignment was judged to present good coverage to the central scenarios and the potential for a robust recovery on the upside and exceptionally challenging outcomes on the downside. A 35% weighting was applied to the upside scenario, a 40% weighting applied to the base case scenario, a 20% weighting applied to the downside scenario and a 5% weighting applied to the extreme downside scenario. NWM Group assessed the downside risk posed by COVID-19 to be diminishing over the course of 2021, with the vaccination roll-out and positive economic data being observed since the gradual relaxing of lockdown restrictions. NWM Group therefore judged it was appropriate to apply a higher probability to upside-biased scenarios than at December 2020.

 

Use of the scenarios in lending

The lending ECL methodology is based on the concept of credit cycle indices (CCIs). The CCIs represent all relevant economic loss drivers for a region/industry segment aggregated into a single index value that describes the loss rate conditions in the respective segment relative to its long-run average. A CCI value of zero corresponds to loss rates at long-run average levels, a positive CCI value corresponds to loss rates below long-run average levels and a negative CCI value corresponds to loss rates above long-run average levels.

 

The four economic scenarios are translated into forward-looking projections of CCIs using a set of econometric models. Subsequently the CCI projections for the individual scenarios are averaged into a single central CCI projection according to the given scenario probabilities. The central CCI projection is then overlaid with an additional mean reversion assumption, i.e. that after one to two years into the forecast horizon the CCIs gradually revert to their long-run average of zero.

 

Finally, ECL is calculated using a Monte Carlo approach by averaging PD and LGD values arising from many CCI paths simulated around the central CCI projection.

 

The rationale for the approach is the long-standing observation that loss rates tend to follow regular cycles. This allows NWM Group to enrich the range and depth of future economic conditions embedded in the final ECL beyond what would be obtained from using the discrete macro-economic scenarios alone.

 

UK economic uncertainty

Treatment of COVID-19 relief mechanisms

Use of COVID-19 relief mechanisms (for example, payment holidays and Coronavirus Business Interruption Loan Scheme (CBILS)) does not automatically merit identification of significant increase in credit risk (SICR) and trigger a Stage 2 classification in isolation.

 

NWM Group continues to provide support, where appropriate, to existing customers. Those who are deemed either (a) to require a prolonged timescale to return to within NWM Group's risk appetite, (b) not to have been viable pre-COVID-19, or (c) not to be able to sustain their debt once COVID-19 is over, will trigger a SICR and, if concessions are sought, be categorised as forborne, in line with regulatory guidance. Payment holiday extensions beyond an aggregate of 12 months in an 18 month period to cover continuing COVID-19 business interruption are categorised as forbearance, including for customers where no other SICR triggers are present.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk - Economics continued

Model monitoring and enhancement

The abrupt and prolonged interruption of a wide range of economic activities due to COVID-19 and the subsequent government interventions to support businesses and individuals, has resulted in patterns in the data of key economic loss drivers and loss outcomes, that are markedly different from those that NWM Group's models have been built on. To account for these structural changes, model adjustments have been applied and model changes have been implemented.

 

All in-model adjustments described have been applied by correcting the PD and LGD estimates within the core ECL calculation process and therefore consistently and systematically inform SICR identification and ECL measurement.

 

UK economic uncertainty

Government support

Most notably as a result of various government support measures, model-projected default rates have been adjusted by introducing lags between 6 to 12 months. These lags are based partly on objective empirical data (i.e. the absence of increases in realised default rates by the reporting date) and partly judgmental, based on remaining government support measures and their expected effectiveness.

 

Extreme GDP movements

Due to the specific nature of COVID-19, GDP year-on-year movements in both directions are extremely sharp, many multiples of their respective extremes observed previously.

 

This creates a risk of overstretched, invalid extrapolations in statistical models. Therefore, all econometric models were updated to make them robust against extreme GDP movements by capping projected CCI values at levels corresponding to three times the default rates observed at the peak of the global financial crisis and using quarterly averages rather than spot values for CCI projections.

 

Governance and post model adjustments

The IFRS 9 PD, exposure at default and LGD models are subject to NWM Group's model risk policy that stipulates periodic model monitoring, periodic re-validation and defines approval procedures and authorities according to model materiality. Various post model adjustments (PMAs) were applied where management judged they were necessary to ensure an adequate level of overall ECL provision. All PMAs were subject to formal approval through provisioning governance, and were categorised as follows:

·    Deferred model calibrations - ECL adjustments where PD model monitoring indicated that actual defaults were below estimated levels but where it was judged that an implied ECL release was not supportable, as these were being judged to have been distorted by government support schemes. As a consequence, any potential ECL release was deferred and retained on the balance sheet.

·    Economic uncertainty - ECL adjustments primarily arising from uncertainties associated with MES and credit outcomes as a result of the effect of COVID-19 and the consequences of government interventions. In both cases, management judged that additional ECL was required until further credit performance data became available on the behavioural and loss consequences of COVID-19.

·    Other adjustments - ECL adjustments where it was judged that the modelled ECL required to be amended.

 

PMAs will remain a key focus area of NWM Group's ongoing ECL adequacy assessment process. A holistic framework has been established including reviewing a range of economic data, external benchmark information and portfolio performance trends, particularly with more observable outcomes from the unwinding of COVID-19 support mechanisms during the remainder of 2021.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk - Economics continued

Measurement uncertainty and ECL sensitivity analysis

The recognition and measurement of ECL is complex and involves the use of significant judgement and estimation, particularly in times of economic volatility and uncertainty. This includes the formulation and incorporation of multiple forward-looking economic conditions into ECL to meet the measurement objective of IFRS 9. The ECL provision is sensitive to the model inputs and economic assumptions underlying the estimate.

 

The focus of the simulations is on ECL provisioning requirements on performing exposures in Stage 1 and Stage 2. The simulations are run on a stand-alone basis and are independent of each other; the potential ECL impacts reflect the simulated impact as at 30 June 2021. Scenario impacts on a SICR should be considered when evaluating the ECL movements of Stage 1 and Stage 2. In all scenarios the total exposure was the same but exposure by stage varied in each scenario.

 

Stage 3 provisions are not subject to the same level of measurement uncertainty - default is an observed event as at the balance sheet date. Stage 3 provisions therefore have not been considered in this analysis.

 

The impact arising from the upside, downside and extreme downside scenarios has been simulated. In the simulations, NWM Group has assumed that the economic macro variables associated with these scenarios replace the existing base case economic assumptions, giving them a combined total 100% probability weighting and therefore serving as a single economic scenario.

 

These scenarios have been applied to all modelled portfolios in the analysis below, with the simulation impacting both PDs and LGDs. Modelled PMAs present in the underlying ECL estimates are also sensitised in line with the modelled ECL movements, but those that were judgmental in nature, primarily those for economic uncertainty, were not (refer to the Governance and post model adjustments section). As expected, the scenarios create differing impacts on ECL by portfolio and the impacts are deemed reasonable. In this simulation, it is assumed that existing modelled relationships between key economic variables and loss drivers hold, but in practice other factors would also have an impact, for example, potential customer behaviour changes and policy changes by lenders that might impact on the wider availability of credit.

 

NWM Group's core criterion to identify a SICR is founded on PD deterioration, as discussed above. Under the simulations, PDs change and result in exposures moving between Stage 1 and Stage 2 contributing to the ECL impact.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Extreme

30 June 2021

Actual

Base case

Upside

Downside

downside

Stage 1 modelled exposure (£m)

          6,661 

          6,916 

          6,916 

          6,681 

          6,113 

Stage 1 modelled ECL (£m)

               10 

               10 

               10 

               10 

               12 

Stage 1 coverage (%)

0.15%

0.14%

0.14%

0.15%

0.20%

Stage 2 modelled exposure (£m)

             739 

             485 

             485 

             719 

          1,287 

Stage 2 modelled ECL (£m)

               36 

               35 

               35 

               36 

               42 

Stage 2 coverage (%)

4.87%

7.22%

7.22%

5.01%

3.26%

Stage 1 and Stage 2 modelled exposure (£m)

          7,400 

          7,401 

          7,401 

          7,400 

          7,400 

Stage 1 and Stage 2 modelled ECL (£m)

               46 

               45 

               45 

               46 

               54 

Stage 1 and Stage 2 coverage (%)

0.62%

0.61%

0.61%

0.62%

0.73%

Variance - (lower)/higher to actual total Stage 1 and Stage 2 ECL

 

(1)

(1)

0

8

 

Notes:

(1)   Variations in future undrawn exposure values across the scenarios are modelled, however the exposure position reported is that used to calculate modelled ECL as at 30 June 2021 and therefore does not include variation in future undrawn exposure values.

(2)   Reflects ECL for all modelled exposure in scope for IFRS 9. The analysis excludes non-modelled portfolios and exposure relating to bonds and cash.

(3)   All simulations are run on a stand-alone basis and are independent of each other, with the potential ECL impact reflecting the simulated impact as at 30 June 2021. The simulations change the composition of Stage 1 and Stage 2 exposure but total exposure is unchanged under each scenario as the loan population is static.

(4)   Refer to the Economic loss drivers section for details of economic scenarios.

(5)   Refer to the NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts for 31 December 2020 comparatives.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk - Economics continued

Measurement uncertainty and ECL adequacy

The improvement in the economic outlook and scenarios used in the IFRS 9 MES framework at H1 2021 resulted in a release of modelled ECL. Given continued uncertainty remains due to COVID-19 despite the improved economic outlook, NWM Group utilised a framework of quantitative and qualitative measures to support the directional change and levels of ECL coverage, including economic data, credit performance insights and problem debt trends. This was particularly important for consideration of post model adjustments.

 

As government support mechanisms continue to conclude during 2021, NWM Group anticipates further credit deterioration in the portfolios. However, the income statement effect of this will be mitigated by the forward-looking provisions retained on the balance sheet as at 30 June 2021.

 

There are a number of key factors that could drive further downside to impairments, through deteriorating economic and credit metrics and increased stage migration as credit risk increases for more customers. A key factor would be a more adverse deterioration in GDP and unemployment in the economies in which NWM Group operates, but also, among others:

·    The ongoing trajectory of lockdown restriction relaxation within the UK, and any future repeated lockdown requirements.

·    The progress of the COVID-19 vaccination roll-out and its effectiveness against new variants.

·    The efficacy of the various government support initiatives in terms of their ability to defray customer defaults is yet to be proven, notably over an extended period.

·    Higher unemployment if companies fail to retain jobs after the UK furlough scheme concludes in Q3 2021.

·    The level of revenues lost by corporate clients and pace of recovery of those revenues may affect NWM Group's clients' ability to service their borrowing, especially in those sectors most exposed to the effects of COVID-19.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk - Banking activities

This section details the credit risk profile of NWM Group's banking activities.

 

Portfolio summary

The table below shows gross loans and related credit impairment measures, within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework.

 

 

30 June 

31 December

 

2021

2020

 

£m

£m

Loans - amortised cost and fair value through other comprehensive income (FVOCI)

 

 

Stage 1

7,034

7,799

Stage 2

721

1,566

Stage 3

108

171

Of which: individual

98

162

Of which: collective

10

9

Inter-Group (1)

726

755

 

8,589

10,291

ECL provisions

 

 

Stage 1

10

12

Stage 2

37

49

Stage 3

87

132

Of which: individual 

78

124

Of which: collective

9

8

Inter-Group 

1

1

 

135

194

ECL provisions coverage (2,3)

 

 

Stage 1 (%)

0.14

0.15

Stage 2 (%)

5.13

3.13

Stage 3 (%)

80.56

77.19

Inter-Group (%)

0.14

0.13

 

1.70

2.02

 

 

 

 

Half year ended

 

30 June

30 June

 

2021

2020

 

£m

£m

Impairment losses

 

 

ECL (release)/charge (4)

 

 

Stage 1

(8)

14

Stage 2

(5)

43

Stage 3

(3)

(13)

Of which: individual

1

(4)

Of which: collective

(4)

(9)

Third party

(16)

44

Inter-Group

-

2

 

(16)

46

ECL loss rate - annualised (basis points) (3)

(41)

69

Amounts written off 

40

4

 

Notes:

(1)    NWM Group's intercompany assets were classified in Stage 1. The ECL attached to these loans was £0.9 million (31 December 2020 - £1.2 million). The remaining tables in the credit risk section exclude intercompany assets and associated ECL.

(2)    ECL provisions coverage is calculated as ECL provisions divided by loans - amortised cost and FVOCI.

(3)    ECL provisions coverage and ECL loss rates are calculated on third party loans and related ECL provisions and charge respectively. ECL loss rate is calculated as annualised third party ECL charge divided by loans - amortised cost and FVOCI. The half year ECL charge is annualised by multiplying by two.

(4)    Includes a £1 million charge (30 June 2020 - £1 million charge) related to other financial assets, of which nil (30 June 2020 - nil) related to assets classified as FVOCI and a £1 million release (30 June 2020 - £1 million release) related to contingent liabilities.

(5)    The table shows gross loans only and excludes amounts that are outside the scope of the ECL framework. Refer to page 64 for Financial instruments within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework in the NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts for further details. Other financial assets within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework were cash and balances at central banks totalling £17.1 billion (31 December 2020 - £15.8 billion) and debt securities of £8.1 billion (31 December 2020 - £8.7 billion).

 

Key points

 

While the significant increase in defaults and losses predicted in 2020 to occur throughout 2021 and early 2022 have not materialised and there has been an immaterial level of Stage 3 defaults so far, ECL coverage has been maintained at relatively stable levels.

 

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Sector analysis - COVID-19 impact

The table below shows exposures and ECL, by stage, for key sectors of the Wholesale portfolio, that continue to be affected by COVID-19.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Off-balance sheet

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loans - amortised cost & FVOCI

 

Loan 

Contingent 

 

ECL provisions

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

 

commitments

liabilities

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

30 June 2021

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

  Property

94

43

16

153

 

432

20

 

-

1

11

12

  Financial institutions

6,043

438

4

6,485

 

5,272

578

 

8

33

3

44

  Sovereign

301

-

3

304

 

36

-

 

1

-

2

3

  Corporate

596

240

85

921

 

5,373

116

 

1

3

71

75

    Of which:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

        Airlines and aerospace

21

-

8

29

 

216

43

 

-

-

8

8

        Automotive

11

38

-

49

 

653

-

 

-

-

-

-

        Health

22

-

2

24

 

-

-

 

-

-

1

1

        Land transport and logistics

43

41

-

84

 

227

1

 

-

1

-

1

        Leisure

21

35

-

56

 

287

-

 

-

-

-

-

        Oil and gas

-

1

17

18

 

299

2

 

-

-

4

4

        Retail

-

-

9

9

 

388

5

 

-

-

8

8

Total

7,034

721

108

7,863

 

11,113

714

 

10

37

87

134

 

31 December 2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Property

127

45

18

190

 

446

32

 

1

-

10

11

  Financial institutions

6,933

1,272

3

8,208

 

5,591

613

 

9

43

3

55

  Sovereign

110

67

3

180

 

37

-

 

1

-

2

3

  Corporate

629

182

147

958

 

6,291

130

 

1

6

117

124

    Of which:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

        Airlines and aerospace

-

23

10

33

 

312

44

 

-

-

9

9

        Automotive

11

38

-

49

 

863

-

 

-

1

-

1

        Health

22

-

2

24

 

-

-

 

-

-

1

1

        Land transport and logistics

85

1

1

87

 

451

6

 

-

-

-

-

        Leisure

 -

50

-

50

 

472

-

 

-

1

-

1

        Oil and gas

11

3

50

64

 

374

3

 

-

-

35

35

        Retail

-

-

10

10

 

342

5

 

-

-

10

10

Total

7,799

1,566

171

9,536

 

12,365

775

 

12

49

132

193

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk - Banking activities continued

Flow statement

The flow statement that follows shows the main ECL and related income statement movements. It also shows the changes in ECL as well as the changes in related financial assets used in determining ECL. Due to differences in scope, exposures may differ from those reported in other tables, principally in relation to exposures in Stage 1 and Stage 2. These differences do not have a material ECL impact. Other points to note:

·    Financial assets include treasury liquidity portfolios, comprising balances at central banks and debt securities, as well as loans. Both modelled and non-modelled portfolios are included.

·    Stage transfers (for example, exposures moving from Stage 1 to Stage 2) are a key feature of the ECL movements, with the net re-measurement cost of transitioning to a worse stage being a primary driver of income statement charges. Similarly, there is an ECL benefit for accounts improving stage.

·    Changes in risk parameters shows the reassessment of the ECL within a given stage, including any ECL overlays and residual income statement gains or losses at the point of write-off or accounting write-down.

·    Other (P&L only items) includes any subsequent changes in the value of written-down assets (for example, fortuitous recoveries) along with other direct write-off items such as direct recovery costs. Other (P&L only items) affects the income statement but does not affect balance sheet ECL movements.

·    Amounts written-off represent the gross asset written-down against accounts with ECL, including the net asset write-down for any debt sale activity.

 

 

 

Stage 1

 

Stage 2

 

Stage 3

 

Total

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

Financial

 

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

 

assets

ECL

NWM Group

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

At 1 January 2021

33,327

12

 

1,671

49

 

167

132

 

35,165

193

Currency translation and other adjustments

(700)

-

 

(36)

-

 

(3)

(3)

 

(739)

(3)

Inter-Group transfers

(3)

-

 

-

-

 

-

-

 

(3)

-

Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2

(484)

(1)

 

484

1

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1

1,150

7

 

(1,150)

(7)

 

-

-

 

-

-

Transfers from Stage 3

-

-

 

-

-

 

-

-

 

-

-

Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer

 

(5)

 

 

3

 

 

-

 

 

(2)

Changes in risk parameters (model inputs)

 

(3)

 

 

(8)

 

 

(1)

 

 

(12)

Other changes in net exposure

(1,978)

-

 

(226)

(1)

 

(22)

(1)

 

(2,226)

(2)

Other (P&L only items)

 

-

 

 

1

 

 

(1)

 

 

-

Income statement releases

 

(8)

 

 

(5)

 

 

(3)

 

 

(16)

Amounts written-off

-

-

 

-

-

 

(40)

(40)

 

(40)

(40)

Unwinding of discount

 

-

 

 

-

 

 

-

 

 

-

At 30 June 2021

31,312

10

 

743

37

 

102

87

 

32,157

134

Net carrying amount

31,302

 

 

706

 

 

15

 

 

32,023

 

At 1 January 2020

32,877

10

 

188

4

 

184

132

 

33,249

146

2020 movements

5,370

8

 

2,609

49

 

(2)

4

 

7,977

61

At 30 June 2020

38,247

18

 

2,797

53

 

182

136

 

41,226

207

Net carrying amount

38,229

 

 

2,744

 

 

46

 

 

41,019

 

 

Key points

·   The decrease in Stage 1 and Stage 2 ECL was primarily due to the improvement in economic forecasts.

·   The updated economics resulted in the migration of assets from Stage 2 to Stage 1 with a consequential reduction in Stage 2 lifetime ECL.

·   Amounts written-off in the period largely related to a small number of legacy defaulted exposures.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Condensed consolidated income statement for the half year ended 30 June 2021 (unaudited)

 

Half year ended

 

30 June

30 June

 

2021

2020

 

£m

£m

Interest receivable

179

276

Interest payable 

(183)

(315)

Net interest income

(4)

(39)

Fees and commissions receivable 

146

277

Fees and commissions payable

(62)

(202)

Income from trading activities

226

776

Other operating income 

(10)

(3)

Non-interest income

300

848

Total income

296

809

Staff costs

(252)

(377)

Premises and equipment

(37)

(75)

Other administrative expenses

(181)

(348)

Depreciation and amortisation

(10)

(14)

Operating expenses

(480)

(814)

Loss before impairment releases/(losses)

(184)

(5)

Impairment releases/(losses)

16

(45)

Operating loss before tax

(168)

(50)

Tax credit/(charge)

49

(79)

Loss for the period

(119)

(129)

Attributable to:

 

 

Ordinary shareholders 

(189)

(96)

Paid-in equity holders

31

34

Non-controlling interests 

39

(67)

 

(119)

(129)

 

Condensed consolidated statement of comprehensive income for the half year ended 30 June 2021 (unaudited)

 

 

Half year ended

 

30 June

30 June

 

2021

2020

 

£m

£m

Loss for the period

(119)

(129)

Items that do not qualify for reclassification

 

 

Remeasurement of retirement benefit schemes

(1)

(3)

(Loss)/profit on fair value of credit in financial liabilities 

 

 

  designated at FVTPL due to own credit risk

(25)

83

FVOCI financial assets

(1)

(176)

Tax

4

3

 

(23)

(93)

Items that do qualify for reclassification

 

 

FVOCI financial assets

(8)

(18)

Cash flow hedges

(103)

154

Currency translation

(112)

258

Tax

7

(42)

 

(216)

352

Other comprehensive (loss)/income after tax

(239)

259

Total comprehensive (loss)/income for the period

(358)

130

 

 

 

Attributable to:

 

 

Ordinary shareholders

(432)

149

Paid-in equity holders

31

34

Non-controlling interests

43

(53)

 

(358)

130

 

 

 

Condensed consolidated balance sheet as at 30 June 2021 (unaudited)

 

30 June

31 December

 

2021

2020

 

£m

£m

 

 

 

Assets

 

 

Cash and balances at central banks

17,073

15,771

Trading assets

70,159

68,689

Derivatives

108,644

165,619

Settlement balances

7,537

2,296

Loans to banks - amortised cost

1,188

1,003

Loans to customers - amortised cost

6,271

8,444

Amounts due from holding company and fellow subsidiaries

1,418

1,587

Other financial assets

8,853

9,041

Other assets

715

688

Total assets

221,858

273,138

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

Bank deposits 

1,694

1,808

Customer deposits

2,460

2,618

Amounts due to holding company and fellow subsidiaries

6,356

8,134

Settlement balances

7,100

2,248

Trading liabilities

75,698

72,252

Derivatives

101,769

157,332

Other financial liabilities

17,637

18,170

Other liabilities

1,003

1,234

Total liabilities

213,717

263,796

 

 

 

Equity

 

 

Owners' equity

8,144

9,388

Non-controlling interests

(3)

(46)

Total equity

8,141

9,342

Total liabilities and equity

221,858

273,138

 

 

Condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity for the half year ended 30 June 2021 (unaudited)

 

Half year ended

 

30 June

30 June

 

2021

2020

 

£m

£m

Called up share capital - at beginning and end of period

400

400

Share premium account - at beginning and end of period

1,759

1,759

Paid-in equity - at beginning and end of period

904

904

FVOCI reserve - at beginning of period

34

(134)

Unrealised losses

(10)

(196)

Realised losses

2

1

Tax

1

3

At end of period

27

(326)

Cash flow hedging reserve - at beginning of period

201

137

Amount recognised in equity 

(118)

110

Amount transferred from equity to earnings 

15

44

Tax

12

(45)

At end of period

110

246

Foreign exchange reserve - at beginning of period

121

77

Retranslation of net assets

(131)

284

Foreign currency gains/(losses) on hedges of net assets

15

(35)

Recycled to profit or loss on disposal of businesses

-

(5)

Tax

(6)

-

At end of period

(1)

321

Retained earnings - at beginning of period

5,969

6,764

Loss attributable to ordinary shareholders and other equity owners

(158)

(62)

Ordinary dividends paid

(750)

-

Paid-in equity dividends paid

(31)

(34)

Remeasurement of retirement benefit schemes 

 

 

  - gross

(1)

(3)

  - tax

2

11

Realised (losses)/gains in period on FVOCI equity shares

(1)

1

Changes in fair value of credit in financial liabilities designated as fair value through profit or loss

 

 

  - gross

(25)

83

  - tax

2

(8)

Share-based payments 

(62)

(85)

Capital contribution

-

22

Distribution

-

(40)

At end of period

4,945

6,649

Owners' equity at end of period

8,144

9,953

Non-controlling interests - at beginning of period

(46)

3

Currency translation adjustments and other movements

4

14

Profit/(loss) attributable to non-controlling interests

39

(67)

At end of period

(3)

(50)

Total equity at end of period

8,141

9,903

 

 

 

Attributable to:

 

 

Ordinary shareholders

7,240

9,049

Paid-in equity holders

904

904

Non-controlling interests

(3)

(50)

 

8,141

9,903

 

 

 

Condensed consolidated cash flow statement for the half year ended 30 June 2021 (unaudited)

 

Half year ended

 

30 June

30 June

 

2021

2020

 

£m

£m

Operating activities

 

 

Operating loss before tax 

(168)

(50)

Adjustments for non-cash items

516

(236)

Net cash flows from trading activities

348

(286)

Changes in operating assets and liabilities

3,252

1,414

Net cash flows from operating activities before tax

3,600

1,128

Income taxes paid

(26)

1

Net cash flows from operating activities

3,574

1,129

Net cash flows from investing activities

313

44

Net cash flows from financing activities

(2,047)

(201)

Effects of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents

(758)

1,331

Net increase in cash and cash equivalents

1,082

2,303

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period

26,380

27,043

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period

27,462

29,346

 

 

Notes 

1. Basis of preparation

The condensed consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the Financial Conduct Authority and UK adopted IAS 34 'Interim Financial Reporting'. They should be read in conjunction with NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts which were prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards in conformity with the requirements of the Companies Act 2006 and with International Financial Reporting Standards adopted pursuant to Regulation (EC) No 1606/2002 as it applies in the European Union. The NatWest Markets Plc 2021 Annual Report and Accounts will be prepared in accordance with UK adopted International Financial Reporting Standards.

 

Going concern

Having reviewed NWM Group's forecasts, projections, the potential impact of COVID-19 and other relevant evidence, the directors have a reasonable expectation that NWM Group will continue in operational existence for a period of not less than twelve months. Accordingly, the results for the period ended 30 June 2021 have been prepared on a going concern basis.

 

 

2. Accounting policies

NWM Group's principal accounting policies are as set out on pages 93 to 97 of NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts. Changes to accounting policies from 1 January 2021 had no material effect on NatWest Markets Plc accounts.

 

Critical accounting policies and key sources of estimation uncertainty

The judgements and assumptions that are considered to be the most important to the portrayal of NWM Group's financial condition are those relating to deferred tax, fair value of financial instruments, loan impairment provisions and provisions for liabilities and charges. These critical accounting policies and judgements are referenced on page 97 of NWM Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts. Estimation uncertainty has been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Management's consideration of this source of uncertainty is outlined in the relevant sections of NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts, including the ECL estimate for the period in the Risk and capital management section contained in the NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts.

 

Information used for significant estimates

The COVID-19 pandemic has continued to cause significant economic and social disruption. Key financial estimates are based on a range of anticipated future economic conditions described by internally developed scenarios. Measurement of valuation reserves and expected credit losses are highly sensitive to reasonably possible changes in those anticipated conditions. Other reasonably possible assumptions about the future include a prolonged financial effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy of the UK and other countries. Changes in judgements and assumptions could result in a material adjustment to those estimates in the next reporting periods. Refer to NatWest Markets Plc Risk factors in the 2020 Annual Report and Accounts.

 

 

3. Operating expenses

 

Half year ended

 

30 June

30 June

 

2021

2020

 

£m

£m

Wages, salaries and other staff costs

180

257

Temporary and contract costs

7

12

Social security costs

18

31

Bonus awards

36

58

Pension costs

11

19

   - defined benefit schemes 

4

7

   - defined contribution schemes

7

12

Staff costs

252

377

Premises and equipment

37

75

Depreciation and amortisation

10

14

Other administrative expenses (1,2)

181

348

Administrative expenses

228

437

Operating expenses 

480

814

 

Notes:

(1)   Includes recharges from other NatWest Group entities, mainly NWB Plc which provides the majority of shared services (including technology) and operational processes.

(2)   Includes litigation and regulatory costs.

 

Notes

4. Segmental analysis

The business is organised into the following reportable segments:

NatWest Markets; and

 

 

Central items & other, which comprises corporate functions and other activity not managed in the NatWest Markets segment during the period. H1 2021 and H1 2020 are substantially comprised of litigation and conduct costs.

 

Analysis of operating (loss)/profit before tax

The following table provides a segmental analysis of operating (loss)/profit before tax by main income statement captions.

 

 

Half year ended 30 June 2021

 

Half year ended 30 June 2020

 

 

Central

 

 

 

Central

 

 

NatWest

items

 

 

NatWest

items

 

 

Markets

 & other

Total

 

Markets

 & other

Total

 

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Interest receivable 

179

-

179

 

276

-

276

Interest payable

(183)

-

(183)

 

(315)

-

(315)

Net fees and commissions

84

-

84

 

75

-

75

Other non-interest income

210

6

216

 

773

-

773

Total income

290

6

296

 

809

-

809

Operating expenses

(542)

62

(480)

 

(717)

(97)

(814)

Impairment releases/(losses)

16

-

16

 

(40)

(5)

(45)

Operating (loss)/profit

(236)

68

(168)

 

52

(102)

(50)

 

 

Half year ended 30 June 2021

 

Half year ended 30 June 2020

 

 

Central 

 

 

 

Central 

 

 

NatWest

items

 

 

NatWest

items

 

 

Markets

& other

Total

 

Markets

& other

Total

Total revenue (1)

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Total revenue

535

6

541

 

1,326

-

1,326

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Note:

(1)

Total revenue comprises interest receivable, fees and commissions receivable, income from trading activities and other operating income.

 

 

Half year ended 

 

30 June

30 June

 

2021

2020

Analysis of net fees and commissions

£m

£m

Fees and commissions receivable

 

 

  - Lending and financing

34

46

  - Brokerage

25

61

  - Underwriting fees

77

124

  - Other

10

46

Total

146

277

 

 

 

Fees and commissions payable

(62)

(202)

 

 

 

Net fees and commissions

84

75

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at 30 June 2021

 

As at 31 December 2020

 

 

Central 

 

 

 

Central 

 

 

NatWest

items

 

 

NatWest

items

 

 

Markets

& other

Total

 

Markets

& other

Total

Total assets and liabilities

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Assets

221,857

1

221,858

 

273,124

14

273,138

Liabilities

213,717

-

213,717

 

263,773

23

263,796

 

Notes

5. Tax

The actual tax credit differs from the expected tax credit computed by applying the standard rate of UK corporation tax of 19% (2020 - 19%) as analysed below:

 

Half year ended

 

30 June

30 June

 

2021

2020

 

£m

£m

Loss before tax

(168)

(50)

Expected tax credit

32

10

Losses and temporary differences in period where no deferred tax asset recognised

(5)

(8)

Foreign profits taxed at other rates

(1)

(11)

Items not allowed for tax:

 

 

  - losses on disposals and write-downs

-

(1)

  - UK bank levy

(2)

(2)

  - regulatory and legal actions

8

(19)

  - other disallowable items

(3)

(7)

Taxable foreign exchange movements

-

(1)

Losses brought forward and utilised

6

20

Decrease in the carrying value of deferred tax assets in respect of UK losses

(5)

(16)

Banking surcharge

19

(2)

Tax on paid-in equity

7

8

UK tax rate change impact

(17)

(23)

Adjustments in respect of prior periods

10

(27)

 

 

 

Actual tax credit/(charge)

49

(79)

 

At 30 June 2021, NWM Group has recognised a deferred tax liability of £381 million (31 December 2020 - £417 million). These amounts include a deferred tax asset recognised in respect of UK trading losses of £64 million (31 December 2020 - £62 million). Under UK tax legislation, these UK losses can be carried forward indefinitely. NWM Group has considered the carrying value of this asset as at 30 June 2021 and concluded that it is supported by way of future reversing temporary timing differences on which deferred tax liabilities are recognised at 30 June 2021.

 

It was announced in the UK Government's Budget on 3 March 2021 that the main UK corporation tax rate will increase from 19% to 25% from 1 April 2023. This legislative change was enacted on 10 June 2021. NWM Group's closing deferred tax assets and liabilities have therefore been recalculated taking into account this change of rate and the applicable period the deferred tax assets and liabilities are expected to crystallise. As a result, the net deferred tax liability position in NWM Group has increased by £31 million, with a £17 million charge included in the income statement (refer to reconciling item above), and a £14 million charge included in other comprehensive income. There is an ongoing HM Treasury review of the bank surcharge rate to ensure that the combined rate of corporation tax applicable to banking entities remains competitive.

 

 

6. Trading assets and liabilities

Trading assets and liabilities comprise assets and liabilities held at fair value in trading portfolios.

 

30 June

31 December

 

2021

2020

Assets

£m

£m

Loans

 

 

  - Reverse repos

24,718

19,404

  - Collateral given

12,919

18,459

  - Other loans

1,154

1,611

Total loans

38,791

39,474

Securities

 

 

 Central and local government

 

 

    - UK

5,121

4,184

    - US

4,088

5,149

    - other

18,347

16,436

 Financial institutions and corporate

3,812

3,446

Total securities

31,368

29,215

Total

70,159

68,689

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

Deposits

 

 

  - Repos

23,720

19,036

  - Collateral received 

17,017

23,226

  - Other deposits

1,645

1,803

Total deposits

42,382

44,065

Debt securities in issue

1,205

1,408

Short positions

32,111

26,779

Total

75,698

72,252

 

Notes

7. Financial instruments

Financial instruments: classification

The following tables analyse NWM Group's financial assets and liabilities in accordance with the categories of financial instruments in IFRS 9. Assets and liabilities outside the scope of IFRS 9 are shown within other assets and other liabilities.

 

 

 

Amortised

Other

 

 

MFVTPL

FVOCI 

cost

assets

Total

Assets

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Cash and balances at central banks

 

 

17,073

 

17,073

Trading assets

70,159

 

 

 

70,159

Derivatives (1)

108,644

 

 

 

108,644

Settlement balances

 

 

7,537

 

7,537

Loans to banks - amortised cost (2)

 

 

1,188

 

1,188

Loans to customers - amortised cost (3)

 

 

6,271

 

6,271

Amounts due from holding company and fellow subsidiaries

608

 

756

54

1,418

Other financial assets

83

6,381

2,389

 

8,853

Other assets

 

 

 

715

715

30 June 2021

179,494

6,381

35,214

769

221,858

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and balances at central banks

 

 

15,771

 

15,771

Trading assets

68,689

 

 

 

68,689

Derivatives (1)

165,619

 

 

 

165,619

Settlement balances

 

 

2,296

 

2,296

Loans to banks - amortised cost (2)

 

 

1,003

 

1,003

Loans to customers - amortised cost (3)

 

 

8,444

 

8,444

Amounts due from holding company and fellow subsidiaries

766

 

754

67

1,587

Other financial assets

166

6,300

2,575

 

9,041

Other assets

 

 

 

688

688

31 December 2020

235,240

6,300

30,843

755

273,138

 

 

 

Held-for-

 

Amortised

Other

 

 

trading

DFV

cost

liabilities

Total

Liabilities

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Bank deposits (4)

 

 

1,694

 

1,694

Customer deposits

 

 

2,460

 

2,460

Amounts due to holding company and fellow subsidiaries

428

 

5,786

142

6,356

Settlement balances

 

 

7,100

 

7,100

Trading liabilities

75,698

 

 

 

75,698

Derivatives (1)

101,769

 

 

 

101,769

Other financial liabilities

 

2,705

14,932

 

17,637

Other liabilities (5)

 

 

66

937

1,003

30 June 2021

177,895

2,705

32,038

1,079

213,717

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bank deposits (4)

 

 

1,808

 

1,808

Customer deposits

 

 

2,618

 

2,618

Amounts due to holding company and fellow subsidiaries

636

 

7,240

258

8,134

Settlement balances

 

 

2,248

 

2,248

Trading liabilities

72,252

 

 

 

72,252

Derivatives (1)

157,332

 

 

 

157,332

Other financial liabilities

 

3,196

14,974

 

18,170

Other liabilities (5)

 

 

81

1,153

1,234

31 December 2020

230,220

3,196

28,969

1,411

263,796

 

Notes:

(1)

Includes net hedging derivative assets of £158 million (31 December 2020 - £267 million) and net hedging derivative liabilities of £126 million (31 December 2020 - £107 million).

(2)

Includes items in the course of collection from other banks of £175 million (31 December 2020 - £119 million).

(3)

Includes finance lease receivables of £63 million (31 December 2020 - £66 million).

(4)

Includes items in the course of transmission to other banks of £91 million (31 December 2020 - £10 million).

(5)

Includes lease liabilities of £60 million (31 December 2020 - £71 million) held at amortised cost.

 

 

Notes

7. Financial instruments continued

NWM Group's financial assets and liabilities include:

 

30 June

31 December

 

2021

2020

 

£m

£m

Reverse repos

 

 

Trading assets

24,718

19,404

Loans to bank - amortised cost

221

6

Loans to customers - amortised cost

344

1,893

 

 

 

Repos

 

 

Bank deposits

526

200

Customer deposits

128

-

Trading liabilities

23,720

19,036

 

NWM Group's financial assets and liabilities include amounts due from/to holding company and fellow subsidiaries as below:

 

 

30 June 2021

 

31 December 2020

 

Holding

Fellow

 

 

Holding

Fellow

 

 

company

subsidiaries

Total

 

company

subsidiaries

Total

 

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Trading assets

369

239

608

 

542

224

766

Settlement balances

-

31

31

 

-

-

-

Loans to banks - amortised cost 

-

597

597

 

-

624

624

Loans to customers - amortised cost 

110

18

128

 

112

18

130

Other assets

-

54

54

 

-

67

67

Amounts due from holding company and

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  fellow subsidiaries

479

939

1,418

 

654

933

1,587

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Derivatives (1)

436

531

967

 

594

774

1,368

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bank deposits

-

113

113

 

-

145

145

Customer deposits

-

110

110

 

 

144

144

MREL instruments issued to NatWest Group plc

3,872

-

3,872

 

5,181

-

5,181

Trading liabilities

-

428

428

 

-

636

636

Other financial liabilities - Subordinated liabilities

1,678

-

1,678

 

1,753

-

1,753

Other liabilities

-

155

155

 

-

275

275

Amounts due to holding company and

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  fellow subsidiaries

5,550

806

6,356

 

6,934

1,200

8,134

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Derivatives (1)

806

391

1,197

 

1,120

425

1,545

 

Note:

(1)    Intercompany derivatives are included within derivative classification on the balance sheet.

 

 

 

 

 

Notes

7. Financial instruments continued

Interest rate benchmark reform

NatWest Group continues to implement its entity-wide IBOR reform programme with the aim of being ready for the various transition events which are expected to occur prior to the cessation of the vast majority of the IBOR benchmark rates at the end of 2021 and of the USD IBOR in 2023.

 

NatWest Group continues to develop new products across its different segments that reference the new alternative risk-free rates and continues to work  with customers to assess their readiness and ability to adopt new products, transition existing products or take the necessary steps to ensure that products can transition at IBOR cessation. A comprehensive review of the effect of IBOR reform on funding, liquidity and risk management has also been conducted and NatWest Group will continue to adapt its key systems, methodologies and processes to meet the requirements of the new risk-free rates. This is expected to be fully implemented over the course of 2021 and by June 2023 for USD IBOR.

 

NatWest Group expects that the vast majority of non-derivative instruments will transition in H2 2021 or the first reset date of the interest rate after cessation via renegotiation with clients or fallback provisions. Derivatives that are subject to clearing

are expected to transition in line with the relevant clearing house transition approaches while other derivatives are expected to

transition using the ISDA fallback protocol.

 

NatWest Group also remains engaged with regulators, standard setters and other market participants on key matters related to the IBOR reform. It is expected that the programme will meet all timelines set by the regulators.

 

Financial instruments: valuation hierarchy

Disclosures relating to the control environment, valuation techniques and related aspects pertaining to financial instruments measured at fair value are included in the NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts. Valuation, sensitivity methodologies and inputs at 30 June 2021 are consistent with those described in Note 12 to the NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts.

 

The tables below show financial instruments carried at fair value on NWM Group's balance sheet by valuation hierarchy - level 1, level 2 and level 3, level 3 movements and related level 3 sensitivities.

 

 

30 June 2021

 

31 December 2020

 

Level 1

Level 2

Level 3

Total

 

Level 1

Level 2

Level 3

Total

Assets

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Trading assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Loans

-

38,628

163

38,791

 

-

39,249

225

39,474

   Securities

22,048

9,205

115

31,368

 

21,535

7,599

81

29,215

Derivatives

-

107,536

1,108

108,644

 

-

164,296

1,323

165,619

Amount due from holding company and fellow subsidiaries

-

608

-

608

 

-

766

-

766

Other financial assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Loans

-

18

497

515

 

-

21

71

92

   Securities

4,931

985

33

5,949

 

5,107

1,247

20

6,374

Total financial assets held at fair value

26,979

156,980

1,916

185,875

 

26,642

213,178

1,720

241,540

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Amount due to holding company and fellow subsidiaries

-

428

-

428

 

-

636

-

636

Trading liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Deposits

-

42,379

3

42,382

 

-

44,058

7

44,065

    Debt securities in issue

-

1,205

-

1,205

 

-

1,408

-

1,408

    Short positions

23,659

8,451

1

32,111

 

19,045

7,734

-

26,779

Derivatives

-

101,078

691

101,769

 

-

156,384

948

157,332

Other financial liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Deposits

-

718

-

718

 

-

796

-

796

    Debt securities in issue

-

1,243

-

1,243

 

-

1,607

-

1,607

    Subordinated liabilities

-

744

-

744

 

-

793

-

793

Total financial liabilities held at fair value

23,659

156,246

695

180,600

 

19,045

213,416

955

233,416

 

Notes:

(1)

Level 1 - Instruments valued using unadjusted quoted prices in active and liquid markets, for identical financial instruments. Examples include government bonds, listed equity shares and certain exchange-traded derivatives.

Level 2 - Instruments valued using valuation techniques that have observable inputs. Examples include most government agency securities, investment-grade corporate bonds, certain mortgage products, including CLOs, most bank loans, repos and reverse repos, less liquid listed equities, state and municipal obligations, most notes issued, and certain money market securities and loan commitments and most OTC derivatives.

Level 3 - Instruments valued using a valuation technique where at least one input which could have a significant effect on the instrument's valuation is not based on observable market data. Examples include cash instruments which trade infrequently, certain syndicated and commercial mortgage loans, certain emerging markets and derivatives with unobservable model inputs.

(2)

Transfers between levels are deemed to have occurred at the beginning of the quarter in which the instruments were transferred. There were no significant transfers between level 1 and level 2.

(3)

For an analysis of debt securities held at mandatorily fair value through profit or loss by issuer as well as ratings and derivatives, by type and contract, refer to Risk and capital management - Credit risk.

(4)

The determination of an instrument's level cannot be made at a global product level as a single product type can be in more than one level. For example, a

single name corporate credit default swap could be in level 2 or level 3 depending on whether the reference counterparty's obligations are liquid or illiquid.

 

 

Notes

7. Financial instruments continued

Financial instruments: movement in level 3 portfolios

 

 

Half year ended 30 June 2021

 

Half year ended 30 June 2020

 

 

Other

 

 

 

 

Other

 

 

 

Trading

financial

Total

Total

 

Trading

financial

Total

Total

 

assets (1)

assets (2)

assets

liabilities

 

assets (1)

assets (2)

assets

liabilities

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

At 1 January

1,629

91

1,720

955

 

2,415

88

2,503

1,389

Amount recorded in the income statement (3)

(191)

3

(188)

(124)

 

358

2

360

104

Amount recorded in the statement of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   comprehensive income

-

6

6

 -   

 

-

(1)

(1)

 -   

Level 3 transfers in

42

428

470

15

 

133

161

294

6

Level 3 transfers out

(68)

-

(68)

(116)

 

(101)

(3)

(104)

(337)

Purchases

169

8

177

114

 

366

5

371

100

Settlements

(36)

(4)

(40)

(15)

 

(113)

-

(113)

(14)

Sales

(158)

(1)

(159)

(132)

 

(933)

-

(933)

(167)

Foreign exchange and other adjustments

(1)

(1)

(2)

(2)

 

5

6

11

3

At 30 June

1,386

530

1,916

695

 

2,130

258

2,388

1,084

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Amounts recorded in the income statement in

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   respect of balances held at period end

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  - unrealised

(191)

3

(188)

(124)

 

358

2

360

104

 

Notes:

(1)

Trading assets comprise assets held at fair value in trading portfolios.

(2)

 

 

Other financial assets comprise fair value through other comprehensive income, designated as at fair value through profit or loss and other fair value through profit or loss. Movement in the period primarily reflects increase in loan positions classified as HTC&S under IFRS 9 and fair valued through other comprehensive income.

(3)

Net losses on trading assets and liabilities of £67 million (30 June 2020 - £254 million) were recorded in income from trading activities. Net gains on other instruments of £3 million (30 June 2020 - £2 million) were recorded in other operating income and interest income as appropriate.

 

 

Financial instruments: sensitivity analysis

 

 

30 June 2021

 

31 December 2020

 

Level 3

Favourable

Unfavourable

 

Level 3

Favourable

Unfavourable

Assets

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Trading assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Loans

163

10

-

 

225

10

-

   Securities

115

10

-

 

81

-

-

Derivatives

1,108

80

(100)

 

1,323

120

(100)

Other financial assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Loans

497

20

(40)

 

71

10

(10)

   Securities

33

-

-

 

20

-

-

Total financial assets held at fair value

1,916

120

(140)

 

1,720

140

(110)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Trading liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Deposits

3

-

-

 

7

-

-

  Short Positions

1

-

-

 

-

-

-

Derivatives

691

40

(40)

 

948

50

(40)

Total financial liabilities held at fair value

695

40

(40)

 

955

50

(40)

 

 

 

 

Notes

7. Financial instruments continued

Valuation reserves

When valuing financial instruments in the trading book, adjustments are made to mid-market valuations to cover bid-offer spread, funding and credit risk. These adjustments are presented in the table below. For further information refer to the descriptions of valuation adjustments within 'Financial instruments - valuation' on page 123 of the NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts.

 

 

30 June

31 December

 

2021

2020

£m

£m

Funding - FVA

47

121

Credit - CVA

384

388

Bid - Offer

84

122

Product and deal specific

163

172

 

678

803

 

·   Valuation reserves comprising of credit valuation adjustments (CVA), funding valuation adjustment (FVA), bid-offer and product and deal specific reserves, decreased to £678 million at 30 June 2021 (31 December 2020 - £803 million).

·   There was a reallocation of FVA to CVA during the period following an update to the risk management of certain exposures.

·   The net decrease across CVA, FVA and bid-offer reserves was driven by reduced exposures, due to increases in interest rates and trade exit activity, and reduced risk.

 

Fair value of financial instruments measured at amortised cost

The following table shows the carrying value and fair value of financial instruments carried at amortised cost on the balance sheet.

 

Items where

 

 

 

 

 

fair value

 

 

 

 

 

approximates

Carrying

 

Fair value hierarchy level

 

carrying value

value

Fair value

Level 2

Level 3

30 June 2021

£bn

£bn 

£bn 

£bn

£bn

Financial assets

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and balances at central banks

17.1

 

 

 

 

Settlement balances

7.5

 

 

 

 

Loans to banks

0.2

1.0

1.0

0.4

0.6

Loans to customers

 

6.3

6.2

0.5

5.7

Amounts due from holding company and fellow subsidiaries

 

0.8

0.8

-

0.8

Other financial assets - Securities

 

2.4

2.4

-

2.4

Financial liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

Bank deposits

0.1

1.6

1.6

-

1.6

Customer deposits

 

2.5

2.4

-

2.4

Amounts due to holding company and fellow subsidiaries

 

5.8

5.9

5.7

0.2

Settlement balances

7.1

 

 

 

 

Other financial liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

  Debt securities in issue

 

14.6

14.9

8.6

6.3

  Subordinated liabilities

 

0.3

0.4

0.4

-

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2020

 

 

 

 

 

Financial assets

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and balances at central banks

15.8

 

 

 

 

Settlement balances

2.3

 

 

 

 

Loans to banks

0.1

0.9

0.9

0.3

0.6

Loans to customers

 

8.4

8.4

1.9

6.5

Amounts due from holding company and fellow subsidiaries

 

0.8

0.8

-

0.8

Other financial assets - Securities

 

2.6

2.6

-

2.6

Financial liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

Bank deposits

 

1.8

1.8

-

1.8

Customer deposits

0.1

2.5

2.6

-

2.6

Amounts due to holding company and fellow subsidiaries

0.1

7.1

7.2

7.1

0.1

Settlement balances

2.2

 

 

 

 

Other financial liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

  Debt securities in issue

 

14.7

15.0

9.4

5.6

  Subordinated liabilities

 

0.3

0.4

0.4

-

 

The fair value is the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Quoted market values are used where available; otherwise, fair values have been estimated based on discounted expected future cash flows and other valuation techniques. These techniques involve uncertainties and require assumptions and judgements covering prepayments, credit risk and discount rates. Furthermore, there is a wide range of potential valuation techniques. Changes in these assumptions would significantly affect estimated fair values. The fair values reported would not necessarily be realised in an immediate sale or settlement.
 

 

Notes

8. Provisions for liabilities and charges

 

 

Litigation

 

 

 

and other

 

 

 

regulatory

Other (1)

Total

 

£m

£m

£m

At 1 January

334

114

448

Currency translation and other movements (2)

(4)

(13)

(17)

Charge to income statement 

9

17

26

Release to income statement 

(67)

(5)

(72)

Provisions utilised

(30)

(31)

(61)

At 30 June

242

82

324

 

Notes:

(1)   Materially comprises provisions relating to restructuring costs.

(2)   Includes £4 million release in relation to expected credit losses.

 

Provisions are liabilities of uncertain timing or amount and are recognised when there is a present obligation as a result of a past event, the outflow of economic benefit is probable and the outflow can be estimated reliably. Any difference between the final outcome and the amounts provided will affect the reported results in the period when the matter is resolved.

 

9. Dividends

Interim ordinary dividends totalling £750 million were paid to NWM Plc's parent company NatWest Group plc during H1 2021 (H1 2020 - nil).

 

Notes

10. Loan impairment provision

Portfolio summary

The table below shows gross loans and ECL, by segment and stage, within the scope of ECL framework.

 

 

30 June 

31 December

 

2021

2020

 

£m

£m

Loans - amortised cost and fair value through other comprehensive income (FVOCI)

 

 

Stage 1

7,034

7,799

Stage 2

721

1,566

Stage 3

108

171

Of which: individual

98

162

Of which: collective

10

9

Inter-Group (1)

726

755

 

8,589

10,291

ECL provisions

 

 

Stage 1

10

12

Stage 2

37

49

Stage 3

87

132

Of which: individual 

78

124

Of which: collective

9

8

Inter-Group 

1

1

 

135

194

ECL provisions coverage (2,3)

 

 

Stage 1 (%)

0.14

0.15

Stage 2 (%)

5.13

3.13

Stage 3 (%)

80.56

77.19

Inter-Group (%)

0.14

0.13

 

1.70

2.02

 

 

 

 

Half year ended

 

30 June

30 June

 

2021

2020

 

£m

£m

Impairment losses

 

 

ECL (release)/charge (4)

 

 

Stage 1

(8)

14

Stage 2

(5)

43

Stage 3

(3)

(13)

Of which: individual

1

(4)

Of which: collective

(4)

(9)

Third party

(16)

44

Inter-Group

-

2

 

(16)

46

ECL loss rate - annualised (basis points) (3)

(41)

69

Amounts written off 

40

4

 

Notes:

(1)

NWM Group's intercompany assets were classified in Stage 1. The ECL attached to these loans was £0.9 million (31 December 2020 - £1.2 million). The remaining tables in the credit risk section exclude intercompany assets and associated ECL.

(2)

ECL provisions coverage is calculated as ECL provisions divided by loans - amortised cost and FVOCI.

(3)

ECL provisions coverage and ECL loss rates are calculated on third party loans and related ECL provisions and charge respectively. ECL loss rate is calculated as annualised third party ECL charge divided by loans - amortised cost and FVOCI. The half year ECL charge is annualised by multiplying by two.

(4)

Includes a £1 million charge (30 June 2020 - £1 million charge) related to other financial assets, of which nil (30 June 2020 - nil) related to assets classified as FVOCI and a £1 million release (30 June 2020 - £1 million release) related to contingent liabilities.

(5)

The table shows gross loans only and excludes amounts that are outside the scope of the ECL framework. Refer to page 64 for Financial instruments within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework in the NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts for further details. Other financial assets within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework were cash and balances at central banks totalling £17.1 billion (31 December 2020 - £15.8 billion) and debt securities of £8.1 billion (31 December 2020 - £8.7 billion).

 

Notes

11. Contingent liabilities, commitments and guarantees

 

 

30 June

31 December

 

2021

2020

 

£m

£m

Guarantees 

611

638

Other contingent liabilities

113

137

Standby facilities, credit lines and other commitments

10,986

12,292

Contingent liabilities and commitments

11,710

13,067

 

Contingent liabilities arise in the normal course of NWM Group's business; credit exposure is subject to NWM Plc's normal controls. The amounts shown do not, and are not intended to, provide any indication of NWM Group's expectation of future losses.

 

Risk sharing arrangements

NWM Plc and NWM N.V. have limited risk-sharing arrangements in place to facilitate the smooth provision of services to NatWest Markets' customers. The arrangements include:

The provision of a funded guarantee of up to £2.6 billion by NWM Plc to NWM N.V. that limits NWM N.V.'s exposure to large individual customer credits to 10% of NWM N.V.'s capital. Funding is provided by NWM Plc deposits placed with NWM N.V. of not less than the guaranteed amount. At 30 June 2021 the deposits amounted to £0.7 billion and the guarantee fees in the period were £3.3 million.

The provision of a funded and an unfunded guarantee by NWM Plc in respect of NWM N.V.'s legacy portfolio. At 30 June 2021 the exposure at default covered by the guarantees was approximately £0.2 billion (of which £0.1 billion was cash collateralised). Fees of £5.8 million in relation to the guarantees were recognised in the period.

 

 

Indemnity deed

In addition to the numbers above, NWM Plc and NWB Plc also have a cross indemnity agreement in place for losses incurred within the entities in relation to business transferred to or from the ring-fenced bank under the NatWest Group's structural re-organisation. Under the agreement, NWM Plc is indemnified by NWB Plc against losses relating to NWB Plc transferring businesses and ring-fenced bank obligations and NWB Plc is indemnified by NWM Plc against losses relating to NWM Plc transferring businesses and non ring-fenced bank obligations with effect from the relevant transfer date.

 

Notes

12. Litigation and regulatory matters

NWM Plc and its subsidiary and associated undertakings (NWM Group) are party to legal proceedings and involved in regulatory matters, including as the subject of investigations and other regulatory and governmental action ('Matters') in the United Kingdom (UK), the United States (US), the European Union (EU) and other jurisdictions.

 

NWM Group recognises a provision for a liability in relation to these Matters when it is probable that an outflow of economic benefits will be required to settle an obligation resulting from past events, and a reliable estimate can be made of the amount of the obligation.

 

In many of these Matters, it is not possible to determine whether any loss is probable, or to estimate reliably the amount of any loss, either as a direct consequence of the relevant proceedings and regulatory matters or as a result of adverse impacts or restrictions on NWM Group's reputation, businesses and operations. Numerous legal and factual issues may need to be resolved, including through potentially lengthy discovery and document production exercises and determination of important factual matters, and by addressing novel or unsettled legal questions relevant to the proceedings in question, before a liability can reasonably be estimated for any claim. NWM Group cannot predict if, how, or when such claims will be resolved or what the eventual settlement, damages, fine, penalty or other relief, if any, may be, particularly for claims that are at an early stage in their development or where claimants seek substantial or indeterminate damages.

 

There are situations where NWM Group may pursue an approach that in some instances leads to a settlement agreement. This may occur in order to avoid the expense, management distraction or reputational implications of continuing to contest liability, or in order to take account of the risks inherent in defending claims or regulatory matters, even for those Matters for which NWM Group believes it has credible defences and should prevail on the merits. The uncertainties inherent in all such Matters affect the amount and timing of any potential outflows for both Matters with respect to which provisions have been established and other contingent liabilities.

 

The future outflow of resources in respect of any Matter may ultimately prove to be substantially greater than or less than the aggregate provision that NWM Group has recognised. Where (and as far as) liability cannot be reasonably estimated, no provision has been recognised. NWM Group expects that in future periods, additional provisions, settlement amounts and customer redress payments will be necessary, in amounts that are expected to be substantial in some instances.

 

For a discussion of certain risks associated with NWM Group's litigation and regulatory matters, including investigations, see the Risk Factor relating to legal, regulatory and governmental actions and investigations set out on page 171 of the NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts.

 

Litigation

Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) litigation in the US

NatWest Markets Securities Inc. (NWMSI) and certain affiliates continue to defend RMBS-related claims in the US in which plaintiffs allege that certain disclosures made in connection with the relevant offerings of RMBS contained materially false or misleading statements and/or omissions regarding the underwriting standards pursuant to which the mortgage loans underlying the RMBS were issued. The remaining RMBS lawsuits against NWM Group companies consist of cases filed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the State of New Mexico that together involve the issuance of less than US$400 million of RMBS issued primarily from 2005 to 2007. In addition, NWMSI previously agreed to settle a purported RMBS class action entitled New Jersey Carpenters Health Fund v. Novastar Mortgage Inc. et al. for US$55.3 million. This was paid into escrow pending court approval of the settlement, which was granted in March 2019, but which is now the subject of an appeal by a class member who does not want to participate in the settlement.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Notes

12. Litigation and regulatory matters continued

London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and other rates litigation

NWM Plc and certain other members of NatWest Group, including NatWest Group plc, are defendants in a number of class actions and individual claims pending in the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York (SDNY) with respect to the setting of LIBOR and certain other benchmark interest rates. The complaints allege that the NWM Group defendants and other panel banks violated various federal laws, including the US commodities and antitrust laws, and state statutory and common law, as well as contracts, by manipulating LIBOR and prices of LIBOR-based derivatives in various markets through various means.

 

Several class actions relating to USD LIBOR, as well as more than two dozen non-class actions concerning USD LIBOR, are part of a co-ordinated proceeding in the SDNY. In December 2016, the SDNY held that it lacks personal jurisdiction over NWM Group defendants with respect to certain claims. As a result of that and other decisions, all NWM Group defendants have been dismissed from each of the USD LIBOR-related class actions (including class actions on behalf of over-the-counter plaintiffs, exchange-based purchaser plaintiffs, bondholder plaintiffs, and lender plaintiffs), but seven non-class cases in the co-ordinated proceeding remain pending against NWM Group defendants. The dismissal of NWM Group defendants for lack of personal jurisdiction is the subject of a pending appeal to the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit. In March 2020, NWM Group defendants finalised a settlement resolving the class action on behalf of bondholder plaintiffs (those who held bonds issued by non-defendants on which interest was paid from 2007 to 2010 at a rate expressly tied to USD LIBOR). The amount of the settlement (which was covered by an existing provision) has been paid into escrow pending court approval of the settlement.

 

Among the non-class claims dismissed by the SDNY in December 2016 were claims that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) had asserted on behalf of certain failed US banks. In July 2017, the FDIC, on behalf of 39 failed US banks, commenced substantially similar claims against NWM Plc, NatWest Group plc and others in the High Court of Justice of England and Wales. The action alleges that the defendants breached English and European competition law, as well as asserting common law claims of fraud under US law. 

In addition, there are two class actions relating to JPY LIBOR and Euroyen TIBOR. The first class action, which relates to Euroyen TIBOR futures contracts, was dismissed by the SDNY in September 2020 on legal grounds, and the plaintiffs have commenced an appeal to the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit. The second class action, which relates to other derivatives allegedly tied to JPY LIBOR and Euroyen TIBOR, is the subject of a motion to dismiss that remains pending in the SDNY.

 

In addition to the above, five other class action complaints were filed against NWM Group defendants in the SDNY, each relating to a different reference rate. The SDNY dismissed all claims against NWM Plc in the case relating to Euribor for lack of personal jurisdiction in February 2017. The SDNY also dismissed, for various reasons, the case relating to Pound Sterling LIBOR in August 2019, the case relating to Swiss Franc LIBOR in September 2019, and the case relating to the Singapore Interbank Offered Rate and Singapore Swap Offer Rate ('SIBOR / SOR') in July 2019. Plaintiffs appealed each of these four dismissals to the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit. The appeals in the Euribor, Pound Sterling LIBOR and Swiss Franc LIBOR cases remain pending, but in June 2021, NWM Plc and the plaintiffs in the Swiss Franc LIBOR class action finalised a settlement resolving that case. The amount of the settlement (which was covered by an existing provision) has been paid into escrow pending court approval of the settlement. The appeal in the SIBOR / SOR case was decided on 17 March 2021, when the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit reversed the SDNY's prior dismissal, such that the case will now return to the SDNY. In the fifth class action, which relates to the Australian Bank Bill Swap Reference Rate, the SDNY in February 2020 declined to dismiss the amended complaint as against NWM Plc and certain other defendants, but dismissed it as to other members of NWM Group (including NatWest Group plc). The claims against non-dismissed defendants (including NWM Plc) are now proceeding in discovery.

 

NWM Plc was also named as a defendant in a motion to certify a class action relating to LIBOR in the Tel Aviv District Court in Israel. NWM Plc filed a motion for cancellation of service, which was granted in July 2020. The claimants appealed that decision and in November 2020 the appeal was refused and the claim dismissed by the Appellate Court. The claim could in future be recommenced depending on the outcome of a separate case under appeal to Israel's Supreme Court.

 

 

 

 

 

Notes

12. Litigation and regulatory matters continued

In January 2019, a class action antitrust complaint was filed in the SDNY alleging that the defendants (USD ICE LIBOR panel banks and affiliates) have conspired to suppress USD ICE LIBOR from 2014 to the present by submitting incorrect information to ICE about their borrowing costs. The defendants include NatWest Group plc, NWM Plc, NWMSI and NatWest Bank Plc. The defendants made a motion to dismiss this case, which was granted by the court in March 2020. Plaintiffs' appeal of the dismissal is pending in the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit. 

 

In August 2020, a complaint was filed in the United States District Court for the Northern District of California by several United States consumer borrowers against the USD ICE LIBOR panel banks and their affiliates, alleging that the normal process of setting USD ICE LIBOR amounts to illegal price-fixing, and also that banks in the United States have illegally agreed to use LIBOR as a component of price in variable consumer loans. The NatWest Group defendants are NatWest Group plc, NWM Plc, NWMSI and NatWest Bank Plc. The plaintiffs seek damages and to prevent the enforcement of LIBOR-based instruments through injunction. Defendants intend to seek dismissal.

 

FX litigation

NWM Plc, NWMSI and / or NatWest Group plc are defendants in several cases relating to NWM Plc's foreign exchange (FX) business. In 2015, NWM Plc paid US$255 million to settle the consolidated antitrust class action filed in the SDNY on behalf of persons who entered into over-the-counter FX transactions with defendants or who traded FX instruments on exchanges. In 2018, some members of the settlement class who opted out of that class action settlement filed their own non-class complaint in the SDNY asserting antitrust claims against NWM Plc, NWMSI and other banks. Those opt-out claims are proceeding in discovery.

 

In April 2019, some of the same claimants in the opt-out case described above, as well as others, served  proceedings (which are ongoing) in the High Court of Justice of England and Wales, asserting competition claims against NWM Plc and several other banks.

 

An FX-related class action, on behalf of 'consumers and end-user businesses', is proceeding in the SDNY against NWM Plc and others. Plaintiffs have filed a motion for class certification, which defendants are opposing.

In May 2019, a cartel class action was filed in the Federal Court of Australia against NWM Plc and four other banks on behalf of persons who bought or sold currency through FX spots or forwards between 1 January 2008 and 15 October 2013 with a total transaction value exceeding AUD $0.5 million. The claimant has alleged that the banks, including NWM Plc, contravened Australian competition law by sharing information, coordinating conduct, widening spreads and manipulating FX rates for certain currency pairs during this period. NatWest Group plc has been named in the action as an 'other cartel participant', but is not a respondent. The claim was served in June 2019. The claimant sought permission to amend its claim to strengthen its claim of alleged breaches of competition law, but this was refused by the court in the form sought by the claimant. The claimant is now seeking a further opportunity to amend its claim, which is being opposed by NWM Plc and the other respondents.

 

In July and December 2019, two separate applications seeking opt-out collective proceedings orders were filed in the UK Competition Appeal Tribunal against NatWest Group plc, NWM Plc and other banks. Both applications have been brought on behalf of persons who, between 18 December 2007 and 31 January 2013, entered into a relevant FX spot or outright forward transaction in the EEA with a relevant financial institution or on an electronic communications network. A hearing to determine class certification and which of the applications should be permitted to represent the class took place in July 2021 and judgment is awaited.

 

In November 2020, proceedings were issued in the High Court of Justice of England and Wales against NWM Plc by a claimant who seeks an account of profits and/or damages in respect of alleged historical FX trading misconduct. The claimant has also issued similar proceedings against a number of other banks. The claim against NWM Plc makes allegations of breaches of contract, fiduciary duties, duties of confidence and other matters. The claim was served on NWM Plc in March 2021.

 

Two motions to certify FX-related class actions were filed in the Tel Aviv District Court in Israel in September and October 2018, and were subsequently consolidated into one motion. The consolidated motion, which names The Royal Bank of Scotland plc (now NWM Plc) as the defendant, was served on NWM Plc in May 2020. NWM Plc has filed a motion for cancellation of service outside the jurisdiction, which remains pending.

 

Certain other foreign exchange transaction related claims have been or may be threatened. NWM Group cannot predict whether all or any of these claims will be pursued.

 

Notes

12. Litigation and regulatory matters continued

Government securities antitrust litigation

NWMSI and certain other US broker-dealers are defendants in a consolidated antitrust class action pending in the SDNY on behalf of persons who transacted in US Treasury securities or derivatives based on such instruments, including futures and options. The plaintiffs allege that defendants rigged the US Treasury securities auction bidding process to deflate prices at which they bought such securities and colluded to increase the prices at which they sold such securities to plaintiffs. The complaint was dismissed in March 2021. Plaintiffs have filed an amended complaint, which defendants will again seek to have dismissed.

 

Class action antitrust claims commenced in March 2019 are pending in the SDNY against NWM Plc, NWMSI and other banks in respect of Euro-denominated bonds issued by European central banks (EGBs). The complaint alleges a conspiracy among dealers of EGBs to widen the bid-ask spreads they quoted to customers, thereby increasing the prices customers paid for the EGBs or decreasing the prices at which customers sold the bonds. The class consists of those who purchased or sold EGBs in the US between 2007 and 2012. The defendants filed a motion to dismiss this matter, which was granted by the court in respect of NWM Plc and NWMSI in July 2020. Plaintiffs have filed an amended complaint which defendants are seeking to have dismissed. 

 

Swaps antitrust litigation

NWM Plc, NWMSI and NatWest Group plc, as well as a number of other interest rate swap dealers, are defendants in several cases pending in the SDNY alleging violations of the US antitrust laws in the market for interest rate swaps. There is a consolidated class action complaint on behalf of persons who entered into interest rate swaps with the defendants, as well as non-class action claims by three swap execution facilities (TeraExchange, Javelin, and trueEx). The plaintiffs allege that the swap execution facilities would have successfully established exchange-like trading of interest rate swaps if the defendants had not unlawfully conspired to prevent that from happening through boycotts and other means. Discovery in these cases is complete, and the plaintiffs' motion for class certification remains pending.

 

In addition, in June 2017, TeraExchange filed a complaint against NWM Plc, NWMSI and NatWest Group plc, as well as a number of other credit default swap dealers, in the SDNY. TeraExchange alleges it would have established exchange-like trading of credit default swaps if the defendant dealers had not engaged in an unlawful antitrust conspiracy. In October 2018, the court dismissed all claims against NWM Plc, NWMSI and NatWest Group plc.

 

On 30 June 2021, a class action antitrust complaint was filed against a number of credit default swap dealers in New Mexico federal court on behalf of persons who, from 2005 onwards, settled credit default swaps in the United States by reference to the ISDA credit default swap auction protocol. The complaint alleges that the defendants conspired to manipulate that benchmark through various means in violation of the antitrust laws and the Commodity Exchange Act. The defendants include several NatWest Group companies, including NatWest Group plc.

 

Odd lot corporate bond trading antitrust litigation

NWMSI is the subject of a class action antitrust complaint filed in the SDNY against NWMSI and several other securities dealers. The complaint alleges that, from August 2006 to the present, the defendants conspired artificially to widen spreads for odd lots of corporate bonds bought or sold in the United States secondary market and to boycott electronic trading platforms that would have allegedly promoted pricing competition in the market for such bonds. Defendants filed a motion to dismiss the operative complaint in this matter in December 2020.

 

Madoff

NWM N.V. is a defendant in two actions filed by Irving Picard, as trustee for the bankruptcy estates of Bernard L. Madoff and Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC, in bankruptcy court in New York. In both cases, the trustee alleges that certain transfers received by NWM N.V. amounted to fraudulent conveyances that should be clawed back for the benefit of the Madoff estate.

 

In the primary action, filed in December 2010, the trustee is seeking to clawback a total of US$276.3 million in redemptions that NWM N.V. allegedly received from certain Madoff feeder funds and certain swap counterparties. In March 2020, the bankruptcy court denied the trustee's request for leave to amend its complaint to include additional allegations against NWM N.V., holding that, even with the proposed amendments, the complaint would fail as a matter of law to state a valid claim against NWM N.V. The trustee has commenced an appeal of the bankruptcy court's decision, which has been stayed pending the result of appeals in different proceedings, against different defendants, that involve similar issues. In the second action, filed in October 2011, the trustee seeks to recover an additional US$21.8 million. This action has been stayed pending the result of the appeal in the primary action.
 

Notes

12. Litigation and regulatory matters continued

Interest rate hedging products and similar litigation

NWM Plc continues to deal with a small number of active litigation claims in the UK relating to the alleged mis-selling of interest rate hedging products.

 

Separately, NWM Plc is defending claims filed in France by two French local authorities relating to structured interest rate swaps. The plaintiffs allege, among other things, that the swaps are void for being illegal transactions, that they were mis-sold, and that information / advisory duties were breached. One of the claims has been appealed to the Supreme Court and judgment is awaited. The other has been remitted from the Supreme Court to the Court of Appeal for reconsideration of one aspect. NWM N.V. was a defendant in the latter case but has been dismissed from the proceedings.

 

EUA trading litigation

HMRC issued a tax assessment in 2012 against NatWest Group plc for approximately £86 million regarding a value-added-tax (VAT) matter in relation to the trading of European Union Allowances (EUAs) by the subsidiary of a joint venture partnership in 2009. NatWest Group plc lodged an appeal challenging the assessment before the First-tier Tribunal (Tax), a specialist tax tribunal, (the 'Tax Dispute'). The matter was resolved in July 2021.

 

Separately, NWM Plc was a named defendant in civil proceedings before the High Court of Justice of England and Wales brought in 2015 by ten companies (all in liquidation) (the 'Liquidated Companies') and their respective liquidators (together, 'the Claimants'). The Liquidated Companies previously traded in EUAs in 2009 and were alleged to be defaulting traders within (or otherwise connected to) the EUA supply chains forming the subject of the Tax Dispute. The Claimants claimed approximately £71.4 million plus interest and costs and alleged that NWM Plc dishonestly assisted the directors of the Liquidated Companies in the breach of their statutory duties and/or knowingly participated in the carrying on of the business of the Liquidated Companies with intent to defraud creditors. The trial in that matter concluded in July 2018 and judgment was issued in March 2020. The court held that NWM Plc and Mercuria Energy Europe Trading Limited ('Mercuria') were liable for dishonestly assisting and knowingly being a party to fraudulent trading during a seven business day period in 2009. In October 2020, the High Court quantified damages against NWM Plc at £45 million plus interest and costs, and permitted it to appeal to the Court of Appeal. On 10 May 2021 the Court of Appeal set aside the High Court's judgment and ordered that a retrial take place before a different High Court judge. The claimants have sought permission from the Supreme Court to appeal. The Court of Appeal also dismissed an appeal by Mercuria against the finding by the High Court that NWM Plc and Mercuria were both vicariously liable. Mercuria has sought permission from the Supreme Court to appeal that decision.

 

US Anti-Terrorism Act litigation

NWM N.V. and certain other financial institutions are defendants in several actions pending in the United States District Courts for the Eastern and Southern Districts of New York, filed by a number of US nationals (or their estates, survivors, or heirs), most of whom are or were US military personnel, who were killed or injured in attacks in Iraq between 2003 and 2011. NWM Plc is also a defendant in some of these cases.

 

The attacks at issue in the cases were allegedly perpetrated by Hezbollah and certain Iraqi terror cells allegedly funded by the Islamic Republic of Iran. According to the plaintiffs' allegations, the defendants are liable for damages arising from the attacks because they allegedly conspired with Iran and certain Iranian banks to assist Iran in transferring money to Hezbollah and the Iraqi terror cells, in violation of the US Anti-Terrorism Act, by agreeing to engage in 'stripping' of transactions initiated by the Iranian banks so that the Iranian nexus to the transactions would not be detected.

 

The first of these actions was filed in the United States District Court for the Eastern District of New York in November 2014. In September 2019, the district court dismissed the case, finding that the claims were deficient for several reasons, including lack of sufficient allegations as to the alleged conspiracy and causation. The plaintiffs are appealing the decision to the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit. Another action, filed in the SDNY in 2017, was dismissed in March 2019 on similar grounds, but remains subject to appeal to the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit. Other follow-on actions that are substantially similar to the two that have now been dismissed are pending in the same courts.

 

Securities underwriting litigation

NWMSI is an underwriter defendant in several securities class actions in the US in which plaintiffs generally allege that an issuer of public debt or equity securities, as well as the underwriters of the securities (including NWMSI), are liable to purchasers for misrepresentations and omissions made in connection with the offering of such securities.

 

 

 

Notes

12. Litigation and regulatory matters continued

1MDB litigation

Recent media reports suggest that a claim for a material sum has recently been issued in Malaysia by 1MDB against Coutts & Co Ltd for alleged losses in connection with the 1MDB fund. Coutts & Co Ltd is a company registered in Switzerland and is in wind-down following the announced sale of its business assets in 2015.

 

Regulatory matters (including investigations)

NWM Group's financial condition can be affected by the actions of various governmental and regulatory authorities in the UK, the US, the EU and elsewhere. NWM Group companies have engaged, and will continue to engage, in discussions with relevant governmental and regulatory authorities, including in the UK, the US, the EU and elsewhere, on an ongoing and regular basis,

and in response to informal and formal inquiries or investigations, regarding operational, systems and control evaluations and issues including those related to compliance with applicable laws and regulations, including consumer protection, investment advice, business conduct, competition/anti-trust, VAT recovery, anti-bribery, anti-money laundering and sanctions regimes.

 

NWM Group companies have been providing, and continue to provide, information regarding a variety of matters, including, for example, offering of securities, the setting of benchmark rates and related derivatives trading, conduct in the foreign exchange market, product mis-selling and various issues relating to the issuance, underwriting, and sales and trading of fixed-income securities, including structured products and government securities, some of which have resulted, and others of which may result, in investigations or proceedings.

 

Any matters discussed or identified during such discussions and inquiries may result in, among other things, further inquiry or investigation, other action being taken by governmental and regulatory authorities, increased costs being incurred by NWM Group, remediation of systems and controls, public or private censure, restriction of NWM Group's business activities and/or fines. Any of the events or circumstances mentioned in this paragraph or below could have a material adverse effect on NWM Group, its business, authorisations and licences, reputation, results of operations or the price of securities issued by it, or lead to material additional provisions being taken.

 

NWM Group is co-operating fully with the matters described below.

 

US investigations relating to fixed-income securities

In October 2017, NWMSI entered into a non-prosecution agreement (NPA) with the United States Attorney for the District of Connecticut (USAO) in connection with alleged misrepresentations to counterparties relating to secondary trading in various forms of asset-backed securities. In the NPA, the USAO agreed not to file criminal charges relating to certain conduct and information described in the NPA, conditioned on NWMSI and affiliated companies complying with the NPA's reporting and conduct requirements during its term, including by not engaging in conduct during the NPA that the USAO determines was a felony under federal or state law or a violation of the anti-fraud provisions of the United States securities law.

The NatWest Markets business is currently responding to a separate criminal investigation by the USAO and the US Department of Justice (DoJ) concerning unrelated trading by certain NatWest Markets former traders involving alleged spoofing. The NPA (referred to above) has been extended as the criminal investigation has progressed and related discussions with the USAO and the DoJ, including relating to the impact of such alleged conduct on the status of the NPA and the potential consequences thereof, have been ongoing. The duration and outcome of these matters remain uncertain, including in respect of whether settlement may be reached. Material adverse collateral consequences, in addition to further substantial costs and the recognition of further provisions, may occur depending on the outcome of the investigations, as further described in the Risk Factor relating to legal, regulatory and governmental actions and investigations set out on page 171 of the NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts.

 

Foreign exchange related investigations

In recent years, NWM Plc paid significant penalties to resolve investigations into its FX business by the FCA, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the DoJ, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the European Commission (EC) and others. NWM Plc continues to co-operate with ongoing investigations from competition authorities on similar issues relating to past FX trading. The exact timing and amount of future financial penalties, related risks and collateral consequences remain uncertain and may be material.

 

 

 

 

 

Notes

12. Litigation and regulatory matters continued

EGB investigation

On 20 May 2021, the EC announced that it had adopted a decision in relation to an investigation into potential competition law violations in the primary and secondary market trading of EGBs between 2007 and 2011 which involved the NatWest Markets business and six other banks. NatWest Group revealed the conduct to the EC and co-operated throughout the EC's investigation. NatWest Group was granted immunity by the EC and was not fined.

 

FCA investigation into NatWest Group's compliance with the Money Laundering Regulations 2007

In July 2017, the FCA notified NatWest Group that it was undertaking an investigation into NatWest Group's compliance with the UK Money Laundering Regulations 2007 ('MLR 2007') in relation to certain money service businesses and related parties. The investigation is assessing both criminal and civil culpability. NatWest Group is co-operating with the investigation, including responding to information requests from the FCA.

 

On 15 March 2021, the FCA notified NatWest Group that it had commenced criminal proceedings against NWB Plc for offences under regulation 45(1) of the MLR 2007 for alleged failures to comply with regulations 8(1), 8(3) and 14(1) of the MLR 2007 between 11 November 2011 and 19 October 2016, arising from the handling of the accounts of a UK incorporated customer. These regulations require the firm to determine, conduct and demonstrate risk sensitive due diligence and ongoing monitoring of its relationships with its customers for the purposes of preventing money laundering. NWB Plc will be required to attend an initial hearing at Westminster Magistrates' Court on 15 September 2021. Material adverse collateral consequences, in addition to further substantial costs and the recognition of provisions, may occur as a result of any conviction and may affect members of NWM Group.

 

Systematic Anti-Money Laundering Programme assessment

In December 2018, the FCA commenced a Systematic Anti-Money Laundering Programme assessment of NatWest Group. In August 2019, the FCA instructed NatWest Group to appoint a Skilled Person under section 166 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 to provide assurance on financial crime governance arrangements in relation to two financial crime change programmes. NatWest Group is co-operating with the Skilled Person's review, which is ongoing.

 

13. Related party transactions

UK Government

The UK Government and bodies controlled or jointly controlled by the UK Government and bodies over which it has significant influence are related parties of NWM Group. NWM Group's transactions with the UK Government include the payment of taxes, principally UK corporation tax and value added tax; national insurance contributions; local authority rates; and regulatory fees and levies.

 

Bank of England facilities

In the ordinary course of business, NWM Group may from time to time access market-wide facilities provided by the Bank of England.

 

Other related parties

(a)   In their roles as providers of finance, NWM Group companies provide development and other types of capital support to businesses. In some instances, the investment may extend to ownership or control over 20% or more of the voting rights of the investee company. However, these investments are not considered to give rise to transactions of a materiality requiring disclosure under IAS 24.

 

(b)   NWM Group is recharged from other NatWest Group entities, mainly NWB Plc which provides the majority of shared services (including technology) and operational processes.

 

Full details of NWM Group's related party transactions for the year ended 31 December 2020 are included in the NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts.

 

 

14. Post balance sheet events

Other than as disclosed there have been no other significant events between 30 June 2021 and the date of approval of these

accounts which would require a change to or additional disclosure in the condensed consolidated financial statements.

 

15. Date of approval

This announcement was approved by the Board of Directors on 29 July 2021.

 

Independent review report to NatWest Markets Plc

 

Conclusion

We have been engaged by NatWest Markets Plc ("the Group") to review the condensed consolidated financial statements in the half-yearly financial report for the six months ended 30 June 2021 which comprise the condensed consolidated income statement, the condensed consolidated statement of comprehensive income, the condensed consolidated balance sheet, the condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity, the condensed consolidated cash flow statement, and related Notes 1 to 15 and the Risk and capital management disclosures for those identified as within the scope of our review  (together "the condensed consolidated financial statements"). We have read the other information contained in the half yearly financial report and considered whether it contains any apparent misstatements or material inconsistencies with the information in the condensed consolidated financial statements.

 

Based on our review, nothing has come to our attention that causes us to believe that the condensed consolidated financial statements in the half-yearly financial report for the six months ended 30 June 2021 are not prepared, in all material respects, in accordance with UK adopted International Accounting Standard 34 and the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules of the United Kingdom's Financial Conduct Authority.

 

Basis for Conclusion

We conducted our review in accordance with International Standard on Review Engagements 2410 (UK and Ireland) "Review of Interim Financial Information Performed by the Independent Auditor of the Entity" issued by the Auditing Practices Board.  A review of interim financial information consists of making enquiries, primarily of persons responsible for financial and accounting matters, and applying analytical and other review procedures. A review is substantially less in scope than an audit conducted in accordance with International Standards on Auditing (UK) and consequently does not enable us to obtain assurance that we would become aware of all significant matters that might be identified in an audit. Accordingly, we do not express an audit opinion.

 

As disclosed in Note 1, the annual financial statements of the Group will be prepared in accordance with UK adopted IFRSs. The condensed consolidated financial statements included in this half-yearly financial report have been prepared in accordance with UK adopted International Accounting Standard 34, "Interim Financial Reporting".

 

Responsibilities of the directors

The directors are responsible for preparing the half-yearly financial report in accordance with the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules of the United Kingdom's Financial Conduct Authority

 

Auditor's Responsibilities for the review of the financial information

In reviewing the half-yearly report, we are responsible for expressing to the Group a conclusion on the condensed consolidated financial statements in the half-yearly financial report. Our conclusion, based on procedures that are less extensive than audit procedures, is described in the Basis for Conclusion paragraph of this report.

 

Use of our report

This report is made solely to the Group in accordance with guidance contained in International Standard on Review Engagements 2410 (UK and Ireland) "Review of Interim Financial Information Performed by the Independent Auditor of the Entity" issued by the Auditing Practices Board. To the fullest extent permitted by law, we do not accept or assume responsibility to anyone other than the Group, for our work, for this report, or for the conclusions we have formed.

 

 

 

Ernst & Young LLP

London, United Kingdom

29 July 2021

 

NWM Summary Risk Factors

Summary of principal risks and uncertainties

Set out below is a summary of the principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the financial year which could adversely affect NWM Group. This summary should not be regarded as a complete and comprehensive statement of all potential risks and uncertainties; a fuller description of these and other risk factors is included on pages 156 to 172 of the NatWest Markets Plc 2020 Annual Report and Accounts and pages 15 to 45 of the NatWest Markets Plc 2021 Registration Document. Any of the risks identified may have a material adverse effect on NWM Group's business, operations, financial condition or prospects. The current COVID-19 pandemic may exacerbate any of the risks described below.

 

Risks relating to the COVID-19 pandemic

·      The effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the UK, global economies and financial markets and NWM Group's customers, as well as its competitive environment may continue to have a material adverse effect on NWM Group's business, results of operations and outlook.

·      The adverse impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the credit quality of NWM Group's counterparties has increased NWM Group's exposure to counterparty risk, which may adversely affect its business, results of operations and outlook.

·      The COVID-19 pandemic may adversely affect NWM Group's strategy and impair its ability to meet its targets and to achieve its strategic objectives.

·      The COVID-19 pandemic has heightened NWM Group's operational risks as many of its employees are working remotely which may also adversely affect NWM Group's ability to maintain effective internal controls.

·      The effects of the COVID-19 pandemic could affect NWM Group's ability to access sources of liquidity and funding, which may result in higher funding costs and failure to comply with regulatory capital, funding and leverage requirements.

 

Strategic risk

·      NatWest Group is in the process of implementing its Purpose-led Strategy, which requires changes in NWM Group's business and strategy, and entails material execution, commercial and operational risks for NWM Group.

·      NWM Group may not be able to successfully implement the ongoing refocusing of NWM and it may not achieve its targets and NWM Group may not ultimately result in a viable, competitive business.

 

Economic and political risk

·      NWM Group faces market risk as a result of political and economic risks and uncertainty in the UK and global markets.

·      Continuing uncertainty regarding the effects of the UK's withdrawal from the European Union may continue to adversely affect NWM Group and its operating environment.

·      Changes in interest rates have affected and will continue to affect NWM Group's business and results.

·      Changes in foreign currency exchange rates may affect NWM Group's results and financial position.

·      HM Treasury (or UKGI on its behalf) could exercise a significant degree of influence over NatWest Group and NWM Group is controlled by NatWest Group.

 

Financial resilience risk

·      NWM Group may not meet the targets it communicates to the market, generate returns or implement its strategy effectively.

·      NWM Group has undergone significant structural and other change, including as a result of the UK ring-fencing regime, acquisition of NatWest Markets N.V. and the implementation of NatWest Group's Purpose-led strategy (including the ongoing NWM Refocusing) and may continue to be subject to significant structural and other change, including as a result of asset or other transfers within or between NatWest Group entities.

·      NWM Plc and/or its regulated subsidiaries may not meet the prudential regulatory requirements for capital.

·      NWM Plc may not be able to adequately access sources of liquidity and funding.

·      NWM Plc and/or its regulated subsidiaries may not manage their capital, liquidity or funding effectively which could trigger the execution of certain management actions or recovery options.

·      Any reduction in the credit rating and/or outlooks assigned to NatWest Group plc, any of its subsidiaries (including NWM Plc or NWM Group subsidiaries) or any of their respective debt securities could adversely affect the availability of funding for NWM Group, reduce NWM Group's liquidity position and increase the cost of funding.

·      NWM Group operates in markets that are highly competitive, with increasing competitive pressures and technology disruption.

·      NWM Group is reliant on access to the capital markets to meet its funding requirements, both directly and indirectly through its parent for the subscription to its internal MREL. The inability to do so may adversely affect NWM Group.

·      NWM Group may be adversely affected if NatWest Group fails to meet the requirements of regulatory stress tests.

·      NWM Group has significant exposure to counterparty and borrower risk.

·      NWM Group could incur losses or be required to maintain higher levels of capital as a result of limitations or failure of various models.

·      NWM Group's financial statements are sensitive to underlying accounting policies, judgments, estimates and assumptions.

·      Changes in accounting standards may materially impact NWM Group's financial results.

 

 

NWM Summary Risk Factors

Financial resilience risk continued

·      NatWest Group (including NWM Group) may become subject to the application of UK statutory stabilisation or resolution powers which may result in, among other actions, the write-down or conversion of NWM Group entities' Eligible Liabilities.

·      NatWest Group is subject to Bank of England oversight in respect of resolution, and NatWest Group could be adversely affected should the Bank of England deem NatWest Group's preparations to be inadequate.

 

Climate and sustainability-related risks

·      NWM Group and its customers may face significant climate-related risks, including in transitioning to a low-carbon economy, which may adversely impact NWM Group.

·      NatWest Group's Purpose-led Strategy includes one area of focus on climate change that is likely to require material changes to the business and operating model of NWM Group and entails significant execution risk.

·      Any failure by NWM Group to implement effective and compliant climate change resilient systems, controls and procedures could adversely affect NWM Group's ability to manage climate-related risks.

·      There are significant uncertainties inherent in accurately modelling the impact of climate-related risks.

·      A failure to adapt NWM Group's business strategy, governance, procedures, systems and controls to manage emerging sustainability-related risks and opportunities may have a material adverse effect on NWM Group's reputation, business, results of operations and outlook.

·      Any reduction in the ESG ratings of NatWest Group (including NWM Group) could have a negative impact on NatWest Group's (including NWM Group) reputation and on investors' risk appetite.

·      Increasing levels of climate, environmental and sustainability-related laws, regulation and oversight may adversely affect NWM Group's business and expose NWM Group to increased costs of compliance, regulatory sanction and reputational damage.

·      NWM Group may be subject to potential climate, environmental and other sustainability-related litigation, enforcement proceedings, investigations and conduct risk.

 

Operational and IT resilience risk

·      Operational risks (including reliance on third party suppliers and outsourcing of certain activities) are inherent in NWM Group's businesses.

·      NWM Group is subject to increasingly sophisticated and frequent cyberattacks.

·      NWM Group operations and strategy are highly dependent on the accuracy and effective use of data.

·      NWM Group relies on attracting, retaining, developing and remunerating senior management and skilled personnel (such as market trading specialists), and is required to maintain good employee relations.

·      NWM Group's operations are highly dependent on its complex IT systems (including those that enable remote working) and any IT failure could adversely affect NWM Group.

·      A failure in NWM Group's risk management framework could adversely affect NWM Group, including its ability to achieve its strategic objectives.

·      NWM Group's operations are subject to inherent reputational risk.

 

Legal, regulatory and conduct risk

·      NWM Group's businesses are subject to substantial regulation and oversight, which are constantly evolving and may adversely affect NWM Group.

·      NWM Group is subject to various litigation matters, regulatory and governmental actions and investigations as well as remedial undertakings, the outcomes of which are inherently difficult to predict, and which could have an adverse effect on NWM Group.

·      NWM Group may not effectively manage the transition of LIBOR and other IBOR rates to alternative risk-free rates.

·      Changes in tax legislation or failure to generate future taxable profits may impact the recoverability of certain deferred tax assets recognised by NWM Group.

 

 

Statement of directors' responsibilities

 

We, the directors listed below, confirm that to the best of our knowledge:

 

the condensed financial statements have been prepared in accordance with UK adopted IAS 34 'Interim Financial Reporting';

the interim management report includes a fair review of the information required by DTR 4.2.7R (indication of important events during the first six months and description of principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year); and

the interim management report includes a fair review of the information required by DTR 4.2.8R (disclosure of related parties' transactions and changes therein).

 

 

 

By order of the Board

 

 

 

 

 

 

Frank Dangeard

Chairman

 

Robert Begbie

Chief Executive Officer

David King

Chief Financial Officer

 

 

29 July 2021

 

 

Board of directors

 

 

Chairman

Executive directors

Non-executive directors

Frank Dangeard

Robert Begbie

David King

Anne Simpson

Brendan Nelson (resigned 30 June 2021)

Sarah Wilkinson

Tamsin Rowe

Vivek Ahuja

 

 

 

 

Non-IFRS financial measures

NWM Group prepares its financial statements in accordance with IFRS as issued by the IASB which constitutes a body of generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). This document contains a number of adjusted or alternative performance measures, also known as non-GAAP or non-IFRS financial measures. These measures are adjusted for certain items which management believe are not representative of the underlying performance of the business and which distort period-on-period comparison. These non-IFRS financial measures are not measures within the scope of IFRS and are not a substitute for IFRS measures. These measures include:

·   Management analysis of the operating expenses shows strategic costs and litigation and conduct costs in separate lines on pages 4 and 5. These amounts are included in staff, premises and equipment and other administrative expenses in the statutory analysis.

·   Funded assets defined as total assets less derivative assets.

·   Management view of income by business, including separate itemisation of own credit adjustments, asset disposals/strategic risk reduction and income excluding asset disposals and own credit adjustments. Asset disposals/strategic risk reduction includes the costs of exiting positions, which includes changes in carrying value to align to the expected exit valuation, and the impact of risk reduction transactions entered into as part of the optimisation of the entity's capital usage, following the strategic announcements of 14 February 2020. Own credit adjustments are applied to positions where it is believed that the counterparties would consider NWM Group's creditworthiness when pricing trades. The fair value of certain issued debt securities, including structured notes, is adjusted to reflect the changes in own credit spreads and the resulting gain or loss recognised in income.

 

 

 

Non-IFRS financial measures

Operating expenses

Statutory analysis (1,2)

 

Half year ended 

 

Quarter ended

 

30 June

30 June

 

30 June

31 March

30 June

 

2021

2020

 

2021

2021

2020

Operating expenses

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Staff costs

252

377

 

118

134

187

Premises and equipment

37

75

 

18

19

45

Other administrative expenses

181

348

 

67

114

120

Depreciation and amortisation

10

14

 

5

5

7

Total operating expenses

480

814

 

208

272

359

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Non-statutory analysis

 

Half year ended 

 

30 June 2021

 

30 June 2020

 

 

Litigation

 

 

 

 

Litigation

 

 

 

 

and

 

Statutory

 

 

and

 

Statutory

 

Strategic

conduct

Other

operating

 

Strategic

conduct

Other

operating

 

costs

costs

expenses

expenses

 

costs

costs

expenses

expenses

Operating expenses

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

Staff costs

65

-

187

252

 

59

-

318

377

Premises and equipment

3

-

34

37

 

22

-

53

75

Other administrative expenses

27

(68)

222

181

 

31

113

204

348

Depreciation and amortisation

-

-

10

10

 

-

-

14

14

Total 

95

(68)

453

480

 

112

113

589

814

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Quarter ended

 

30 June 2021

 

31 March 2021

 

 

Litigation

 

 

 

 

Litigation

 

 

 

 

and

 

Statutory

 

 

and

 

Statutory

 

Strategic

conduct

Other

operating

 

Strategic

conduct

Other

operating

 

costs

costs

expenses

expenses

 

costs

costs

expenses

expenses

Operating expenses

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

Staff costs

40

-

78

118

 

25

-

109

134

Premises and equipment

2

-

16

18

 

1

-

18

19

Other administrative expenses

21

(81)

127

67

 

6

13

95

114

Depreciation and amortisation

-

-

5

5

 

-

-

5

5

Total 

63

(81)

226

208

 

32

13

227

272

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Quarter ended

 

 

 

 

 

 

30 June 2020

 

 

 

 

Litigation

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

and

 

Statutory

 

 

 

 

 

 

Strategic

conduct

Other

operating

 

 

 

 

 

 

costs

costs

expenses

expenses

 

 

 

 

 

Operating expenses

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

 

 

 

 

Staff costs

38

-

149

187

 

 

 

 

 

Premises and equipment

22

-

23

45

 

 

 

 

 

Other administrative expenses

20

9

91

120

 

 

 

 

 

Depreciation and amortisation

-

-

7

7

 

 

 

 

 

Total 

80

9

270

359

 

 

 

 

 

 

Notes:

(1)   On a statutory or GAAP basis, strategic costs are included within staff, premises and equipment and other administrative expenses. Strategic costs relate to restructuring provisions, related costs and projects that are transformational in nature.

(2)   On a statutory or GAAP basis, litigation and conduct costs are included within other administrative expenses.

 

 

 

Additional information

Presentation of information

NatWest Markets Plc ('NWM Plc') is a wholly-owned subsidiary of NatWest Group plc or 'the ultimate holding company'. The

NatWest Markets Group ('NWM Group') comprises NWM Plc and its subsidiary and associated undertakings. The term

'NatWest Group' comprises NatWest Group plc and its subsidiary and associated undertakings. The term 'NWH Group' refers to

NatWest Holdings Limited ('NWH') and its subsidiary and associated undertakings. The term 'NatWest Bank Plc' or 'NWB Plc'

refers to National Westminster Bank Plc.

 

NWM Plc publishes its financial statements in pounds sterling ('£' or 'sterling'). The abbreviations '£m' and '£bn' represent

millions and thousands of millions of pounds sterling, respectively, and references to 'pence' represent pence in the United

Kingdom ('UK'). Reference to 'dollars' or '$' are to United States of America ('US') dollars. The abbreviations '$m' and '$bn'

represent millions and thousands of millions of dollars, respectively, and references to 'cents' represent cents in the US. The

abbreviation '€' represents the 'euro', and the abbreviations '€m' and '€bn' represent millions and thousands of millions of euros,

respectively, and references to 'cents' represent cents in the European Union ('EU').

 

To aid readability, this document retains references to EU legislative and regulatory provisions in effect in the UK before 1

January 2021 that have now been implemented in UK domestic law. These references should be read and construed as

including references to the applicable UK implementation measures with effect from 1 January 2021.

 

Western European corporate portfolio

In order to best serve customers in an efficient manner, NatWest Group and NWM Group are evaluating whether NatWest

Group's Western European corporate portfolio, principally including term funding and revolving credit facilities, will remain in the

ring-fenced subgroup of NatWest Group or be transferred to NWM Group. Some or all of the portfolio already held in NWM

Group may be transferred to the ring-fenced subgroup of NatWest Group. The timing and quantum of such transfers, if any, is

uncertain.

 

NatWest Markets Group legal entity disclosures

There is a distinction between the disclosure of the NatWest Markets operating segment performance in the NatWest Group's H1 2021 interim results and the NatWest Markets Group's results presented in this document, with differences primarily as follows:

·   NatWest Markets Group's results include its part of the Central items & other segment.

·   NatWest Group's H1 2021 results reports the NatWest Markets segment excluding Central items & other.

 

MAR - Inside Information

This announcement contains information that qualified or may have qualified as inside information for NatWest Markets Plc, for

the purposes of Article 7 of the Market Abuse Regulation (EU) 596/2014 (MAR) as it forms part of domestic law by virtue of the

European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018 for NatWest Markets Plc. This announcement is made by Paul Pybus, Head of Debt Investor Relations for NatWest Markets Plc.

 

Condensed consolidated financial statements

The unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements for the half year ended 30 June 2021 comprise the following sections of this document:

Statutory results on pages 25 to 46 comprising the condensed consolidated income statement, condensed consolidated statement of comprehensive income, condensed consolidated balance sheet, condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity, condensed consolidated cash flow statement and the related Notes 1 to 15.

Risk and capital management section on pages 7 to 24 as indicated within the scope of the independent review. Refer to the Independent review report to NatWest Markets Plc on page 47 for further information.

 

Statutory results

Financial information contained in this document does not constitute statutory accounts within the meaning of section 434 of the Companies Act 2006 ("the Act"). The statutory accounts for the year ended 31 December 2020 have been filed with the Registrar of Companies. The report of the auditor on those statutory accounts was unqualified, did not draw attention to any matters by way of emphasis and did not contain a statement under section 498(2) or (3) of the Act.

Contact

 

 

Paul Pybus

Investor Relations

+44 (0) 7769 161183

 

 

Forward-looking statements

 

This document contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, such as statements that include, without limitation, the words 'expect', 'estimate', 'project', 'anticipate', 'commit', 'believe', 'should', 'intend', 'will', 'plan', 'could', 'probability', 'risk', 'Value-at-Risk (VaR)', 'target', 'goal', 'objective', 'may', 'endeavour', 'outlook', 'optimistic', 'prospects' and similar expressions or variations on these expressions. These statements concern or may affect future matters, such as NWM Group's future economic results, business plans and current strategies. In particular, this document may include forward-looking statements relating to NWM Group in respect of, but not limited to: the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, NWM Plc's regulatory capital position and related requirements, its financial position, profitability and financial performance (including financial, capital, cost savings and operational targets), the NWM Group refocusing and implementation of NatWest Group's Purpose-led strategy, its ESG and climate-related targets, its access to adequate sources of liquidity and funding, increasing competition from new incumbents and disruptive technologies, its exposure to third party risks, its ongoing compliance with the UK ring-fencing regime and ensuring operational continuity in resolution, its credit exposures under certain specified scenarios, substantial regulation and oversight, ongoing legal, regulatory and governmental actions and investigations, the transition of LIBOR and other IBOR rates to alternative risk free rates and NWM Group's exposure to economic and political risks (including with respect to Brexit and climate change), operational risk, conduct risk, cyber and IT risk, key person risk and credit rating risk. Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that might cause actual results and performance to differ materially from any expected future results or performance expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to differences in current expectations include, but are not limited to, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the outcome of legal, regulatory and governmental actions and investigation, legislative, political, fiscal and regulatory developments, accounting standards, competitive conditions, technological developments, interest and exchange rate fluctuations, general economic and political conditions and the impact of climate-related risks and the transitioning to a low-carbon economy. These and other factors, risks and uncertainties that may impact any forward-looking statement or NWM Group's actual results are discussed in NWM Plc's 2020 Annual Report and Accounts (ARA), NWM Plc's 2021 Registration Document, NWM Plc's Interim Results for H1 2021 and other public filings. The forward-looking statements contained in this document speak only as of the date of this document and NWM Group does not assume or undertake any obligation or responsibility to update any of the forward-looking statements contained in this document, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent legally required.

 

Legal Entity Identifier: RR3QWICWWIPCS8A4S074

 

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