Half-year Report

Source: RNS
RNS Number : 9329Z
AVI Global Trust PLC
26 May 2021
 

This is a correction to the announcement published at 07:00am on 26 May 2021 (RNS number 8018Z) which had incorrect contribution figures in the Contributors and Detractors section. These figures have been amended and several other minor non-material changes have been made. The full corrected announcement is included below.

 

 

AVI GLOBAL TRUST PLC

('AGT' or the 'Company')

 

LEI: 213800QUODCLWWRVI968

 

 

Announcement of unaudited results for the half year ended 31 March 2021

 

 

OBJECTIVE

 

The investment objective of the Company is to achieve capital growth through a focused portfolio of investments, particularly in companies whose shares stand at a discount to estimated underlying net asset value.

 

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

 

- Net asset value ('NAV') total return per share increased by 26.8%

- Share price total return 29.1%

- Benchmark index increased on a total return basis by 13.5%

- Interim dividend maintained at 6p

 

PERFORMANCE SUMMARY

 

Net asset value per share (total return) for six months to 31 March 2021*

26.8%





Share price total return for six months to 31 March 2021*

29.1%








31 March 2021   

31 March 2020  

Discount*





(difference between share price

and net asset value)2



7.7%

10.5%

 

 








Six months to   

Six months to   




31 March 2021   

31 March 2020  

Earnings and Dividends




Investment income



£6.17m

£5.86m

Revenue earnings per share



3.31p

3.01p 

Capital earnings per share



207.21p

-206.99p 

Total earnings per share



210.52p

-203.98p 

Ordinary dividends per share



6.00p

6.00p 






Ongoing Charges Ratio (annualised)*





Management, marketing and other expenses (as a percentage of average shareholders' funds)



0.84%

0.94%

 

 





Period Highs/Lows



High  

Low  

Net asset value per share



1,047.19p

835.39p

Net asset value per share (debt at fair value)



1,032.36p

815.30p

Share price (mid market)



956.00p

729.00p

 

1 As per guidelines issued by the AIC, performance is calculated using net asset values per share inclusive of accrued income and debt marked to fair value.

 

2 As per guidelines issued by the AIC, the discount is calculated using the net asset value per share inclusive of accrued income and with the debt marked to fair value.

 

 

Buy-backs

During the period, the Company purchased 989,927 Ordinary Shares, all of which have been placed into treasury.

 

*Alternative Performance Measures

For all Alternative Performance Measures included in this Report, please see definitions in the Glossary below.

 

 

CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT

 

Overview of the half Year

In the Annual Report for the year to 30 September 2020 we reported that the NAV total return was virtually flat but marginally better than the MSCI AC World ex-USA Total Return Index in sterling (the 'Comparator Benchmark'), which recorded a loss. I am pleased to report that in the six months under review, AGT's NAV increased by 26.8%. This result made AGT one of the top performers in its peer group of global investment trusts.

 

Some of the strongest contributions over the period came from companies - such as Aker, Jardine Strategic and EXOR - that had been hardest hit by the COVID-19 pandemic, and subsequently rallied in November 2020, following the announcement of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine trial results. The manager increased exposure to these companies, and initiated positions in others, during 2020 when their valuations appeared particularly compelling. These companies, and other contributors to performance, are discussed in detail in the Investment Manager's Review.

 

Income and Dividend

As we reported in the Annual Report, AGT's revenue account has been particularly hard hit by the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Our net revenue for the six months under review was 3.31 pence per share. Shareholders should note that the majority of our revenues are typically earned in the second half of each accounting year.

 

The Board has decided to maintain the interim dividend at 6 pence per share, the same level as last year. As we stated in the last annual report our current intention is to use revenue reserves, and if necessary capital reserves, to maintain the annual dividend at current levels. The Company is operating in an unprecedented environment and therefore our dividend policy remains under careful and regular review.

 

Gearing

Your Company has access to debt and credit facilities in a variety of currencies, which are used selectively to enhance returns for shareholders. At 31 March total available debt and credit facilities were £132 million. Of this, c. £115 million was drawn. Net gearing was 6.9% of net assets (September 2020: 8.6%).

 

The decrease in net gearing from 8.6% to 6.9% over the period is explained primarily by the strong increase in net assets. Any increase or decrease in cash and gearing levels is driven primarily by the Investment Manager's view on investment opportunities, and not by views on the future direction of markets.

 

Discount, Share Buybacks and Share Issuance

On 31 March 2021 the discount was 7.7%, compared with 9.3%  at 30 September 2020. Shares are bought back with the intention of limiting the volatility in the discount and when the Directors believe that it is in the best interests of shareholders. During the half year under review, just under 1 million shares were bought back. While the primary objective of buying back shares is to limit volatility in the discount, the share buybacks marginally increased the NAV per share for existing shareholders, by an estimated 1.0 pence per share.

 

At last year's AGM, shareholders again approved the authority to reissue shares from treasury and to issue new shares. These powers would only be used if shares could be issued at, or above, the prevailing NAV per share. No shares were issued during the period.

 

We also continue to seek to stimulate demand for the shares by marketing and promoting the company to a wide range of investors, both investment professionals and individuals managing their own affairs and via a range of channels.

 

Management Arrangements

As I reported in the last Annual Report, our Investment Managers continue to be able to operate despite the restrictions related to the COVID-19 pandemic and, as noted above, investment performance has been very strong. The Board regularly monitors the performance of all of our suppliers and in February 2021 the Management Engagement Committee received a report on the ability of our key suppliers to maintain business as usual. I would again like to record the Board's thanks to all of our service suppliers for maintaining business as usual in these difficult times.

 

Directors

As we set out in last year's annual report, Nigel Rich will retire  from the Board at this year's AGM and I will retire from the Board in 2022. We plan to appoint a new director in the next few months and the Nomination Committee has recently appointed a recruitment consultant to assist in the search for a suitable candidate.

 

Annual General Meeting

Last year's AGM was held as a closed meeting, in compliance with regulations designed to control the spread of the COVID-19 virus. Each of the resolutions at the AGM was passed with a large majority in favour and the Board would like to thank shareholders for their continuing support.

 

The UK government has announced a phased lifting of lockdown restrictions and we plan to welcome shareholders to a conventional AGM in December of this year.

 

Outlook

Some countries, including the UK, are gradually emerging from restrictions imposed to contain the spread of the COVID-19 virus but there is still cause for concern, with infection rates and levels of restrictions still high in some parts of the world. While the implementation of mass vaccination programmes gives cause  for hope, there is still a considerable distance to travel before  the world returns to normal. We note, for example, that in Japan,  which accounts for 26% of AGT's NAV in total, the vaccine rollout is progressing slowly, suggesting that it may take some time before economic activity can return to normal. Economies will then be faced with the consequences of the unprecedented level of government stimulus funded by debt and which ultimately must be paid for by  tax payers.

 

In the last Annual Report we described the inherent value in AGT's portfolio of investments and that value has certainly contributed to performance over the last six months. As set out in the Investment Manager's Review there are still many opportunities available and our Investment Manager has been nimble in taking advantage of these. While the economic picture is complex and challenging, our investment managers performed well in the six months under review and we believe that a focus on the type of investment opportunities which fit our investment mandate will continue to bring rewards  over time.

 

Susan Noble

Chairman

25 May 2021

 

 

INVESTMENT MANAGER'S REPORT

 

Performance Summary 

Over the six-month period ended 31 March 2021, your Company generated a positive net asset value ('NAV') total return of 26.8%, which compares to a positive total return of 13.5% from the Comparator Benchmark.

 

The announcement in November of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine  trial results sparked a broadening in the global recovery of equity markets, with the net result being that global stock markets on average delivered double-digit positive returns for 2020. We commented in last year's Interim Report that during the March 2020 market sell-off, AGT had been hit by a double whammy of NAV declines and portfolio discount widening, and that we believed this situation would reverse when investors saw the potential for an earnings recovery. This view has been borne out in recent months, with the portfolio discount tightening to 28% by the end of the interim period, having been as wide as 45% during the March 2020 sell-off. This discount tightening, alongside a recovery in NAVs, provided  a significant boost to your Company's returns.

 

Perhaps what is most interesting about the market recovery is what is going on beneath the surface: market leadership has moved away from high-quality companies with clear secular growth prospects, and towards more cyclical and economically sensitive stocks which will benefit from a resumption of economic activity.

 

Since the second half of 2020, we have been adding to AGT's exposure to these cyclical and economically sensitive stocks  when their valuations appear compelling. These include companies such as Associated British Foods (the UK conglomerate that owns Primark), those operating in the London office and retail property and leisure markets (Capital & Counties, Secure Income REIT, Shaftesbury), Jardine Cycle & Carriage, and Berkshire Hathaway. These new positions build on the reflation beneficiaries which we already had in the portfolio such as Aker, Exor and many of the  small-cap names which we hold in Japan, which provided a balance  to the portfolio for much of 2020 when the portfolio had been  tilted towards higher-growth names.

 

Contributors and Detractors


 

 

Contributors

Contribution*

SoftBank Group

1.92%

EXOR

1.81%

Jardine Strategic Holdings

1.74%

VNV Global

1.71%

Pershing Square Holdings

1.64%

Aker

1.60%



Detractors


Japan Special Situations

-0.47%

Nintendo

-0.38%

 

The Japan Special Situations basket (15% of NAV) continues to offer exceptional value, with many of the companies in it likely to benefit from an economic recovery as lockdowns around the world ease.  A recent research paper from US investment house, GMO, highlighted that Japanese small-cap value stocks - the type of stock to which the basket is predominantly exposed - currently trade at a 45% discount to the wider Japanese market, compared to the long-term average (since 1983) of 25%. It is encouraging to see large, well-respected institutions pick up on, and highlight, this attractive pocket of value. As we discuss in more detail below, the latest quarterly reports for the stocks in our basket have been strong, providing evidence of a V-shaped recovery in earnings following the pandemic. Despite this encouraging trend, the basket continues to trade on a derisory earnings multiple of just over 4x EV/EBIT, with 90% of the average market cap covered by net cash and listed securities.

 

The macroeconomic backdrop around the world remains uncertain. While the easing of lockdowns is undoubtedly a benefit, it brings with it the possibility of an increase in inflation and corresponding economic and financial instability. Nonetheless, we remain highly confident about the portfolio and believe that the current market environment  is providing plentiful investment opportunities.

 

The next section provides a detailed description of the portfolio's  main contributors to, and detractors from, performance over the interim period.

 

Contributors/Detractors

 

SoftBank Group (NAV: -1% / Price: +45% / Discount: -36% / Contribution: 1.92%*)

A Tokyo-listed holding company run by the well-known entrepreneur, Masayoshi Son. Key assets include SoftBank Corp (a telecoms business), Alibaba, T-Mobile US and Arm Holdings.

 

SoftBank Group was the largest contributor to returns over the period, adding 192bps to performance.

 

We initiated a position in SoftBank in February 2020 and added  to the position at discounts in excess of 75% during the following month's market rout. The founder and CEO of SoftBank, Masayoshi Son, had made several public comments regarding what he deemed to be an unjustifiably wide discount. Following the sell-off and the unveiling of a large stake taken by a high-profile deep-pocketed activist investor, Mr Son set out to tackle the discount, undertaking  a series of transformative actions, including: (1) realising JPY5.5 trillion through asset sales; (2) conducting JPY2.2 trillion worth of NAV accretive buybacks, with plans for another JPY0.5 trillion, amounting  to 19% of shares in total; (3) reducing gearing; (4) improving corporate governance through the appointment of two new independent directors; and (5) enhancing transparency over the Vision Funds,  the c. USD110 billion technology-focused venture capital funds  which it runs.

 

These actions were complemented by successful IPOs from the Vision Fund over the past months (notably Doordash and Korean e-commerce play Coupang) which were taken positively by the market and helped to shift the narrative around the fund and management's investing prowess.

 

The combination of the aforementioned actions and improved performance of the Vision Fund has driven the market to change  its perspective of the group, with SoftBank now trading on a relatively narrow discount of 36% to our estimated NAV. Reflecting the tighter discount and associated reduced upside, and notwithstanding  a plentiful pipeline of prospective IPOs from the Vision Fund, we reduced our investment in Softbank by over two-thirds. To date,  the investment has generated an IRR of +74% and a multiple on  cost of 1.65x (in JPY terms).

 

 

EXOR

(NAV: +36% / Price: +55% / Discount: -36% / Contribution: 1.81%*)

An Italian-listed holding company run by the Agnelli family. It owns four principal assets: Stellantis, Ferrari, CNH Industrial, and Partner Re.

 

EXOR was a significant contributor to returns during the period, benefiting from strong NAV growth and a narrowing of the discount.

 

We added to the holding during the period, on the premise that:  (1) the creation of Stellantis, via the merger of Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot, would create value and drive NAV growth; (2) Fiat Chrysler and CNH Industrial would likely benefit from a cyclical recovery; and (3) the discount was out of kilter, both relative to history and what we deemed to be fair. All three parts of this thesis contributed to returns but, in each case, we still think that there is more to come.

 

Stellantis returned +70% during the period, adding c. EUR3 billion  to EXOR's NAV and making it responsible for close to half of the overall NAV growth. Fiat Chrysler's undervaluation and the scope  for value creation through industry consolidation were key attractions that initially led us to invest in EXOR. The prospects for the company appear attractive, with the highly impressive CEO Carlos Tavares targeting synergies of EUR5 billion in the coming years. As well  as the merger itself, notwithstanding more recent chip shortages, the global economic recovery bodes well for the auto industry. In particular, the US market appears in rude health, with high consumer demand and low levels of dealer inventory creating the prospect of profitable growth.

 

CNH Industrial, the agricultural and construction vehicles business, also contributed to NAV growth, returning +98% over the period.  The prospect of higher GDP growth, particularly in the US, bodes well for demand for tractors, construction vehicles, and light-engine vehicles. The latest quarterly results were significantly better than had been expected, both in terms of profit and debt reduction. Moreover, the plans to split CNH Industrial into two separate businesses, previously delayed by COVID-19, now appear to be back on track.  We expect either a sale of the Iveco truck business or a splitting  of the business by early 2022. This should help shine a light on the high-quality agriculture business.

 

Turning to the discount, AGT benefited from a narrowing of EXOR's discount over the period. At 36%, this remains elevated relative to history (five-year average: 30%), and seems egregious versus other European holding company discounts, given the asset quality and proven track record of value creation. We note EXOR's recent investment in luxury goods company Christian Louboutin and believe this to be indicative of the type of higher quality asset that the group will move towards over the next decade. As investors appreciate this, and as the misconception dissipates that EXOR is a sleepy, cyclical European industrial holding company, we expect the discount  to narrow.

 

 

Jardine Strategic

(NAV: +22% / Price: +67% / Discount: -30% / Contribution: 1.74%*)

Singapore-listed holding company run by the Keswick family,  with exposure to various sectors, including property, food retail  and automobiles.

 

Jardine Strategic contributed 174bps to performance over the  six months to the end of March as the share price increased +67% (in USD). Drivers for this performance were two-fold, with both an improving NAV and a narrowing discount as a result of its take-over  by Jardine Matheson.

 

Over the period, the NAV grew by +22%, with contributions across Jardine Strategic's portfolio. The announcement of successful vaccine trials led to a rally in companies associated with a reopening of economies. Jardine Strategic's holdings were no different. Dairy Farm, whose hypermarket business benefited from stay-at-home orders, will also benefit as life returns to normal with its large portfolio of convenience and health & beauty stores reopening. Jardine Cycle & Carriage saw improved performance as coal and palm oil prices increased, which largely drives the economy and spending power of Indonesia, where its largest holding Astra International operates. Hongkong Land was up by over +30% as it announced strategic  partners in its Westbund development in Shanghai which helped  reduce debt on the balance sheet, while also seeing an improved performance in the retail assets. The one blot on the copybook  was the performance of Mandarin Oriental which was down by -1%  over the period with international and business travel, on which it depends, not expected to return this year.

While the performance of Jardine Strategic's portfolio was strong, the real news came in March when Jardine Matheson announced an offer to acquire the 15% of Jardine Strategic that it did not already own, leading to significant discount narrowing. The price offered was USD33 per share, a 20% premium to the undisturbed price prior to the announcement, although a 30% discount to NAV at the time.

 

The transaction effectively eliminated the circular shareholding structure - wherein Jardine Matheson owned 85% of Jardine Strategic, and Jardine Strategic owned 59% of Jardine Matheson - and resulted in a cleaned-up, simplified entity. We applaud the action, particularly as it should remove the two layers of discounts that exist  at both the Matheson and Strategic level. However, we believe that  a fairer offer price would have been closer to Jardine Strategic's NAV, particularly as the listed nature of the investments means that there is very little ambiguity over the value of the company.

 

Nonetheless, given that Jardine Matheson owned 85% of JS,  the deal completed, albeit with 53% of minorities voting against  the amalgamation. Minority investors can apply to the Bermuda  courts (Jardine Strategic's country of domicile) for fair value appraisal, which holds out the possibility of a re-appraised offer closer to NAV. We, along with other minority shareholders, have appealed to the Bermuda courts for a fair value appraisal. Jardine Strategic shareholders have already approved the offer, meaning that in the event of the appraisal being unsuccessful, AGT will still receive the offer price of USD33/share for its holding. We will keep shareholders abreast of developments as they evolve.

 

 

VNV Global

(NAV: -16% / Price: +52% / Discount: -18% / Contribution: 1.71%*)

A Stockholm-listed company which focuses on investing in early-stage digitally enabled companies.

 

In June of last year, AGT initiated a position in VNV Global, a  Swedish-listed investment company focused on investing in disruptive digital businesses, typically ones that create large networks of users, thus raising barriers to entry. We view VNV's portfolio as highly exciting. The majority of the portfolio is invested in four assets: Babylon (51% of NAV using AVI's estimate of fair value), BlaBlaCar (11%), Voi (8%) and Gett (7%).

 

Starting with the largest asset, Babylon is a data-driven digital healthcare provider with operations in the UK (GP @ Hand), the US, Asia, and Rwanda. Babylon has been a beneficiary of the COVID-19 pandemic, as strained healthcare systems have sought to reduce the number of in-patient visits, boosting demand for digital healthcare alternatives. Babylon's stated mission is to focus on reducing cost and strain on healthcare systems by emphasising holistic healthcare, rather than waiting for patients to become sick before initiating treatment. The use of data will be key here, and we believe that Babylon has a competitive advantage over peers in this area. As VNV's CEO,  Per Brilioth, is fond of saying: "the one with the most data wins".

 

Management has estimated that monthly run-rate revenues could reach USD85 million by end-2021 (i.e., annual run-rate of USD1 billion, although crucially this depends on contracts currently in the pipeline being signed). The growth runway before Babylon is potentially enormous. There is a large opportunity in the US - a market measured in the trillions of dollars - which, following years of high spending yet poor patient outcomes, is moving toward risk-sharing or "value-based care" contracts. Recent reports that Babylon is seeking a US listing in the near-term would provide confirmation that the current valuation at which it is held in VNV's NAV is conservative. We note that listed peers trade on an average EV/Sales multiple of 9x.

 

The other major assets, although not as large weights in the NAV, also offer reason to be excited. BlaBlaCar is a French transportation company which began life as an online, long-distance carpooling network, has more recently expanded into bus marketplaces, and is looking to develop other modalities such as train marketplaces and short-distance carpools for commuters as well as offering add-ons such as insurance and car financing. The ultimate vision is to become a one-stop shop for passengers booking journeys, allowing them to arrange all of their ground transport needs in a single click. While COVID-19 has been a difficult period for the company, we believe that it should recover quickly as lockdowns lift. In our view, BlaBlaCar is a unique asset with a significant runway of growth ahead of it.

 

Voi, the Swedish e-mobility company, is likely to be more familiar to readers as it has been trialling the rollout of scooters with councils in the UK. European countries tend to approach the regulation of companies like Voi by operating a licence scheme, which in effect restricts the number of entrants into the market and encourages more rational competitive practices than might otherwise prevail. To date, Voi has expanded into multiple European countries, and its current UK rollout has been highly successful, so far being appointed as the exclusive licensee in 12 cities, including in the regions of Cambridgeshire, Northamptonshire and the West Midlands - in effect, making it the only provider of e-scooters to 10 million people. Going forward, town councils may be keen to encourage solo methods of transport to ease pressure on public transport, while also reducing social contact in the post-pandemic phase. E-Scooters are perfectly poised to capitalise on this trend, and offer the additional benefit of being greener than other transport alternatives, adding to their attractiveness for city managers.

 

Finally, Gett is an Israeli ride-hailing company which derives a significant portion of revenues from corporate clients, who are less price sensitive. Gett also provides corporates with significant benefits, such as billing software and analytics, which allows companies to streamline and potentially reduce their ground transportation costs, making Gett more difficult to dislodge.

 

VNV Global offers difficult-to-replicate exposure to digital companies with high growth potential and powerful network effects. The upcoming listing of Babylon would provide validation for our thesis that its valuation in the official NAV is too low, acting as a catalyst for a narrowing of the current 18% discount at which we estimate VNV trades.

 

 

Pershing Square Holdings

(NAV: +24% / Price: +31% / Discount: -26% / Contribution: 1.64%*)

A Euronext- and London-listed closed-end fund managed by  a high-profile activist manager. The fund owns a concentrated  portfolio of quality US companies.

 

In 2020, Pershing Square Holdings ('PSH') had its best single year since inception of the Pershing Square strategy in 2004, delivering NAV returns of +70% for shareholders versus +18% for the S&P 500. Performance in 2020 was driven by a large hedging gain, and the benefits of re-investing those hedging gains into portfolio companies at depressed prices in March and April 2020.

 

The hedging gain relates to credit default swaps that Pershing  bought in early 2020 to protect against the fallout from efforts to 'flatten' the COVID-19 infection curve. In total, it spent USD27 million in premiums buying the swaps, which within a month netted gains of USD2.6 billion across Pershing's funds. This trade alone contributed 37% to PSH's returns in 2020. Furthermore, PSH used the proceeds of the hedging gain to invest in portfolio companies at depressed prices in March and April 2020, generating a return of +77% return on the capital invested. As the manager details in its Annual Report, a buy-and-hold strategy of its portfolio going into 2020 would have realised a return of +15% in 2020, highlighting the value added by the hedging trade and the benefit of having liquid capital to invest during market turmoil. Following the end of 2020, PSH announced that it has entered into hedging transactions to protect against the impact of rising interest rates. By the end of February 2021, this had already added +4% to NAV.

 

Looking forward to the remainder of 2021, we remain optimistic about PSH's high-quality portfolio, with recent earnings reports confirming that its companies are recovering from the pandemic, and continue to have long runways of growth ahead of them.

 

Pershing Square Tontine Holdings ('PSTH'), Pershing's listed SPAC vehicle, continues the hunt for an attractive private business to take public. We view PSH's option to invest its share of an additional USD2 billion investment, on top of its near USD1 billion commitment, as a source of potentially valuable upside. The manager has also indicated that it is likely to launch a second SPAC on the back of any successful deal completed by PSTH.

 

At the time of writing, PSH continues to trade on a stubbornly wide discount of 26% despite numerous positive factors in its favour, including: (1) a fast-growing portfolio of high-quality businesses;  (2) the manager's hedging actions both during the crisis and in 2021, which contributed to returns and helped to counter the criticism that investors are paying hedge fund-like fees for a long-only portfolio;  and (3) recent inclusion in the FTSE 100 Index. We continue to view PSH as an attractive investment opportunity, with the potential for both strong NAV performance and a narrowing of the discount to boost returns.

 

 

Aker

(NAV: +91% / Price: +67% / Discount: -21% / Contribution: 1.60%*)

Oslo-listed family-backed holding company with investments primarily in the energy sector.

 

Aker was the sixth-largest contributor to your company's performance during the period. This was driven by NAV growth of +91%, which was partially diluted by a widening of the discount from 9% to 21%, resulting in a share price total return of +67%.

 

There were two key prongs to the NAV growth: Aker BP and  Aker Horizons. Starting with the former, Aker BP benefited from improved prospects for global growth and, in turn, oil demand.  The price of Brent crude oil increased +48% over the period, with  the reopening of physical economies and large fiscal stimulus boons for demand. The OPEC+ group of oil-producing nations appears  to be proceeding with caution, which is further supportive of prices. There is some debate between Wall Street strategists on one hand and the International Energy Agency on the other as to whether we  are entering a new "super-cycle" which will lead prices back above  $100 per barrel. We do not take a view on this, but rather believe that Aker BP's management team, who have worked hard in recent years to reduce costs and improve efficiency, will continue to create value, either at the Aker BP level or by returning capital to Aker ASA in the form of dividends, which can be reinvested in new opportunities with higher long-term growth rates.

 

Talking of higher long-term growth rates, Aker Horizons - the holding company established in August 2020 as a platform for Aker to invest in renewable energy and green technology - has had a transformational six months. During the period, Aker Horizons: (1) conducted a private placement and listed on the Euronext Growth exchange; (2) acquired a 75% stake in Mainstream Renewable Power, a renewable energy company within the wind and solar energy markets, for EUR675m; and (3) launched and listed Aker Clean Hydrogen, a company focussed on industrial clean hydrogen. This high level of corporate activity has built a new leg to Aker's NAV, and is indicative of how family-controlled companies think in generations, securing the next growth avenue. This has been well received by the market, with  Aker Horizons contributing an estimated +32% to Aker's NAV  during the period.

 

The excess of NAV growth over the share price has seen Aker's discount widen to 21%. Such lags or mismatches are not uncommon over short time periods. In general we view the evolution and diversification of Aker's NAV away from Aker BP to a wider group of higher growth and less cyclical companies as being supportive of a tighter discount. We continue to view the prospect of aligning capital with such active value-creating operators as an attractive one.

 

 

Japan Special Situations

(NAV: +7% / Price: +9% / Discount: -40% / Contribution: -0.47%*)

A basket of Japanese companies with cash and/or listed securities covering a large proportion of the market value.

 

The Japan Special Situations basket was a modest detractor  from returns, driven almost entirely by a weak JPY which dampened  returns by -11% while the underlying basket appreciated by +9%. Although the companies' share prices increased in JPY terms, they lagged the recovery in the earnings, and the EV/EBIT of the basket,  on a constant weight basis, fell from 5.0x at the start of the period,  to 4.4x at the end.

 

For the quarter ending 31st December 2020 (the latest reporting period) the companies in the basket reported an average year-on-year increase in profits of +13%, solidifying the recovery in earnings after a difficult COVID-disrupted trading period. Fujitec, an elevator and escalator company and the largest position in the basket, saw its profits increase by 40% and reported its strongest ever gross profit margins - an area that we covered in a public presentation that we released in May. Despite what we think could be the start of a structural transformation of profitability, Fujitec's share price increased by only a modest +5%, a clear example of fundamentals and share price divergence.

 

The largest contributors to the Basket were the Bank of Kyoto  and Digital Garage, whose share prices appreciated by +38% and +24%, adding 17bps and 15bps respectively. The Bank of Kyoto is a new position in the basket, initiated due to its remarkably low valuation; its investment in Nintendo which, before tax, accounts for 59% of its market cap; and rhetoric from the Financial Services Agency and the Government about the need for regional banks to restructure and improve profitability. Over the period it benefitted  from the market's enthusiasm for the restructuring theme and expectations for higher rates.

 

Digital Garage's share price recovered somewhat, after lagging its close peer GMO Payment Gateway, which we attribute to a confusing group strategy and poor shareholder communication. Despite the share price recovery, over a year Digital Garage's share price is only up +31%, vs GMO Payment Gateway's +95% return. There remains considerable upside and we have been engaging with management on how to rectify the situation.

 

Teikoku Sen-I ('Teikoku') and Kanaden were the largest detractors in the Basket, reducing returns for your Company over the period by 25bps each, as their shares prices fell by -19% and -16% respectively. Teikoku manufactures disaster prevention equipment, from antiflooding pumps to large industrial fire fighting vehicles. It is suffering from a negative sales mix effect, with sales of high-margin special purpose vehicles used at nuclear reactor sites declining, which is forecast to lead to a -14% fall in profits next year, despite overall sales growing +2%. We trimmed the position in Teikoku over the period, although we still believe that the company will be a beneficiary of the long-term structural tailwind of increased disaster prevention spending in Japan. Kanaden's business, exposed to machinery, suffered from reduced capital expenditure during the COVID downturn. Kanaden was one of the early investments in the Basket, and while our engagement with management had some success, it had run its course and we felt that resources were better spent elsewhere. We exited the position in December, with management agreeing to buy our shares back, a helpful exit considering the low liquidity.

 

We are preparing to submit shareholder proposals to four companies in the basket which account for 4% of AGT's NAV, targeting a variety of corporate governance and balance sheet efficiency issues. Each company has reacted positively so far, and we hope that changes will be implemented so that we can withdraw the proposals. We believe that our heightened engagement is coming at an opportune time with regulatory pressure continuing to ratchet up via amendments to the Corporate Governance Code and greater shareholder engagement activity generally.

 

The Japan Special Situations basket continues to be an extraordinarily attractive opportunity in our view, as reflected by the 15% weight in NAV. With the majority of the companies posting robust earnings growth, low valuation multiples, and a tailwind from regulatory pressures to improve governance, it is fair to say that the probability of attractive returns from here is as good as it has been at any point since inception of the basket over three years ago.

 

 

Nintendo

(NAV: +1%** / Price: -5%** / Discount: -44% / Contribution: -0.38%*)

Tokyo-listed company which produces gaming consoles and games.  It has created some of the world's most valuable gaming franchises, including Pokémon, Mario, and Legend of Zelda.

 

During the period AGT initiated a position in Nintendo, the  listed Japanese video-game company. The investment thesis  for Nintendo is predicated both on its high-quality and unique IP  (e.g. Super Mario, Pokémon), net cash and investments covering a quarter of its market cap, as well as a digital transformation of its business that is reminiscent of Sony during the PlayStation 4 cycle. The insights garnered from our deep-dive research into Sony's  gaming division allowed us to spot similarities between it and Nintendo's business, highlighting how research for one company  can be leveraged for another.

 

Nintendo is a classic AGT investment, with quality assets that are misunderstood and overlooked by the market. As a reminder, the video game business has historically been characterised by earnings cyclicality, with revenues and profits driven by the periodic release of new consoles. Sony transformed its own gaming business by introducing a subscription service to play online, in-game transactions, cloud-based gaming, and an online digital store, reducing reliance on hardware sales, and introducing higher margin, recurring (sticky) revenue streams which are prized by the market for being stable and highly visible.

 

Nintendo management took large strides in 2020 to shift its own video game business towards a digitally focused model by introducing both subscription revenues and downloadable content onto the Switch platform. The pandemic served as a catalyst to move consumers online, making the digital subsegment Nintendo's fastest growing part of the business, now accounting for 42% of software sales and helping to drive operating margins to 37% (from 26%). The introduction of in-game transactions, subscription services, and different price-point consoles suggests that Nintendo is starting to build an ecosystem where consumers will store their Switch game data on the cloud and, in turn, upgrade their console every few years.

 

Alongside this digital transformation, Nintendo has recently started to further monetise its IP by expanding into new areas, already evidenced by the opening of its first-ever theme park in Tokyo this month and the release of a new Super Mario movie, slated for 2022.

 

Despite the deep moat given by IP, Nintendo trades at c. 10x operating profits, which we believe reflects fears that management will remain continually exposed to the traditional hardware cycle. In our view the release of the Switch Lite in 2019, and the upcoming release of the Switch Pro, highlights Nintendo's desire to extend the Switch lifecycle, offering consumers a better experience on refreshed versions of the platform.

 

We are excited about the strengths of Nintendo as a business and believe that it has the opportunity for both significant earnings growth and valuation upside as the market comes to appreciate the new and improved business model.

 

* Contribution is the percentage amount that a position has added to the Company's net asset value.

** NAV and share price returns calculated from date of initiation of position.

 

 

Outlook

The economic environment remains deeply uncertain. Last year,  the impact of lockdowns on economies and corporate profits  gave cause for concern; this year, the impact of re-opening after lockdowns gives other reasons to fret. The recent rise in bond yields highlights investors' concern that the economic recovery from the pandemic could be substantial, bringing with it the attendant risk of inflation returning to haunt economies, in particular in the US as ongoing federal stimulus programmes raise the possibility of overheating. This poses problems for the more speculative or excessively valued portions of the market. Nonetheless, while sections of the market are worried about the possibility of inflationary pressures, there is also a credible counterargument to be made: many economies are operating below potential because of the pandemic, meaning that a rebound in economic activity is unlikely to produce inflation given significant excess capacity, or slack, in the system.

 

It is important to remind readers that we are fundamental, bottom-up investors. While we do keep an eye on the macroeconomic backdrop, we do not necessarily take definitive views on future developments. Our ultimate focus is the identification of good-quality companies with solid balance sheets, trading at attractive valuations, with an identifiable catalyst for a re-rating. In that regard, we are confident about the quality of your Company's portfolio. The prospects for NAV growth are promising, with the potential for additional returns through the tightening of the portfolio discount which, at 28%, does not reflect the portfolio's capacity for superior performance. Looking around the world, there are still plenty of overlooked and mispriced investment opportunities for us to exploit.

 

 

Joe Bauernfreund

Asset Value Investors Limited

25 May 2021


INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO

AT 31 MARCH 2021

 

Company

Portfolio classification

% of
investee
company

IRR  

(%, GBP)

Cost  
£'000
 

Valuation

£'000 

% of total assets less current liabilities

Oakley Capital Investments

Closed-end Fund

13.7%

23.9%

70.3%

43,956

73,204

6.3%

Pershing Square Holdings

Closed-end Fund

0.7%

23.5%

47.3%

40,057

67,031

5.8%

Sony Corp

Japan

0.1%

37.5%

63.5%

32,612

57,958

5.0%

Fondul Proprietatea

Closed-end Fund

3.2%

21.5%

100.2%

28,299

55,164

4.8%

EXOR

Holding Company

0.4%

13.9%

44.0%

37,065

54,594

4.7%

Third Point Investors

Closed-end Fund

5.4%

9.4%

33.1%

38,330

52,599

4.5%

KKR and Co

Holding Company

0.2%

87.0%

78.1%

26,723

47,106

4.1%

Naspers

Holding Company

0.1%

39.4%

18.5%

38,069

45,044

3.9%

Christian Dior

Holding Company

0.1%

49.5%

38.6%

28,576

39,370

3.4%

Godrej Industries

Holding Company

2.0%

5.3%

8.0%

34,289

36,210

3.1%

Top ten investments





347,976

528,280

45.6%

Aker ASA

Holding Company

0.8%

18.3%

136.4%

18,433

34,042

2.9%

Nintendo

Japan

0.1%

n/a

n/a

37,053

33,194

2.9%

Kinnevik 'B'

Holding Company

0.4%

60.2%

63.4%

23,998

33,026

2.9%

Investor AB 'B'

Holding Company

0.1%

14.2%

90.8%

26,011

27,525

2.4%

SoftBank Group

Japan

0.0%

68.2%

59.3%

16,366

27,241

2.3%

Swire Pacific 'B'

Holding Company

1.0%

-4.0%

-13.2%

40,329

26,762

2.3%

doValue

Closed-end Fund

3.5%

8.1%

9.5%

27,550

25,149

2.2%

VNV Global

Holding Company

2.0%

138.2%

70.2%

13,248

23,234

2.0%

Symphony International Holdings

Closed-end Fund

15.7%

5.2%

22.6%

26,636

22,874

2.0%

Fujitec*

Japan

1.7%

19.3%

39.8%

15,402

22,382

1.9%

Top twenty investments





593,002

803,709

69.4%

Hipgnosis Songs Fund

Closed-end Fund

1.6%

21.9%

10.2%

20,260

22,147

1.9%

Fomento Economico Mexicano

Holding Company

0.2%

n/a

n/a

20,669

21,984

1.9%

Associated British Foods

Holding Company

0.1%

33.8%

7.1%

20,360

21,801

1.9%

DTS*

Japan

2.6%

2.3%

1.4%

21,228

21,378

1.9%

Jardine Strategic

Holding Company

0.1%

-3.7%

-8.0%

23,787

21,274

1.8%

Tetragon Financial

Closed-end Fund

1.9%

1.8%

6.0%

24,138

18,669

1.6%

Berkshire Hathaway

Holding Company

0.0%

n/a

n/a

15,889

16,099

1.4%

Shaftesbury REIT

Property

0.6%

108.4%

31.4%

10,699

14,602

1.2%

SK Kaken*

Japan

1.8%

-13.2%

-25.8%

19,056

13,874

1.2%

IAC/InterActive Corp

Holding Company

0.1%

211.5%

45.3%

9,168

13,326

1.2%

Top thirty investments





778,256

988,323

85.4%

Pasona Group*

Japan

2.5%

11.9%

24.7%

10,646

12,763

1.1%

JPEL Private Equity

Closed-end Fund

18.4%

19.6%

69.9%

6,638

12,530

1.1%

Secure Income REIT

Property

1.0%

114.2%

27.5%

9,488

11,964

1.0%

Digital Garage*

Japan

0.9%

24.7%

29.7%

9,263

11,930

1.0%

Jardine Cycle & Carriage

Holding Company

0.2%

n/a

n/a

11,091

10,995

0.9%

Daiwa Industries*

Japan

2.8%

-3.5%

-10.0%

12,394

10,376

0.9%

Mitsubishi Estate

Japan

0.1%

-14.0%

-5.1%

10,622

10,105

0.9%

Bank of Kyoto*

Japan

0.3%

60.8%

17.7%

8,594

10,098

0.9%

Konishi*

Japan

2.1%

3.7%

6.9%

9,760

10,088

0.9%

NS Solutions*

Japan

0.5%

11.3%

10.6%

9,097

9,946

0.8%

Top forty investments





875,849

1,099,118

94.9%

Capital & Counties Properties

Property

0.7%

n/a

n/a

9,319

9,791

0.9%

Toagosei*

Japan

0.8%

2.8%

5.8%

9,160

9,252

0.8%

GP Investments

Closed-end Fund

16.5%

-13.6%

-50.3%

16,162

7,998

0.7%

Teikoku Sen-I*

Japan

1.7%

7.3%

16.2%

6,899

6,931

0.6%

Kato Sangyo*

Japan

0.8%

1.5%

4.2%

7,161

6,754

0.6%

Hazama Ando*

Japan

0.6%

n/a

n/a

6,846

6,708

0.6%

Sekisui Jushi*

Japan

1.0%

0.7%

1.6%

6,631

6,368

0.6%

Round Hill Music Royalty Fund

Closed-end Fund

2.0%

-2.9%

-1.1%

4,925

4,852

0.4%

Better Capital (2009)

Closed-end Fund

2.1%

23.6%

46.6%

1,962

2,616

0.2%

Eurocastle Investment

Closed-end Fund

3.2%

8.1%

9.5%

380

339

0.0%

Ashmore Global Opportunities - GBP

Closed-end Fund

8.5%

2.5%

4.8%

61

58

0.0%

















Total investments





945,355

1,160,785

100.3%

Other net assets and liabilities






(3,047)

-0.3%

Total assets less current liabilities






1,157,738

100.0%

 

* Constituent of Japanese Special Situations basket.

† Refer to Glossary below.

 

 

 

 


STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

for the six months ended 31 March 2021 (unaudited)

 



For the six months

to 31 March 2021

For the six months

to 31 March 2020

For the year

to 30 September 2020



Revenue   

Capital 


Revenue

Capital 


Revenue   

Capital




return   

return 

Total 

return  

return 

Total 

return  

return

Total  


Notes

£'000   

£'000 

£'000 

£'000  

£'000 

£'000 

£'000  

£'000

£'000  

Income











Investment income


6,168

27

6,195

5,861 

5,861 

15,157

-

15,157

(Losses)/gains on financial assets and financial liabilities held at fair value


-

216,478

216,478

(221,778)

(221,778)

-

(3,073)

(3,073)

Exchange gains/(losses) on currency balances


-

(101)

(101)

900

900

-

(1,594)

(1,594)



6,168

216,404

222,572

5,861

(220,878)

(215,017)

15,157

(4,667)

10,490

Expenses











Investment management fee


(997)

(2,327)

(3,224)

(988)

(2,305)

(3,293)

(1,789)

(4,173)

(5,962)

Other expenses (including irrecoverable VAT)  


(884)

-

(884)

(822)

-

(822)

(1,630)

-

(1,630)

Profit/(loss) before finance costs and taxation


4,287

214,077

218,364

4,051

(223,183)

(219,132)

11,738

(8,840)

2,898

Finance costs


(455)

(1,072)

(1,527)

(443)

(1,044)

(1,487)

(913)

(2,150)

(3,063)

Exchange (losses)/gains on loan revaluation


-

4,704

4,704

(2,069)

(2,069)

-

(1,114)

(1,114)












Profit/(loss) before taxation


3,832

217,709

221,541

3,608

(226,296)

(222,688)

10,825

(12,104)

(1,279)

Taxation


(350)

-

(350)

(320)

(320)

(691)

-

(691)

Profit/(loss) for the period


3,482

217,709

221,191

3,288

(226,296)

(223,008)

10,134

(12,104)

(1,970)












Earnings per Ordinary Share


3.31p

207.21p

210.52p

3.01p

(206.99p)

(203.98p)

9.36p

(11.18p)

(1.82p)

 

The total column of this statement is the Income Statement of the Company prepared in accordance with IFRS, as adopted by the European Union. The supplementary revenue and capital columns are presented in accordance with the Statement of Recommended Practice issued by the Association of Investment Companies ('AIC SORP').

 

All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations. No operations were acquired or discontinued during the year.

 

There is no other comprehensive income, and therefore the profit for the six months after tax is also the total comprehensive income.

 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.

STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN EQUITY

for the six months ended 31 March 2021 (unaudited)

 

 


Ordinary share capital £'000

Capital redemption reserve

£'000

Share premium £'000

Capital 

reserve 

£'000 

Merger reserve £'000

Revenue 

reserve 

£'000 

Total 

 £'000 

For the six months to 31 March 2021








Balance as at 30 September 2020

11,600

7,335

28,078

764,245

41,406

30,941

883,605

Ordinary Shares bought back and held in treasury

-

-

-

(8,332)

-

-

(8,332)

Total comprehensive income for the period

-

-

-

217,709

-

3,482

221,191

Ordinary dividends paid (see note 6)

-

-

-

-

-

(11,040)

(11,040)









Balance as at 31 March 2021

11,600

7,335

28,078

973,622

41,406

23,383

1,085,424

 

 

For the six months to 31 March 2020








Balance as at 30 September 2019

11,600

7,335

28,078

807,421

41,406

43,101

938,941

Ordinary Shares bought back and held in treasury

-

-

-

(10,730)

-

(10,730)

Total comprehensive income for the period

-

-

-

(226,296)

-

3,288

(223,008)

Ordinary dividends paid (see note 6)

-

-

-

-

(15,854)

(15,854)









Balance as at 31 March 2020

11,600

7,335

28,078

570,395

41,406

30,535

689,349

 

 

For the year ended 30 September 2020








Balance as at 30 September 2019

11,600

7,335

28,078

807,421

41,406

43,101

938,941

Ordinary Shares bought back and held in treasury

-

-

-

(31,072)

-

-

(31,072)

Total comprehensive Income for the year

-

 -

-

(12,104)

-

10,134

(1,970)

Ordinary dividends paid (see note 6)

-

-

-

-

-

(22,294)

(22,294)









Balance as at 30 September 2020

11,600

7,335

28,078

764,245

41,406

30,941

883,605

 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.

 

 


BALANCE SHEET

as at 31 March 2021 (unaudited)

 


Notes

 

 

At 31 March   

 2021   
£'000   

 

At 31 March  

 2020  
£'000  

At 30  

 September  

 2020  

£'000  

  Non-current assets





Investments held at fair value through profit or loss


1,160,785

745,951

959,709



1,160,785

745,951

959,709






Current assets





Total Return Swap assets


-

1,355

-

Sales for future settlement


-

3,710

-

Other receivables


3,245

3,268

8,775

Cash and cash equivalents


37,746

42,672

31,596








40,991

51,005

40,371






Total assets


1,201,776

796,956

1,000,080






Current liabilities





Revolving Credit facility


(42,629)

(29,872)

(39,314)

Other payables


(1,409)

(3,823)

 (2,097)








(44,038)

(33,695)

(41,411)

Total assets less current liabilities


1,157,738

763,261

958,669






Non-current liabilities





4.184% Series A Sterling Unsecured Loan Notes 2036


(29,902)

(29,896)

(29,899)

3.249% Series B Euro Unsecured Loan Notes 2036


(25,487)

(26,452)

(27,140)

2.93% Euro Senior Unsecured Loan Notes 2037


(16,925)

(17,564)

(18,025)








(72,314)

(73,912)

(75,064)






Net assets


1,085,424

689,349

883,605

 

Equity attributable to equity Shareholders





Ordinary share capital


11,600

11,600

Capital redemption reserve


7,335

7,335  

7,335

Share premium


28,078

28,078  

28,078

Capital reserve


973,622

570,395

764,245

Merger reserve


41,406

41,406  

41,406

Revenue reserve


23,383

30,535  

30,941





Total equity


1,085,424

689,349  

883,605

Net asset value per Ordinary Share - basic


1,038.07p

635.20p

837.13p

Number of shares in issue excluding
Treasury Shares

5

104,561,803

108,524,456  

105,551,730

 

 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.

 

Registered in England & Wales No. 28203

 

 

 

STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS

for the six months ended 31 March 2021 (unaudited)

 


Six months to 

31 March 2021 

Six months to 

31 March 2020 

Year to

30 September 2020


£'000 

£'000 

£'000

Reconciliation of (loss)/profit before taxation to net cash (outflow)/inflow from operating activities




(Loss)/profit before taxation

221,541

(222,688)

(1,279)

Losses/(gains) on investments held at fair value through profit or loss

(216,478)

221,778

3,073

Decrease/(increase) in other receivables

(1,175)

351

1,441

(Decrease)/increase in other payables

(627)

(575)

(158)

Taxation (paid)/received

(159)

(279)

(685)

Amortisation of debenture and loan issue expenses

(6,243)

(192)

391


9

10

20

Net cash (outflow)/inflow from operating activities

(3,132)

(1,595)

2,803





Investing activities




Purchases of investments

(331,962)

(192,390)

(424,934)

Sales of investments

354,255

198,213

431,936





Cash inflow from investing activities

22,293

5,823

7,002





Financing activities




Dividends paid

(11,040)

(15,854)

(22,294)

Payments for Ordinary Shares bought back and held in treasury

(8,775)

(10,421)

(30,633)

Net drawdown/(repayment) of revolving credit facility

6,798

-

10,000





Cash outflow from financing activities

(13,017)

(26,275)

(42,927)

Increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents

6,144

(22,047)

(33,122)

 

Reconciliation of net cash flow movements in funds:




Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year

31,596

64,725

64,725

Exchange rate movements

6

(6)

(7)

Increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents

6,144

(22,047)

(33,122)





Increase/(decrease) in net cash

6,150

(22,053)

(33,129)

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period

37,746

42,672

31,596

 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.

 

 

 

NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

for the six months ended 31 March 2021 (unaudited)

 

1. Significant accounting policies

The condensed financial statements of the Company have been prepared in accordance with International Accounting Standards (IAS) 34 - "Interim Financial Reporting" as adopted by the EU.

 

In the current period, the Company has applied amendments to IFRS. These include annual improvements to IFRS, changes in standards, legislative and regulatory amendments, changes in disclosure and presentation requirements. The adoption of these has not had any material impact on these financial statements and the accounting policies used by the Company followed in these half-year financial statements are consistent with the most recent Annual Report for the year ended 30 September 2020.

 

Going concern

The financial statements have been prepared on a going concern basis and on the basis that approval as an investment trust company will continue to be met.

 

The Directors have made an assessment of the Company's ability to continue as a going concern and are satisfied that the Company has adequate resources to continue in operational existence for a period of at least 12 months from the date when these financial statements were approved.

 

In making the assessment, the Directors have considered the likely impacts of the current COVID-19 pandemic on the Company, operations and the investment portfolio.

 

The Directors noted that the Company, with the current cash balance and holding a portfolio of liquid listed investments, is able to meet the obligations of the Company as they fall due. The current cash balance plus available additional borrowing, through the revolving credit facility, enables the Company to meet any funding requirements and finance future additional investments. The Company is a closed-end fund, where assets are not required to be liquidated to meet day to day redemptions. The Company is in a net current liability position as at 31 March 2021, however this is not determined to be a going concern risk due to the significant portfolio of level 1 investments which could be sold to settle liabilities.

 

The Directors, the Manager and other service providers have put in place contingency plans to minimise disruption. Furthermore, the Directors are not aware of any material uncertainties that may cast significant doubt on the Company's ability to continue as a going concern, having taken into account the liquidity of the Company's investment portfolio and the Company's financial position in respect of its cash flows, borrowing facilities and investment commitments (of which there are none of significance). Therefore, the financial statements have been prepared on the going concern basis.

 

Comparative information

The financial information contained in this Half Year Report does not constitute statutory accounts as defined in the Companies Act 2006. The financial information for the half-year period ended 31 March 2020 has not been audited or reviewed by the Company's Auditor.

 

The comparative figures for the financial year ended 30 September 2020 are not the Company's statutory accounts for that financial year. The statutory accounts for the year to 30 September 2020 were reported on by the Company's Auditor and delivered to the Registrar of Companies. The report of the Auditor was (i) unqualified, (ii) did not include a reference to any matters to which the Auditor drew attention by way of emphasis without qualifying their report, and (iii) did not contain a statement under section 498 (2) or (3) of the Companies Act 2006.

 

2. Income

 


6 months to 
 31 March 

2021 

6 months to 
31 March

2020

Year to 

30 September

2020


£'000 

£'000

£'000

Income from investments




Listed investments

6,359

5,773

14,598

Total Return Swap dividends*

-

129

369






6,359

5,902

14,967





Other income




Deposit interest

-

246

264

Total Return Swap interest*

(65)

(256)

(481)

Underwriting commission

-

-

426

Interest on French withholding tax received

-

-

1

Exchange losses on receipt of income**

(126)

(31)

(20)






(191)

(41)

190





Total income

6,168

5,861

15,157

 

*  Net income (paid)/received on underlying holdings in Total Return Swaps.

** Exchange movements arise from ex-dividend date to payment date.

 

3. Earnings per Ordinary Share

 


6 months to 31 March 2021


Revenue 

Capital   

Total   

Net profit/(loss) (£'000)

3,482

217,709

221,191

Weighted average number of Ordinary Shares

105,068,233





Earnings per Ordinary Share

3.31p

207.21p

210.52p

 

 


6 months to 31 March 2020


Revenue

Capital  

Total  

Net profit/(loss) (£'000)

3,288  

(226,296)  

(223,008)  

Weighted average number of Ordinary Shares

109,327,150   





Earnings per Ordinary Share

3.01p

(206.99p)

(203.98p)

 

 


Year to 30 September 2020


Revenue  

Capital 

Total  

Net profit (£'000)

10,134

(12,104)

(1,970)

Weighted average number of Ordinary Shares

108,222,102





Earnings per Ordinary Share

9.36p

(11.18p)

(1.82p)

 

There are no dilutive instruments issued by the Company. Both the basic and diluted earnings per share for the Company are represented above.

 

4.   Net asset value per Ordinary Share

The net asset value per Ordinary Share is based on net assets of £1,085,424,000 (31 March 2020: £689,349,000; 30 September 2020: £883,605,000) and on 104,561,803 (31 March 2020: 108,524,456; 30 September 2020: 105,551,730) Ordinary Shares, being the number of Ordinary Shares in issue excluding shares held in treasury at the relevant period ends.

 

5.   Share capital

During the period to 31 March 2021, 989,927 (six months to 31 March 2020: 1,601,212; year to 30 September 2020: 4,573,938) Ordinary Shares were bought back and placed in treasury for an aggregate consideration of £8,332,000 (six months to 31 March 2020: £10,729,000; year to 30 September 2020: £31,072,000).

 

No Ordinary Shares held in treasury were cancelled in the period (six months to 31 March 2020: nil; year ended 30 September 2020: nil).

 

6.   Dividends

During the period, the Company paid a final dividend of 10.5p per Ordinary Share for the year ended 30 September 2020 on 3 January 2021 to Ordinary shareholders on the register at 4 December 2020 (ex-dividend 3 December 2020). An interim dividend of 6p per Ordinary Share for the period ended 31 March 2021 has been declared and will be paid on 2 July 2021 to Ordinary shareholders on the register at the close of business on 11 June 2021 (ex-dividend 10 June 2021).

 

7.   Values of financial assets and financial liabilities

 

Valuation of financial instruments

The Company measures fair values using the following hierarchy that reflects the significance of the inputs used in making the measurements.

 

The fair value is the amount at which the asset could be sold or the liability transferred in an orderly transaction between market participants, at the measurement date, other than a forced or liquidation sale.

 

Categorisation within the hierarchy has been determined on the basis of the lowest level input that is significant to the fair value measurement of the relevant assets as follows:

·     Level 1 - valued using quoted prices, unadjusted in active markets for identical assets or liabilities.

·     Level 2 - valued by reference to valuation techniques using observable inputs for the asset or liability other than quoted prices included in Level 1.

·     Level 3 - valued by reference to valuation techniques using inputs that are not based on observable market data for the asset or liability.

 

Financial assets

The table below sets out fair value measurements of financial instruments as at the period end, by the level in the fair value hierarchy into which the fair value measurement is categorised.

 

Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss at 31 March 2021

Level 1

Level 2

Level 3

Total

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

Equity investments

1,158,111

-

2,674

1,160,785






 

 

 

There have been no transfers during the period between Levels 1, 2 and 3.

 

Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss at 31 March 2020

Level 1

Level 2

Level 3

Total

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

Equity investments

740,215

5,736

-

745,951

Total Return Swap assets

-

1,355

-

1,355







740,215

7,091

-

747,306

 

 

Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss at 30 September 2020

Level 1

Level 2

Level 3

Total

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

Equity investments

951,491

5,602

2,616

959,709


951,491

5,602

2,616

959,709






 

 

Fair value of Level 3 investments The following table summarises the Company's Level 3 investments that were accounted for at fair value:


Six months to 

31 March 2021 

Six months to 

31 March 2020 

Year to

30 September 2020


£'000 

£'000 

£'000

Opening fair value of investment

2,616

-

-

Transfer from Level 1 to Level 3 in the year

394

-

2,616

Sales - proceeds

(615)

-

-

Realised loss on equity sales

(24)

-

-

Movement in investment holding gairs

303

-

-





Closing fair value of investments

2,674

-

2,616

 

 

Fair value through profit or loss

The inputs used to measure fair value are categorised into different levels of the hierarchy, and each investment is categorised entirely according to the lowest priority level that is significant to the fair value measurement of the relevant asset or liability.

 

Financial liabilities

Valuation of Loan Notes

The Company's Loan Notes are measured at amortised cost, with the fair values set out below. Other financial assets and liabilities of the Company are carried in the Balance Sheet at an approximation to their fair value.

 


At 31 March 2021

At 31 March 2020

At 30 September 2020


Amortised Cost

£'000 

Fair value 

£'000 

Amortised Cost

£'000 

Fair value 

£'000 

Amortised Cost

£'000 

Fair value 

£'000 

4.184% Series A Sterling Unsecured Loan Notes 2036

(29,902)

(35,755)

(29,896)

(36,693)

(29,899)

(38,677)

3.249% Series B Euro Unsecured Loan Notes 2036

(25,487)

(31,059)

(26,452)

(32,632)

(27,140)

(34,826)

2.93% Euro Senior Unsecured Loan Notes 2037

(16,925)

(20,168)

(17,564)

(21,223)

(18,025)

(22,779)

Total

(72,314)

(86,982)

(73,912)

(90,548)

(75,064)

(96,282)

 

There is no publicly available price for the Company's Loan Notes, their fair market value has been derived by calculating the relative premium (or discount) of the loan versus the publicly available market price of the reference market instrument and exchange rates. As this price is derived by a model, using observable inputs, it would be categorised as level 2 under the fair value hierarchy.

 

The financial liabilities in the table below are shown at their fair value, being the amount at which the liability may be transferred in an orderly transaction between market participants. The costs of early redemption of the Loan Notes are set out in the Glossary below

 

Financial liabilities at 31 March 2021

Level 1 

Level 2 

Level 3

Total 

£'000 

£'000 

£'000

£'000 

Loan Notes

-

(86,982)

-

(86,982)


-

(86,982)

-

(86,982)

 

Financial liabilities at 31 March 2020

Level 1 

Level 2 

Level 3

Total 

£'000 

£'000 

£'000

£'000 

Loan Notes

-

(90,548)

-

(90,548)


-

(90,548)

-

(90,548)

 

 

Financial liabilities at 30 September 2020

Level 1 

Level 2 

Level 3

Total 

£'000 

£'000 

£'000

£'000 

Loan Notes

(96,282)

-

(96,282)


(96,282)

-

(96,282)

 

8.   Derivatives

The Company may use a variety of derivative contracts including total return swaps to enable the Company to gain long and short exposure to individual securities. Derivatives are valued by reference to the underlying market value of the corresponding security.

 


31 March 

2021 

31 March

2020

30 September

2020


£'000 

£'000

£'000

Total return swaps




Current assets

-

1,355 

-

Net value of derivatives

-

1,355 

-

 

The gross positive exposure of Total Return Swaps as at 31 March 2021 was £nil (31 March 2020: £17,350,000; 30 September 2020: £nil) and the total negative exposure of Total Return Swaps was £nil (31 March 2020: £nil; 30 September 2020: £nil). The liabilities are secured against assets held with Jefferies Hoare Govett (the "prime broker"). The collateral held as at 31 March 2021 was £nil (31 March 2020: £5,036,000; 30 September 2020: £nil) which is included in cash and cash equivalents in the Balance Sheet

 

9.   Related parties and transactions with the Investment Manager

The Company paid management fees to Asset Value Investors Limited during the period amounting to £3,324,000 (six months to 31 March 2020: £3,293,000; year ended 30 September 2020: £5,962,000). At the half-year end, the following amounts were outstanding in respect of management fees: £nil (31 March 2020: £nil; 30 September 2020: £488,000).

 

Fees paid to Company's Directors for the six months ended 31 March 2021 amounted to £84,000 (six months to 31 March 2020: £84,000; year ended 30 September: £168,500

 

10.  Post Balance Sheet events

Since the period end the Company has not bought back any shares. On 12 April 2021, the Company drew down an additional JPY2.5bn of the JPY9.0bn facility which is now fully utilised. The markets and operations have continued to be disrupted by the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, since the half year end the NAV per share has increased by 1.5% to 24 May 2021 and contingency plans at the Investment Manager and key service suppliers have proven effective in mitigating the effects on management of the portfolio and on all supporting operations

 

PRINCIPAL RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES

 

Whilst the principal risks facing the Company are substantially unchanged since the date of the Annual Report 2020 and continue to be as set out on pages 8 to 11 of that report the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the business in a number of areas as detailed in the Chairman's Statement and Investment Manager's Report.

 

Risks faced by the Company include, but are not limited to, investment risk, portfolio diversification, gearing, discount, market risk, market price volatility, currency, liquidity risk, interest rate and credit and counterparty risk. Details of the Company's management of these risks and exposure to them are set out in the Annual Report 2020.

 

DIRECTORS' RESPONSIBILITY STATEMENT

The Directors confirm that to the best of their knowledge:

 

•     the condensed set of financial statements has been prepared in accordance with International Accounting Standard 34, Interim Financial Reporting as adopted by the EU; and

 

•     this Half Year Report includes a fair review of the information required by:

 

a)   DTR 4.2.7R of the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, being an indication of important events that have occurred during the first six months of the financial year and their impact on the condensed set of financial statements; and a description of the principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year; and

 

b)   DTR 4.2.8R of the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, being related party transactions that have taken place in the first six months of the current financial year and that have materially affected the financial position or performance of the Company during that period; and any changes in the related party transactions described in the last Annual Report that could do so.

 

This Half Year Report was approved by the Board of Directors on 25 May 2021 and the above responsibility statement was signed on its behalf by Susan Noble, Chairman.

 

 

Susan Noble

Chairman

25 May 2021

 

 

 

GLOSSARY

 

Alternative Performance Measure ('APM')

An APM is a numerical measure of the Company's current, historical or future financial performance, financial position or cash flows, other than a financial measure defined or specified in the applicable financial framework.

 

Comparator Benchmark

The Company's Comparator Benchmark is the MSCI All Country World ex-US Total Return Index, expressed in Sterling terms. The benchmark is an index which measures the performance of global equity markets, both developed and emerging. The weighting of index constituents is based on their market capitalisation. Dividends paid by index constituents are assumed to be reinvested in the relevant securities at the prevailing market price. The Investment Manager's investment decisions are not influenced by whether a particular company's shares are, or are not, included in the benchmark. The benchmark is used only as a yard stick to compare investment performance.

 

Cost

The book cost of each investment is the total acquisition value, including transaction costs, less the value of any disposals or capitalised distributions allocated on a weighted average cost basis.

 

In the case of total return swaps, cost is defined as the notional cost of the position.

 

Discount/Premium

If the share price is lower than the NAV per share it is said to be trading at a discount. The size of the discount is calculated by subtracting the share price from the NAV per share and is usually expressed as a percentage of the NAV per share. If the share price is higher than the NAV per share, this situation is called a premium.

 

The discount and performance are calculated in accordance with guidelines issued by the AIC. The discount is calculated using the net asset values per share inclusive of accrued income with debt at market value.

 

Earnings before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortisation ('EBITDA')

A proxy for the cash flow generated by a business - it is most commonly used for businesses that do not (yet) generate operating or shareholder profits.

 

Gearing

Gearing refers to the ratio of the Company's debt to its equity capital. The Company may borrow money to invest in additional investments for its portfolio. If the Company's assets grow, the shareholders' assets grow proportionately more because the debt remains the same. But if the value of the Company's assets falls, the situation is reversed. Gearing can therefore enhance performance in rising markets but can adversely impact performance in falling markets.

 

The gearing of 10.6% represents borrowings of £114,943,000 expressed as a percentage of shareholders' funds of £1,085,424,000. Net gearing of 6.9% represents borrowings of £114,943,000, less net current assets of £39,582,000, expressed as a percentage of shareholders' funds of £1,085,424,000.

 

As at 31 March 2020, the values of Loan Notes were:

 


2036 GBP loan

£'000

2036 EUR loan

£'000

2037 EUR loan

£'000

JPY revolving credit facility*

£'000

Total

£'000

Value of issue

30,000

22,962

17,526

44,573

115,061

Unamortised issue costs

(98)

(74)

(116)

-

(288)

Exchange movement

-

2,599

(485)

(1,944)

170

Amortised book cost

29,902

25,487

16,925

42,629

114,943

Fair value

35,755

31,059

20,168

42,629

129,611

Redemption value

42,807

38,757

25,773

42,629

149,966

 

* The revolving credit facility increased to JPY6.5 billion (previously JPY4.0 billion) on 26 February 2021 equivalent to £42.6 million at current exchange rates. On 12 April 2021 (and after the end of the period under review) a further JPY2.5 billion was drawn down.

 

Internal Rate of Return ('IRR')

The IRR is the annualised rate of return earned by an investment, adjusted for dividends, purchases and sales, since the holding was first purchased.

 

In some instances, we display "n/a" instead of IRR figures in the Investment Portfolio table. In most instances, this is done if the holding period is less than three months, as annualising returns over short-term periods can produce misleading numbers.

 

Net Asset Value ('NAV') per share

The NAV per share is shareholders' funds expressed as an amount per individual share. Shareholders' funds are the total of all of the Company's assets, at their current market value, having deducted all liabilities and prior charges at par value, or at their fair value as appropriate. The NAV per share of 1,038.07p is calculated by dividing the NAV £1,085,424,000 by the number of Ordinary Shares in issue, excluding Treasury shares, of 104,561,803.

 

The NAV with debt at fair value is calculated in the same manner but with debt at fair value £86,982,000, rather than the par value of £72,314,000. The NAV with debt at fair value is therefore 1,024.04p

 

(£'000)

Shareholders' funds

Debt at par value*

Debt at fair value*

Shares outstanding

NAV with debt at par value

NAV with debt at fair value

31-Mar-21

1,085,424

72,314

86,982

104,561,803

1,038.07

1,024.04

31-Mar-21

689,349

73,912

90,548

108,524,456

635.20

619.87

30-Sep-20

883,605

75,064

96,282

105,551,730

837.13

817.03

* Not including the Revolving Credit Facility, which is not fair valued.

 

Ongoing Charges Ratio

Ongoing Expenses Ratio (APM)/Ongoing Charges Ratio. As recommended by the AIC in its current guidance, the Company's Ongoing Charges Ratio is the sum of: (a) its Ongoing Expenses Ratio; and (b) the Ongoing Charges Ratios incurred at the underlying funds in which the Company has investments, weighted for the value of the investment in each underlying fund as a percentage of the Company's NAV. The Company's ongoing expenses ratio is its annualised expenses of £8,416,000 (excluding finance costs and certain non-recurring items) expressed as a percentage of the average monthly net assets of £1,000,977,000 of the Company during the period.

 

A reconciliation of the Ongoing Charges to the Ongoing Expenses Ratio as at 31 March 2021 is provided below

 

Ongoing Expenses Ratio (a Key performance Indicator)

a

0.84%

Underlying Charges Ratio

b

1.30%

Ongoing Charges Ratio

= a + b

2.14%

 

Return on Investment ('ROI')

The ROI is the total profits earned to date on an investment divided by the total cost of the investment.

 

Shares bought back and held in treasury

The Company may repurchase its own shares and shares repurchased may either be cancelled immediately or held in treasury. Shares repurchased, whether cancelled or held in treasury, do not qualify to vote at shareholder meetings or receive dividends. Share repurchases may increase earnings per share. Further, to the extent that shares are repurchased at a price below the prevailing net asset value per share this will enhance the net asset value per share for remaining shareholders.

 

Total Return - NAV and Share Price Returns

The combined effect of any dividends paid, together with the rise or fall in the share price or NAV. Total return statistics enable the investor to make performance comparisons between investment trusts with different dividend policies. Any dividends received by a shareholder are assumed to have been reinvested in either additional shares in the Company or in the assets of the Company at the prevailing NAV, in either case at the time that the shares begin to trade ex-dividend. An annualised return is the average compound annual return, for return data over a period of time longer than a year.

 

Weight

Weight is defined as being each position's value as a percentage of total assets less current liabilities.

 

SHAREHOLDER INFORMATION

 

Dividends

Shareholders who wish to have dividends paid directly into a bank account rather than by cheque to their registered address can complete a mandate form for the purpose. Mandate forms may be obtained from Equiniti Limited, Aspect House, Spencer Road, Lancing, West Sussex BN99 6DA on request or downloaded from Equiniti's website www.shareview.co.uk. The Company operates the BACS system for the payment of dividends. Where dividends are paid directly into shareholders' bank accounts, dividend tax vouchers are sent to shareholders' registered addresses.

 

Share Prices

The Company's Ordinary Shares are listed on the London Stock Exchange under 'Investment Trusts'. Prices are published daily in The Financial Times, The Times, The Daily Telegraph, The Scotsman and The Evening Standard.

 

Change of Address

Communications with shareholders are mailed to the last address held on the share register. Any change or amendment should be notified to Equiniti Limited at the address given above, under the signature of the registered holder.

 

Daily Net Asset Value

The net asset value of the Company's shares can be obtained by contacting Customer Services on 020 7659 4800 or via the website: www.aviglobal.co.uk.

 

 

 

COMPANY INFORMATION

 

Directors

Susan Noble (Chairman)

Anja Balfour

Graham Kitchen

Nigel Rich

Calum Thomson

 

Secretary

Link Company Matters Limited

Beaufort House

51 New North Road

Exeter

Devon EX4 4EP

Tel: 01392 477500

 

Registered Office

Beaufort House

51 New North Road

Exeter

Devon EX4 4EP

 

Registered in England & Wales

No. 28203

 

Investment Manager and AIFM

Asset Value Investors Limited

25 Bury Street

London SW1Y 6AL

 

Registrar and Transfer Office

Equiniti Limited

Aspect House

Spencer Road

Lancing

West Sussex BN99 6DA

 

Registrar's Shareholder Helpline

Tel. 0371 384 2490

Lines are open 8.30am to 5.30pm, Monday to Friday.

 

Registrar's Broker Helpline

Tel. 0906 559 6025

Calls to this number cost £1 per minute from a BT Landline, other providers' costs may vary.

Lines are open 8.30am to 5.30pm, Monday to Friday.

 

Corporate Broker

Jefferies Hoare Govett

100 Bishopsgate

London EC2N 4JL

 

Auditor

KPMG LLP

319 St Vincent Street

Glasgow G2 5AS

 

Depositary

J.P. Morgan Europe Limited

25 Bank Street

London E14 5JP

 

Banker and Custodian

JPMorgan Chase Bank NA

125 London Wall

London EC2Y 5AJ

 

 

A copy of the Half Year Report can be viewed and downloaded from the Company's website:

www.aviglobal.co.uk.

 

The content of the Company's web-pages and the content of any website or pages which may be accessed through hyperlinks on the Company's web-pages or this announcement is neither incorporated into nor forms part of the above announcement.

 

 

National Storage Mechanism

A copy of the Half Year Report will be submitted shortly to the National Storage Mechanism ('NSM') and will be available for inspection at the NSM, which is situated at https://data.fca.org.uk/#/nsm/nationalstoragemechanism.

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