Monthly Update

Source: RNS
RNS Number : 9546M
Vietnam Enterprise Investments Ltd
17 January 2023
 

17 January 2023

 

Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited

("VEIL" or "the Company")

 

Monthly Update

2.6% NAV Return in December 2022

 

 

VEIL is a closed-end fund investing primarily in listed equity in Vietnam, and a FTSE 250 constituent. The Company's NAV performance for December 2022 is set out in this notice.

 

Fund Performance

·    As of 31 December, VEIL's NAV increased 2.6% over the previous month against a rise of 0.4% for its reference index, the Vietnam Index ("VNI"), both in US dollar terms.

·    The Company's NAV per share was US$7.85 as of 31 December (-35.7% YTD) and its total NAV was US$1.6bn.

·    VEIL's NAV per share performance in US dollar terms is -10.7% over three months, -35.7% over one year and +16.1% over three years. Over the same time periods, the performance of the Vietnam Index was -9.7%,

-34.1% and +7.6%, respectively.

·    The share price rose 2.9% in December and has declined 32.3% YTD, both in US dollar terms

·    In GBP terms, the Company's NAV per share was £6.53 as of 31 December (1.7% for the month and -27.5% YTD) and its total NAV was £1.3bn. The share price was up 1.9% for the month and down 23.8% YTD.

·    The share price discount to NAV as of 31 December was 10.7%, compared with 10.9% at the end of November.

·    The Company repurchased 50,000 shares in December, compared with no shares repurchased in November. In 2022, 3.2% of issued shares as of 1 January 2022 were repurchased.

 

 

Dien Vu, the Portfolio Manager of VEIL commented:

 

"A solid December closed out a tumultuous year for the Vietnam equity market, with VEIL outperforming its reference benchmark for the month but trailing it for the year. This is just the second time in the last ten years that the fund has underperformed the VNI on an annual basis. On a three-year rolling basis, the time-period in which the Company aims to outperform its reference benchmark, the Company is ahead by 8.5%.

 

Foreign investors continued to be attracted by Vietnam's decade-year low valuations, a second consecutive month of strong inflows amounting to US$566m meant the final two months of the year totalled US$1.2bn of the US$1.3bn that Vietnam attracted through the whole of 2022. For contrast, 2021 saw net outflows of US$2.6bn despite the market rising 39.0% for the year against a drop of 34.1% in 2022.

 

Eight out of the fund's top ten constituents outperformed the market in December. Most notably among these were Vietnam Prosperity Bank ("VPB") and Phu Nhuan Jewelry ("PNJ"), both managing to deliver double-digit returns. FPT Corporation ("FPT") also stood out with a solid return. On the downside, PetroVietnam Gas ("GAS") and Vinhomes ("VHM") were the main laggards.

 

GAS fell out of favour with investors as global oil prices fell in December, triggering concerns that 2023 earnings for the company may decelerate as a result. Attitudes towards VHM soured as investors were concerned about the risk of delays in property handovers, which are forecast to have a significant impact on 4Q 2022 and full-year 2022 earnings. A clear slowdown in the property sector due to a tighter liquidity environment has evidently had a short-term impact on the stock.

 

VPB rose 11.2% in December due to investor expectations that the hurdles needing to be cleared for a strategic investor to take a position in the bank will be completed soon. If such a transaction happens, it has the potential to turn VPB into one of the biggest banks in Vietnam by charter capital.

 

Vietnam's economy registered a resounding 8.0% growth in 2022 - the fastest in a decade - to reach US$409bn. With a population of nearly 100mn this puts GDP per capita at US$4,110, officially entering the upper middle-income group (above US$4,045).

 

Vietnam's macro environment was steady in 2022, with inflation under control averaging 3.2% for the year (below the Government's 4.0% target) and the Vietnamese dong depreciating by just 3.2% against the US dollar. Further bright spots included a record US$22.4bn of disbursed FDI (+13.5% year-on-year), US$19bn of inward remittances (+5.6% year-on-year) and a trade surplus of US$11.2bn, compared to US$4.0bn in 2021.

 

Tourism and public investment have the potential to be among Vietnam's strongest growth drivers in 2023. Chinese arrivals accounted for 32% of the 18.5mn overseas tourists in 2019, and so the country's reopening is expected to provide a welcome boost for the sector, which saw just 3.7mn visitors in 2022. Furthermore, the Government's budget for public investment is nearly US$30bn and will go towards key infrastructure projects including airports and motorways. These drivers, combined with increased manufacturing from newly relocated FDI companies, should help contribute to Vietnam achieving its 2023 GDP growth target of 6.0-6.5%.

 

Economic Overview

·      GDP growth in 2022 reached 8.0%, its highest level in over a decade. Q4 2022 GDP growth was 5.9%, reflecting the global economic slowdown.

·      The services sector was the main driver of GDP growth, with year-on-year increases of 8.12% in Q4 and 10.0% for 2022. The sector contributed 56.7% to overall GDP growth in 2022 with accommodation & catering services leading the way, up 37.6% in Q4 and +40.6% for 2022.

·      December's CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month and 4.4% year-on-year for 2022.

·      The Vietnamese dong appreciated 4.5% against the USD in December, putting the total depreciation at 3.2% YTD as of 31 December. The Vietnamese dong appreciated 3.7% against the pound sterling in December and its total appreciation was 7.8% YTD as of 31 December.

·      2022 exports reached US$371.9bn and imports US$360.2bn, making a trade surplus of US$11.2bn for the year, compared to a surplus of U$4.0bn in 2021.

·      Trade did, however, slow down in December, with declines of 14.0% and 8.1% for exports and imports, respectively.

·      The Vietnam Purchasing Manager's Index was reported at 46.4, a fifteen year low, and a second consecutive month below 50 following thirteen monthly expansions previously.

·      Disbursed FDI was US$2.7bn in December, with the total year-to-date figure reaching US$22.4bn (+13.5% year-on-year).

 

 

Top Ten Holdings (66.3% of NAV)

 

 

Company

Sector

VNI %

NAV %

Monthly Return %

One-year Return %

1

Vietnam Prosperity Bank

Banks

3.0

12.9

11.2

-27.6

2

Asia Commercial Bank

Banks

1.8

12.1

3.4

-23.4

3

Mobile World Group

Retail

1.6

8.0

1.5

-38.6

4

Hoa Phat Group

Materials/Resources

2.6

6.3

2.1

-50.5

5

Vietcombank

Banks

9.5

5.8

3.0

-1.9

6

FPT Corporation

Software/Services

2.1

4.7

7.5

-2.1

7

PetroVietnam Gas

Energy

4.9

4.4

-3.9

4.7

8

Becamex IDC

Real Estate

2.1

4.3

4.1

22.6

9

Vinhomes

Real Estate

5.2

4.3

-8.1

-41.8

10

Phu Nhuan Jewelry

Retail

0.6

3.5

10.2

22.6

 

 

Vietnam, Index

-

-

-

0.4

-34.1

Source: Bloomberg, Dragon Capital

NB: All returns are given in USD terms

 

 

For further information, please contact:

 

Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited

Rachel Hill

Phone: +44 122 561 8150

Mobile: +44 797 121 4852

rachelhill@dragoncapital.com         

 

Jefferies International Limited

Stuart Klein                                                                                                                        

Phone: +44 207 029 8703

stuart.klein@jefferies.com 

 

Buchanan

Charles Ryland / Henry Wilson / George Beale

Phone: +44 20 7466 5111

veil@buchanan.uk.com

 

LEI: 213800SYT3T4AGEVW864

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