Ortelius Outlines Pathways to Build and Unlock Sustainable Long-Term Value for Brookdale Senior Living Inc. Stockholders
Issues Letter to Stockholders that Identifies Multiple Paths to
Departure of Long Time CEO
We Believe Ortelius’ Nominees have the Skills and Experience Necessary to Oversee the Execution of Its Strategic Plan to Drive Real Change for Stockholders
Fellow Brookdale Senior Living Stockholders,
Over the past seven years, investors in
- Brookdale’s stock price dropped 39%, and underperformed benchmarks by 165 percentage points1
- The Company’s occupancy rate dropped from 85.2% to 79.4%2, versus 88.8% to 87.2%3 for the senior housing industry
- Annual net operating income margins fell from 32.5% to 26.8%4
- Average annual adjusted EBITDA margins declined from 14.8% in 2011 - 2017, to 9.4% in 2018 - 20245
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Cumulative free cash flow imploded from
$304 million in 2011 - 2017, to negative$660 million in 2018 - 20246 -
Brookdale’s tangible book value per share plunged 83%, from
$5.49 to$0.93 7
Consequently,
The Board reacted by hastily announcing a transition plan for the Company’s CEO, including the formation of a CEO Search Committee led by
MAXIMIZE STOCKHOLDER VALUE
Ortelius targets holding companies, or conglomerates with disparate business segments, whose “sum-of-the-parts” is worth significantly more than the current market price, and invests in businesses whose asset values and free cash flows are materially underappreciated in the marketplace.
Regarding the Company, we strongly believe that there are multiple ways to win, and many paths to building and unlocking intrinsic value over the near- and long-term, including:
- monetizing the underperforming owned properties
- improving Brookdale’s financials
- reducing mortgage debt
- eliminating the leased portfolio
- unlocking the value of the real estate
- reviewing strategic alternatives
- installing a new management team; and
- refreshing the Board
Brookdale’s “parts” comprise the following8:
- 353 owned properties, the (“PropCo”)
- 266 leased facilities, the (“LeaseCo”)
- 406 of the 619 communities, or 66% of the owned and leased portfolios, reported occupancy rates of greater than 75%, the (“GoodCo”)
- 213 of the 619 communities, or 34% of the owned and leased portfolios, reported occupancy rates of less than 75%, the (“BadCo”)
MONETIZE UNDERPERFORMING OWNED PROPERTIES
A newly installed Board, supported by the owners of the Company, should immediately begin to evaluate the monetization of the BadCo owned properties. Per the
The remaining GoodCo owned properties would yield higher occupancy rates, rents, NOI, NOI margins, adjusted funds from operations, free cash flow, and valuations; and lower capitalization rates and loan-to-value ratios. Additionally, Brookdale would gain pricing power, enjoy operating leverage, eliminate BadCo PropCo capital expenditures, and rationalize costs for the smaller footprint, further improving financial performance.
REDUCE MORTGAGE DEBT
Brookdale should use the proceeds from monetizing the BadCo owned properties to pay down mortgage debt, which would improve credit quality, and lower loan-to-value ratios and borrowing costs.
ELIMINATE LEASED PORTFOLIO
The Company should also eliminate its poorly performing LeaseCo. The leased portfolio average annual adjusted EBITDA margin was a meager 1.0% in 2018 through 202410, and highly dilutive, and pro-forma free cash flow generation is questionable.
Driven by rising senior housing expectations, landlords are increasingly converting triple-net leases to RIDEA (REIT Investment Diversification and Empowerment Act of 2007), which exploits NOI growth rates in excess of 3% rent increases, improves financial performance, and boosts stockholder value.
In particular, Ventas, Inc. (“Ventas”) and Welltower Inc. (“Welltower”), accounting for roughly 75% of Brookdale’s leased facilities, have significant and growing exposure, representing approximately 70% of their revenues and 45% of their net operating income. Ventas’ RIDEA bucket comprises 629 properties, and Welltower’s senior housing operating portfolio owns 1,232 communities.11
On the 2Q 2024 Ventas earnings call, Mizuho analyst
“Could you just give us an update on the Brookdale leases that come due next year? Just what the metrics are in terms of coverage or just latest thoughts on what you might do there?”
“So really, if this portfolio were to make its way to our SHOP portfolio [RIDEA], we would be very happy.”
Months later, on
“The forty-four SHOP conversion communities will increase our SHOP footprint and expected growth rate by adding assets in markets that should support strong net absorption during the next few years. As we have in previous transitions, we expect to capture significant occupancy and NOI upside.
The agreements enable Ventas to accelerate the conversion of forty-four select large-scale senior housing communities with significant upside potential (the “SHOP Communities”) to its Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (“SHOP”) starting
The Company intends to leverage Ventas OI™ and deploy its active asset management playbook to reach, and then exceed, market levels of occupancy and double the NOI over time. The playbook is expected to include engaging aligned, proven, local market-focused operators and refreshing the communities.” 12
UNLOCK REAL ESTATE VALUE
Upon monetizing the underperforming owned properties, reducing mortgage debt, and eliminating the leased portfolio, the remaining entity would be a pure play on the GoodCo owned properties, valued on NOI and capitalization rates, versus a senior housing operator, valued on lower EBITDA and EBITDA multiples.
Fueled by secular demographic tailwinds, and a supply/demand imbalance, revenues should continue to grow by mid-single digits, driven by occupancy rate and rent gains. While the Company’s weighted average occupancy rate (owned portfolio) was a dismal 78.6% in 4Q 2024, the historic high occupancy rate (owned and leased portfolios) was 89.0% in 4Q 2013, and the GoodCo occupancy rate (owned and leased communities greater than 75%) was in the high-80’s in 4Q 2024. And while NOI margins (owned portfolio) were a substandard 24.7% in 2024, NOI margins (owned and leased portfolios) were 36.5% in 2013.13
In light of favorable industry dynamics, the GoodCo owned properties should generate substantial revenue, occupancy rates in excess of 90%, significant NOI, NOI margins in excess of 30%, and meaningful free cash flow. And per the
Consequently, Ortelius believes that the GoodCo owned properties’ equity is worth billions of dollars – multiples of Brookdale’s current market capitalization.
REFRESH THE BOARD
We believe that stockholders support our drive for a new Board, and a new direction. Notably, Brookdale’s stock price rose 8% on heavy volume on
Ortelius’ independent director candidates, each with 25 to 35 years of experience in
After years of missteps and shortcomings, stockholders have lost confidence in the incumbent Board’s decision-making abilities, and the Board cannot be trusted to take decisive action, necessary after the vast destruction of stockholder value, and put stockholders first. In the coming weeks, Ortelius looks forward to providing additional details, and earning your support.
Sincerely,
Managing Member
CERTAIN INFORMATION CONCERNING THE PARTICIPANTS
OA STRONGLY ADVISES ALL STOCKHOLDERS OF THE COMPANY TO READ THE PROXY STATEMENT AND OTHER PROXY MATERIALS, INCLUDING A PROXY CARD, AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE BECAUSE THEY WILL CONTAIN IMPORTANT INFORMATION. SUCH PROXY MATERIALS WILL BE AVAILABLE AT NO CHARGE ON THE
The participants in the anticipated proxy solicitation are OA,
As of the date hereof,
About
Ortelius is a research-intensive, fundamental-based, activist-oriented alternative investment management firm focused on event-driven opportunities.
1 Bloomberg as of |
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6 Free cash flow is defined as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Operating cash flow is net cash provided by operating activities per 10-K filings. Cumulative free cash flow is the sum of annual free cash flows for the period noted. |
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7 Tangible book value per share as of |
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9 Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL), |
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11 Ventas, Inc. and Welltower Inc. 10-K filings, 2024. |
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12 Ventas, Inc., Ventas Reaches Mutually Beneficial Agreements with |
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14 Ventas, Inc. and Welltower Inc. 10-K filings, 2024. NOI figures are adjusted for an assumed five percent management fee. |
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15 Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL), |
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16 Bloomberg as of |
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17 Bloomberg as of |
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250424049279/en/
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