Barings Emerging EMEA Opportunities Plc - Half Year Report
Half Year Report for the six months ended
The Directors are pleased to present the Half-Year Financial Report of the Company for the six months ended
The dividend will be paid on
Financial Highlights
NAV total return1,# Share price total return1,# Dividend per Ordinary Share1,# 10.0% 20.0% 6.0p (31 March 2024: 13.2%) (31 March 2024: 12.8%) (31 March 2024: 6.0p)
For the six months ended 31 March 2025 2024 % change NAV per Ordinary Share1 765.2p 682.1p 12.2% Share price 652.5p 532.5p 22.5% Share price total return1,# 20.0% 12.8% Benchmark 7.8% 5.8% Discount to NAV per Ordinary Share1 14.7% 21.9% Dividend yield1,2,3 2.8% 3.2% Ongoing charges1 1.6% 1.8%
______________________________________________________________________________ |Return |31 March 2025 |31 March 2024 |30 September 2024 | |per |______________________|______________________|_______________________| |Ordinary|Revenue|Capital|Total |Revenue|Capital|Total |Revenue|Capital|Total | |Share |_______|_______|______|_______|_______|______|_______|_______|_______| | |4.25p |67.07p |71.32p|5.54p |69.89p |75.43p|18.97p |86.71p |105.68p| |________|_______|_______|______|_______|_______|______|_______|_______|_______|
Revenue return (earnings) per Ordinary Share is based on the revenue return of £501,000 (
As at
1 Alternative Performance Measures (“APMs”) definitions can be found in the Glossary as set out in the full report.
2 The yield as of
3 The yield as of
* Movement to 31 March relates to the preceding six months and movement to 30 September relates to the preceding twelve months.
# Key Performance Indicator.
Chairman’s Statement
Performance
To date, this financial period has continued the trend of the prior year in delivering strong capital growth to our shareholders. It gives me great pleasure to report that our Investment Manager delivered a NAV total return of 10%, outperforming the comparator benchmark by 2.2%. This strong performance in both absolute and relative terms serves to highlight the attractive diversification offered by the EM EMEA region relative to other equity investment strategies. Furthermore, this return was even stronger when compared to benchmark indices for developed and emerging equity markets, which it outperformed by 8.1% and 11.6% respectively in GBP terms 1 .
The relative outperformance of the Company’s NAV total return over the past two financial years has moved the Company firmly above the benchmark over one, three, five, and ten-year periods. This performance has strengthened the Board’s belief in the Company’s proposition, which provides exposure to high-growth economies in an under-researched region, while also offering dividend streams that are already attractive and likely to increase.
Whilst we are delighted with this outcome, the Investment Manager has cautioned that the outlook ahead has become increasingly uncertain, not just for your Company, but for all economies globally.
This follows rising market volatility stemming from US-led trade policy, which has sent shock waves through traditional supply chains and raised business uncertainty. Despite this unfavourable backdrop, the Investment Manager continues to emphasise the distinctive attractions of the EM EMEA region, which has a lower exposure to
Investment Portfolio
The portfolio’s holdings in Central and
In contrast,
economies have greater sensitivity to lower growth expectations and a weaker US Dollar – both effects of increasing trade uncertainty.
1 Indices based on relevant MSCI Regional Indices
In my last update, I highlighted the welcome developments in
soared to new highs.
HALF YEAR PERFORMANCE:
Investment/Benchmark Performance (%)BEMO PLC 10.0% MSCI EM EMEA 7.8% AIC Global Emerging Markets Sector Average 3.7% Developed Markets 1.9%Emerging Markets -1.6% 1Indices based on relevant MSCI Regional Indices. Source: Barings, Refinativ, Morningstar,31 March 2025 .
In contrast,
highlighted the weakness of institutions and the rule of law, challenging Turkey’s investment rationale. Although these developments are disappointing, their negative impact on the Company’s performance has been limited by the low weighting of
Russian Assets
Russian assets in the portfolio continue to be valued at zero while extensive sanctions and restrictions on the sale of securities remain in place. However, the Board remains focused on how shareholder value can best be preserved, created, and realised in relation to these holdings.
A welcome development this financial year has been the realisation of £1 million from the sale of
The Board remains focused on the value that the Company’s remaining Russian holdings may generate for shareholders and is actively exploring ways, in conjunction with the Investment Manager, to divest these assets while ensuring compliance with global sanctions.
Discount
The discount as of
The Board continues to focus on discount management, aiming to contain discount volatility. While share buybacks remain an option available for the Company to help manage the discount, they are significantly less effective during periods of elevated market volatility, as has been the case recently. As a result, the Company has not bought back any shares during this financial period.
Discount Control Mechanism and Strategic Options
The Company has now entered the last year before the discount and performance targets set in
Gearing
There were no borrowings during the period. As of
Interim Dividend
In the first half of the financial year under review, the income account generated a return of
.
Outlook
Looking ahead, economic activity prospects remain uncertain in the light of growing trade frictions. While risks may well be reduced somewhat by progress in trade negotiations, markets are likely to be more sensitive to signs of deteriorating earnings. This makes bottom-up stock selection a more powerful driver of performance than ever, providing real value to shareholders.
The Company’s strategy therefore, remains firmly focused on the earnings profile of the individual companies in our portfolio, seeking out management teams with strong records of growth and returns
to shareholders.
Emerging Europe’s domestically driven economies have benefitted from a lower exposure to recent trade-induced shifts. However, looking ahead, Europe’s refocus on its domestic agenda, including increased military spending and self-reliance, positions Central and Emerging Europe as unique and cost-effective manufacturing destinations. This shift bolsters the region’s growth prospects. Plausible
outcomes of the
In light of the weakness in the price of oil and the US dollar, Middle Eastern economies look set to remain relatively subdued. This has led countries in the region to recalibrate and reprioritise their large-scale investment projects as oil-related revenues have fallen. While investment is slowing, increased prudence is welcome, positioning these economies to reap a higher economic benefit when the backdrop turns more favourable.
In
Promotional Activity
The Board and Investment Manager have an ongoing communications programme that seeks to maintain the Company’s profile and its investment remit, particularly among retail investors. During the period, we have continued to distribute our monthly
Chairman
Report of the Investment Manager
EMEA MARKET PERFORMANCE AND CURRENCY RETURNS –
__________________________________________ |Market Returns (%, ||Currency Returns (%,| |GBP) ||GBP) | |____________________||____________________| |Czech Republic|35.0%||Czech Republic|1.6% | |______________|_____||______________|_____| |Poland |20.7%||Poland |2.9% | |______________|_____||______________|_____| |Greece |20.4%||Greece |0.6% | |______________|_____||______________|_____| |Hungary |19.9%||Hungary |-0.8%| |______________|_____||______________|_____| |Kuwait |17.1%||Kuwait |2.5% | |______________|_____||______________|_____| |UAE |17.0%||UAE |3.5% | |______________|_____||______________|_____| |Saudi Arabia |4.0% ||Saudi Arabia |3.5% | |______________|_____||______________|_____| |South Africa |4.0% ||South Africa |-2.3%| |______________|_____||______________|_____| |Qatar |2.6% ||Qatar |3.3% | |______________|_____||______________|_____| |Egypt |-0.6%||Egypt |-1.2%| |______________|_____||______________|_____| |Turkey |-8.4%||Turkey |-6.7%| |______________|_____||______________|_____|
1 Market Returns, based on MSCI indices, and currency returns in GBP.
Source: Barings, Refinativ,
Market Summary
Emerging European, Middle Eastern, and African (EMEA) equity markets advanced over the period, with the MSCI EM EMEA index increasing by 7.8% in GBP terms. Against this backdrop, the portfolio outperformed, with the Company’s NAV increasing by 10% in GBP terms, providing a positive relative return of 2.2%.
Regionally, markets in Central and
specific developments contributed to this strong performance, the major driver was growing hopes for a ceasefire in
Although returns in the region were notably strong, we acknowledge that the future has become more uncertain. This is largely due to the ambiguity introduced by President Trump’s trade policies, which have significantly dampened business confidence, leading many companies to pause investment plans and raising expectations of slower economic growth.
Amongst EMEA markets, the Middle East’s economies are the worst affected by the resulting weakening of global growth expectations and the US dollar, which point to lower demand for oil. Lower oil prices reduce the earnings outlook of companies listed on local exchanges, with Saudi Arabian companies being particularly impacted.
Conversely,
South African equities’ relatively muted performance reflects two opposing forces. The large financial sector has been subject to profit-taking as investors digest the ongoing fiscal consolidation undertaken by the new Government of National Unity, formed last year. At the same time, gold stocks have risen significantly as demand for the yellow metal soared to new highs. This has led to a significant degree of divergence in share price performance and many stock selection opportunities in
Income
The Company’s key objective is to deliver capital growth from a carefully selected portfolio of emerging EMEA companies. However, we are also focused on generating an attractive level of income for investors from the companies in the portfolio.
We regularly emphasise that the region in which we invest offers not only unrecognised growth potential but also attractive levels of income, solidifying its place as a strong income diversifier.
We believe there are good prospects for further expansion of dividends, due to rising payout ratios and efficiency gains.
Macro Themes
In line with our bottom-up approach, our primary focus is to identify attractive investment opportunities at the company level for our shareholders. Nevertheless, we remain vigilant and mindful of broader macro effects within the region. This in turn helps to support the contribution to performance from our company selection, accessing long-term growth opportunities, while reducing the negative effects on performance from major macro dislocations.
This year has seen a resurgence in market volatility following the introduction of trade tariffs by the Trump administration on imports from traditional allies and adversaries alike. Given the unconstrained and erratic nature of this shift in policy, the resulting uncertainty is causing businesses to put their investment plans on hold. This could ultimately result in a global environment of lower investment and weakened growth, increasing the risk of recession.
As investors continue to digest these developments, attention will begin to refocus on what is observable, namely the exposure of various nations’ economies and stock markets to the US. In this context, EMEA stands out as having relatively low direct exposure to the US in the form of goods exports, while its stock exchanges predominantly feature companies with locally dominant business models. We believe this should position the region to be more defensive due to its sensitivity to the current trade uncertainty.
An important development this year has been the implications of the new US administration’s goal of bringing about a ceasefire in
In addition, a
Gold has soared in price from
To that end, buying has been most enthusiastic in
When looking at places to invest in gold,
In our last update, we wrote about the green shoots taking hold in Turkey’s economy as President
Asset Allocation
Portfolio Country Portfolio Sector Weight Weight Saudi Arabia 30.4% Financials 49.9% South Africa 24.6% Materials 15.6% UAE 11.8% Communication Services 7.7% Poland 8.5% Energy 5.5% Greece 5.8% Consumer Staples 5.2% Hungary 5.5% Information Technology 4.9% Turkey 4.1% Real Estate 4.0% Kuwait 3.8% Health Care 3.8% Qatar 3.7% Consumer Discretionary 2.3% Czech Republic 1.9% Industrials 1.1%
Source:
However, this positive trend was reversed by the resurgence of political risk with the arrest in
While these developments in
Company Selection
Our team regularly engages with management teams and analyses industry competitors to gain an insight into a company’s business model and sustainable competitive advantages. Based on this analysis, we seek to take advantage of these perceived inefficiencies through our in-depth fundamental research, which includes an integrated environmental, social and governance (ESG) assessment, and active engagement, to identify and unlock mispriced growth opportunities for
our shareholders.
Stock selection was the main driver of the portfolio’s relative return over the period, whilst sector asset allocation had a small positive impact.
The
In
The materials sector in
Financials were the strongest contributor to relative returns. Greek banks Alpha and Piraeus were standout performers, supported by a combination of undemanding valuations, high quality assets, and a positive macroeconomic backdrop. In
bank’s
The sharp increase in political risk in
Outlook
Political and economic uncertainty are likely to remain present for the remainder of the year. As a result, we remain vigilant concerning the impact of greater volatility generated by news headlines. Despite this, we believe the EMEA region is uniquely positioned to manoeuvre successfully through the changing geopolitical landscape. Whilst not immune to a potential slowdown in the global economy, the combination of domestic drivers, a possible resolution to the
Looking at Emerging Europe, we believe that its domestically oriented economies have the ability to withstand the shocks of global trade conflicts while being able to capitalise on nearshoring opportunities by being a cost-effective manufacturing destination as
As regards the
Turkey’s investment case is now at a crossroads. The country’s economic team, led by
Finally, whilst South Africa’s rich natural resources have kept a shine on this region, the investment case for the country hinges on its political development. Last year’s elections produced a new governing coalition, bringing the market-friendly
Investment Manager
Detailed Information
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About
"Finding quality companies from Emerging Europe, the
In
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LEI: 213800HLE2UOSVAP2Y69
