Buyers, Take Note: Mortgage Rates Are Falling, Home-Price Growth Is Cooling and Supply Is Outpacing Demand
Redfin economists say serious homebuyers have a window of opportunity to lock in a mortgage rate, as rates could fluctuate as more economic data is released in the coming weeks
A homebuyer on a
There are a few other bright spots for house hunters this week:
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Home-price growth is losing steam. The median
U.S. asking price rose just 2.3% year over year during the four weeks endingAugust 3 , one of the smallest increases in two years. Sellers have started pricing lower in response to the buyer’s market; Redfin economists predict sale prices will fall 1% by the end of the year. Additionally, just about one-quarter (26.6%) of homes are selling above asking price, down from 31% a year ago. - There are more home sellers than buyers in the market. The total number of homes for sale is up 8.5% year over year, while pending sales are down 1.2%.
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Many sellers are willing to negotiate. Redfin agents in many parts of the country, including the
Bay Area ,Phoenix ,Washington, D.C. and coastalFlorida , report that a lot of sellers are open to negotiating with buyers. Some are accepting offers under asking price or providing freebies to sweeten the deal, like money for closing costs or repairs, to get their home offloaded.
House hunters should keep in mind that the window of opportunity for buyers could be short. New listings have lost steam, staying essentially flat year over year, as would-be sellers realize they may not get the price they want for their home. Additionally, lower mortgage rates could bring more buyers and more competition. Mortgage-purchase applications have already increased, rising 2% week over week.
“Serious homebuyers should consider taking this window of opportunity to act fast and lock in a mortgage rate at the lowest level we’ve seen since last October,” said
For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin’s “ From Our Economists ” page.
Leading indicators
Indicators of homebuying demand and activity |
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|
Value (if applicable) |
Recent change |
Year-over-year change |
Source |
Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate |
6.57% ( |
10-month low |
Down from 6.86% |
|
Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate |
6.72% (week ending |
Up slightly from a 3-month low of 6.67% hit 4 weeks earlier |
Essentially unchanged |
Freddie Mac |
Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted) |
|
Up 2% from a week earlier (as of week ending |
Up 18% |
|
Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index |
|
Up 3% from a month earlier (as of week ending |
Up 2% |
A measure of tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents |
Touring activity |
|
Up 28% from the start of the year (as of |
At this time last year, it was up 13% from the start of 2024 |
ShowingTime, a home touring technology company |
Key housing-market data
Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ |
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|
Four weeks ending |
Year-over-year change |
Notes |
Median sale price |
|
2.1% |
Roughly |
Median asking price |
|
2.3% |
|
Median monthly mortgage payment |
|
4.4% |
|
Pending sales |
85,528 |
-1.2% |
|
New listings |
95,571 |
0.4% |
|
Active listings |
1,159,790 |
8.5% |
Smallest increase since |
Months of supply |
3.9 |
+0.5 pts. |
4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions |
Share of homes off market in two weeks |
32.3% |
Down from 36% |
|
Median days on market |
40 |
+6 days |
|
Share of homes sold above list price |
26.6% |
Down from 30% |
|
Average sale-to-list price ratio |
98.8% |
Down from 99.4% |
|
Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending
Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous |
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|
Metros with biggest year-over-year increases |
Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases |
Notes |
Median sale price |
|
|
Declined in 11 metros |
Pending sales |
|
|
|
New listings |
|
|
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To view the full report, including charts, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-mortgage-rates-fall-price-growth-slow
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Source: Redfin