Redfin Reports Homes Are Selling at the Slowest Summer Pace in a Decade
Some sellers are reacting by not selling; active listings posted the largest monthly drop since 2023. Home prices rose 1.4% year over year, a faster rate of growth than in recent months, likely due to shrinking supply
Homes are taking longer to sell because demand is shrinking due to high homebuying costs and economic uncertainty. Pending home sales fell 1.1% month over month in July to the lowest seasonally-adjusted level since
With homes lingering on the market, supply has been building up, giving buyers more options and less urgency. Active listings of homes for sale in July sat near the highest level in five years, but they did fall 1.1% from June—the largest monthly seasonally-adjusted drop in roughly two years. New listings fell 0.4% month over month to the lowest seasonally-adjusted level since
“Supply is starting to fall because prospective sellers are choosing not to list after seeing their neighbor’s home linger on the market or sell for below the asking price,” said Redfin Senior Economist
Home-Price Growth May Be Accelerating as Sellers Pull Back
The median home sale price rose 1.4% year over year in July to
Buyers have been playing the waiting game for months. Now sellers are playing too, which is likely causing prices to heat up a bit.
The good news for buyers is that while home prices are rising, mortgage payments have started to come down. The average 30-year-fixed mortgage rate now sits at 6.58% after hitting a high of 6.75% in mid-July.
Homebuyer Competition Remains Scarce, And Some Buyers Are Backing Out of Deals
The typical home that sold in July went for roughly 1% less than its asking price—the biggest July discount since 2020. Less than one-third (28.9%) of homes went for more than their final asking price, the lowest July share since 2019. Both of these stats indicate that homebuyer competition, at least nationally, has fallen.
Some buyers are backing out of deals after they’ve already signed a contract; roughly 58,000 home-purchase agreements were canceled in July, equal to 15.3% of homes that went under contract that month—the highest July rate in records dating back to 2017.
In general, buyers have more negotiating power than they’ve had in recent years because they’re facing less competition and have more homes to choose from. But the balance of power may start to shift back toward sellers if supply continues to shrink.
For now, Redfin agents say it’s critical for sellers to make sure their homes are priced fairly and in good condition if they want to attract buyers. Homes that are overpriced often take a long time to sell.
“It’s a weird market right now,” said
|
|
Month-over-month change |
Year-over-year change |
Median sale price |
|
-0.6% |
1.4% |
Existing-home sales, seasonally adjusted annual rate |
4,150,266 |
-0.3% |
-0.5% |
Pending home sales, seasonally adjusted |
470,474 |
-1.1% |
-0.9% |
Homes sold, seasonally adjusted |
423,090 |
0% |
-0.9% |
New listings, seasonally adjusted |
526,244 |
-0.4% |
-1.3% |
Total homes for sale, seasonally adjusted (active listings) |
1,919,066 |
-1.0% |
11.1% |
Months of supply |
3.1 |
0 |
0.4 |
Median days on market |
43 |
3 |
8 |
Share of homes that sold above final list price |
28.9% |
-2.1 ppts |
-4.3 ppts |
Average sale-to-final-list-price ratio |
99.0% |
-0.3 ppts |
-0.6 ppts |
Pending sales that fell out of contract, as % of overall pending sales |
15.3% |
0.9 ppts |
0.8 ppts |
6.72% |
-0.1 ppts |
-0.13 ppts |
|
Note: Data are subject to revision |
-
Prices: Median sale prices rose most from a year earlier in
Cleveland (12.8%),Nassau County, NY (7.1%) andIndianapolis (7.1%). They fell most inOakland, CA (-6.1%),Jacksonville, FL (-3.9%) andWest Palm Beach, FL (-3.8%). -
Pending home sales: Pending sales rose most in
Phoenix (11.2%),Austin, TX (6.8%) andHouston (6.1%). They fell most inPortland, OR (-12.6%),Miami (-11.8%) andTampa, FL (-11.7%). -
Closed home sales: Home sales rose most in
Houston (4.8%),Virginia Beach, VA (3.7%) andSan Francisco (3.2%). They fell most inMiami (-20.2%),San Antonio (-15.3%) andSan Jose, CA (-10.1%). -
New listings: New listings rose most in
Houston (26.9%),Montgomery County, PA (7.4%) andCleveland (7.1%). They fell most inSan Francisco (-19%),Jacksonville (-15.6%) andTampa (-13.5%). -
Active listings: Active listings rose most in
Las Vegas (28.4%),Houston (25.5%) andDallas (23.6%). They fell in four metros:San Francisco (-11.2%),Nassau County (-4.4%),Portland, OR (-1%) andKansas City, MO (-0.9%). -
Sold above list price: In
Newark, NJ , 67.2% of homes sold above their final list price, the highest share among the metros Redfin analyzed. Next cameNassau County (59.9%) andMilwaukee (54.3%). The lowest shares were inWest Palm Beach (6.4%),Fort Lauderdale (7.7%) andMiami (7.9%). -
Days on market: In
Fort Lauderdale , the typical home that went under contract did so in 92 days, up 23 days from a year earlier—the biggest increase among the metros Redfin analyzed. Next cameWest Palm Beach (+18 days) andMiami (+18 days).Kansas City, MO was the only metro that saw a decrease (-6 days Y/Y).
To view the full report, including charts and full metro-level data, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/homes-sell-at-slowest-pace-in-decade
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Source: Redfin