Sellers slam the brakes; new listings fall to record low for August
Buyers' competitive momentum halts as sellers respond to slower sales
- Market momentum shifts: Buyers' recent run of gaining leverage is cut short.
- Price cuts ease from peak: The share of listings with a price cut moderated to 26%, down from the all-time high of 27% in July.
- Inventory high but shrinking: While total for-sale inventory is up 15% year-over-year, it fell month-over-month as the flow of new listings slowed to a trickle.
Buyers still in the market have plenty of opportunity, especially in areas seeing inventory hold strong. But competitive momentum that has been swinging fast in buyers' favor in recent months is showing signs of stopping nationwide.
"Buyers who can afford a home and have been waiting for the right moment should look closely at what's available now," said Zillow Senior Economist
Market dynamics: Sellers respond to cautious buyers
High housing costs continue to sideline many prospective buyers, making it easier for those still in the hunt. Zillow's market heat index shows the market is balanced between buyers and sellers nationwide, with less competition among buyers than in any August since 2018.
As a result, home value appreciation has slowed to a standstill. Typical home value growth nationwide measured by Zillow's Home Value Index is now flat over the past year — the second-slowest annual growth of any month since the start of 2018.
Listings are taking longer to sell, too. The typical home sold in August took 27 days to find a buyer — a full week longer than last year and one day longer than pre-pandemic norms. But contrary to typical seasonal trends, competition ticked back up slightly in late summer.
Homeowners have responded to buyers' caution by pushing pause on listing plans. New listings from sellers reached a record low for August in Zillow records, and the 7.3% month-over-month drop in new listings is steeper than normal for this time of year.
Potential sellers are probably comfortable with their home for the present, likely enjoying a low mortgage rate and significant equity growth: Typical home values nationwide are up 46.5% since
According to Zillow's latest survey of recent sellers, 37% were encouraged to sell by accepting a new job. As the labor market weakens, that could also reduce the number of homeowners needing to sell. This slowdown in new listing activity caused overall inventory levels to shrink, falling 1.3% from their July peak.
Regional divides: A tale of two markets
National trends mask significant regional differences, where shifts in supply have impacted competition.
-
Buyer-friendly markets: Buyers have the most leverage in the South. Former pandemic-era hot spots such as
Miami ,Tampa ,Jacksonville , andAustin now all have more existing options on the market than before the pandemic, thanks in part to builders' efforts to meet demand.Seattle has made a surprising transition from favoring sellers to buyers over the past year — inventory that's risen 22% over that time played a key role. -
Seller-friendly markets: The Northeast and the
San Francisco Bay Area remain firmly in favor of sellers. Competition is strongest inBuffalo ,Hartford ,San Francisco ,San Jose , andBoston . In these supply-constrained regions, inventory remains far below pre-pandemic averages, keeping the market tilted toward sellers.
Metro Area* |
Zillow Home |
ZHVI Year |
Share of |
Market Favors |
Inventory |
New |
Median |
|
|
0.0 % |
25.8 % |
Neutral |
15.3 % |
-3.0 % |
27 |
|
|
2.9 % |
13.7 % |
Strong Seller |
7.4 % |
-1.2 % |
32 |
|
|
-1.3 % |
23.5 % |
Seller |
24.1 % |
-6.0 % |
28 |
|
|
3.3 % |
27.7 % |
Seller |
-3.5 % |
-7.3 % |
13 |
|
|
-3.9 % |
33.0 % |
Neutral |
19.0 % |
-5.8 % |
42 |
|
|
-2.0 % |
29.3 % |
Neutral |
28.0 % |
-5.2 % |
46 |
|
|
0.8 % |
26.0 % |
Seller |
36.0 % |
-1.0 % |
19 |
|
|
3.1 % |
23.2 % |
Seller |
9.3 % |
-3.8 % |
14 |
|
|
-4.9 % |
20.3 % |
Buyer |
18.2 % |
-12.4 % |
65 |
|
|
-3.2 % |
30.4 % |
Buyer |
20.8 % |
-9.5 % |
47 |
|
|
1.0 % |
19.0 % |
Strong Seller |
21.0 % |
3.7 % |
21 |
|
|
-3.6 % |
32.0 % |
Neutral |
21.5 % |
-4.9 % |
42 |
|
|
-3.9 % |
21.6 % |
Strong Seller |
9.3 % |
-10.1 % |
22 |
|
|
-2.5 % |
23.4 % |
Seller |
20.4 % |
-9.9 % |
36 |
|
|
3.6 % |
27.1 % |
Neutral |
10.2 % |
1.0 % |
13 |
|
|
-1.0 % |
29.4 % |
Buyer |
22.1 % |
-7.7 % |
23 |
|
|
2.0 % |
25.7 % |
Seller |
8.4 % |
-2.6 % |
23 |
|
|
-2.8 % |
29.1 % |
Seller |
26.0 % |
-8.1 % |
28 |
|
|
-6.5 % |
31.3 % |
Buyer |
16.1 % |
-1.1 % |
47 |
|
|
-3.0 % |
35.8 % |
Neutral |
20.0 % |
-10.7 % |
35 |
|
|
2.1 % |
28.3 % |
Seller |
20.1 % |
0.4 % |
15 |
|
|
2.3 % |
25.5 % |
Seller |
6.1 % |
1.7 % |
8 |
|
|
-4.6 % |
28.2 % |
Neutral |
18.3 % |
-7.3 % |
46 |
|
|
-0.8 % |
29.0 % |
Neutral |
19.0 % |
-4.5 % |
31 |
|
|
-3.1 % |
30.2 % |
Neutral |
13.0 % |
-6.5 % |
52 |
|
|
-1.0 % |
29.8 % |
Neutral |
14.8 % |
-2.4 % |
26 |
|
|
-2.4 % |
28.6 % |
Seller |
19.6 % |
-13.6 % |
27 |
|
|
2.0 % |
27.8 % |
Neutral |
10.2 % |
6.6 % |
14 |
|
|
2.7 % |
29.9 % |
Neutral |
14.6 % |
-1.6 % |
10 |
|
|
-5.8 % |
28.9 % |
Buyer |
14.7 % |
-3.6 % |
71 |
|
|
-0.8 % |
28.9 % |
Neutral |
34.2 % |
-11.2 % |
38 |
|
|
2.5 % |
30.5 % |
Seller |
15.5 % |
2.4 % |
9 |
|
|
1.4 % |
33.6 % |
Neutral |
18.9 % |
1.9 % |
11 |
|
|
1.6 % |
34.8 % |
Neutral |
13.4 % |
1.7 % |
16 |
|
|
4.5 % |
25.7 % |
Seller |
12.7 % |
0.6 % |
10 |
|
|
-2.1 % |
20.1 % |
Strong Seller |
10.8 % |
-11.8 % |
17 |
|
|
-0.2 % |
32.3 % |
Neutral |
21.2 % |
3.0 % |
37 |
|
|
1.7 % |
25.8 % |
Seller |
16.0 % |
-3.8 % |
29 |
|
|
2.5 % |
21.6 % |
Strong Seller |
14.1 % |
-0.5 % |
16 |
|
|
-3.6 % |
30.9 % |
Buyer |
13.1 % |
-5.4 % |
66 |
|
|
3.2 % |
17.4 % |
Seller |
0.1 % |
-5.3 % |
19 |
|
|
0.9 % |
29.0 % |
Neutral |
15.6 % |
-0.5 % |
25 |
|
|
-2.5 % |
35.5 % |
Neutral |
40.4 % |
1.7 % |
32 |
|
|
-0.6 % |
28.9 % |
Neutral |
4.9 % |
2.9 % |
27 |
|
|
1.1 % |
27.9 % |
Seller |
12.2 % |
-0.3 % |
15 |
|
|
3.5 % |
30.5 % |
Neutral |
18.1 % |
8.3 % |
19 |
|
|
-0.1 % |
24.5 % |
Buyer |
2.5 % |
-5.9 % |
53 |
|
|
2.0 % |
36.4 % |
Neutral |
22.8 % |
-3.0 % |
28 |
|
|
4.2 % |
19.5 % |
Strong Seller |
6.3 % |
2.0 % |
8 |
|
|
3.6 % |
21.2 % |
Strong Seller |
7.2 % |
6.8 % |
11 |
|
|
0.3 % |
22.9 % |
Neutral |
15.2 % |
-2.4 % |
24 |
|
*Table ordered by market size |
|
1 The Zillow market report is a monthly overview of the national and local real estate markets. The report is compiled by |
|
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