Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Pulse Survey Reveals Inflation Concerns Persist Throughout 2025
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- Inflation concerns persist. While nearly half of investors expect inflation to moderate this quarter (47%), it continues to be their top concern (45%), rising six percentage points from last quarter and the top concern for every quarter in 2025. Tariffs (33%) and market volatility (21%) remain the top two and three concerns, respectively.
- Bullishness dipped. Bullishness was down five percentage points from last quarter to 56%.
- More investors believe rate cuts are on the horizon. Over two in five investors (41%) think the Fed will cut rates by 0–0.25% at the next meeting—up 12 percentage points from last quarter. Roughly one in five (19%) believe they will stand pat—down eight percentage points from Q3.
- Yet investors plan to stay the course. 41% of investors do not plan to make changes to their portfolios over the next six months and less than one in five (14%) will move to the sidelines in cash.
“Investors undoubtedly have some whiplash amid a government shutdown, uncertain monetary policy, and some cracks in the labor market,” said
The survey explored investor views on sector opportunities for the fourth quarter of 2025:
- IT–Interest remained strong in tech (56%)—a perennial favorite—amid continued solid performance.
- Energy–Investor interest in energy remained steady (42%) even as the sector lagged, with supply and demand pressures weighing on oil prices, and opportunities for AI to shape the sector creating potential tailwinds.
- Health care–Amid some signs of cautious optimism, health care, a historically defensive area of the market, reclaimed its spot in the top three this quarter (34%).
About the Survey
This wave of the survey was conducted from
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© 2025
Referenced Data
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Please rate how much you agree or disagree with the following statement. We will reach normal levels of inflation by the end of the quarter. |
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|
|
Q4’ 25 |
|
Agree (Top 2) |
47% |
|
Strongly agree |
18% |
|
Somewhat agree |
29% |
|
Neither agree nor disagree |
19% |
|
Somewhat disagree |
19% |
|
Strongly disagree |
15% |
|
Which of the following are you most concerned about when it comes to your portfolio? (Top 2) |
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|
|
Q1’25 |
Q2’25 |
Q3’25 |
Q4’25 |
|
Inflation |
45% |
41% |
39% |
45% |
|
Tariffs |
n/a |
35% |
33% |
33% |
|
Market volatility |
24% |
24% |
24% |
21% |
|
Current administration |
21% |
19% |
17% |
18% |
|
A recession |
17% |
16% |
15% |
13% |
|
Earnings |
19% |
13% |
15% |
11% |
|
Fed monetary policy |
12% |
9% |
12% |
11% |
|
Geopolitical conflict |
17% |
10% |
13% |
10% |
|
Energy costs |
15% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
|
Jobs market |
6% |
4% |
4% |
8% |
|
None |
3% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
|
When it comes to the current market are you ? |
||
|
|
Q3' 25 |
Q4' 25 |
|
Bullish |
61% |
56% |
|
Bearish |
39% |
44% |
|
What changes do you think the Fed will make to its rate policy at the next meeting? |
||
|
|
Q3' 25 |
Q4' 25 |
|
Cut rates by 0 –. 25% |
29% |
41% |
|
Cut rates by .25% – .50% |
20% |
19% |
|
Raise rates by 0 –. 25% |
18% |
17% |
|
Raise rates by . 25% .50% |
5% |
3% |
|
Make no change |
28% |
20% |
|
When it comes to your portfolio for the next six months are you considering any of the following strategies? |
|
|
|
Q4’25 |
|
Make no changes to my portfolio |
41% |
|
Change the allocations in my portfolio |
26% |
|
Move out of cash and in to new positions |
18% |
|
Move out of current positions and in to cash |
14% |
|
Other |
1% |
|
What industries do you think offer the most potential this quarter? (Top three) |
||
|
Q3’25 |
Q4’25 |
|
|
Information technology |
57% |
56% |
|
Energy |
43% |
42% |
|
Health care |
31% |
34% |
|
Real estate |
28% |
31% |
|
Financials |
35% |
28% |
|
Utilities |
21% |
26% |
|
Industrials |
24% |
20% |
|
Communication services |
20% |
20% |
|
Materials |
16% |
17% |
|
Consumer staples |
15% |
17% |
|
Consumer discretionary |
10% |
10% |
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251021762345/en/
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Source: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management