Most Large U.S. Housing Markets Are Shifting in Buyers' Favor, But the Story Varies Widely by Metro

Apr 09 2026 11:00 BST

Realtor.com ^® Introduces the Realtor.com ^® Market Clock , a New Tool That Distills Local Housing Conditions Into a Measure of Whether It's a Buyer, Seller or Balanced Market and Where It's Headed

AUSTIN, Texas , April 9, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Just over 60% of the nation's largest housing markets have tilted into balanced or buyer-friendly territory, while only 26% remain seller's markets, according to a new analysis from Realtor.com ^®. The findings come alongside the debut of the Realtor.com^® Market Clock, a new tool designed to cut through the noise of housing data and give buyers, sellers and market watchers a clearer picture of where local markets stand and where they may be headed.

The Realtor.com^® Market Clock places the national housing market at 3 o'clock — a "Balanced-Loosening" phase, heading toward buyer-friendly conditions, though not necessarily approaching them quickly. But that national reading masks striking variation across the country's 50 largest metros, which currently span nearly the full face of the clock.

Of the top 50 metros, 13 (26%) remain seller's markets, 23 (46%) are in balanced-loosening phases, 8 (16%) are buyer's markets, and 6 (12%) are in balanced-tightening territory — meaning a small but notable group of markets are actually trending back toward seller advantage.

"A national picture is useful, but when making a real estate decision, the local details are what really matter," said Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.com^®. "Right now, a homebuyer in Houston or San Antonio is navigating a very different market than someone in Hartford or Milwaukee. The Realtor.com^® Market Clock was built to make those differences visible at a glance."

A Buyer-Friendly South and West, With Pockets of Seller Strength in the Midwest and Northeast

The regional picture is varied, with all 8 buyer's markets located in the South (7) or West (1). and most of the 13 seller's markets coming from the Midwest (7) and Northeast (3). Of the metros currently classified as buyer's markets, 5 of 8 are in either Florida or Texas – including Austin, Texas; Tampa, Fla.; Jacksonville, Fla; Orlando, Fla.; and Miami. All 8 buyer's market metros currently sit in what the framework calls 'Early Buyer' conditions – meaning inventory is growing, price cuts are common, buyers are starting to hold the upper hand, and their negotiating leverage is likely to get even stronger in the coming months.

By contrast, most seller's markets are concentrated in the Midwest and Northeast. Four markets among the top 50, including Hartford, Connecticut, hold the "Peak Seller" position, while six, including Milwaukee, San Francisco, and Providence, RI, are exhibiting "Early Seller" conditions, meaning the conditions are already hot and getting hotter. Three metros, including Boston and San Jose, remain in late seller phases — still competitive, though seller advantage is beginning to soften in those markets.

A further 8 of the top 50 markets sit at 4 o'clock, or in the Late Balanced phase of the Market Clock. While these metros – which include Charlotte, NC; Washington, DC; Phoenix, and Las Vegas–are still balanced, homes are sitting longer, prices are softening, and buyers are likely to hold the upper hand outright in the coming months.

The New Realtor.com ^® Market Clock

The Realtor.com^® Market Clock is a new tool based on key market signals like market balance, market pressure and market pace with the goal of helping people understand their local markets. The market clock is organized as a 12-hour clockface. Seller-leaning conditions occupy the top of the clock (the 11, 12, and 1 o'clock positions), buyer-leaning conditions fall toward the bottom (5, 6, and 7 o'clock), and balanced phases occupy the space in between — with one set loosening toward buyers (2, 3, 4 o'clock) and the other tightening back toward sellers (8, 9, 10 o'clock). At 12 o'clock, conditions favor sellers most: homes sell quickly, competition is fierce, and buyers have limited leverage. At 6 o'clock, the market favors buyers: there's more inventory, less urgency, and more room to negotiate.

The framework is built on metro-level housing data tracking supply and inventory balance, market pace and competition, and pricing pressure and adjustment. Grounded in data, the Realtor.com^® Market Clock is built using consistent, metro-level housing market information that tracks conditions over time, allowing markets to be compared both across geographies and across different points in the cycle. Critically, the clock captures not just where a market stands, but how fast and in which direction it is moving — a distinction that matters significantly in markets currently in transition.

"Consumers and professionals are exposed to more information than ever before, but more data hasn't always meant more clarity for people trying to make one of the biggest financial decisions of their lives," said Hale. "The Market Clock is our attempt to change that — to take the full range of signals we track and translate them into something that reflects what the market actually feels like on the ground."

The Realtor.com^® Market Clock is designed to describe current conditions and track shifts in leverage over time — not to forecast home prices, sales volumes, or mortgage rates. A market moving into buyer-friendly territory does not guarantee price declines, just as a seller's market does not ensure continued price appreciation.

A Framework Validated by the Last Cycle

The Market Clock's track record from 2019 through 2025 reflects the housing cycle that consumers and industry professionals have lived through. In December 2019, conditions were already tight: 72% of the top 50 metros were in seller-leaning phases and 26% were in balanced-tightening territory — underscoring just how primed the market was for the pandemic-era boom that followed.

By December 2021, the compression was dramatic. Ninety-eight percent of the top 50 metros had reached seller-market territory — one of the most compressed and competitive environments in modern housing history, with only one metro outside seller territory.

The rate shock of 2022 began to shift conditions, and by December 2023, 62% of large metros remained in seller phases, even as the lock-in effect kept inventory constrained and markets from fully cooling. By December 2025, the landscape had opened considerably: seller markets had shrunk to 26% of large metros, buyer's markets had grown to 16%, and balanced-loosening conditions had become the dominant category at 46% — reflecting a housing market defined less by uniformity than by geographic dispersion.

How Buyers and Sellers Can Use the Market Clock

For anyone interested in buying and selling now or in the future, the Market Clock is designed to help set expectations. Buyers can use their metro's position to gauge how competitive local conditions are, how quickly they may need to act, and how much negotiating room it is realistic to expect. Sellers can use it to help calibrate pricing strategy and understand whether patience or flexibility is likely to be rewarded in their market.

"Whether you're a first-time buyer trying to figure out how aggressive your offer needs to be, or a seller wondering whether to hold firm on price, the Realtor.com market clock is a much needed solution for today's buyers and sellers," said Jake Krimmel, senior economist, Realtor.com. "It's a professional grade tool that's meant to be simple enough to give non-experts a clear takeaway. And it's best when paired with the advice and guidance of a skilled Realtor^® agent when you're ready to move."

The Realtor.com^® Market Clock is available as part of Realtor.com^®Economics housing market research portal and the report will be updated on a quarterly basis.

Quadrant	Region	Metro	Clock Hour	Hour Description
Seller's Markets 13 metros (3 Northeast, 7 Midwest, 1 South, 1 West)	Midwest	Grand Rapids-Wyoming, Mich	11	Early Seller
	Midwest	Kansas City, Mo.-Kan.	11	Early Seller
	Midwest	Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, Wis.	11	Early Seller
	Midwest	St. Louis, Mo.-Ill.	11	Early Seller
	Northeast	Providence-Warwick, R.I.-Mass.	11	Early Seller
	West	San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, Calif.	11	Early Seller
	Midwest	Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, Ill.-Ind.- Wis.	12	Peak Seller
	Midwest	Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, Ind.	12	Peak Seller
	Northeast	Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, Conn.	12	Peak Seller
	South	Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, Va.-N.C.	12	Peak Seller
	Midwest	Columbus, OH	1	Late Seller
	Northeast	Boston	1	Late Seller
	West	San Jose	1	Late Seller
Balanced - Loosening 23 metros + USA Avg (1 Northeast, 3 Midwest, 12 South, 7 West)	South	Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas	2	Early Balanced
	South	Louisville/Jefferson County, Ky.- Ind.	2	Early Balanced
	West	Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, Colo.	2	Early Balanced
	West	Los Angeles-Long Beach- Anaheim, Calif.	2	Early Balanced
	West	Sacramento--Roseville--Arden- Arcade, Calif.	2	Early Balanced
	West	San Diego-Carlsbad, Calif.	2	Early Balanced
	West	Tucson, Ariz.	2	Early Balanced
	USA	USA	3	Balanced - Cooling
	Midwest	Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind.	3	Balanced - Cooling
	Midwest	Cleveland-Elyria, Ohio	3	Balanced - Cooling
	Northeast	Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, Pa.-N.J.-Del.-Md.	3	Balanced - Cooling
	South	Birmingham-Hoover, Ala.	3	Balanced - Cooling
	South	Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, Texas	3	Balanced - Cooling
	South	Memphis, Tenn.-Miss.-Ark.	3	Balanced - Cooling
	South	Richmond, Va.	3	Balanced - Cooling
	South	San Antonio-New Braunfels, Texas	3	Balanced - Cooling
	Midwest	Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, Mich	4	Late Balanced
	South	Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, Md.	4	Late Balanced
	South	Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, N.C.-S.C.	4	Late Balanced
	South	Oklahoma City, Okla.	4	Late Balanced
	South	Raleigh, N.C.	4	Late Balanced
	South	Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-Va.-Md.-W. Va.	4	Late Balanced
	West	Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, Nev.	4	Late Balanced
	West	Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Ariz.	4	Late Balanced
Buyer's Markets 8 metros (0 Northeast, 0 Midwest, 7 South, 1 West)	South	Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, Ga.	5	Early Buyer
	South	Austin-Round Rock, Texas	5	Early Buyer
	South	Jacksonville, Fla.	5	Early Buyer
	South	Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, Fla.	5	Early Buyer
	South	Nashville-Davidson-- Murfreesboro--Franklin, Tenn.	5	Early Buyer
	South	Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, Fla.	5	Early Buyer
	South	Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, Fla.	5	Early Buyer
	West	Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif.	5	Early Buyer
Balanced - Tightening 6 metros (3 Northeast, 1 Midwest, 0 South, 2 West)	Midwest	Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, Minn.-Wis.	9	Balanced - Warming
	Northeast	New York-Newark-Jersey City, N.Y.-N.J.-Pa.	9	Balanced - Warming
	Northeast	Buffalo-Cheektowaga-Niagara Falls, N.Y.	10	Late Balanced
	Northeast	Pittsburgh, Pa.	10	Late Balanced
	West	Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, Ore.-Wash.	10	Late Balanced
	West	Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, Wash.	10	Late Balanced

Methodology
The Realtor.com® Market Clock is built on Realtor.com® housing market data and analysis of deed records to classify the top 50 U.S. metropolitan areas and a national aggregate into one of 12 phases of the buyer-seller leverage cycle. The framework synthesizes measures of market balance, pace and momentum, and pricing pressure into a single clock position for each metro. Data will be updated monthly and a report released quarterly. Data span January 2018 through December 2025. The 50 largest U.S. metropolitan areas are defined by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB-202301) and Claritas 2025 estimates of household counts.

About Realtor.com ^® Realtor.com ^® pioneered online real estate and has been at the forefront for over 25 years, connecting buyers, sellers, and renters with trusted insights, professional guidance and powerful tools to help them find their perfect home. Recognized as the No. 1 site trusted by real estate professionals, Realtor.com^® is a valued partner, delivering consumer connections and a robust suite of marketing tools to support business growth. Realtor.com^® is operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc.

Media contact: Mallory Micetich, press@realtor.com

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