Homebuyers Hold the Negotiating Power In 38 Major Metros, Up From 29 Last Year
- Nationally, sellers outnumber buyers by 43%—just shy of the largest gap in records dating back to 2013.
- Redfin reports home prices rose 5% across seller’s markets last month, compared with a 2% increase in buyer’s markets.
Redfin analyzed the 50 most populous metros and included in this analysis the 49 with sufficient data. Redfin defines a market where there are over 10% more sellers than buyers as a buyer’s market and a market where there are over 10% fewer sellers than buyers as a seller’s market. A market where the gap is plus or minus 10% is considered a balanced market.
Nationally, there were an estimated 43.1% (or 600,168) more home sellers than buyers in March. That’s just shy of the largest gap in records dating back to 2013 and is up from 28% (or 432,532) a year earlier. The largest gap on record is 45.2% in
When sellers outnumber buyers, buyers typically hold the negotiating power because they have options. That’s why a market with a lot more sellers than buyers is considered a buyer’s market. Of course, it’s only a buyer’s market for those who can afford to buy. High housing costs and economic uncertainty have caused many house hunters to retreat, creating an imbalance of buyers and sellers.
“High property taxes, rising insurance costs and fears about job security are making homebuyers very selective,” said
Buyers Are Retreating, Which Is Causing Some Sellers to Retreat
There were an estimated 1.39 million homebuyers in the market in March, just shy of the 1.38 million record low hit in April 2020—the start of the pandemic. That’s little changed from a month earlier but down 10% from a year earlier.
There were an estimated 1.99 million sellers in the market—the lowest level in a year. That’s down 0.5% from a month earlier and up 0.7% from a year earlier.
Home sellers have been retreating in part due to lackluster demand from buyers. Some sellers are delisting after watching their homes sit on the market, while others are choosing not to list at all after seeing nearby homes sell for below the asking price. Redfin reported last month that relistings are beginning to rise as sellers bet on a spring uptick in demand.
Miami Is the Strongest Buyer’s Market
The strongest buyer’s market was
The
New construction can have a significant influence on whether negotiating power lies with buyers or sellers because it impacts the balance of supply and demand. The South and the West have historically issued the most building permits, while the Northeast and the Midwest (where the five seller’s markets are located) have issued the fewest.
Newark Is the Strongest Seller’s Market
The strongest seller’s market in March was
On average, home prices rose 4.8% year over year across the five seller’s markets in March, compared with a 1.6% increase across the 38 buyer’s markets—an indication that buyer’s markets offer house hunters more leverage.
Metro-Level Summary: 50* Most Populous Metros (
|
|
Balance of power |
Percent by which sellers outnumber buyers |
Buyers |
Sellers |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
43.6% |
5,079 |
7,293 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
70.4% |
22,692 |
38,656 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
112.1% |
8,509 |
18,043 |
|
|
Balanced Market |
-5.9% |
10,851 |
10,205 |
|
|
Balanced Market |
-1.4% |
10,952 |
10,794 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
88.7% |
9,057 |
17,087 |
|
|
Balanced Market |
1.4% |
25,427 |
25,795 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
30.7% |
6,409 |
8,379 |
|
|
Balanced Market |
-4.2% |
7,310 |
7,006 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
22.8% |
7,081 |
8,698 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
86.7% |
17,001 |
31,743 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
37.2% |
11,837 |
16,245 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
48.7% |
4,910 |
7,304 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
69.2% |
7,923 |
13,404 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
96.5% |
22,965 |
45,122 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
23.6% |
7,723 |
9,543 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
58.7% |
7,751 |
12,304 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
21.8% |
7,190 |
8,756 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
100.7% |
7,110 |
14,272 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
58.6% |
14,392 |
22,819 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
147.9% |
7,806 |
19,347 |
|
|
Seller's Market |
-19.7% |
6,488 |
5,210 |
|
|
Balanced Market |
9.0% |
12,833 |
13,989 |
|
|
Seller's Market |
-26.2% |
6,905 |
5,094 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
119.0% |
7,398 |
16,202 |
|
|
Seller's Market |
-28.0% |
9,978 |
7,181 |
|
|
Seller's Market |
-12.5% |
9,918 |
8,679 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
12.6% |
24,811 |
27,946 |
|
|
Seller's Market |
-30.4% |
8,153 |
5,672 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
36.0% |
4,457 |
6,060 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
81.4% |
9,965 |
18,075 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
35.2% |
6,047 |
8,176 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
79.1% |
18,415 |
32,979 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
55.3% |
6,030 |
9,364 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
45.5% |
7,502 |
10,914 |
|
|
Balanced Market |
-1.9% |
4,202 |
4,124 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
66.4% |
11,537 |
19,196 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
34.5% |
5,664 |
7,617 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
109.0% |
9,059 |
18,932 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
29.2% |
6,272 |
8,103 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
12.1% |
2,592 |
2,905 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
28.5% |
2,635 |
3,387 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
34.9% |
7,681 |
10,359 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
17.8% |
8,754 |
10,312 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
82.7% |
13,064 |
23,869 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
43.1% |
1,392,693 |
1,992,861 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
14.7% |
6,797 |
7,794 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
16.7% |
7,935 |
9,258 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
14.9% |
15,829 |
18,190 |
|
|
Buyer's Market |
94.0% |
8,090 |
15,694 |
*
To view the full report, including charts and a full methodology, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/buyers-vs-sellers-march-2026
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press@redfin.com
Source: Redfin