New Report: 93% of Small Businesses Expect Growth in 2026
New data also shows AI adoption continues to rise and small business owners increasingly bypass traditional banks as financing patterns shift
Key findings include:
- Growth Expectations. Small business optimism remains high, with 93% of businesses expecting growth in the next year and 32% expecting significant growth — a survey all-time high.
- Top Challenges. Cash flow emerged as the top concern for small business owners (31%) for the first time, surpassing inflation (29%).
- Lender Preference. Over 76% of small businesses report bypassing traditional banks for capital, a survey all-time high.
- 2026 Planning Strategies. Access to credit was the leading factor shaping small business strategy (46%), followed by consumer spending (42%) and interest rates (35%), while external macro risks such as trade policy (14%) ranked lower in Q1 — consistent with previous quarters.
- AI Adoption . Fifty-eight percent of small businesses report using AI, continuing the steady upward trend seen in 2025, with 89% of users reporting a positive impact on their business.
"Small businesses aren't slowing down — they're planning ahead, investing in growth and finding new ways to operate more efficiently. At OnDeck, we're focused on helping them access the capital they need to keep that momentum going," said
"Small businesses are showing a high level of adaptability as they move through 2026," said
The report is based on responses from 651 small businesses with working capital loans and over 3.69 million small business applications for working capital financing during the past 15 months. The nationwide survey was completed between March 4–10, 2026. For more information and complete survey results, please visit ondeck.com/small-business-trends.
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Ocrolus is a vertical AI workflow and analytics platform that transforms financial documents and digital data into regulatory-grade decision intelligence. Purpose-built for lending since 2016, the platform analyzes roughly 750,000 credit applications each month with industry-leading accuracy — enabling financial institutions to make faster, more confident credit decisions. Ocrolus goes beyond data extraction to deliver audit-ready cash flow and income analytics and fraud detection across a wide variety of document types, including bank statements, pay stubs and tax forms. Trusted by over 400 customers, Ocrolus is the engine of modern credit underwriting. To learn more, visit Ocrolus.com.
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