U.S. Bank CFO Survey: Geopolitics and Inflation Rise on the Risk Agenda, but CFOs Keep Moving on Growth, Deals
Research captures finance leader insights on AI investment returns, supply chain repositioning, M&A appetite and cost pressures
The results of this research are based on a survey conducted
The survey finds that 39% ranked cost cutting as their top priority (up from 33% in mid-2024), while revenue growth rose from seventh to second (31%). In addition, 30% said contributing to business-wide digital transformation is a top priority.
Deal appetite is also rising. Nearly half (49%) of finance leaders say they are more likely to make acquisitions in the next 12 months than the past 12. Finance leaders say bolt-on acquisitions are the most likely deal type. Respondents in healthcare, life sciences and pharmaceuticals, and technology were among the most likely to say that M&A would rise in their sector in the next 12 months.
Near-term economic sentiment has cooled, according to the survey. Just 36% hold a positive 12-month outlook for the
“CFOs are managing through real cross-currents right now, with elevated geopolitical and inflation concerns. It’s no surprise that those pressures are weighing on near-term sentiment. But on the ground, in investment and business activity, we’re seeing more confidence. Leaders are still pursuing growth while maintaining cost discipline and sharpening risk management,” said
Key Survey Findings
- Growth priorities have moved up materially: Driving revenue growth now ranks #2 on finance leaders’ priority list (31%), up from #7 in mid-2024. Contributing to business-wide digital transformation remains a top-three priority (30%).
- Top risks center on geopolitics and inflation: Geopolitical tension and war (35%) and high inflation (34%) are the top risks cited most by finance leaders. Some 71% of finance leaders say that rising global uncertainty and volatility has caused them to delay or scale down at least one major investment project in the past 12 months, while just 12% report cancelling at least one major project.
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Supply chains are being repositioned: Among organizations with manufacturing operations overseas, 62% nearshored manufacturing activity closer to the
U.S. , and 37% reshored manufacturing back to theU.S. Many (51%) with domestic or international supply chains have diversified suppliers across multiple countries. - ROI on AI investments: Finance leaders track ROI on 41% of AI investments on average, and where measured, 47% generate a positive return.
- Deal appetite is rising, with bolt-ons favored: 49% say they are more likely to make acquisitions in the next 12 months compared to the last 12 months, and bolt-on deals appear more attractive than transformational moves. For transformational acquisitions, 10% say they are highly likely and 37% say they are quite likely to do a deal. For bolt-on acquisitions, 19% say they are highly likely and 32% say they are quite likely to do a deal.
- Cost cutting still leads the agenda: Cutting costs and driving efficiencies across the company remains the top priority (39%), up from 33% in mid-2024.
- Cost pressures persist and passing them through is harder: 49% say it’s increasingly challenging to pass cost pressures to customers, yet businesses plan to pass through 55% of cost increases on average, up from 50% in the past 12 months.
- Underhedged: 58% say their business is underhedged on commodity price risks, leaving them exposed as geopolitical tensions put upward pressure on energy and input costs.
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About the Research
The results of this research are based on a survey conducted
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todd.deutsch@usbank.com
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