Company Announcements

Half-year Report

Source: RNS
RNS Number : 6973W
Miton UK MicroCap Trust plc
14 December 2023
 

14 December 2023

 

Miton UK MicroCap Trust plc

 

(the "Company" or the "Trust")

 

REPORT AND ACCOUNTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 OCTOBER 2023

 

The Directors present the Half Year Report of the Company for the six months ended 31 October 2023.

 

The Miton UK MicroCap Trust plc is an investment trust listed on the London Stock Exchange under the ticker code MINI. The Board, which consists of four independent directors, appoints the Investment Manager and oversees all aspects of the Trust.

 

The Board oversees the Trust's strategy to ensure it has the potential to deliver an attractive investment return for shareholders over the longer term. The Trust's portfolio is distinctive from others in that it principally invests in UK-quoted microcap companies, which are defined as those with market capitalisations of less than £150m.

 

The enthusiasm for passive indexation strategies has enhanced returns at the larger end of the market  capitalisation range of listed companies over recent years. The return of the Numis All-Share Index since April 2015 is ahead of the return from the Numis Smaller Companies plus AIM Index excluding Investment Companies, but the latter currently lags the Numis 1000 Index ex ICs. This index (which represents the aggregate return of the smallest 2% of the UK stock market) does not include AIM stocks. Alternative markets, such as AIM, have been particularly impacted by negative sentiment towards the UK and smaller companies.

 

The longer-term pattern since 1955 is the exact opposite, and once this pattern returns, there is scope for the Trust to deliver unusually strong returns that greatly outpace all the comparative indices. However, over the past six months, the Trust's total return NAV (including dividend income) fell by 15.5% which compares with a negative total return on the Numis 1000 Index ex ICs of 9.1%.

 

Results for the Half Year to 31 October 2023

 

·     Over the half year, the Ordinary share NAV fell from 64.20p on 30 April 2023 to 54.10p on 31 October 2023, a fall of 15.5% (including re-invested dividend).*

·    The Ordinary share price moved from 59.90p at the end of April 2023 to 47.50p at the end of October 2023, a decrease of 20.0% (including re-invested dividend).*

·     A profit of £47,000 in the half year to 31 October 2023 has been credited to revenue reserves.

·  Redemption requests of 18.7% of the Company's issued share capital were received and accepted, with the redeemed shares cancelled after the period end on 2 November 2023.

·   The annual redemption mechanism offers investors the chance to redeem part or all of their holding, addressing any imbalance between buyers and sellers of the Trust's shares, and helping to maintain a relatively tight share price discount.

 

Summary of the results

 

 

Half Year to

31 October

2023

Year ended

30 April

2023

Total net assets attributable to equity shareholders (£,000)

51,202

60,754

NAV per Ordinary Share*

54.10p

64.20p

Share price (mid)

47.50p

59.90p

Discount to NAV*

(12.20)%

(7.32)%

Investment income

£0.3m

£0.8m

Revenue return per Ordinary Share

0.05p

0.03p

Total return per Ordinary Share*

(9.94)p

(28.93)p

Ongoing charges#*

2.00%

1.72%

Ordinary shares in issue

94,638,561

94,638,561

 

* Alternative Performance Measure ('APM'). Details are provided in the Glossary, see Half Year Report.
# The ongoing charges are calculated in accordance with AIC guidelines.

 

Chairman's Statement

I am starting this review by looking at a number of changes that have evolved in the UK equity market.

 

For several reasons, UK equities have been deeply out of favour with both domestic and international buyers, and especially since the Brexit vote in June 2016. The valuations prevailing in the US market have persuaded companies either to move there (for instance CRH and Wolseley) or to relist there (e.g. ARM Holdings). The UK currently represents only a 3.5% weighting in world indices compared to 10% in 2000. This is a precipitous decline, mirrored by the collapse in the number of UK listed equities overall. There were some 3,000 listed companies in 1997 as against just 1,213 today, a number that is being steadily eroded by an accelerating trend of takeovers, barely offset by a feeble number of Initial Public Offerings. In this calendar year to date, over 30 companies have already been acquired, mostly by foreign companies, or are in the final stages of being so. Unless swift government action is taken, the risk to London's position as the premier global financial centre is very real.

 

Domestic institutions, predominately pension funds and insurance companies, have been dramatically cutting their weightings in UK equities. They owned more than half the market in the 1990s. Now they own just 4%, as they have conformed to world index weightings. Contrarians should find valuations attractive, with UK equities trading on around 11 times 2023 earnings per share, versus Continental Europe on 14 times and the US on 20 times. You might reasonably wonder how relevant this is to the performance of the Company. In short, the macro trends affecting UK equities have been felt most acutely at the lowest market capitalisation end of the market. The SmallCap index has lost around 5% of its constituents this year thus far, suffering a 20% reduction in its market capitalisation as a result.

 

Thanks to the inexorable retreat from UK small cap equities, hastened by attractive 5%+ yields on short-dated gilts, the market has been 'offer' only, except in a rare few companies. Nowadays, market makers hold very little inventory and even sales of small quantities of stock are sufficient to trigger double digit percentage falls in prices. The flip side is that when the mood music changes, the gains in the better companies will be explosive. The foundations for big gains in the next small cap bull market are being laid now, for those brave enough to invest in quality stocks with solid balance sheets in the AIM sector. The Numis Alternative Markets index peaked on 6 September 2021 and, by the end of October this year had fallen 46.8% - that is some bear market!

 

Trust returns since issue in April 2015

Over the six months to 31 October 2023, your Manager struggled valiantly against the receding tide, making a small amount of relative headway. The Numis Alternative Markets index ex ICs, covering AIM listed stocks, was down 16.2%, while the Numis Smaller Companies Plus AIM Index ex ICs fell 12.2% (quoted in total return terms including dividend income). The Trust's portfolio includes relatively few stocks that pay dividends, so its Revenue per Share amounted to 0.05p over the half year. This is usual for this portfolio, and similar to the first half last year. It was always anticipated that nearly all the return of the Trust will be delivered from microcap stocks generating substantial cash surpluses as they mature, when their share prices generally appreciate substantially. During periods of sustained adverse stock market sentiment, however, microcap share prices can fall to what appear to be exceptionally low valuations. Over the half year, the market pattern was adverse, so the Trust's NAV total return fell 15.5%, slightly better than the Numis Alternative Markets index, but somewhat behind the Numis Smaller Companies Plus AIM Index ex ICs. The Revenue per Share above is included in this figure.

 

Since 1955, UK quoted microcaps have substantially outperformed all other parts of the UK stock market, although this does include lengthy periods when microcaps have underperformed. Since the Trust was launched in April 2015, UK microcaps have suffered two periods of weak sentiment and, therefore, weak returns. The first period started in July 2018, when Parliamentary gridlock held up negotiations with the EU about the UK's leaving terms. The adverse sentiment worsened further in early 2020 with the onset of the global pandemic. Between July 2018 and March 2020, the Trust's NAV total return fell by just under 42%. The second period of microcap weakness has been in place since October 2021, due to the marked shift towards indexation strategies that has favoured large and mega cap outperformance. Microcap sentiment has been persistently weak over this period, and as a result the Trust's NAV total return has fallen by 48.2% over the last two and a half years.

 

The predominant trend since 1955 has been of UK microcap outperformance. When microcaps are in favour, the Miton UK Microcap Trust strategy has shown that it can deliver very substantial NAV total returns. Between March 2020 and April 2021, for example, its NAV total return was over 150%. However, since launch, the two periods of weak sentiment towards microcaps have meant that the Trust's NAV total return since April 2015 has only been 13.0%. This appreciation compares with a rise of 31.7% of the Numis 1000 Index ex ICs and a flat return from the Numis Alternative Markets Index ex ICs. The first of these has been enhanced by some of the largest constituents outperforming the microcap end due to the indexation trend noted above. We look forward to a return of the long-term trend of microcap outperformance which has been in place since 1955.

 

Market valuation of the Trust and share redemptions

Investment trusts are, by some margin, the most suitable vehicle for investing in quoted microcaps because the returns from investing in an equivalent OEIC tend to be compromised by the flip-flop of daily subscriptions and redemptions. The underlying holdings are generally less liquid and forced selling can depress their share prices. It mystifies me as to why the regulators allow illiquid assets, such as commercial property, to be marketed to investors under the OEIC structure, given the numerous cases of such funds being suspended during periods of market turmoil and therefore investors' access to their cash frozen. The mismatch between ongoing buyers and sellers within an investment trust strategy, by contrast, is reflected in the trust's share price relative to its underlying NAV. When there are few buyers for a sustained period, investment trust share prices can trade 10%, 20% or even more below their underlying NAVs.

 

To minimise this risk, the Trust offers all investors a redemption opportunity once each year. This mechanism addresses the imbalance between buyers and sellers, with the result that MINI's share price discount normally remains modest compared with others in the peer group. The redeemed shares are sometimes placed with an institutional buyer at NAV. If there are insufficient buyers, then the redemption shares are either cancelled via portfolio cash or a similar percentage of the Trust's portfolio is transferred to a Redemption Pool and sold so that cash can be raised independently and distributed to the redeeming shareholders.

 

During this period, we once more offered our shareholders the option to redeem their shares and I would not be honest if I did not say that we were disappointed that 18.7% of shareholders elected to avail themselves of this opportunity. By our calculations, some 9% of the shares in issue and being redeemed were held by arbitrageurs. Given the size of this redemption, your directors decided that it was in the best interests of all shareholders to place the redeemed shares into a separate Redemption Pool, to be carefully liquidated over a period of time after the 2 November Redemption date. We judged that it was in no one's interest precipitately to dispose of large holdings of relatively illiquid shares. Based on past experience, we hope to have completed this exercise by early 2024.

 

Shareholders may be aware that, from the inception of the Trust in April 2015, the directors placed a 2% cap on management charges, so the costs of running the Trust will not rise exponentially if the share price were to decline much further. Naturally, we hope that the faint signs of life which we are detecting at the smallest end of the UK equity market, will strengthen as we move into 2024.

 

MINI's share price has, on average, traded at 4.6% below its NAV since launch, a considerably better outcome than nearly all other trusts in our peer group. We believe that this outcome in part vindicates the existence of the Trust's redemption facility.

An additional advantage of the redemption facility is that it makes it easier for large investors to exit in size once a year. Overall, the Trust has issued almost £40 million of additional capital and returned nearly £60 million to redeeming shareholders since 2015. The recent redemption of c.17.7 million shares on 2 November 2023 is included in the £60 million figure.

 

Board Refreshment and Change of Service Providers

The Board has staggered the retirement of the original directors so that new directors join the board progressively, enabling subsequent succession planning to be undertaken in an orderly fashion. Currently the average term of the board directors is 5 years and 2 months. Louise Bonham, who joined the Board on 15 December 2022, will take over from Peter Dicks as Chair of the Audit Committee on 1 November 2024. Peter will retire from the Board on 31 December 2024.

 

Following a review of service providers, the Board has appointed subsidiaries of Northern Trust as company secretary, fund administrator and depositary with effect from 4 March 2024. These changes will result in a considerable saving for shareholders.

 

Prospects

Historically, UK quoted microcaps have delivered returns well above those of UK large caps, even through periods of unsettled economic conditions. During globalisation, although UK microcaps did outperform UK large caps, the extent of this was unremarkable, as companies with rapid growth prospects, such as US technology stocks, greatly outperformed during these decades. However, when international relationships fragment, companies generating a stream of good and growing dividends have an advantage and typically outperform. At the time of the Trust's launch in April 2015 your Manager anticipated that global market trends were set to go through this transition.

 

Over the last three years, UK stock market sentiment has remained weak. But even so, as the globalisation trend has faded, it is noteworthy that UK large caps, typically capital-intensive businesses paying out a stream of good and growing dividends, have now started to outperform nearly all other comparators. Whilst UK large caps have now started to generate premium returns, the usual pattern of UK microcap outperformance has not been evident over the last three years.

 

The key point is that market sentiment can change dramatically, as it did after March 2020 when UK quoted microcaps, and this Trust in particular, generated very strong returns. Against this background, UK microcaps appear overdue for a period of major performance catch-up. Furthermore, if UK mainstream equities continue to outperform international peers, and if the usual trend of UK microcap outperformance of UK large caps continues as it has since 1955, then the Trust has the prospect of delivering returns that outpace those of most international strategies. Your Managers, through extensive research, believe that they can add further upside to Trust's returns, and that a new market trend such as this will remain in favour for some decades.

 

 

Ashe Windham

Chairman

13 December 2023

 

 

Investment Manager's Report

 

Which fund managers have day-to-day responsibility for the Trust's portfolio?

Since the launch of the Trust in April 2015, the day-to-day management of the Trust's portfolio has consistently been carried out by Gervais Williams and Martin Turner.

 

Gervais Williams

Gervais joined Miton at March 2011 and is now Head of Equities in Premier Miton. He has been an equity fund manager since 1985, including 17 years at Gartmore. He was named Fund Manager of the Year by What Investment? in 2014. Gervais is also the President of the Quoted Companies Alliance and a member of the AIM Advisory Council.

 

Martin Turner

Martin joined Miton in May 2011. Martin and Gervais have had a close working relationship since 2004, with complementary expertise that led them to back a series of successful companies. Martin qualified as a Chartered Accountant with Arthur Anderson and had senior roles and extensive experience at Merrill Lynch and Collins Stewart.

 

What were the principal stock detractors and contributors to portfolio returns over the half year?

Although UK quoted microcap share prices have been weak over the two years to April 2023, their returns remained weak again over the half year under review. Specifically, the valuation of government bonds fell further due to persistent inflationary pressures. Even quoted companies, paying good and growing dividends, suffered a degree of share price weakness. In the last two years, investor sentiment regarding less mature stocks, such as small and microcaps, continued to be very poor.

 

The three biggest detractors to the Trust's return over the half year were Cyanconnode, Totally and MTI Wireless. Cyanconnode is one of the portfolio's largest holdings. We note that it is already one of the largest suppliers of smart utility meters to India, at a time when they are about to install very large numbers of meters. As yet, the Indian utility companies have not awarded many contracts, testing the patience of shareholders. We remain upbeat that substantial contracts will be announced in the coming quarters.

 

Totally is a business that administers part of the 111 service for the NHS and provides other services. With some of its current contracts concluding, and few out to tender at present, profitability has dipped. We anticipate an increase in future contract activity, even if there is a change of government. In the case of MTI Wireless, this aerial and irrigation control business continues to generate ongoing growth in profits and dividends, but as it operates in Israel, its share price was weak in October due to worries about potential local economic disruption.

 

Importantly, in each case, the businesses themselves remain well financed with net cash balances, and in our view their prospects remain strong. In common with other quoted microcaps they have the potential for their share prices to appreciate by a multiple of their current valuation. But, as all three are significant portfolio weightings, their weak share prices over the half year have collectively detracted 3.6% from the Trust's returns.

 

Microcap share prices have been weak for some time. Over the half year to October the Numis 1000 Index ex ICs was down 9.1%, and indeed it has fallen by 23.9% over the last two and half years. The NAV return of the Trust has declined by 15.5% over the last six months, and 48.2% over the last two and half years. All these figures are quoted in total return terms, including the contribution from dividends.

 

Despite these bleak figures, as outlined elsewhere, we believe the upside potential for the Trust remains unusually strong. In the period up to March 2020 for example, the Trust's NAV total return also fell severely, but thereafter its NAV total return then rose dramatically, easily exceeding its previous highs. Very few of the Trust's holdings have generated these kinds of returns at a time when UK microcap sentiment is so poor. Yu Group is an exception, as its prospective net cash balances are increasing so fast that they would have been several multiples of its earlier market capitalisation if its share price had not also appreciated significantly.

 

This is the key to our confidence in the Trust's strategy. The share prices of UK microcaps such as Yu Group often have an option-like upside, so when they come right, an individual stock alone can deliver substantial upside for the Trust. In the six-month period, Yu Group has enhanced the Trust's return by 3.3%, almost matching the Trust's three worst detractors. In more favourable times, there is potential for a number of UK microcaps to rise by a multiple of their current share prices, and hopefully relatively few that will suffer severe share price setbacks.

 

Has the manager maintained or extended the PUT Option protection that was previously in place?

Towards the end of the period under review, we added to the trust's existing FTSE100 Put option with a term to December covering just over half of the portfolio, with an additional FTSE100 Put that extends to June 2024, as we felt that the cost of such Puts was very modest at the time of purchase. The combined effect is that the portfolio has around 95% insurance against stock market crashes up to mid-December, with just under half of the portfolio covered thereafter up to mid-June 2024.

 

The key advantage of investing in a FTSE 100 Put option is that at times of major market setbacks, the valuation of the Put option rises, which can then offset a part of the decline of other portfolio holdings. During the March 2020 setback for example, the Trust was able to take profits on its FTSE Puts after they had risen. It then bought more UK microcaps with the additional cash, at a time when their share prices were low. This process boosted the returns of the Trust through the market setback and the subsequent recovery.

 

In the light of the substantial decline in the Trust's NAV over the last two and half years, to what degree have the longer-term prospects of the portfolio holdings deteriorated?

Following the global pandemic, and the contemporaneous financial stimulus, many of the previous economic bottlenecks have now been resolved. Unfortunately, these factors have been replaced with new challenges that are also expected to become ongoing headwinds for forthcoming corporate profitability. These include:

 

1.   With the rise of inflation, interest rates have been raised dramatically, and this is expected to suppress economic activity after a time lag. There have also been a number of geopolitical events that are expected to weigh on the potential for global growth, most notably the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and the Israeli/ Hamas conflict. In addition, there are a growing number of tariffs being imposed on specific industry subsectors by one country importing or exporting to another.

 

2.   With the phasing out of Quantitative Easing and the introduction of Quantitative Tightening, government issuance of bonds is now a substantial liquidity drain on asset markets. Additionally, many banks have suffered a drawdown in deposits, so they have often tightened lending criteria, and in many cases are reluctant to lend as much as they have in the past.

 

Whilst there have been some profit warnings to date, the UK economy has not yet fallen into recession. Even so, elevated interest rates are expected to bite in time.

 

The effect is that the advantages of being a well-financed company are more significant when financial conditions are more difficult. Specifically, if competitors fail, a well-financed business can expand into the vacated markets. Well-financed businesses can also acquire overindebted, but otherwise viable businesses, debt-free from the receiver, often for a nominal sum. The upside potential for quoted small caps of these deals tends to be greater than large caps, as the value-add of an acquisition typically has a larger impact when the acquirer is smaller.

 

In conclusion, the prospects for some portfolio companies have deteriorated, and these have been sold. Meanwhile, whilst a forthcoming recession might be a challenge for any business, the advantages for well-financed businesses can sometimes improve, especially if they are quoted microcaps. Hence, we remain enthused by the potential trajectory for the share prices of well-funded, quoted microcaps from here, especially when set in the context of share prices that at present are often standing at multi-year lows at present.

 

The Trust's NAV total return has only been 13% since launch in April 2015, and geopolitical risks are rising. Surely, these factors have reduced your confidence in the upside potential for the strategy?

Since the Trust was first launched in April 2015, UK microcaps have suffered two periods of weak sentiment that has held back their longer-term potential.

 

1.   The first extended from July 2019 when Parliamentary gridlock hindered negotiations with the EU about the UK's leaving terms. UK microcap sentiment worsened further in early 2020 with the onset of the global pandemic. Overall, between July 2018 and March 2020, the Trust's NAV total return fell by just under 42%.

 

2.   The second covers the last two and half years since April 2021, when the allocation crescendo toward indexation strategies favoured large and mega cap outperformance. Consequently, UK quoted microcap sentiment has been persistently weak with the Trust's NAV total return declining by 48.2% between April 2021 and October 2023.

 

Despite these setbacks, the reason we initiated the launch of this Trust was because UK quoted microcaps have greatly outperformed all other parts of the UK stock market since 1955 (the date when detailed stock market data was first compiled). Whilst there are periods when microcaps do underperform, these are greatly outweighed by long periods of microcap outperformance. Over the past 68 years, the trend has been that the return on a UK quoted company has been inversely related to its market capitalisation. In aggregate, the smaller the listed company, the better its longer-term return.

 

Given this data, we find it noteworthy that the trend of UK microcap underperformance ended abruptly in 2020, when Covid-19 struck and the global economy suddenly entered a serious recession. Large caps are better positioned to dodge the bullets during recessions because they have such large market positions. Typically, their prospects are closely related to the fluctuations of the global economy.

 

Recessions are challenging, however, and the ongoing geopolitical risks a worry for all businesses including microcaps. But, interestingly, these conditions are an advantage for well-funded businesses that are immature and small. First, being small, they have a greater chance of replacing any sales lost to a recession by taking market share elsewhere. Second, when a competitor fails, or a microcap makes an acquisition from the receiver, the upside potential tends to be much greater than for a large cap. With a small market capitalisation, the scale of the potential added upside is often much more meaningful for the combined businesses. Given these factors, we were not surprised that the Miton UK Microcap Trust's NAV total return rose more than 150% between March 2020 and April 2021, despite the challenges of the pandemic and the global recession.

 

Clearly, we are disappointed that the Trust's total return NAV has only been 13% since launch in April 2015. Unfortunately, this period includes the two periods of weak microcap sentiment as explained above. The Trust's return has lagged a rise of 31.7% in the Numis 1000 Index ex ICs, although it is ahead of the flat return from the Numis Alternative Markets Index ex ICs since issue. To a degree some of the largest index constituents may have outperformed due to the impact of the indexation allocation trend noted above.

 

Total returns from launch to 31 October 2023

 

Numis All-Share Index

40.4

Numis 1000 Index ex ICs

31.7

Numis Smaller Companies Plus AIM Index ex ICs

25.2

MINI NAV

13.0

 

We do highlight, however, that the 'nifty fifty' large cap stocks also conspicuously outperformed in the 1960s and early 1970s, a stock market pattern that is reminiscent of the present. Thereafter, as the trajectory of the global economy weakened due to the oil price crisis and geopolitical risks, UK microcaps went on to outperform large caps substantially for many decades.

 

In short, despite the recent adverse sentiment haunting UK quoted microcaps, we believe that the potential for the Trust's strategy has not diminished. Indeed, we note that numerous UK quoted microcaps are currently standing on what appear to be low valuations that are completely unjustifiable, so their upside potential may be even greater than normal this time round.

 

Will the lesser liquidity of the UK quoted microcap investment universe remain a bar to institutional capital in future?

During the globalisation decades, most investors have gradually become accustomed to investing more internationally, and typically in strategies with elevated risks and greater upside potential.

1.  In stock market terms, this might have included US 'unicorns' (high growth stocks that have typically drawn down very substantial capital sums to build a market position that they hope eventually becomes very valuable).

2.  In bond market terms, it has typically involved investing in long-dated bonds so that as bond yields fell, they had greater upside potential.

3.  In borrowing terms, it has also included double or triple geared index ETFs or private equity funds with geared upside potential combined with the advantage of paying ever lower interest costs.

 

As a result over the past several decades, most investors have reduced their UK equity weightings and scaled up their capital participation in strategies with extra risk and upside.

 

In this context, we find it interesting that, with the problems of inflation and the decline in bond valuations, the FTSE100 Index has now moved to become amongst the best performing of all global stock markets over the last three years. This is remarkable, as most local investors have continued the trend of selling the UK to invest elsewhere, yet this has not stopped the UK stock market outperforming.

 

As it is, the Trust's investment universe includes more than half of all UK quoted companies. For now, most professionally managed UK small cap strategies seldom research the potential of microcaps. However, if UK microcaps do outperform midcaps from here, then most small cap fund managers will need to become more accustomed to investing in UK quoted microcaps, or else suffer underperformance. Importantly, as there is lesser liquidity within microcaps, a portfolio shift like this will be self-reinforcing, potentially boosting microcap upside to an even greater degree.

 

Furthermore, if the global economy is weak in future, and if quoted microcaps do outperform as significantly as they have in the past, then we anticipate that even institutional investors will become accustomed to allocating capital further down the UK market capitalisation range - even into UK microcaps. These institutions often already hold unquoted companies in their portfolios, so the liquidity of quoted microcaps in this context will be a considerable improvement.

 

 

What are the prospects for the Trust?

In the answers above, we have attempted to outline why we believe that the prospects for the Trust's strategy appear unusually strong at present. In this section, we have sought to cover why we believe the prospects for the Trust are so compelling on a medium-and longer-term basis.

 

Historically, UK quoted microcaps have delivered returns well above that of UK large caps, even during periods of unsettled economic conditions. During globalisation, UK microcaps continued to outperform UK large caps, but the outcome was of little interest to institutional investors, as international strategies investing in large caps with rapid growth prospects, such as US technology stocks, performed strongly.

 

But when economic conditions are more unsettled, companies generating a stream of good and growing dividends have the advantage and typically outperform. At the time of the Trust's launch in April 2015 the Manager anticipated that global market trends were set to go through this transition.

 

As the globalisation trend has faded over the last three years, it is noteworthy that UK large caps, which typically comprise capital intensive businesses paying out a stream of good and growing dividends, have now started to outperform nearly all international comparatives. If UK large caps are now set to deliver returns ahead of most other comparatives, to what degree should we be worried that the usual pattern of UK microcap outperformance has been absent over the last three years?

 

In our view, this is explainable. As yet, local investors have not changed their behaviour of prioritising capital allocation to overseas strategies rather than to the UK. The reason that UK large caps have outperformed over the last three years is related to the behaviour of international investors who have started to increase their weightings in low-beta equity income stocks, such as those within the UK's mainstream stock market index.

 

The key point here is that market sentiment can change dramatically, and when a favourable new trend is established, it can remain in place for a very long period. If UK mainstream equities do continue to outperform international comparatives, as we anticipate, and if the usual trend of UK microcap outperformance of UK large caps also returns, then the Trust has the potential to deliver returns that will outpace those of most international strategies.

 

This would represent a sea change in stock market trends, and in our view will justify local investors ceasing to allocate capital overseas and bringing it back to the UK, where the government is looking to help the stock market in various ways. And as local investors, they would not just allocate to UK large caps.

 

We therefore feel that UK quoted microcaps are at the start of a supercycle that has the potential to persist for decades. In short, Martin and I believe the prospects for the Trust's strategy are the best they have been for thirty years.

 

 

Gervais Williams and Martin Turner

13 December 2023

 


 

Portfolio Information as at 31 October 2023

 

Rank

Company

Sector and Main Activity

Valuation £'000

% of Net Assets

Yield* %

1

Yu Group

Utilities

3,686

7.2

0.6

2

MTI Wireless Edge

Telecommunications

1,254

2.4

7.5

3

TruFin

Financials

1,231

2.4

-

4

Accrol Group

Consumer Staples

1,169

2.3

-

5

DX Group

Industrials

1,021

2.0

3.5

6

Cyanconnode Holdings

Telecommunications

978

1.9

-

7

Pantheon Resources

Energy

965

1.9

-

8

Zinc Media Group

Consumer Discretionary

953

1.9

-

9

Shield Therapeutics

Health Care

941

1.8

-

10

Frontier IP Group

Industrials

913

1.8

-

Top 10 Investments


13,111

25.6

 

11

Andrada Mining

Basic Materials

857

1.7

-

12

Journeo

Industrials

824

1.6

-

13

Ingenta

Technology

813

1.6

2.7

14

Braemar

Industrials

806

1.6

5.2

15

Supreme

Consumer Staples

804

1.6

2.9

16

STM Group

Financials

737

1.4

1.2

17

Van Elle Holdings

Industrials

695

1.4

3.2

18

Savannah Resources

Basic Materials

685

1.3

-

19

Serabi Gold

Basic Materials

678

1.3

-

20

Zephyr Energy

Energy

665

1.3

-

Top 20 Investments


20,675

40.4

 

21

Enteq Technologies

Energy

664

1.3

-

22

REACT Group

Industrials

617

1.2

-

23

Ultimate Products

Consumer Discretionary

617

1.2

6.0

24

Elemental Altus Royalties

Basic Materials

617

1.2

-

25

Avacta Group

Health Care

611

1.2

-

26

Marwyn Value Investors

Financials

604

1.2

11.8

27

Concurrent Technologies

Technology

588

1.2

-

28

CT Automotive Group

Consumer Discretionary

579

1.1

-

29

Tirupati Graphite

Basic Materials

572

1.1

-

30

Kistos

Energy

570

1.1

-

Top 30 Investments


26,714

52.2


Balance held in 92 equity investments

18,198

35.5


Total equity investments


44,912

87.7


Listed Put Option                                  


 

 


                   UKX - December 2023 5,700 Put


16

-


 

UKX - June 2024 5,900 Put

185

0.4


Total Put Options


201

0.4


Other net current assets


6,089

11.9


Net assets


51,202

100.0


 

* Source: Refinitiv. Based on historical yields and therefore not representative of future yields. Includes special dividends where known.

 

 

 

FURTHER INFORMATION

 

Miton UK MicroCap Trust plc's report and accounts for the half year ended 31 October 2023 will be available today on https://www.mitonukmicrocaptrust.com/documents/.

 

It will also be submitted shortly in full unedited text to the Financial Conduct Authority's National Storage Mechanism and will be available for inspection at data.fca.org.uk/#/nsm/nationalstoragemechanism in accordance with DTR 6.3.5(1A) of the Financial Conduct Authority's Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

 

Enquiries:

 

Miton UK MicroCap Trust plc


Gervais Williams, Martin Turner, Claire Long

Tel: 020 3714 1500

 



Peel Hunt LLP (Broker)


Liz Yong, Luke Simpson, Huw Jeremy

Tel: 020 7418 8900

 

 

 

ISIN: GB00BWFGQ085

LEI: 21380048Q8UABVMAG916

 

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