KBRA Assigns A- Issuer and Senior Unsecured Debt Ratings to Sumisho Air Lease Corporation; Expects to Rate Senior Unsecured Notes Issuance A-
KBRA expects to assign an A- rating to the senior unsecured notes expected to be issued by Merger Sub. Upon close of the AL acquisition and release of proceeds from escrow, proceeds from notes will be used (i) to pay a portion of the
In addition, KBRA assigns issuer and senior unsecured debt ratings of A- to
In
Key Credit Considerations
The ratings reflects KBRA’s view of SALC as strategically important to its majority owners, SMBC AC (a leading global aircraft lessor that will act as servicer for the majority of SALC’s fleet) and SC (a Japanese conglomerate operating across several sectors), which have strong credit profiles, deep aviation investment expertise and have demonstrated long-term commitment to the sector historically, in addition to SALC’s post-acquisition standalone credit profile.
In KBRA’s view, there is a high likelihood of parental support for SALC given (i) the company’s strategic importance to the majority owners as it broadens SMBC AC’s global footprint with a high quality fleet and diverse customer base and enhances SC’s exposure in its key leasing sector (ii) operational integration with day-to-day management by SMBC AC as servicer (iii) the company’s core business overlap with SMBC AC (iv) shared management and leadership (v) funding support from the majority owners including debt and equity capital and (vi) shared branding with other SC subsidiaries.
In KBRA’s view, the majority owners have strong abilities to support SALC with their strong financial positions, substantial liquidity, and robust funding access. SMBC AC is majority (66%) beneficially owned by
The ratings are also supported by a strong standalone credit profile of SALC which is expected to benefit from key strengths of AL (senior debt rated A-/ Stable Outlook by KBRA) including an in-demand quality fleet focused on new-technology aircraft, contracted lease revenue with a diverse customer base and a largely unsecured funding profile with significant unencumbered assets. In addition, SALC benefits from SMBC AC’s experienced management team, strong risk management and corporate governance and extensive aviation platform and industry relationships. KBRA notes that, without an orderbook, SALC’s future growth is less certain but KBRA expects the company to maintain a sizeable and quality fleet.
SALC’s liquidity profile is supported by a
On a Debt-to-tangible common equity (TCE) basis, leverage will be 3.5x pro-forma for transaction close (giving 50% equity credit to outstanding preferred shares) and is projected to decline to the company’s long-term target of 3.0x in the near-term with proceeds from planned aircraft sales used to repay debt. The company is expected to maintain strong financial metrics in order to ensure ongoing funding access at attractive rates.
The ratings are balanced by less certain long-term growth and fleet metrics of SALC without an orderbook, transaction execution risk including planned aircraft sales, the cyclical nature of the industry that could lead to credit issues with airline customers, and event risks related to air travel.
The alignment of the senior unsecured debt ratings with the issuer rating reflects the almost entirely unencumbered asset base providing strong coverage of unsecured debt of 1.5x on a pro-forma basis.
The Stable Outlook reflects an acceptable leverage target and strong funding and liquidity profiles as well as AL’s and SMBC AC's resilient performance through market disruptions historically, with proven access to funding at attractive rates. The Stable Outlook also considers the current favorable industry dynamics for aircraft lessors with robust aircraft demand and limited supply driving higher lease rates and aircraft values, which are expected to remain for several years.
Rating Sensitivities
A rating upgrade in the near future is not expected given the industry’s cyclical nature and exposure to event risk that could lead to credit issues with airline customers, as well as the company’s reliance on wholesale funding, despite the resilience demonstrated by AL and SMBC AC during recent market disruptions.
The Stable Outlook could be revised to Negative or the ratings could be downgraded if air traffic declines and leads to increased delinquencies, defaults and/or impairments, or a decline in funding availability with significant negative impacts on profitability, capital and/or liquidity metrics. A significant increase in the company’s asset encumbrance could also trigger a review for downgrade. A significant decline in the company’s strategic importance to the majority owners, in KBRA’s view, combined with a significant decline in fleet quality metrics or customer diversity could lead to a review for downgrade.
To access ratings and relevant documents, click here.
Methodologies
- Financial Institutions: Finance Company Global Rating Methodology
- Corporates & Financial Institutions: Corporate Instruments / Corporate-Linked Obligations Notching Global Methodology
- ESG Global Rating Methodology
Disclosures
A description of all substantially material sources that were used to prepare the credit rating and information on the methodology(ies) (inclusive of any material models and sensitivity analyses of the relevant key rating assumptions, as applicable) used in determining the credit rating is available in the Information Disclosure Form(s) located here.
Information on the meaning of each rating category can be located here.
Further disclosures relating to this rating action are available in the Information Disclosure Form(s) referenced above. Additional information regarding KBRA policies, methodologies, rating scales and disclosures are available at www.kbra.com.
About KBRA
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