Citi Wealth Releases Outlook 2025 - Growth Amid Discord: Strategies for a “Rule-Breaking” Expansion
Having defied usually reliable recession signals, the global economic expansion is expected to continue in 2025 and 2026. Citi Wealth forecasts world GDP to rise 2.9% in 2025 and 2026, up from 2.6% in 2024, with the
“We are advising our investors to keep core portfolios fully invested for the long-term while being wary of over-concentrated portfolios,” said
Amid likely geopolitical discord, Citi Wealth expects greater market volatility. The Trump administration is projected to pursue policies that prioritize domestic activity and that may stoke tensions internationally. Risks include a possible trade war, pockets of high valuation and the
“With systemic trends powering global economic growth in 2025 and beyond, investors have reason for optimism,” said
In the report, Citi Wealth also examines four unstoppable trends, powerful long-term forces that are transforming how we live and work:
- AI: Getting More Real – Spending on AI capacity continues to increase worldwide. AI adoption has, to date mostly benefited the tech sector, but benefits may now spread. Citi Wealth identifies healthcare, finance, robotics, education and agriculture among potential beneficiaries, although slower-than-expected business outcomes remain a risk.
- Climate: Investing in Innovative Technologies –Extreme weather events have underlined the need for further action to address climate change, including emissions reduction, carbon capture and adaptation. Citi Wealth favors exposure to makers, installers and users of innovative technologies in these areas.
- Healthcare’s Prescription for Longevity – Aging populations are straining healthcare budgets worldwide, so trying to keep people healthier for longer is vital. Citi Wealth believes specialist healthcare managers have investment potential.
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Positioning Portfolios amid
U.S. -China Polarization – The strategic rivalry between theU.S. andChina may intensify under the Trump administration. As the “G2” powers seek to strengthen their supply chains, certain industries inSoutheast Asia ,Latin America and theU.S. stand to gain.
In addition, Citi Wealth highlights ten opportunistic positions that it believes may complement core portfolios, depending upon investor objectives:
- Semiconductor equipment makers
- Medical equipment
- Biotechnology
- Defense contractors
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U.S. banks - Midstream energy transportation
- Nuclear energy
- Positioning for renewed volatility
- Enablers of cryptocurrencies’ growth
- Brazilian equities
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Source: Citi