National Survey: Middle-Income Americans Grapple With Growing Financial Uncertainty; Inflation Once Again Is Top Concern
Food and Grocery Costs Expected to Rise According to 86% of Respondents
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The latest Primerica Household Budget Index™ (HBI™), which measures the purchasing power of middle-income families, found that middle-income families’ perceptions of their personal finances align with overall economic conditions. Eighty-six percent (86%) of FSM™ respondents expect the costs of food and groceries to rise alongside utilities (77%) and fuel (76%) in the coming months. This trend is also highlighted in the HBI™, which shows average purchasing power for necessities dropped 0.3% in February compared to January as middle-income families paid more for less. Rising costs of car insurance, gasoline and utilities served as the main drivers for the decrease.
“Middle-income Americans continue to face significant financial stress, and they are not anticipating relief in the near future,” said
The latest Primerica Household Budget Index™ (HBI™), which measures the purchasing power of middle-income families, found that middle-income families’ perceptions of their personal finances align with overall economic conditions. Eighty-six percent (86%) of FSM™ respondents expect the costs of food and groceries to rise alongside utilities (77%) and fuel (76%) in the coming months. This trend is also highlighted in the HBI™, which shows average purchasing power for necessities dropped 0.3% in February compared to January as middle-income families paid more for less. Rising costs of car insurance, gasoline and utilities served as the main drivers for the decrease.
“Middle-income Americans are navigating a financial landscape that feels increasingly unpredictable, with rising costs stretching household budgets and disproportionately impacting middle-income families, accounting for over 55% of the
Additional key findings from Primerica’s Q1 2025 U.S. Middle-Income Financial Security Monitor™ (FSM™)
- Middle-income Americans are increasingly concerned about their financial future. Nearly half (46%) of respondents expect their financial situation to worsen in the coming year, up from 27% in Q4 2024. Only 18% believe their situation will improve in the next year, compared with 26% of respondents in the previous survey.
- Families are cutting back on spending. Reaching the highest level in two years, 78% report limiting non-essential purchases, such as eating out and entertainment. In addition, 64% say they are setting aside money for an emergency fund, up from 59% in the previous survey.
- Changing jobs or even adding a second one is top of mind to close the gap between incomes and expenses. Fifty-two percent (52%) report either considering getting or already having a second job. More than half (55%) are considering changing or are already actively switching jobs.
- Majority expect a 2024 tax refund. Fifty-three percent (53%) anticipate getting money back on their returns this year, with the top plans for those refunds including: saving (38%), paying down debt (32%) and/or paying outstanding bills (30%).
Primerica Financial Security Monitor™ (FSM™) Topline Trends Data
Mar 2025 |
Dec
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Sept
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Jun 2024 |
Mar 2024 |
Dec 2023 |
Sept 2023 |
Jun 2023 |
Mar 2023 |
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How would you rate the condition of your personal finances? |
|||||||||
Share reporting “Excellent” or “Good.” |
48% |
45% |
44% |
49% |
50% |
50% |
49% |
50% |
52% |
Analysis: Respondents’ assessments of their personal finances are down slightly from where they were a year ago. |
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Overall, would you say your income is…? |
|||||||||
Share reporting “Falling behind the cost of living” |
69% |
65% |
68% |
66% |
67% |
68% |
72% |
71% |
72% |
Share reporting “Stayed about even with the cost of living” |
23% |
29% |
24% |
26% |
25% |
24% |
20% |
22% |
21% |
Analysis: Concern about meeting the increased cost of living remained steady with 92% noting an inability to get ahead. |
|||||||||
And in the next year, do you think the American economy will be…? |
|||||||||
Share reporting “Worse off than it is now” |
76% |
55% |
25% |
40% |
46% |
53% |
56% |
57% |
53% |
Share reporting “Uncertain” |
4% |
9% |
34% |
19% |
18% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
7% |
Analysis: The share of respondents expecting the economy to worsen over the next year has risen sharply since the previous poll. |
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Do you have an emergency fund that would cover an expense of |
|||||||||
Reporting “Yes” responses |
64% |
59% |
61% |
63% |
62% |
60% |
62% |
61% |
58% |
Analysis: The percentage of Americans who have an emergency fund that would cover an expense of |
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How would you rate the economic health of your community? |
|||||||||
Reporting “Not so good” and “Poor” responses |
66% |
63% |
63% |
58% |
60% |
57% |
55% |
54% |
59% |
Analysis: Respondents’ rating of the economic health of their communities has gotten worse over the past year. |
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How would you rate your ability to save for the future? |
|||||||||
Reporting “Not so good” and “Poor” responses |
71% |
71% |
73% |
68% |
67% |
73% |
71% |
71% |
73% |
Analysis: A significant majority continue to feel it is difficult to save for the future. |
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In the past three months, has your credit card debt…? |
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Reporting “Increased” responses |
31% |
34% |
35% |
30% |
34% |
35% |
34% |
33% |
33% |
Analysis: Credit card debt has remained about the same over the past year. |
About Primerica’s Middle-Income Financial Security Monitor™ (FSM™)
Since
About the Primerica Household Budget Index™ (HBI™)
The Primerica Household Budget Index™ (HBI™) is constructed monthly on behalf of Primerica by its chief economic consultant
The HBI™ uses
Periodically, prior HBI™ values may be modified due to revisions in the CPI series and
About
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