ICE First Look at Mortgage Performance: Delinquencies Improved Seasonally in March but Continue to Trend Modestly Higher
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The ICE First Look reports on month-end delinquency, foreclosure and prepayment statistics sourced from its loan-level database, which covers a majority of the
Key takeaways from this month’s findings include:
-
The national delinquency rate decreased seasonally by -32 basis points (bps) to 3.21%, up 1 bps from the same time last year and only 29 bps above the 2.92% record low set in
March 2023 . - While serious delinquencies (SDQs) also improved seasonally, they are up 14% (+60K) YoY, with the rise driven entirely by FHA delinquencies, which increased by +63K YoY.
-
Higher SDQs, along with the lifting of a
VA foreclosure moratorium, fueled a modest bump in foreclosure inventory and sales, which both rose annually for the first time in nearly two years. -
Disaster events, such as hurricanes and wildfires, have led to YoY delinquency increases across several states, including
Florida (+44 bps),South Carolina (+17 bps),Georgia (+14 bps) andCalifornia (+10 bps). - Monthly prepayment activity, measured by single-month mortality, jumped to 0.59% – a +30.4% increase over February and the highest level of prepayment activity since November.
Data as of
Total
Month-over-month change: -8.94%
Year-over-year change: 0.41%
Total
Month-over-month change: 0.81%
Year-over-year change: 2.05%
Total
Month-over-month change 0.05%
Year-over-year change: 27.84%
Monthly prepayment rate (SMM): 0.59%
Month-over-month change: 30.35%
Year-over-year change: 22.88%
Foreclosure sales: 6,100
Month-over-month change: 8.89
Year-over-year change: 4.42%
Number of properties that are 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure: 1,744,000
Month-over-month change: -169,000
Year-over-year change: 33,000
Number of properties that are 90 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure: 495,000
Month-over-month change: -33,000
Year-over-year change: 60,000
Number of properties in foreclosure pre-sale inventory: 213,000
Month-over-month change: 2,000
Year-over-year change: 7,000
Number of properties that are 30 or more days past due or in foreclosure: 1,957,000
Month-over-month change: -167,000
Year-over-year change: 40,000
Top 5 States by Non-Current* Percentage |
|
|
7.52% |
|
7.27% |
|
5.56% |
|
5.00% |
|
4.90% |
Bottom 5 States by Non-Current* Percentage |
|
|
2.21% |
|
2.12% |
|
2.01% |
|
1.42% |
|
1.37% |
Top 5 States by 90+ Days Delinquent Percentage |
|
|
2.02% |
|
2.02% |
|
1.51% |
|
1.57% |
|
1.47% |
Top 5 States by 12-Month Change in Non-Current* Percentage |
|
|
-13.46% |
|
-9.39% |
|
-9.20% |
|
-7.17% |
|
-5.89% |
Bottom 5 States by 12-Month Change in Non-Current* Percentage |
|
|
10.36% |
|
6.70% |
|
4.98% |
|
4.58% |
|
3.98% |
*Non-current totals combine foreclosures and delinquencies as a percent of active loans in that state.
Notes:
1) |
Totals are extrapolated based on ICE’s loan-level database of mortgage assets. |
2) |
All whole numbers are rounded to the nearest thousand, except foreclosure starts and sales, which are rounded to the nearest hundred. |
The company will provide a more in-depth review of this data in its monthly Mortgage Monitor report, which includes an analysis of data supplemented by detailed charts and graphs that reflect trend and point-in-time observations. The Mortgage Monitor report will be available online at https://mortgagetech.ice.com/resources/data-reports by
For more information about gaining access to ICE’s loan-level database, please send an email to ICE-MortgageMonitor@ice.com.
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Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 – Statements in this press release regarding ICE's business that are not historical facts are "forward-looking statements" that involve risks and uncertainties. For a discussion of additional risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements, see ICE's
Category: Mortgage Technology
ICE-CORP
Source:
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