Redfin Reports Home Prices Grow at Slowest Pace in Nearly Two Years
It took 38 days for the typical home to go under contract—the slowest May pace since 2020—and sales were canceled at the highest May rate on record
Redfin recently predicted that home prices will start falling on a year-over-year basis by the end of 2025. That has already happened in 11 of the 50 most populous
Home Price Growth Is Cooling Because Sellers Outnumber Buyers
Existing-home sales came in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.21 million in May, the lowest level since October, as mortgage rates remained elevated near 7%. Existing-home sales, overall home sales and pending sales were all little changed from both a month earlier and a year earlier.
Meanwhile, the supply of homes for sale (active listings) hit the highest level since
“The market has been shifting in buyers’ favor, but it doesn’t feel that way to many Americans because homebuying costs remain near record highs,” said Redfin Senior Economist
Less than one-third (31.2%) of homes that sold in May went for over their asking price, the lowest May share in five years, signaling buyers have already gained some bargaining power.
New Listings Are Losing Steam
While active listings rose in May, new listings fell 2.9% month over month on a seasonally adjusted basis, and rose 2.9% year over year—the slowest annual growth since November.
“We’ve hit a plateau with home prices. A lot of homeowners are considering renting their homes out instead of selling,” said
Redfin predicts mortgage rates will remain near 7% for the rest of the year.
Some Home Purchases Are Falling Through as Buyers Get Cold Feet
Roughly 59,000 home-purchase agreements were canceled in May, equal to 14.6% of homes that went under contract that month. That’s the highest May percentage in records dating back to 2017 and is up from 14% a year earlier.
|
|
Month-over-month change |
Year-over-year change |
Median sale price |
|
0.6% |
0.7% |
Existing-home sales, seasonally adjusted annual rate |
4,206,157 |
0.0% |
-0.3% |
Pending home sales, seasonally adjusted |
478,047 |
-0.4% |
0.7% |
Homes sold, seasonally adjusted |
427,418 |
0.1% |
-0.6% |
New listings, seasonally adjusted |
546,228 |
-2.9% |
2.9% |
Total homes for sale, seasonally adjusted (active listings) |
1,960,258 |
0.7% |
16.2% |
Months of supply |
3 |
-0.2 |
0.6 |
Median days on market |
38 |
-2 |
6 |
Share of homes that sold above final list price |
31.2% |
0.9 ppts |
-3.8 ppts |
Average sale-to-final-list-price ratio |
99.4% |
0.1 ppts |
-0.5 ppts |
Pending sales that fell out of contract, as % of overall pending sales |
14.6% |
0.8 ppts |
0.6 ppts |
Monthly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate |
6.82% |
0.09 ppts |
-0.24 ppts |
Note: Data are subject to revision
Metro-Level Highlights:
Sales
-
Pending sales rose most
in the Midwest:
Cincinnati (8.2%),Indianapolis (6.7%) andMilwaukee (6.6%) saw the biggest increases. Six of the 10 metros where pending sales rose fastest are in the Midwest, which has attracted homebuyers because it’s relatively affordable. -
Pending sales fell most in
Florida :Miami (-19.6%),Fort Lauderdale, FL (-16.9%) andLas Vegas (-12.8%) saw the biggest declines.Florida is home to four of the 10 metros where pending sales fell fastest. -
Closed home sales rose in just eight metros, with the largest increases in
Providence, RI (4.5%),Indianapolis (3.3%) andKansas City, MO (2.4%). -
Closed home sales fell most in
Florida :Miami (-23%),San Jose, CA (-22.5%) andFort Lauderdale (-19.4%) saw the largest decreases.
Prices
-
Prices rose most in the Northeast:
Philadelphia (10.9%),New Brunswick, NJ (8.4%) and Providence (7.7%) saw the biggest upticks. A relative inventory shortage may be fueling price gains in the Northeast. -
Prices fell most in
Oakland, CA (-6.7%),Jacksonville, FL (-5.2%) andDallas (-4.6%). Of the 11 metros where prices fell, four are inTexas , three are inCalifornia and two are inFlorida . Housing markets acrossFlorida andTexas have cooled rapidly amid a surge in homebuilding, rising insurance costs and extreme weather events.
Supply
-
New listings rose most in
Kansas City, MO (17.5%),Houston (10.1%) andSeattle (9.9%). -
New listings fell most in
San Jose (-16.7%),Orlando, FL (-10.7%) andJacksonville (-9.2%). Six of the 10 metros where new listings fell fastest are inFlorida . New listings in parts ofFlorida are coming back down to earth after surging in recent months. -
Active listings rose most in
Las Vegas (35.9%),Denver (30.2%) andSeattle (30.1%). -
Active listings fell in just one metro:
Detroit (-0.2%). The smallest increases were inNassau County, NY (1.9%) andChicago (2.6%).
Speed/Competition
-
Florida saw the biggest uptick in days on market:InOrlando , the typical home that went under contract did so in 51 days, up 19 days from a year earlier—the biggest increase among the metros Redfin analyzed. Next cameFort Lauderdale (+18 days) andMiami (+14 days). -
Days on market dropped in four metros:
Kansas City, MO (-6 days),New York (-4),San Francisco (-2) andPhiladelphia (-1). -
Homes were most likely to sell above their list price in
Newark, NJ (69.1% of homes sold above list),San Jose (60%) andSan Francisco (59.9%). -
Homes were least likely to sell above their list price in
Florida :West Palm Beach, FL (6%),Miami (7.7%) andFort Lauderdale (9.3%) had the lowest share of homes selling above list.Florida is home to six of the 10 metros where homes were least likely to sell above list.
To view the full report, including charts and full metro-level data, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/home-prices-cool-still-at-record-may-high
About Redfin
Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered real estate company. We help people find a place to live with brokerage, rentals, lending, and title insurance services. We run the country's #1 real estate brokerage site. Our customers can save thousands in fees while working with a top agent. Our home-buying customers see homes first with on-demand tours, and our lending and title services help them close quickly. Our rentals business empowers millions nationwide to find apartments and houses for rent. Since launching in 2006, we've saved customers more than
Redfin’s subsidiaries and affiliated brands include: Bay Equity Home Loans®, Rent.™, Apartment Guide®, Title Forward® and Walk Score®.
For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250623345627/en/
Contact Redfin
Redfin Journalist Services:
press@redfin.com
Source: Redfin