For sale signs multiply: Inventory hits 5-year high, price cuts surge
Buyers gain negotiating leverage in newly balanced housing market
- 1.36 million homes were for sale in June, the most since
November 2019 . - The market is balanced or in buyers' favor in 28 of the 50 largest US metros.
- A record-high 26.6% of listings dropped prices in June; cuts are most common in the
Sun Belt andMountain West .
Sellers held the upper hand through most of the past five years as demand for homes far outweighed the options available. Sellers now returning to the market in greater numbers, along with a surge in new construction, has helped balance the scales — competition among buyers is lower than any June in Zillow records dating back through 2018. But affordability is still a major challenge.
"The shift to a 'neutral' market is significant, but it shouldn't be mistaken for a universally cool or easy market for buyers," said
Inventory is still roughly 21% below pre-pandemic averages for June, but that deficit is expected to continue shrinking. Zillow forecasts inventory to approach pre-pandemic levels by the end of the year.
Home value growth is at a stand still and mortgage costs have ticked down ever so slightly from a year ago. But high prices and borrowing costs are still putting up high affordability hurdles for buyers, especially first-timers.
What it means for buyers and sellers
Buyers have more options to choose from, more time to decide on a house and more bargaining power than in prior years. Home sellers need to reach the broadest set of shoppers, price realistically and set their listing apart from the crowd.
Buyers aren't feeling rushed in most markets. Listings that sell do so in 19 days — just one day faster than before the pandemic. That's compared to 15 days in 2024 and 11 in 2023.
Zillow's market heat index shows the housing market nationwide and in 22 of the 50 largest metropolitan areas are now neutral, where neither buyers nor sellers have the upper hand. That's compared to 15 markets that were neutral in May and just eight at this time a year ago.
Sellers are still correcting prices at record rates to try and entice buyers. The share of listings with a price cut reached 26.6% in June, the highest share for any June in Zillow records that date back through 2018, and closing in on an all-time high of 27% from
Price cuts are most common among
Inventory reaches five-plus-year high
Zillow data shows 1.36 million listings active on the market in June, rising 2.3% from May and up a hefty 17.2% from a year ago. The last time that many houses were for sale was
New listings stepped down significantly from May to June, dropping 10.9%. Some of that is likely seasonal – new listings peaked in May in 2018, 2019, and 2024. But some potential sellers are also seeing slower sales in many markets and deciding to hold off.
Sales follow seasonal trend downward
Sales are winding down after a somewhat lackluster home shopping season. Though this June's newly pending sales are slightly above last year's, they declined 4.9% from May.
Metro Area* |
Zillow |
ZHVI |
Share of |
Market |
Inventory |
Median |
Median |
United |
|
0.2 % |
26.6 % |
Neutral |
-20.6 % |
19 |
-1 |
|
|
4.1 % |
15.6 % |
Strong |
-52.3 % |
26 |
-20 |
|
|
-0.4 % |
23.7 % |
Seller |
-10.8 % |
22 |
4 |
|
|
3.2 % |
24.3 % |
Seller |
-51.3 % |
9 |
-10 |
|
|
-3.7 % |
35.5 % |
Neutral |
12.1 % |
29 |
5 |
|
|
-1.7 % |
31.3 % |
Neutral |
10.4 % |
33 |
13 |
|
|
1.1 % |
27.1 % |
Seller |
-25.1 % |
13 |
-3 |
|
|
3.3 % |
23.7 % |
Seller |
-47.1 % |
10 |
-17 |
|
|
-3.8 % |
22.5 % |
Buyer |
3.8 % |
62 |
21 |
|
|
-2.9 % |
31.1 % |
Buyer |
6.7 % |
37 |
24 |
|
|
1.4 % |
22.5 % |
Seller |
-30.1 % |
8 |
-2 |
|
|
-3.5 % |
35.5 % |
Neutral |
-2.0 % |
40 |
15 |
San |
|
-3.4 % |
22.4 % |
Seller |
14.1 % |
21 |
7 |
|
|
-1.5 % |
25.8 % |
Seller |
-15.6 % |
31 |
10 |
|
|
3.0 % |
24.1 % |
Neutral |
-31.7 % |
8 |
-4 |
|
|
-0.4 % |
30.0 % |
Neutral |
-9.2 % |
12 |
3 |
|
|
1.5 % |
24.8 % |
Strong |
-30.4 % |
18 |
-1 |
|
|
-2.4 % |
29.6 % |
Neutral |
-16.8 % |
22 |
2 |
|
|
-5.7 % |
35.2 % |
Buyer |
22.9 % |
39 |
20 |
|
|
-2.7 % |
38.3 % |
Neutral |
22.7 % |
24 |
16 |
|
|
1.9 % |
27.1 % |
Seller |
-42.6 % |
10 |
-14 |
|
|
2.1 % |
23.9 % |
Seller |
-43.9 % |
6 |
-9 |
|
|
-3.7 % |
30.2 % |
Neutral |
28.0 % |
36 |
20 |
|
|
-1.0 % |
28.6 % |
Neutral |
17.8 % |
22 |
11 |
|
|
-3.3 % |
31.4 % |
Neutral |
28.4 % |
41 |
9 |
|
|
-0.7 % |
30.2 % |
Seller |
-10.1 % |
15 |
4 |
|
|
-1.8 % |
31.8 % |
Neutral |
-16.3 % |
21 |
9 |
|
|
0.5 % |
26.8 % |
Neutral |
-39.5 % |
11 |
-10 |
|
|
2.7 % |
27.9 % |
Seller |
-32.8 % |
5 |
-4 |
|
|
-5.8 % |
32.8 % |
Buyer |
56.8 % |
50 |
36 |
|
|
0.9 % |
31.3 % |
Neutral |
-0.1 % |
32 |
13 |
|
|
2.0 % |
30.0 % |
Seller |
-39.8 % |
6 |
-7 |
|
|
1.4 % |
31.2 % |
Seller |
-16.1 % |
6 |
1 |
|
|
1.6 % |
33.8 % |
Neutral |
-9.1 % |
11 |
4 |
|
|
4.3 % |
23.1 % |
Seller |
-51.2 % |
7 |
-26 |
|
|
-0.9 % |
22.1 % |
Neutral |
-5.5 % |
17 |
1 |
|
|
-0.1 % |
35.5 % |
Neutral |
6.8 % |
28 |
10 |
|
|
1.8 % |
23.6 % |
Seller |
-43.6 % |
24 |
-18 |
Providence, |
|
3.2 % |
22.4 % |
Seller |
-54.4 % |
11 |
-12 |
|
|
-3.2 % |
32.4 % |
Buyer |
23.5 % |
54 |
25 |
|
|
3.1 % |
13.9 % |
Seller |
-26.1 % |
15 |
-18 |
|
|
1.0 % |
29.5 % |
Neutral |
-7.8 % |
19 |
3 |
|
|
-2.1 % |
36.4 % |
Neutral |
9.7 % |
21 |
12 |
|
|
-1.0 % |
29.8 % |
Neutral |
3.1 % |
22 |
5 |
|
|
1.2 % |
25.2 % |
Seller |
-36.6 % |
8 |
-4 |
|
|
4.2 % |
29.1 % |
Neutral |
-25.7 % |
7 |
-7 |
|
|
-1.1 % |
27.2 % |
Buyer |
40.7 % |
41 |
17 |
|
|
1.2 % |
35.2 % |
Neutral |
2.6 % |
18 |
8 |
|
|
4.1 % |
16.0 % |
Strong |
-65.8 % |
6 |
-15 |
|
|
3.1 % |
18.3 % |
Strong |
-40.1 % |
10 |
-5 |
|
|
-0.1 % |
25.0 % |
Neutral |
-20.0 % |
18 |
3 |
*Table ordered by market size |
1 The Zillow market report is a monthly overview of the national and local real estate markets. The report is compiled by
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SOURCE Zillow