S&P CORELOGIC CASE-SHILLER INDEX RECORDS 2.3% ANNUAL GAIN IN MAY 2025
YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller
MONTH-OVER-MONTH
The pre-seasonally adjusted
After seasonal adjustment, the
ANALYSIS
"May's data continued the year's slow unwind of price momentum, with annual gains narrowing for a fourth consecutive month," said
"The National Composite Index rose 2.3% year-over-year in May, down from 2.7% in April. The 20-City Composite gained 2.8%, while the 10-City rose 3.4%, both down from the prior month.
"Regional results reflected the same narrowing pattern, but with stark geographic divergence.
"Monthly trends also signaled broad-based fatigue. All three headline indices rose just 0.4% on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, the slowest monthly gain since January. After seasonal adjustment, each declined 0.3%, marking the third consecutive month of seasonally adjusted declines for the National Composite. Only four cities –
"Seasonal momentum is proving weaker than usual, and the slowdown is now more than just a story of higher mortgage rates," Godec concluded. "It reflects a market recalibrating around tighter financial conditions, subdued transaction volumes, and increasingly local dynamics. With affordability still stretched and inventory constrained, national home prices are holding steady, but barely."
SUPPORTING DATA
Table 1 below shows the housing boom/bust peaks and troughs for the three composites along with the current levels and percentage changes from the peaks and troughs.
|
2006 Peak |
2012 Trough |
Current |
||||||
Index |
Level |
Date |
Level |
Date |
From Peak (%) |
Level |
From Trough (%) |
From Peak (%) |
|
National |
184.61 |
Jul-06 |
133.99 |
Feb-12 |
-27.4 % |
331.11 |
147.1 % |
79.4 % |
|
20-City |
206.52 |
Jul-06 |
134.07 |
Mar-12 |
-35.1 % |
342.97 |
155.8 % |
66.1 % |
|
10-City |
226.29 |
Jun-06 |
146.45 |
Mar-12 |
-35.3 % |
362.80 |
147.7 % |
60.3 % |
Table 2 below summarizes the results for
|
|
May/April |
April/March |
1-Year |
|
Level |
Change (%) |
Change (%) |
Change (%) |
|
252.13 |
0.6 % |
0.7 % |
1.7 % |
|
353.03 |
1.3 % |
1.5 % |
4.6 % |
|
287.00 |
1.1 % |
1.0 % |
2.5 % |
|
220.22 |
1.2 % |
1.2 % |
6.1 % |
|
201.45 |
1.4 % |
1.0 % |
4.8 % |
|
298.95 |
0.3 % |
0.8 % |
-0.6 % |
|
322.60 |
0.1 % |
0.7 % |
0.0 % |
|
197.44 |
1.1 % |
1.5 % |
4.9 % |
|
305.87 |
0.4 % |
0.6 % |
3.3 % |
|
449.10 |
-0.5 % |
-0.1 % |
1.1 % |
|
442.39 |
-0.1 % |
0.5 % |
0.6 % |
|
247.26 |
1.3 % |
0.9 % |
2.5 % |
|
333.56 |
0.9 % |
1.3 % |
7.4 % |
|
330.80 |
0.1 % |
-0.1 % |
0.9 % |
|
336.17 |
0.9 % |
0.4 % |
1.3 % |
|
447.97 |
0.1 % |
0.7 % |
0.4 % |
|
363.53 |
0.0 % |
0.5 % |
-0.6 % |
|
402.41 |
0.0 % |
1.0 % |
1.8 % |
|
377.91 |
0.5 % |
0.7 % |
-2.4 % |
|
340.15 |
0.1 % |
0.9 % |
3.3 % |
Composite-10 |
362.80 |
0.4 % |
0.8 % |
3.4 % |
Composite-20 |
342.97 |
0.4 % |
0.8 % |
2.8 % |
|
331.11 |
0.4 % |
0.6 % |
2.3 % |
Sources: |
|
|
||
Data through |
|
|
|
Table 3 below shows a summary of the monthly changes using the seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) data. Since its launch in early 2006, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices have published, and the markets have followed and reported on, the non-seasonally adjusted data set used in the headline indices. For analytical purposes,
|
May/April Change (%) |
April/March Change (%) |
||
|
|
SA |
|
SA |
|
0.6 % |
-0.1 % |
0.7 % |
-0.1 % |
|
1.3 % |
0.5 % |
1.5 % |
-0.3 % |
|
1.1 % |
0.3 % |
1.0 % |
0.0 % |
|
1.2 % |
0.0 % |
1.2 % |
0.2 % |
|
1.4 % |
0.1 % |
1.0 % |
0.2 % |
|
0.3 % |
-0.7 % |
0.8 % |
-0.6 % |
|
0.1 % |
-0.6 % |
0.7 % |
-0.8 % |
|
1.1 % |
0.1 % |
1.5 % |
0.0 % |
|
0.4 % |
-0.5 % |
0.6 % |
-0.2 % |
|
-0.5 % |
-1.0 % |
-0.1 % |
-1.1 % |
|
-0.1 % |
-0.7 % |
0.5 % |
-0.3 % |
|
1.3 % |
0.0 % |
0.9 % |
-0.3 % |
|
0.9 % |
0.3 % |
1.3 % |
0.6 % |
|
0.1 % |
-0.8 % |
-0.1 % |
-0.9 % |
|
0.9 % |
0.1 % |
0.4 % |
-0.7 % |
|
0.1 % |
-0.5 % |
0.7 % |
-0.6 % |
|
0.0 % |
-0.8 % |
0.5 % |
-1.3 % |
|
0.0 % |
-0.8 % |
1.0 % |
-0.9 % |
|
0.5 % |
-0.4 % |
0.7 % |
0.0 % |
|
0.1 % |
-0.6 % |
0.9 % |
-0.1 % |
Composite-10 |
0.4 % |
-0.3 % |
0.8 % |
-0.3 % |
Composite-20 |
0.4 % |
-0.3 % |
0.8 % |
-0.3 % |
|
0.4 % |
-0.3 % |
0.6 % |
-0.4 % |
Sources: |
|
|
||
Data through |
|
|
|
For more information about
ABOUT
FOR MORE INFORMATION:
Communications Manager
+1 773-919-4732
alyssa.augustyn@spglobal.com
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