InPlay Oil Corp. Announces Second Quarter 2025 Financial and Operating Results and Provides Operations Update
We are excited about InPlay's future following the highly accretive acquisition completed in the second quarter. This transformative transaction has significantly enhanced the Company's scale, market capitalization, and long-term sustainability. With a longer reserve life and an expanded inventory of high quality drilling locations, the combined Company is well positioned to generate strong free adjusted funds flow ("FAFF")(3) for many years to come.
InPlay is off to a very strong start with second quarter production exceeding expectations by approximately 1,000 boe/d. This outperformance was driven by base production performing above expectations and seven (7.0 net) wells brought onstream in March significantly outperforming our type curves by ~135% on average based on the first 120 days of initial production ("IP"). Notably, three wells brought onstream in March ranked among the top ten Cardium producers in April with two of them holding the number one and two spots in April and May, and ranking second and third in June. These wells achieved payout in under 90 days in a
Another exciting development is the recent announcement that Delek Group Ltd. ("Delek") has become a 32.7% strategically aligned shareholder of InPlay. Delek brings a proven track record of value creation in the energy sector. They hold a 45% working interest in the largest natural gas field in the Mediterranean, with an estimated 23 TCF of recoverable natural gas. Additionally, Delek has been instrumental in the growth of Ithaca Energy plc, where they hold a 52% equity stake and have overseen production growth from 30,000 boe/d to over 120,000 boe/d since 2019.
For the remainder of 2025, InPlay plans to drill 5.0 – 5.5 net Cardium wells in Pembina. InPlay's second half drilling campaign recently commenced in August, with the spudding of a three well pad which are in close proximity to the Company's top producing Cardium wells and are expected to be on production near the beginning of October. The application of InPlay's drilling and completion techniques to the acquired assets is expected to drive continued strong performance from new wells with additional capital directed to facility upgrades, optimization and required infrastructure projects.
InPlay will continue to be disciplined and timely in capital spending in the current commodity price environment, maintaining a focus on strong FAFF, debt reduction, per share growth and continuation of our return to shareholder strategy. To further enhance stability and mitigate risk, the Company has secured commodity hedges extending through 2025 and into 2026. InPlay has hedged over 70% of natural gas production and approximately 60% of light crude oil production for the second half of 2025.
Second Quarter 2025 Highlights
- Successfully closed the strategic acquisition of Cardium focused light oil assets at highly accretive metrics, enhancing FAFF by 65% on a per share basis, expanding our drilling inventory to over 400 locations, lowering our corporate base decline rate to 24% and strengthening dividend sustainability (2025 forecasted FAFF equal to 2.5 times base dividend).
- Achieved average quarterly production of 20,401 boe/d(1) (62% light crude oil and NGLs), a 125% increase from Q1 2025, including a 13% increase to light crude oil and liquids weighting to 62% from 55% and a 35% increase in light oil weighting to 51% from 38% in the first quarter of 2025 with oil being the main driver behind our netbacks.
- Generated strong quarterly Adjusted Funds Flow ("AFF")(2) of
$40.1 million ($1.49 per basic share(3)). - Achieved significant FAFF of
$35.5 million ($1.32 per basic share(3)) allowing the Company to reduce net debt by approximately$26 million , more than originally forecasted, resulting in a quarterly annualized net debt to earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation ("EBITDA")(3) ratio of 1.2 times. - Realized operating income of
$50.5 million (3), an increase of 140% compared to Q1 2025 leading to a strong operating income profit margin(3) of 55%, up from 54% in Q1 2025. - Improved field operating netbacks(3) to
$27.20 /boe, a 6% increase compared to Q1 2025 despite an 11% decrease to WTI pricing (13% decrease to realized crude oil pricing) and a 22% decrease in AECO natural gas pricing compared to Q1 2025. - Returned
$7.9 million to shareholders via monthly dividends, representing a 10% yield relative to the current share price. SinceNovember 2022 , InPlay has distributed$52 million in dividends (including dividends declared to date in the third quarter).
Second Quarter 2025 Financial & Operations Overview:
InPlay's second quarter results exceeded expectations and marked the first reporting period incorporating the recently acquired assets, with pro forma operations effective
Quarterly production averaged 20,401 boe/d(1) (62% light crude oil and NGLs) which was approximately 1,000 boe/d above internal forecasts. Base production exceeded expectations, and the seven (7.0 net) wells drilled on the combined assets in the first quarter significantly outperformed internal forecasts by approximately 135% (based on IP 120) as highlighted in the table below.
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02-25 Pad (per well average) |
14-33 Pad (per well average) |
08-01 Pad (per well average) |
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boe/d |
Oil and NGLs % |
boe/d |
Oil and NGLs % |
boe/d |
Oil and NGLs % |
IP 30 |
887 |
88 % |
680 |
75 % |
265 |
89 % |
IP 60 |
937 |
87 % |
493 |
66 % |
290 |
87 % |
IP 90 |
922 |
85 % |
569 |
63 % |
288 |
86 % |
IP 120 |
892 |
85 % |
430 |
60 % |
285 |
83 % |
IP 150 |
N/A |
N/A |
487 |
58 % |
275 |
82 % |
Current |
791 |
82 % |
299 |
44 % |
217 |
77 % |
|
>300% above type curve |
>75% above type curve |
>25% above type curve |
InPlay generated AFF of
During the quarter InPlay generated a net loss of
Strong results had net debt levels at the end of the quarter at
Operating synergies and stronger production allowed InPlay to maintain operating costs per boe in the second quarter in line with pre-acquisition levels and synergies have started to show a reduction in G&A cost per boe.
Financial and Operating Results:
(CDN) ( |
Three months ended |
Six months ended |
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2025 |
2024 |
2025 |
2024 |
Financial |
|
|
|
|
Oil and natural gas sales |
91.6 |
41.5 |
130.6 |
79.5 |
Adjusted funds flow(2) |
40.1 |
20.1 |
56.9 |
36.7 |
Per share – basic(3)(5) |
1.49 |
1.34 |
2.71 |
2.44 |
Per share – diluted(3) (5) |
1.49 |
1.30 |
2.71 |
2.36 |
Per boe(3) |
21.59 |
25.57 |
21.27 |
23.34 |
Comprehensive income (loss) |
(3.2) |
5.4 |
(6.1) |
7.1 |
Per share – basic(5) |
(0.12) |
0.36 |
(0.29) |
0.47 |
Per share – diluted(5) |
(0.12) |
0.35 |
(0.29) |
0.46 |
Dividends |
7.9 |
4.1 |
12.0 |
8.2 |
Per share |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
Capital expenditures – PP& |
4.6 |
6.2 |
18.5 |
31.7 |
Property acquisitions (dispositions) |
293.3 |
- |
293.6 |
(0.0) |
Net debt(2) |
(223.2) |
(50.8) |
(223.2) |
(50.8) |
Shares outstanding(5) |
27.8 |
15.0 |
27.8 |
15.0 |
Basic weighted-average shares(5) |
26.9 |
15.0 |
21.0 |
15.0 |
Diluted weighted-average shares(5) |
26.9 |
15.5 |
21.0 |
15.5 |
Operational |
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Daily production volumes |
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|
|
|
Light and medium crude oil (bbls/d) |
10,328 |
3,671 |
6,898 |
3,561 |
Natural gas liquids (boe/d) |
2,401 |
1,438 |
1,989 |
1,462 |
Conventional natural gas (Mcf/d) |
46,029 |
21,291 |
35,300 |
21,645 |
Total (boe/d) |
20,401 |
8,657 |
14,770 |
8,631 |
Realized prices(3) |
|
|
|
|
Light and medium crude oil & NGLs ($/bbls) |
75.13 |
83.24 |
72.50 |
78.07 |
Conventional natural gas ($/Mcf) |
1.83 |
1.43 |
2.00 |
2.05 |
Total ($/boe) |
49.36 |
52.63 |
48.84 |
50.58 |
Operating netbacks ($/boe)(4) |
|
|
|
|
Oil and natural gas sales |
49.36 |
52.63 |
48.84 |
50.58 |
Royalties |
(6.35) |
(6.43) |
(6.20) |
(6.10) |
Transportation expense |
(0.71) |
(0.98) |
(0.84) |
(1.04) |
Operating costs |
(15.10) |
(14.81) |
(15.06) |
(15.09) |
Operating netback(4) |
27.20 |
30.41 |
26.74 |
28.35 |
Realized gain (loss) on derivative contracts |
(0.20) |
0.25 |
(0.12) |
0.27 |
Operating netback (including realized derivative contracts) (4) |
27.00 |
30.66 |
26.62 |
28.62 |
On behalf of the entire InPlay team and our Board of Directors, we thank our shareholders for their ongoing support as we execute our strategy of disciplined growth, reliable returns, and long-term value creation. We would like to send a special thanks to our employees for their significant effort in enabling a smooth integration of the new assets. We are very optimistic about building on the momentum from our strategic Acquisition that has transformed the future of the Company.
Notes: |
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1. |
See "Production Breakdown by Product Type" at the end of this press release. |
2. |
Capital management measure. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" contained within this press release. |
3. |
Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" contained within this press release and in our most recently filed MD&A. |
4. |
Supplementary measure. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" contained within this press release. |
5. |
Common share and per common share amounts have been updated to reflect the six for one (6:1) common share consolidation effective |
For further information please contact:
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Reader Advisories
Hedging Summary
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Q3/25 |
Q4/25 |
Q1/26 |
Q2/26 |
Q3/26 |
Q4/26 |
Q1/27 |
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Natural Gas AECO Swap (mcf/d) |
17,060 |
15,800 |
15,165 |
14,215 |
14,215 |
8,560 |
4,265 |
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Hedged price ($AECO/mcf) |
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Natural Gas AECO Costless Collar (mcf/d) |
13,270 |
12,640 |
12,320 |
11,375 |
11,375 |
16,400 |
18,950 |
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Hedged price ($AECO/mcf) |
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Crude Oil WTI Swap (bbl/d) |
3,250 |
2,500 |
3,750 |
2,000 |
2,000 |
2,000 |
2,000 |
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Hedged price ($USD WTI/bbl) |
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Crude Oil WTI Costless Collar (bbl/d) |
1,300 |
1,300 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
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Hedged price ($USD WTI/bbl) |
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- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
||
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Crude Oil WTI Three-way Collar (bbl/d) |
1,300 |
1,300 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
||
Low sold put price ($USD WTI/bbl) |
|
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
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Mid bought put price ($USD WTI/bbl) |
|
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
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High sold call price ($USD WTI/bbl) |
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- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
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Electricity AESO Swap (kW) |
1,000 |
1,000 |
1,000 |
1,000 |
1,000 |
1,000 |
1,000 |
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Hedged price ($kWh) |
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Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
Throughout this document and other materials disclosed by the Company, InPlay uses certain measures to analyze financial performance, financial position and cash flow. These non-GAAP and other financial measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed under GAAP and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other entities. The non-GAAP and other financial measures should not be considered alternatives to, or more meaningful than, financial measures that are determined in accordance with GAAP as indicators of the Company performance. Management believes that the presentation of these non-GAAP and other financial measures provides useful information to shareholders and investors in understanding and evaluating the Company's ongoing operating performance, and the measures provide increased transparency and the ability to better analyze InPlay's business performance against prior periods on a comparable basis.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Ratios
Included in this document are references to the terms "free adjusted funds flow", "operating income", "operating netback per boe", "operating income profit margin" and "Net Debt to EBITDA". Management believes these measures and ratios are helpful supplementary measures of financial and operating performance and provide users with similar, but potentially not comparable, information that is commonly used by other oil and natural gas companies. These terms do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than "profit before taxes", "profit and comprehensive income", "adjusted funds flow", "capital expenditures", "net debt" or assets and liabilities as determined in accordance with GAAP as a measure of the Company's performance and financial position.
Free Adjusted Funds Flow/FAFF per share
Management considers FAFF and FAFF per share important measures to identify the Company's ability to improve its financial condition through debt repayment and its ability to provide returns to shareholders. FAFF should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than AFF as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company's performance. FAFF is calculated by the Company as AFF less exploration and development capital expenditures and property dispositions (acquisitions) and is a measure of the cashflow remaining after capital expenditures that can be used for additional capital activity, corporate acquisitions, repayment of debt or decommissioning expenditures or potentially return of capital to shareholders. FAFF per share is calculated by the Company as FAFF divided by weighted average shares outstanding. Refer below for a calculation of Free Adjusted Funds Flow and FAFF per share. Refer to the "Forward Looking Information and Statements" section for a calculation of forecast FAFF and FAFF per share.
(thousands of dollars) |
Three Months Ended
|
Six Months Ended June 30 |
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|
2025 |
2024 |
2025 |
2024 |
Adjusted funds flow |
40,080 |
20,145 |
56,863 |
36,671 |
Exploration and dev. capital expenditures |
4,613 |
6,156 |
18,500 |
31,687 |
Property acquisitions (dispositions) |
- |
- |
343 |
(25) |
Free adjusted funds flow |
35,467 |
13,989 |
38,020 |
5,009 |
Weighted average number of common shares (basic) |
26,903 |
15,020 |
21,007 |
15,026 |
FAFF per share |
1.32 |
0.93 |
1.81 |
0.33 |
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Free Adjusted Funds Flow Yield
InPlay uses "free adjusted funds flow yield" as a key performance indicator. When presented on a corporate basis, free adjusted funds flow is calculated by the Company as free adjusted funds flow divided by the market capitalization of the Company. When presented on an asset basis for acquisition purposes, free adjusted funds flow is calculated by the Company as free adjusted funds flow divided by the operating income of the Acquired Assets. Management considers FAFF yield to be an important performance indicator as it demonstrates a Company or asset's ability to generate cash to pay down debt and provide funds for potential distributions to shareholders. Refer to the "Forward Looking Information and Statements" section for a calculation of forecast FAFF Yield.
Operating Income/Operating Netback per boe/Operating Income Profit Margin
InPlay uses "operating income", "operating netback per boe" and "operating income profit margin" as key performance indicators. Operating income is calculated by the Company as oil and natural gas sales less royalties, operating expenses and transportation expenses and is a measure of the profitability of operations before administrative, share-based compensation, financing and other non-cash items. Management considers operating income an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates its field level profitability. Operating income should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than net income as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company's performance. Operating netback per boe is calculated by the Company as operating income divided by average production for the respective period. Management considers operating netback per boe an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates its field level profitability per unit of production. Operating income profit margin is calculated by the Company as operating income as a percentage of oil and natural gas sales. Management considers operating income profit margin an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates how efficiently the Company generates field level profits from its sales revenue. Refer below for a calculation of operating income, operating netback per boe and operating income profit margin. Refer to the "Forward Looking Information and Statements" section for a calculation of forecast operating income, operating netback per boe and operating income profit margin.
(thousands of dollars) |
Three Months Ended |
Six Months Ended |
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|
2025 |
2024 |
2025 |
2024 |
Revenue(1) |
91,639 |
41,460 |
130,575 |
79,457 |
Royalties |
(11,795) |
(5,063) |
(16,568) |
(9,590) |
Operating expenses |
(28,033) |
(11,672) |
(40,250) |
(23,701) |
Transportation expenses |
(1,311) |
(773) |
(2,246) |
(1,630) |
Operating income (2) |
50,500 |
23,952 |
71,511 |
44,536 |
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Sales volume (Mboe) |
1,856.5 |
787.8 |
2,673.4 |
1,570.9 |
Per boe |
|
|
|
|
Revenue(1) |
49.36 |
52.63 |
48.84 |
50.58 |
Royalties |
(6.35) |
(6.43) |
(6.20) |
(6.10) |
Operating expenses |
(15.10) |
(14.81) |
(15.06) |
(15.09) |
Transportation expenses |
(0.71) |
(0.98) |
(0.84) |
(1.04) |
Operating netback per boe (2) |
27.20 |
30.41 |
26.74 |
28.35 |
Operating income profit margin (2) |
55 % |
58 % |
55 % |
56 % |
Net Debt to EBITDA
Management considers Net Debt to EBITDA an important measure as it is a key metric to identify the Company's ability to fund financing expenses, net debt reductions and other obligations. EBITDA is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow before interest expense. When this measure is presented quarterly, EBITDA is annualized by multiplying by four. When this measure is presented on a trailing twelve month basis, EBITDA for the twelve months preceding the net debt date is used in the calculation. This measure is consistent with the EBITDA formula prescribed under the Company's Credit Facility. Net Debt to EBITDA is calculated as Net Debt divided by EBITDA. Refer below for a calculation of Net Debt to EBITDA. Refer to the "Forward Looking Information and Statements" section for a calculation of forecast Net Debt to EBITDA.
(thousands of dollars) |
Three Months Ended
|
|
|
2025 |
2024 |
Adjusted funds flow |
40,080 |
20,145 |
Interest |
5,778 |
1,776 |
EBITDA (annualized) |
183,432 |
87,684 |
Net Debt |
(223,223) |
(50,841) |
Net Debt/EBITDA |
1.2 |
0.6 |
Adjusted Net Income
Management considers Adjusted Net Income an important measure as it is a key metric to identify the Company's net income after excluding non-recurring expenses and unrealized hedging gains/losses. Adjusted net income is calculated by the Company as net income (loss) plus transaction costs and unrealized hedging gains/(losses). Management considers adjusted net income to be an important performance indicator as it demonstrates a Company or asset's ability to generate cash to pay down debt and provide funds for potential distributions to shareholders. Refer below for a calculation of adjusted net income.
(thousands of dollars) |
Three Months Ended |
Six Months Ended |
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|
2025 |
2024 |
2025 |
2024 |
Net income (loss) |
(3,194) |
5,415 |
(6,081) |
7,102 |
Transaction and integration costs |
10,141 |
- |
10,141 |
- |
Unrealized hedging losses / (gains) |
(4,925) |
(1,130) |
(333) |
(337) |
Adjusted net income |
2,022 |
4,285 |
3,727 |
6,765 |
Capital Management Measures
Adjusted Funds Flow
Management considers adjusted funds flow to be an important measure of InPlay's ability to generate the funds necessary to finance capital expenditures. Adjusted funds flow is a GAAP measure and is disclosed in the notes to the Company's financial statements for the three months ended
Net Debt
Net debt is a GAAP measure and is disclosed in the notes to the Company's financial statements for the three months ended
Supplementary Measures
"Average realized crude oil price" is comprised of crude oil commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company's crude oil volumes. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.
"Average realized NGL price" is comprised of NGL commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company's NGL volumes. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.
"Average realized natural gas price" is comprised of natural gas commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company's natural gas volumes. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.
"Average realized commodity price" is comprised of commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company's volumes. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.
"Adjusted funds flow per weighted average basic share" is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by the basic weighted average common shares.
"Adjusted funds flow per weighted average diluted share" is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by the diluted weighted average common shares.
"Adjusted funds flow per boe" is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by total production.
Forward-Looking Information and Statements
This document contains certain forward–looking information and statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words "expect", "anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "project", "should", "believe", "plans", "intends", "forecast" and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information or statements. In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this document contains forward-looking information and statements pertaining to the following: the Company's business strategy, milestones and objectives; the Company's expectations that 2025 average production will be at the upper end of the guidance range; that strong capital efficiencies will result in capital spending being in the lower end of the previously announced capital budget; that the Company will continue to prioritize free cash flow generation for debt reduction; the continued return of capital to shareholders through dividends; InPlay's drilling plans for the remainder of 2025 and the anticipated timing and benefits therefrom; that InPlay will direct additional capital to finalizing facility upgrades, optimization and required infrastructure projects; InPlay's current and future commodity hedges; expectations regarding the Company's 2025 capital program; InPlay's expectations regarding the Acquisition and the Acquired Assets; 2025 forecast average production; 2025 guidance based on the planned capital program and all associated underlying assumptions set forth in this document including, without limitation, forecasts of 2025 annual average production levels, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds flow, Net Debt/EBITDA ratio, operating income profit margin, net debt and Management's belief that the Company can grow some or all of these attributes and specified measures; light crude oil and NGLs weighting estimates; expectations regarding future commodity prices; future oil and natural gas prices; future liquidity and financial capacity; expectations regarding the ability to realize cost efficiencies and the anticipated benefits therefrom; future results from operations and operating metrics; future costs, expenses and royalty rates; future interest costs; the exchange rate between the $US and $Cdn; future development, exploration, acquisition, development and infrastructure activities and related capital expenditures, including InPlay's planned 2025 capital program; the amount and timing of capital projects; InPlay's expectations regarding its ability to generate FAFF and reduce debt; InPlay's ability to remain flexible and make decisions that maintain financial strength; the Company's hedging program and anticipated benefits therefrom; and methods of funding our capital program.
The internal projections, expectations, or beliefs underlying our Board approved 2025 capital budget and associated guidance are subject to change in light of, among other factors, changes to
Forward-looking statements or information are based on a number of material factors, expectations or assumptions of InPlay which have been used to develop such statements and information, but which may prove to be incorrect. Although InPlay believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements because InPlay can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. In addition to other factors and assumptions which may be identified herein, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things: the current
Without limitation of the foregoing, readers are cautioned that the Company's future dividend payments to shareholders of the Company, if any, and the level thereof will be subject to the discretion of the Board of Directors of InPlay. The Company's dividend policy and funds available for the payment of dividends, if any, from time to time, is dependent upon, among other things, levels of FAFF, leverage ratios, financial requirements for the Company's operations and execution of its growth strategy, fluctuations in commodity prices and working capital, the timing and amount of capital expenditures, credit facility availability and limitations on distributions existing thereunder, and other factors beyond the Company's control. Further, the ability of the Company to pay dividends will be subject to applicable laws, including satisfaction of solvency tests under the Business Corporations Act (
The forward-looking information and statements included herein are not guarantees of future performance and should not be unduly relied upon. Such information and statements, including the assumptions made in respect thereof, involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to defer materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking information or statements including, without limitation: changes in industry regulations and legislation (including, but not limited to, tax laws, royalties, and environmental regulations); that (i) the tariffs that are currently in effect on goods exported from or imported into
This document contains future-oriented financial information and financial outlook information (collectively, "FOFI") about InPlay's financial and leverage targets and objectives, potential dividends, and beliefs underlying our Board approved 2025 capital budget and associated guidance, all of which are subject to the same assumptions, risk factors, limitations, and qualifications as set forth in the above paragraphs. The actual results of operations of InPlay and the resulting financial results will likely vary from the amounts set forth in this document and such variation may be material. InPlay and its management believe that the FOFI has been prepared on a reasonable basis, reflecting management's reasonable estimates and judgments. However, because this information is subjective and subject to numerous risks, it should not be relied on as necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required by applicable securities laws, InPlay undertakes no obligation to update such FOFI. FOFI contained in this document was made as of the date of this document and was provided for the purpose of providing further information about InPlay's anticipated future business operations and strategy. Readers are cautioned that the FOFI contained in this document should not be used for purposes other than for which it is disclosed herein.
The forward-looking statements and FOFI contained in this document speak only as of the date hereof and InPlay does not assume any obligation to publicly update or revise any of the included forward-looking statements or FOFI, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities laws.
Risk Factors to FLI
Risk factors that could materially impact successful execution and actual results of the Company's 2025 capital program and associated guidance and estimates include:
- risks related to an international trade war, including the risk that the
U.S. government imposes additional tariffs on Canadian goods, including crude oil and natural gas, and that such tariffs (and/or the Canadian government's response to such tariffs) adversely affect the demand and/or market price for the Company's products and/or otherwise adversely affects the Company; - volatility of petroleum and natural gas prices and inherent difficulty in the accuracy of predictions related thereto;
- the extent of any unfavourable impacts of wildfires in the province of
Alberta . - changes in Federal and Provincial regulations;
- the Company's ability to secure financing for the Board approved 2025 capital program and longer-term capital plans sourced from AFF, bank or other debt instruments, asset sales, equity issuance, infrastructure financing or some combination thereof; and
- those additional risk factors set forth in the Company's MD&A and most recent Annual Information Form filed on SEDAR+.
Key Budget and Underlying Material Assumptions to FLI
The key budget and underlying material assumptions used by the Company in the development of its 2025 guidance are as follows:
|
|
|
Actuals FY 2024 |
Guidance FY 2025(1) |
WTI |
US$/bbl |
|
|
|
NGL Price |
$/boe |
|
|
|
AECO |
$/GJ |
|
|
|
Foreign Exchange Rate |
CDN$/US$ |
|
0.73 |
0.70 |
MSW Differential |
US$/bbl |
|
|
|
Production |
Boe/d |
|
8,712 |
16,000 – 16,800 |
Revenue |
$/boe |
|
48.21 |
46.75 – 51.75 |
Royalties |
$/boe |
|
6.26 |
5.25 – 6.75 |
Operating Expenses |
$/boe |
|
15.12 |
15.00 – 17.00 |
Transportation |
$/boe |
|
0.97 |
0.80 – 1.05 |
Interest |
$/boe |
|
2.19 |
2.80 – 3.50 |
General and Administrative |
$/boe |
|
3.06 |
2.00 – 2.75 |
Hedging loss (gain) |
$/boe |
|
(0.86) |
(0.00) – (1.00) |
Decommissioning Expenditures |
$ millions |
|
|
|
Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
|
|
Dividends |
$ millions |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actuals FY 2024 |
Guidance FY 2025(1) |
Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
|
|
Capital Expenditures |
$ millions |
|
|
|
Free Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
|
|
Shares outstanding, end of year |
# millions |
|
15.0 |
28.0 |
Assumed share price |
$/share |
|
|
|
Market capitalization |
$ millions |
|
|
|
FAFF Yield |
% |
|
4 % |
35% – 40% |
|
|
|
Actuals FY 2024 |
Guidance FY 2025(1) |
Revenue |
$/boe |
|
48.21 |
46.75 – 51.75 |
Royalties |
$/boe |
|
6.26 |
5.25 – 6.75 |
Operating Expenses |
$/boe |
|
15.12 |
15.00 – 17.00 |
Transportation |
$/boe |
|
0.97 |
0.80 – 1.05 |
Operating Netback |
$/boe |
|
25.86 |
23.75 – 28.75 |
Operating Income Profit Margin |
|
|
54 % |
53 % |
|
|
|
Actuals FY 2024 |
Guidance FY 2025(1) |
Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
|
|
Interest |
$/boe |
|
2.19 |
3.05 – 3.65(4) |
EBITDA |
$ millions |
|
|
|
Net Debt |
$ millions |
|
|
|
Net Debt/EBITDA |
|
|
0.8 |
1.1 – 1.3 |
(1) As previously released |
(2) InPlay's EBITDA for this column is based on Q4 2025 annualized figures. |
• See "Production Breakdown by Product Type" below |
• Quality and pipeline transmission adjustments may impact realized oil prices in addition to the MSW Differential provided above |
• Changes in working capital are not assumed to have a material impact between the years presented above. |
Production Breakdown by Product Type
Disclosure of production on a per boe basis in this document consists of the constituent product types as defined in NI 51–101 and their respective quantities disclosed in the table below:
|
Light and Medium (bbls/d) |
NGLs (boe/d) |
Conventional Natural (Mcf/d) |
Total (boe/d) |
Q1 2024 Average Production |
3,452 |
1,487 |
22,000 |
8,605 |
Q2 2024 Average Production |
3,671 |
1,438 |
21,291 |
8,657 |
2024 Average Production |
3,523 |
1,499 |
22,139 |
8,712 |
Q1 2025 Average Production |
3,429 |
1,572 |
24,452 |
9,076 |
Q2 2025 Average Production |
10,328 |
2,401 |
46,029 |
20,401 |
2025 Annual Guidance |
7,890 |
2,070 |
38,640 |
16,400(1) |
Notes: |
|
1. |
This reflects the mid-point of the Company's 2025 production guidance range of 16,000 to 16,800 boe/d. |
2. |
With respect to forward–looking production guidance, product type breakdown is based upon management's expectations based on reasonable assumptions but are subject to variability based on actual well results. |
BOE equivalent
Barrel of oil equivalents or BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different than the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a 6:1 conversion basis may be misleading as an indication of value.
Initial Production Rates
References in this press release to IP rates, other short-term production rates or initial performance measures relating to new wells are useful in confirming the presence of hydrocarbons; however, such rates are not determinative of the rates at which such wells will commence production and decline thereafter and are not indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery. While encouraging, readers are cautioned not to place reliance on such rates in calculating the aggregate production for the Company. Accordingly, the Company cautions that the test results should be considered to be preliminary.
SOURCE