Redfin Reports Mortgage Rates Drop to 10-Month Low, Pushing Down Monthly Housing Payments
Monthly payments are falling primarily because mortgage rates have dipped to a 10-month low. But home sales are still lackluster, declining slightly from a year ago.
Housing payments are falling mainly because mortgage rates are falling. The weekly average mortgage rate dropped to a 10-month low of 6.58% last week in the wake of a weak July jobs report and a neutral inflation report. It’s worth noting that another reason for declining payments is the seasonality of home-sale prices; they typically peak in late spring and have begun falling by this time of year.
There are several reasons serious house hunters should consider jumping into the market:
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Mortgage rates are unlikely to fall further. Today’s mortgage rates have already priced in the Fed’s anticipated September interest rate cut; Redfin head of economics research
Chen Zhao says the actual rate cut won’t move the needle. Homebuyers have gained about$20,000 in purchasing power since rates hit a peak in May; it’s a good time to lock in a payment. -
Home prices are rising. Monthly payments are falling despite home-sale prices increasing from a year ago. The median
U.S. sale price was$394,498 during the four weeks endingAugust 17 , up 1.9% year over year, the biggest increase in four months. Prices may continue accelerating because inventory is decelerating. - Supply of for-sale homes is dwindling. New listings are up just 0.5% year over year, and while the total number of homes for sale is up 10.7%, that’s the smallest increase in nearly 18 months. Some would-be sellers are pulling back because demand is slow, and they don’t want to sell their homes for less money than expected.
- Homes are taking a long time to sell, giving buyers negotiating power—for now. The typical home is spending 42 days on the market before going under contract, a week longer than last year and the longest span for this time of year since 2019. Redfin agents report that for listings sitting longer than a few weeks, sellers are often willing to negotiate. They’re accepting offers under asking price and/or making concessions to close the deal.
“I’m telling serious buyers that they have leverage right now—and in the
For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin’s “From Our Economists” page.
Leading indicators |
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Indicators of homebuying demand and activity |
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Value (if applicable) |
Recent change |
Year-over-year change |
Source |
Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate |
6.61% ( |
Up from 6.53% a week earlier, but still near 10-month low |
Essentially flat |
|
Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate |
6.58% (week ending |
10-month low |
Up from 6.49% |
Freddie Mac |
Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted) |
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Essentially flat (+0.1%) from a week earlier (as of week ending |
Up 23% |
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Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index |
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Down 1% from a month earlier (as of week ending |
Down 8% |
A measure of tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents |
Google searches of “homes for sale” |
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Down 10% from a month earlier (as of |
Up 10% |
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Key housing-market data |
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Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ |
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Four weeks ending |
Year-over-year change |
Notes |
Median sale price |
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1.9% |
|
Median asking price |
|
3.1% |
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Median monthly mortgage payment |
|
4.1% |
Lowest level since January |
Pending sales |
82,755 |
-0.7% |
|
New listings |
90,617 |
0.5% |
|
Active listings |
1,193,043 |
10.7% |
Smallest increase since |
Months of supply |
4.2 |
+0.6 pts. |
4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions |
Share of homes off market in two weeks |
32.1% |
Down from 35% |
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Median days on market |
42 |
+6 days |
|
Share of homes sold above list price |
25.6% |
Down from 29% |
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Average sale-to-list price ratio |
98.7% |
Down from 99.2% |
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Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending
Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous |
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Metros with biggest year-over-year increases |
Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases |
Notes |
Median sale price |
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Declined in 10 metros |
Pending sales |
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New listings |
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To view the full report, including charts, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-mortgage-rates-fall-to-10-month-low
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Source: Redfin