SURVEY: Market uncertainty and international tariffs prompt organizations to take more cautious approach to salary planning
"Three years running, we're seeing salary projection declines—a clear signal that economic uncertainty and stabilizing inflation are fundamentally reshaping how Canadian organizations approach compensation strategy," explains Guylaine Béliveau, National Practice Leader -
Key findings from the study, based on data from more than 375 Canadian organizations across various industries, include:
- Slight regional variations in provincial salary projections for 2026:
Manitoba leads with a projected 3.43 per cent increase in average base salaries, followed byNew Brunswick at 3.25 per cent andQuebec at 3.21 per cent- New Brunswick is the only province to register growth in the rate of salary increases for 2026, with a jump of 0.37 points over 2025. All other provinces went down.
- In
Saskatchewan , average base salaries will increase by only 2.95 per cent in 2026, ranking it last among provinces with statistically significant results for this year, and registering the largest drop among all provinces since 2025.
- Sector-specific projections that reflect pressures from ongoing market uncertainty:
- The highest projected increases for 2026 are expected in High Technology (3.64 per cent), Oil & Gas (3.58 per cent) and Life Sciences (3.39 per cent), excluding salary freezes. These three industries were also strong performers in 2025.
- For 2026, the lowest salary increases are expected in Business Services (2.60 per cent).
- Information Technology is expected to see the largest increase in the rate of salary growth in 2026, jumping 0.51 points to 3.25 per cent in 2026, while Real Estate will suffer a significant drop, losing 1.03 points from last year to total 3.25 per cent in 2026.
The study also highlights that employee engagement, building critical skills and competencies for leaders, and reinforcing the leadership bench remain among top priorities for organizations.
Investment in Innovation through expanded use of AI
While the rate at which salary budgets increase is slowing down, organizations are investing in innovation to increase productivity, which includes increasing the use of artificial intelligence. Overall, the number of organizations exploring the use of AI has increased from 74 per cent last year to 77 per cent in 2026.
- When asked to list their human capital priorities, 31 per cent of respondents included leveraging AI strategies, up from 18 per cent since 2025.
- How AI is potentially being used in the workplace is also shifting. Rather than focusing on AI implementation in select departments, organizations report that enterprise-wide AI consideration has increased to over 31 per cent compared to 23 per cent last year.
This finding underscores the growing importance of AI in shaping workplace productivity and innovation across
The need for a holistic approach to employee wellbeing
While base salary remains a vital tool to attract and retain talent, additional compensation elements must be considered in order to offer a holistic wellbeing package so employees see tangible value beyond base pay.
"While there is clear volatility across many sectors, this report underlines the opportunities for employers to strategically differentiate themselves through competitive, equitable, and wellbeing-aligned compensation practices," says
By understanding the dynamic needs of employees, organizations can create the right strategies and develop the right supports to help them and the company be healthy and productive – now, and in the future.
About the
The 43rd edition of the
Beyond national perspectives, the current report also includes industry breakdowns and region-by-region analyses across
About
For media inquiries, please contact:
Jill Yetman
jill.yetman@telus.com
SOURCE