Redfin Reports Homebuyers Are Scoring the Biggest Autumn Discounts Since 2019
The typical home that sold last month went for 1.4% less than its final list price—the biggest September discount in six years—as a slow housing market empowered buyers to negotiate
Two other metrics that measure competition in the housing market also dropped to their lowest September levels in six years last month:
- Average sale-to-list-price ratio: This metric came in at 98.6%, down from 99.1% a year earlier. That means the typical home sold for 1.4% less than its final list price, compared with 0.9% less last September.
- Share of homes selling in two weeks: 32.8% of homes that went under contract did so within two weeks of being listed, down from 34.9% a year earlier.
A fourth metric—time on market—shows that the housing market is moving at the slowest pace for this time of year in nearly a decade. The typical home that went under contract in September sat on the market for 50 days—the slowest September pace since 2016.
The housing market is sluggish because high costs and economic uncertainty are limiting the number of people buying homes. Inventory has also ticked up, meaning the buyers who are in the market have more options and many of them can afford to take their time. There are 36.7% more home sellers in the market than buyers—a near-record gap. The good news for buyers is this means they often have an opportunity to negotiate and ask for concessions.
“Homebuyers have extremely high expectations. Some of them remember being preapproved for a 3% mortgage rate during the pandemic, which meant they could afford a
Home Prices Post Biggest Increase in Six Months
The median home sale price rose 1.7% year over year to
Home price growth was slowing during the first half of the year because inventory was rising, giving buyers more options to choose from. While buyers still have a lot more options than they had in recent years, listings have started to tick down in recent months, which has in turn pushed up sale prices. Still, as mentioned above, sellers in many markets are accepting offers for less than their list prices because buyers continue to have negotiating power.
Active listings fell 0.6% month over month to 1.96 million in September on a seasonally adjusted basis—the lowest level since February—but were still up 8% year over year. Sellers have pulled back in recent months because homebuyer demand is sluggish. Redfin agents report that some sellers are pulling their homes off the market and opting to rent them out instead if they don’t get the price they want.
Existing-Home Sales Rise to Highest Level of the Year as Mortgage Rates Decline
Existing-home sales rose 0.4% month over month and 4.5% year over year to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.25 million in September. That’s the highest level since January and the largest year-over-year gain since December.
Total home sales rose 0.7% month over month on a seasonally adjusted basis and climbed 3.4% year over year to the highest level since
Home sales have likely inched up due to a decline in mortgage rates. Rates have been ticking down for most of 2025, and averaged 6.35% in September—the lowest level in a year.
It’s worth noting that existing home sales and total sales are backward-looking metrics and represent deals that were negotiated in months past. A more current gauge of homebuyer demand is pending home sales, which fell 1% month over month on a seasonally-adjusted basis in September and dropped 2.4% year over year—the biggest annual decline since February. Redfin agents in some markets report that while the drop in rates has brought some buyers off of the sidelines, many are waiting in hopes that rates fall further.
|
|
|
Month-over-month change |
Year-over-year change |
|
Median sale price |
|
-0.9% |
1.7% |
|
Existing-home sales, seasonally adjusted annual rate |
4,247,767 |
0.4% |
4.5% |
|
Pending home sales, seasonally adjusted |
480,459 |
-1.0% |
-2.4% |
|
Homes sold, seasonally adjusted |
435,635 |
0.7% |
3.4% |
|
New listings, seasonally adjusted |
539,306 |
0.7% |
-0.3% |
|
Total homes for sale, seasonally adjusted (active listings) |
1,958,187 |
-0.6% |
8.0% |
|
Months of supply |
3.4 |
0.1 |
0 |
|
Median days on market |
50 |
4 |
8 |
|
Share of homes that sold above final list price |
25.3% |
-1.7 ppts |
-3.3 ppts |
|
Average sale-to-final-list-price ratio |
98.6% |
-0.2 ppts |
-0.4 ppts |
|
Pending sales that fell out of contract, as % of overall pending sales |
15.0% |
0.5 ppts |
1.5 ppts |
|
Monthly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate |
6.35% |
-0.24 ppts |
0.17 ppts |
-
Prices: Median sale prices rose most from a year earlier in the Midwest:
Milwaukee (9.1%),Detroit (7.9%) andCleveland (7.4%) saw the biggest increases. The biggest declines were inTexas :Dallas (-2.7%),Austin (-2.3%) andHouston (-1.5%). -
Pending home sales: Pending sales rose most in
San Francisco (17.1%),Riverside, CA (11.6%) andWest Palm Beach, FL (11%). They fell most inHouston (-11.7%),Denver (-8.4%) andSan Antonio (-6.3%). -
Closed home sales: Home sales rose most in
Providence, RI (17.1%),San Francisco (15.6%) andWest Palm Beach (14.6%). They fell most inDetroit (-8.6%),Orlando, FL (-6.5%) andNassau County, NY (-2.6%). -
New listings: New listings rose most in
Detroit (11.6%),Boston (9.2%) andPittsburgh (7.8%). They fell most inAnaheim, CA (-10.6%),San Antonio (-10.2%) andOrlando (-9.9%). -
Active listings: Active listings rose most in
Washington, D.C. (21.1%),Las Vegas (20.7%) andSeattle (16.6%). They fell in just two metros:San Francisco (-7.7%) andSan Jose, CA (-6%). -
Sold above list price: In
San Francisco , the average sale-to-list-price ratio was 104.2%, meaning the typical home sold for 4.2% above its final list price—the biggest premium of any metro. Next cameNewark, NJ (103.1%) andSan Jose (102.2%). The metros with the lowest ratios are inFlorida :West Palm Beach (94.8%),Miami (95.2%) andFort Lauderdale (95.4%). -
Days on market: In
Fort Lauderdale , the typical home that went under contract did so in 97 days, up 26 days from a year earlier—the biggest increase among the metros Redfin analyzed. Next cameMiami (+23 days) andLas Vegas (+19 days). Three metros saw decreases in days on market:Kansas City, MO (-3 days),San Francisco (-2 days) andChicago (-1 day).
To view the full report, including charts and full metro-level data, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/homebuyer-discounts-september-2025
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Source: Redfin