Lower mortgage rates extend housing momentum into fall
Buyers and sellers remained unseasonably active, bouncing back after an August lull
- The number of buyers markets more than doubled, rising from six to 15 over the past year.
- New listings from sellers rose 3% annually, emerging from a 3% annual decline in August.
- Buyers have 14% more options to choose from compared to a year ago.
"September's market showed surprising stamina," said
Unexpected showing of sellers in September
More homeowners decided to list their properties in September after a particularly slow August. New listings, which were down 3% year over year in August, rebounded to show 3% annual growth in September. Typically, new listings drop off sharply heading into fall — they've fallen an average of 9% in September over the past seven years — making this year's mere 2% drop exceptional.
Buyers also remained active in September. Pending sales fell 5.4% from August to September, a smaller drop than is typical for this time of year and less than half the usual monthly decline in September.
Total inventory fell 1% from August to September, but is up 14% from last year.
Buyer's markets more than double as competition eases
A year ago, six of the nation's 50 largest metros were buyer's markets; this September, buyers have the edge in 15 metros. Zillow's market heat index shows the strongest buyer's markets are
The hottest markets for sellers are in the Northeast and
Fall outlook for buyers & sellers
Fall can be a sweet spot for buyers, with lower competition than in the spring and more homes for sale than later in the year. Sellers who don't sell by the holidays may be more open to negotiating concessions on price, closing costs and mortgage rate buydowns.
Sellers, meanwhile, should present their listings in the best possible light to help them stand out to buyers. Home sellers in a buyers or neutral market should be prepared for buyers asking for concessions on closing costs and rate buydowns.
|
Metro Area* |
Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) |
ZHVI Year over Year (YoY) |
Share of Listings With a Price Cut |
Market Favors (Zillow Market Heat Index) |
Inventory Change YoY |
New Listings Change YoY |
New Listings Change Month over Month |
|
|
|
0.0 % |
26.2 % |
Neutral |
14.0 % |
3.3 % |
-2.0 % |
|
|
|
2.8 % |
16.4 % |
Strong Seller |
7.6 % |
4.8 % |
24.1 % |
|
|
|
-1.3 % |
23.0 % |
Seller |
18.5 % |
-4.9 % |
-2.9 % |
|
|
|
3.4 % |
29.4 % |
Seller |
-2.5 % |
0.2 % |
-0.8 % |
|
|
|
-4.1 % |
32.8 % |
Neutral |
15.6 % |
-3.1 % |
-9.5 % |
|
|
|
-2.2 % |
28.7 % |
Buyer |
25.0 % |
-2.5 % |
-10.6 % |
|
|
|
0.3 % |
29.3 % |
Seller |
30.5 % |
7.7 % |
20.2 % |
|
|
|
2.8 % |
26.7 % |
Neutral |
10.4 % |
6.6 % |
11.2 % |
|
|
|
-5.0 % |
20.1 % |
Buyer |
13.6 % |
-7.9 % |
3.3 % |
|
|
|
-3.0 % |
29.7 % |
Buyer |
18.4 % |
-1.7 % |
-5.9 % |
|
|
|
1.0 % |
24.4 % |
Seller |
17.8 % |
8.5 % |
62.8 % |
|
|
|
-3.5 % |
31.3 % |
Neutral |
16.2 % |
1.5 % |
12.6 % |
|
|
|
-3.5 % |
20.8 % |
Strong Seller |
8.8 % |
0.2 % |
35.8 % |
|
|
|
-2.6 % |
22.8 % |
Seller |
15.7 % |
-4.0 % |
-2.1 % |
|
|
|
3.3 % |
28.2 % |
Buyer |
11.7 % |
5.2 % |
-9.1 % |
|
|
|
-1.1 % |
31.7 % |
Neutral |
20.7 % |
3.6 % |
14.5 % |
|
|
|
2.0 % |
29.2 % |
Seller |
7.0 % |
3.1 % |
-1.7 % |
|
|
|
-2.8 % |
28.0 % |
Seller |
19.6 % |
-6.6 % |
-11.5 % |
|
|
|
-6.4 % |
31.1 % |
Buyer |
13.1 % |
4.7 % |
-4.4 % |
|
|
|
-3.0 % |
36.0 % |
Neutral |
15.8 % |
-4.4 % |
3.0 % |
|
|
|
1.6 % |
29.4 % |
Seller |
22.1 % |
10.0 % |
1.5 % |
|
|
|
2.3 % |
28.6 % |
Seller |
7.1 % |
5.4 % |
0.9 % |
|
|
|
-4.7 % |
28.0 % |
Neutral |
15.4 % |
-4.6 % |
-6.0 % |
|
|
|
-0.7 % |
29.3 % |
Buyer |
20.2 % |
7.0 % |
-1.1 % |
|
|
|
-3.1 % |
29.6 % |
Buyer |
11.8 % |
0.0 % |
-7.7 % |
|
|
|
-1.1 % |
31.4 % |
Neutral |
11.9 % |
-3.5 % |
-9.6 % |
|
|
|
-2.5 % |
28.6 % |
Seller |
13.4 % |
-6.9 % |
-9.2 % |
|
|
|
1.8 % |
31.1 % |
Buyer |
8.8 % |
8.1 % |
-0.5 % |
|
|
|
2.9 % |
31.8 % |
Neutral |
16.5 % |
10.6 % |
-5.4 % |
|
|
|
-6.0 % |
29.5 % |
Buyer |
11.2 % |
-3.0 % |
-10.5 % |
|
|
|
-1.2 % |
30.0 % |
Neutral |
27.8 % |
-7.9 % |
-9.5 % |
|
|
|
2.6 % |
32.1 % |
Neutral |
13.4 % |
4.9 % |
-1.1 % |
|
|
|
1.5 % |
34.2 % |
Neutral |
18.2 % |
1.9 % |
-12.2 % |
|
|
|
1.5 % |
36.4 % |
Buyer |
18.2 % |
11.4 % |
-3.0 % |
|
|
|
4.6 % |
27.1 % |
Seller |
11.7 % |
8.7 % |
-2.3 % |
|
|
|
-1.7 % |
19.6 % |
Strong Seller |
7.9 % |
-3.6 % |
19.4 % |
|
|
|
-0.2 % |
34.1 % |
Buyer |
19.5 % |
3.1 % |
-12.8 % |
|
|
|
1.7 % |
26.2 % |
Neutral |
16.6 % |
6.1 % |
-10.8 % |
|
|
|
2.3 % |
24.2 % |
Seller |
10.9 % |
1.5 % |
10.1 % |
|
|
|
-3.4 % |
29.0 % |
Buyer |
9.9 % |
-5.0 % |
-7.2 % |
|
|
|
3.5 % |
22.4 % |
Neutral |
1.0 % |
6.9 % |
0.3 % |
|
|
|
1.0 % |
30.1 % |
Neutral |
14.8 % |
1.8 % |
-10.7 % |
|
|
|
-2.5 % |
36.8 % |
Neutral |
36.2 % |
11.6 % |
4.5 % |
|
|
|
-0.6 % |
30.0 % |
Buyer |
8.9 % |
-3.9 % |
-14.0 % |
|
|
|
1.3 % |
30.1 % |
Seller |
17.3 % |
6.5 % |
12.6 % |
|
|
|
3.4 % |
32.7 % |
Buyer |
19.8 % |
11.2 % |
-3.9 % |
|
|
|
0.6 % |
24.7 % |
Buyer |
4.9 % |
15.6 % |
3.3 % |
|
|
|
2.2 % |
33.9 % |
Neutral |
19.8 % |
6.2 % |
-2.5 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
20.9 % |
Strong Seller |
3.5 % |
1.3 % |
-1.1 % |
|
|
|
3.6 % |
23.0 % |
Strong Seller |
8.8 % |
7.8 % |
-3.1 % |
|
|
|
0.4 % |
24.5 % |
Neutral |
16.3 % |
14.2 % |
3.2 % |
|
*Table ordered by market size |
|||||||
1 The Zillow market report is a monthly overview of the national and local real estate markets. The report is compiled by
About
All marks herein are owned by
(ZFIN)
View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/lower-mortgage-rates-extend-housing-momentum-into-fall-302588131.html
SOURCE Zillow