Median Monthly Housing Payment Posts Biggest Decline in Nearly a Year
Redfin reports many would-be buyers are still spooked by rising sale prices and economic instability, but some are creeping off the sidelines
Monthly payments fell mainly because mortgage rates declined last week. The weekly average mortgage rate dropped to 6.19% this week, its lowest level in over a year, amid a cooler-than-expected inflation report and the Fed’s rate cut. Falling mortgage rates are enough to push monthly payments down despite rising sale prices; the median
It’s worth noting that Redfin economists don’t expect this week’s interest-rate cut to drive mortgage rates down further, as it is already priced into markets. In fact, the daily average mortgage rate ticked up on Thursday because the Fed indicated it may not cut rates in December, running counter to expectations.
Homebuying demand is still lackluster, but some house hunters are creeping off the sidelines. Pending home sales are up 1% year over year, and mortgage-purchase applications are up 5% week over week. Redfin agents report some would-be buyers are hoping rates drop below 6% before moving forward, and others are spooked about widespread economic uncertainty.
On the selling side, more people are putting their homes up for sale. New listings are up 4.6% year over year, the biggest uptick in five months, as sellers hope buyers will pounce on lower rates. Redfin agents advise sellers who want to offload their home as soon as possible to price fairly from the start, and be open to negotiations.
“Do your research and price correctly from the beginning. The longer your house sits on the market, the lower the sale price is likely to be,” said
For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin’s “From Our Economists” page.
Leading indicators
|
Indicators of homebuying demand and activity |
||||
|
|
Value (if applicable) |
Recent change |
Year-over-year change |
Source |
|
Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate |
6.27% ( |
Up from 6.13% earlier in the week |
Down from 6.9% |
|
|
Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate |
6.19% (week ending |
Lowest level in over a year |
Down from 6.54% |
Freddie Mac |
|
Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted) |
|
Up 5% from a week earlier (as of week ending |
Up 20% |
|
|
Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index |
|
Up about 5% from a month earlier (as of week ending |
Down 10% |
A measure of tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents |
|
Google searches of “homes for sale” |
|
Up more than 10% from a month earlier (as of |
Up more than 20% |
Google Trends |
|
Touring activity |
|
Up 8% from the start of the year (as of |
At this time last year, it was up 1% from the start of 2024 |
ShowingTime |
Key housing-market data
|
Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ |
|||
|
|
Four weeks ending |
Year-over-year change |
Notes |
|
Median sale price |
|
1.9% |
Biggest increase in 6 months, except the 4 weeks ending |
|
Median asking price |
|
2.9% |
Biggest increase in 5 months |
|
Median monthly mortgage payment |
|
-1.4% |
Lowest level since start of the year, and biggest decline in a year |
|
Pending sales |
77,682 |
1% |
|
|
New listings |
86,993 |
4.6% |
Biggest increase in 5 months |
|
Active listings |
1,203,768 |
6.9% |
|
|
Months of supply |
4.6 |
+0.3 pts. |
4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions |
|
Share of homes off market in two weeks |
29.5% |
Down from 32% |
|
|
Median days on market |
48 |
+6 days |
|
|
Share of homes sold above list price |
23% |
Down from 26% |
|
|
Average sale-to-list price ratio |
98.3% |
Down from 98.7% |
|
|
Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending
Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous |
|||
|
|
Metros with biggest year-over-year increases |
Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases |
Notes |
|
Median sale price |
|
|
Declined in 13 metros |
|
Pending sales |
|
|
Pending sales rose significantly in coastal |
|
New listings |
|
|
New listings rose significantly in coastal |
To view the full report, including charts, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-monthly-payments-biggest-decline-in-year
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Source: Redfin