Monthly Housing Costs Start the Year Down 5%, the Biggest Decline in Over a Year
Redfin reports house hunters are getting some relief as mortgage rates dip
Housing payments are coming down because mortgage rates are falling. The daily average mortgage rate dropped to 5.99% last week, its lowest level in nearly three years, after
Monthly housing payments would be falling more if not for still-rising sale prices. The median home-sale price is up 1% year over year, though it’s worth noting that’s small compared to the 4% to 5% increases at the start of 2025.
Despite lower housing costs, fewer people are buying and selling homes. Pending home sales fell 5% year over year, and new listings declined 4.7%. There may be an improvement in pending sales soon; last Friday’s significant rate decline, from roughly 6.21% to 5.99%, could result in more homes going under contract in the coming weeks. Mortgage-purchase applications are up 16% week over week, though mortgage applications don’t always line up with home sales.
“Portland buyers typically hibernate in January, with the gloomy weather keeping them inside. But I think this year will be livelier,” said
For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin’s “ From Our Economists ” page.
Leading indicators
|
Indicators of homebuying demand and activity |
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|
|
Value (if applicable) |
Recent change |
Year-over-year change |
Source |
|
Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate |
6.07% ( |
Near lowest level in 3 years |
Down from 7.26% |
|
|
Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate |
6.16% (week ending |
Near lowest level in over a year |
Down from 6.93% |
Freddie Mac |
|
Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted) |
|
Up 16% from a week earlier (as of week ending |
Up 13% |
|
|
Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index (seasonally adjusted) |
|
Down about 5% from a month earlier (as of week ending |
Down 9% |
A measure of tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents |
|
Google searches of “homes for sale” |
|
Up more than 20% from a month earlier (as of |
Up 19% |
Google Trends |
Key housing-market data
|
Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ |
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|
|
Four weeks ending |
Year-over-year change |
Notes |
|
Median sale price |
|
1% |
|
|
Median asking price |
|
1.5% |
|
|
Median monthly mortgage payment |
|
-5.5% |
Near lowest level in 2 years; biggest decline since |
|
Pending sales |
48,933 |
-5% |
|
|
New listings |
47,357 |
-4.7% |
|
|
Active listings |
996,087 |
1.9% |
Smallest increase in over 2 years |
|
Months of supply |
5.1 |
+0.2 pts. |
4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions |
|
Share of homes off market in two weeks |
19.7% |
Down from 21% |
|
|
Median days on market |
59 |
+6 days |
|
|
Share of homes sold above list price |
20% |
Down from 22% |
|
|
Average sale-to-list price ratio |
97.9% |
Down from 98.1% |
|
|
Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending
Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous |
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|
|
Metros with biggest year-over-year increases |
Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases |
Notes |
|
Median sale price |
|
|
Declined in 15 metros |
|
Pending sales |
|
|
Increased in 9 metros |
|
New listings |
|
|
Increased in 7 metros |
To view the full report, including charts, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-monthly-payments-big-decline
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Source: Redfin