2026 Housing Market Mood: Buyers Are Cautious, Sellers Are Showing Up, and Agents See Signs of Busier Spring Ahead
Redfin reports pending home sales are declining, and the homes that are selling are taking more than two months to find a buyer. But new listings are improving, and Redfin agents are hopeful that falling costs will attract more buyers in time for the spring selling season.
In Addition to Homes Selling at Their Slowest Pace in 6 Years, Pending Sales Are Down
Pending home sales fell 3.3% year over year, in line with the declines Redfin has seen over the last few months.
The bright spot of the slow market is that the buyers who are out there have negotiating power; home sellers are outnumbering buyers by a record gap.
Would-Be Buyers Are Hesitant Partly Due to High Costs.
House hunters are taking their time—and some would-be buyers are backing off entirely—because the economy remains uncertain and housing costs are high. Many Americans are hesitant to make a major purchase while the economy feels uncertain and waves of layoffs hit workers. The weekly average mortgage rate of 6.1% is near its lowest level in three years, but still double pandemic-era lows, and the median home-sale price is
While costs are high, they are coming down and affordability is improving. The median monthly mortgage payment is
On the selling side, new listings rose 1.1% year over year, the third straight week of increases after two straight months of declines.
Redfin Agents Forecast Modest Housing-Market Recovery in 2026
Redfin Premier agent Monica DiSchiano in
For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin’s “From Our Economists” page.
Leading indicators
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Indicators of homebuying demand and activity |
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|
Value (if applicable) |
Recent change |
Year-over-year change |
Source |
|
Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate |
6.2% ( |
Up from 3-year low roughly a month ago |
Down from 7.05% |
|
|
Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate |
6.1% (week ending |
Up from 6.06% two weeks earlier, but still near lowest level in 3 years |
Down from 6.95% |
Freddie Mac |
|
Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted) |
|
Down 14% from a week earlier (as of week ending |
Up 4% |
|
|
Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index (seasonally adjusted) |
|
Down about 5% from a month earlier (as of week ending |
Down 15% |
A measure of tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents |
|
Google searches of “homes for sale” |
|
Highest level since August (as of |
Up about 15% |
Google Trends |
Key housing-market data
|
Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ |
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|
|
Four weeks ending |
Year-over-year change |
Notes |
|
Median sale price |
|
1.2% |
|
|
Median asking price |
|
1.4% |
|
|
Median monthly mortgage payment |
|
-4.8% |
|
|
Pending sales |
66,248 |
-3.3% |
|
|
New listings |
78,159 |
1.1% |
|
|
Active listings |
989,848 |
-0.1% |
First decline since |
|
Months of supply |
5.4 |
+0.2 pts. |
4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions |
|
Share of homes off market in two weeks |
27.2% |
Down from 28% |
|
|
Median days on market |
64 |
+6 days |
Longest in 6 years |
|
Share of homes sold above list price |
19.2% |
Down from 19% |
|
|
Average sale-to-list price ratio |
97.7% |
Down from 98% |
|
|
Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending
Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous |
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|
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Metros with biggest year-over-year increases |
Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases |
Notes |
|
Median sale price |
|
|
Declined in 15 metros |
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Pending sales |
|
|
Increased in 10 metros |
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New listings |
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To view the full report, including charts, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-2026-housing-market-mood
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Source: Redfin