ICE Mortgage Monitor: Early Spring Housing Market Shows Firmer Prices Amid Affordability Reset and Inventory Growth
“Mortgage rates bottomed near 5.95% early this year, pushing affordability to its best levels in four years and helping drive two of the firmest monthly home price gains we’ve seen in over a year,” said
Key findings from the April Mortgage Monitor include:
- Home price growth remains modest, but early spring brought the firmest monthly gains in nearly a year
Annual home price growth was 0.4% in March, while February and March saw the strongest seasonally adjusted monthly gains in nearly 12 months. The firming was driven in part by lower rates and better affordability earlier in 2026, though performance continues to vary widely by region, with the Midwest and Northeast showing the most strength and many Western markets continuing to soften.
- Affordability remains improved year over year, even after the recent rate rebound
The roughly 40-basis-point rise since late February has reduced buying power by about 4% from early-2026 peaks. Even so, March affordability was the best for that month in four years, and 99 of the 100 largest
- Inventory is recovering but remains below pre-pandemic norms
Housing inventory rose 8% year over year in March, yet active listings remain 11% below typical 2017–2019 levels. Forty percent of markets are at or above pre-pandemic supply, with the strongest gains in the Mountain West and parts of the South; deep deficits persist across much of the Northeast.
- The rate rebound has sharply reduced refinance incentives
Higher rates have cut the number of borrowers considered “in the money” for a refinance by roughly 60% from recent highs. ICE prepayment data also suggests the lock-in effect is more likely to ease gradually than unwind at any single rate threshold, as many homeowners — especially Baby Boomers — remain reluctant to move.
“Housing market conditions this spring point to a market that is gradually normalizing, but not evenly,” said
About the ICE Mortgage Monitor
ICE manages the nation’s leading repository of loan-level residential mortgage data and performance information covering the majority of the overall market. The ICE Home Price Index provides one of the most complete, accurate and timely measures of home prices available, covering 95% of
ICE’s research experts carefully analyze this data to produce a summary supplemented by dozens of charts and graphs that reflect trend and point-in-time observations for the monthly Mortgage Monitor report. To review the full report, visit:
https://mortgagetech.ice.com/resources/data-reports .
About
Trademarks of ICE and/or its affiliates include
Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 — Statements in this press release regarding ICE's business that are not historical facts are "forward-looking statements" that involve risks and uncertainties. For a discussion of additional risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements, see ICE's
Source:
Category: Mortgage Technology
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260406460822/en/
ICE Media Contact:
johnna.szegda@ice.com
+1 (404) 798-1155
ICE Investor Contact:
steve.eagerton@ice.com
+1 (904) 854-3683
investors@ice.com
Source: