Global Technology Services Market Surges to New, AI-Fueled High in Q1: ISG Index™
Combined market ACV up 29%, to record
ISG increases 2026 XaaS growth forecast to 25%, maintains managed services forecast at 2.1%
New ISG AI Index™, measuring AI’s impact on tech services, up 77% since end of 2022
Data from the global ISG Index™, which measures commercial outsourcing contracts with annual contract value (ACV) of
“The headline numbers point to a market that is still expanding, but the underlying drivers are very different across the two major segments,” said
New ISG AI Index™ Launched
In a separate press release today, ISG announced the launch of its ISG AI Index™, a first-of-its-kind benchmark that measures how AI is impacting the global technology and business services sector. The initial findings, presented during today’s ISG Index call, show that infrastructure-as-a-service (IaaS) has seen the greatest impact from AI, up 160 percent. Software as-a-service (SaaS) has risen 53 percent while managed services is up only slightly, at 0.3 percent. On a market-weighted basis, the composite ISG AI Index was up 77 percent since inception, dating to
First-Quarter Results by Segment
The cloud-based as-a-service (XaaS) market soared 44 percent, to a record
The majority of XaaS growth in the first quarter came from IaaS, which was up 57 percent year over year, to a record
“Enterprises continue to increase their spending on cloud infrastructure, driving hyperscalers to invest upwards of
Managed services returned to growth and had its second-best quarter ever, with ACV of
Within managed services, IT outsourcing (ITO) slumped 7 percent from last year, to
In the business process outsourcing (BPO) segment, ACV soared 62 percent against a weak first quarter last year, to
Engineering services, meanwhile, continued a five-quarter streak of ACV over
By industry, managed services spending was led by retail, telecommunications and media, and the travel and transportation segments. However, spending by the two largest industries for outsourcing—banking, financial services and insurance (BFSI) and manufacturing—was down.
A total of 744 managed services contracts were awarded in the first quarter, up 0.8 percent from last year. Included in that total were six mega-deals valued at
In terms of deal type, new-scope volume rose 11 percent, with ACV up 20 percent, to
2026 Forecast
ISG said it is raising its full-year forecast for XaaS revenue growth to 25 percent, up 400 basis points from its January forecast, and is holding its managed services growth forecast at 2.1 percent for the year.
Commenting on the revised XaaS forecast, Hall said, “The market continues to be driven by XaaS spending, as the hyperscalers pour hundreds of billions of dollars into capacity to meet AI-driven infrastructure demand. SaaS is holding up better than expected. Despite the disruption noise, enterprises are still investing in core platforms. What’s changing is the narrative. The market is starting to question what these businesses look like in an AI-first world, and that’s showing up more in valuations than in bookings, at least for now.”
Regarding ISG’s managed services forecast, Hall said, “Managed services is steady, but it’s still a defensive story. Enterprises are consolidating vendors, bundling towers and taking cost out to fund AI. Demand has shifted from small, discretionary spend, to large, cost-driven TCO deals, with BPO a clear bright spot, particularly in industry-specific and back-office processes. These are among the first areas where AI and automation are starting to translate into tangible demand.”
Commenting on the AI market, Hall said enterprises have moved beyond experimentation and are trying to scale. “This is driving infrastructure demand, reshaping deal structures, and starting to change how services are bought. But it’s not a clean transition,” Hall said. “There’s still friction around data, governance and trust. And until those get worked through, you’re not going to see AI fully translate into broad-based services growth.
“We’re effectively in the infrastructure phase of the AI cycle today. That’s where the value is being created first. We expect software to benefit next as applications adapt, and only after that stabilizes do we expect to see services fully participate, similar to how the cloud cycle played out.”
About the ISG Index™
The ISG Index™ is recognized as the authoritative source for marketplace intelligence on the global technology and business services industry. For 94 consecutive quarters, it has detailed the latest industry data and trends for financial analysts, enterprise buyers, software and service providers, law firms, universities and the media.
The 1Q26 Global ISG Index results were presented during a webcast today. To view a replay of the webcast and download presentation slides, visit this webpage.
About ISG
ISG (Nasdaq: III) is a global AI-centered technology research and advisory firm. A trusted partner to more than 900 clients, including 75 of the world’s top 100 enterprises, ISG is a long-time leader in technology and business services that is now at the forefront of leveraging AI to help organizations achieve operational excellence and faster growth. The firm, founded in 2006, is known for its proprietary market data and research, in-depth knowledge and governance of provider ecosystems, and the expertise of its 1,500 professionals worldwide working together to help clients maximize the value of their technology investments.
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