Philip Morris International Reports 2026 First-Quarter Results and Updates 2026 Full-Year Adjusted Diluted EPS Forecast for Currency Only;
Reported Diluted EPS declined by 9.3% to
"Our performance exceeded our expectations in the first quarter, with an outstanding delivery from IQOS driving very good growth for the group against a strong prior-year comparison," said
"Building on excellent broad-based momentum in the international smoke-free business and 16% adjusted diluted EPS growth in Q1, we are well positioned to continue delivering best-in-class performance in 2026."
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1 Explanation of PMI's use of non-GAAP measures cited in this document and reconciliations to the most directly comparable |
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Results Highlights |
Net revenues increased by 9.1% (2.7% organically) to
Gross profit increased by 10.1% (3.8% organically), expanding gross margin through strong pricing, operating leverage and SFP mix benefits. Operating income increased by 9.8% (0.9% organically), as we continue to invest for future growth.
Reported diluted EPS declined due to the non-cash fair value adjustment of our minority shareholding in
International Smoke-Free Segment
Our performance continues to be driven by the international smoke-free business with net revenue growth of 24.7% (15.8% organically) fueled by 11.9% volume growth, and gross profit growth of 28.6% (19.4% organically) reflecting the increasing profitability of the portfolio. IQOS remains the primary growth engine, with double-digit growth in both shipment volume and adjusted IMS.
Heat-not-burn SFP:
IQOS continued to lead the growth of the global category, in which PMI holds approximately 77% volume share. Notably in Q1, IQOS surpassed Marlboro and became the #1 nicotine ‘brand’ in markets where present (gaining 1.7pp to reach 10.9% of combined cigarette and HTU industry volumes). HTU adjusted in-market sales (IMS) volume, which excludes the net impact of estimated distributor and wholesaler inventory movements, grew by 10.9%, broadly in line with shipment volume growth of 11.3%. The growth was broad-based across geographies with all key consumables product lines (TEREA, DELIA/SENTIA and LEVIA) contributing to the strong performance. Excluding the impact of consumer pantry-loading in
-
In
Japan , PMI HTU adjusted IMS grew by an estimated 10.4% with IQOS holding close to 70% of heat-not-burn category volume. The overall HTU category reached approximately 53% total nicotine national offtake share, and IQOS HTU adjusted IMS share of total nicotine increased by 2.7pp to a record 34.9%, notwithstanding continued competitive intensity. Excluding the aforementioned pantry-loading impact, adjusted IMS grew by an estimated 5.9%. -
In
Europe , as we continue to invest in brand equity and innovation, IQOS HTU adjusted IMS grew by an estimated 5.4% and IQOS HTU adjusted market share increased by 1.1pp to 12.6%, notwithstanding ongoing disruptions inUkraine and the initial impact of the characterizing flavor ban inPoland , which was implemented in January. This growth was led by strong performance in many markets, notablyItaly ,Greece ,Germany ,Spain andSerbia . Excluding markets where the characterizing flavor ban became effective in the last year, adjusted IMS volumes grew by around 8%. -
Outside
Europe andJapan , adjusted IMS grew by 19.4% and offtake share increased in key cities across the globe, includingMexico City ,Jakarta ,Riyadh ,Kuala Lumpur andSeoul . InTaiwan , IQOS national offtake share reached almost 6% in March, making it the most successful major launch market to date.
Oral SFP: Robust modern oral volume growth to 0.5 billion pouches was more than offset by snus declines in the Nordics, resulting in a total oral SFP shipment volume decrease of 5.1%. Our business continues to expand, with ZYN now available in 58 markets, and to outperform the industry outside the Nordics, with notable offtake share gains in
E-vapor SFP:
VEEV continued its increasingly profitable growth, as quarterly shipments exceeded one billion equivalent units for the first time. VEEV now shares the #1 closed pod position in
International Combustibles Segment
As expected, volumes declined (by 5.1%) following a prior year period of exceptional volume growth. Notwithstanding this comparison, net revenues grew by 6.8% (up 1.0% organically) driven by strong pricing of 8.5%, partly offset by geographic mix. Gross profit grew by 9.8% (3.9% organically). Our overall cigarette category volume share stood at 24.8% (down by 0.6pp) due to unfavorable market mix, as well as lower share in
ZYN offtake volumes, as estimated by Nielsen, grew by 10%, notwithstanding an uneven competitive landscape where we do not yet have access to all of the most dynamic strength and flavor segments. As expected, distributor and trade inventory movements in both the current and prior year periods, and a challenging promotional comparison, led to a decline in volumes, net revenues and profit. Total smoke-free shipment volumes decreased by 21.2%, including a 23.5% decline in ZYN shipments to 2.3 billion pouches or 155 million cans. This reflects the aforementioned offtake growth when compared to our previously communicated estimate of an underlying Q1'25 base of approximately 160 million cans2, and the anticipated normalization of channel inventories also flagged last quarter. We continue to invest behind the ZYN brand and in the capabilities that will support the long-term growth of our
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2 Estimated proxy of shipments related to consumer offtake, adjusted for wholesaler and distributor inventory fluctuations, first provided on |
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First-Quarter 2026 Performance Highlights |
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Shipment Volume (billion equivalent units) |
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PMI |
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International Smoke-Free |
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International Combustibles |
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Q1 |
vs. PY |
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Q1 |
vs. PY |
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Q1 |
vs. PY |
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Q1 |
vs. PY |
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Total |
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184.3 |
(1.9)% |
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44.1 |
11.9% |
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137.3 |
(5.1)% |
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2.8 |
(21.2)% |
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Cigarettes |
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137.3 |
(5.1)% |
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|
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137.3 |
(5.1)% |
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|
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SFP |
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47.0 |
9.1% |
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44.1 |
11.9% |
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|
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2.8 |
(21.2)% |
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HTU |
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41.3 |
11.3% |
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41.3 |
11.3% |
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|
|
|
– |
– |
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Oral SFP |
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4.5 |
(16.1)% |
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1.6 |
(5.1)% |
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2.8 |
(21.3)% |
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E-Vapor |
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1.2 |
94.8% |
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1.2 |
94.8% |
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"-" indicates zero volumes or less than 50 million units |
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PMI |
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International Smoke-Free |
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International Combustibles |
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Net Revenues ($ bn) |
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reported vs. Q1 2025 |
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9.1% |
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24.7% |
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6.8% |
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(30.8)% |
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organic vs. Q1 2025 |
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2.7% |
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15.8% |
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1.0% |
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(31.6)% |
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Gross Profit ($ bn) |
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reported vs. Q1 2025 |
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10.1% |
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28.6% |
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9.8% |
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(44.5)% |
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organic vs. Q1 2025 |
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3.8% |
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19.4% |
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3.9% |
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(44.1)% |
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OCI ($ bn) |
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reported vs. Q1 2025 |
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5.4% |
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15.8% |
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-(100)% |
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organic vs. Q1 2025 |
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0.9% |
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10.1% |
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(75.3)% |
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Operating Income ($ bn) |
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reported vs. Q1 2025 |
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9.8% |
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organic vs. Q1 2025 |
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0.9% |
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Note: Sums might not foot to total due to rounding. |
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2026 |
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2025 |
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Change |
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Reported Diluted EPS |
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(9.3)% |
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Amortization of intangibles |
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0.12 |
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0.12 |
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Fair value adjustment for equity security investments |
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0.22 |
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(0.09) |
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Restructuring charges |
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0.01 |
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– |
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Income tax impact associated with |
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0.05 |
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(0.06) |
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Adjusted Diluted EPS |
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16.0% |
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Less: Currency |
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0.18 |
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Adjusted Diluted EPS, excluding Currency |
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5.3% |
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Middle East Conflict |
The
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2026 Full-Year Forecast |
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2026 Forecast |
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2025 |
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Growth |
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Reported Diluted EPS |
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- |
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Adjustments |
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Amortization of intangibles |
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0.50 |
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0.50 |
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Fair value adjustment for equity security investments |
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0.22 |
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(0.18) |
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Restructuring charges |
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0.03 |
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0.14 |
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Income tax impact associated with |
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0.05 |
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(0.25) |
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Other 2025 adjustments(1) |
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– |
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0.07 |
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Total Adjustments |
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0.80 |
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0.28 |
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Adjusted Diluted EPS |
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- |
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10.9% |
- |
12.9% |
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Less: Currency |
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0.25 |
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Adjusted Diluted EPS, excluding currency |
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- |
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7.5% |
- |
9.5% |
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(1) Includes: |
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Reported diluted EPS is forecast to be in a range of
2026 Full-Year Forecast Assumptions
-
An estimated industry volume decline of around 2% for cigarettes and HTUs, excluding
China and theU.S. ; - Broadly stable total PMI cigarette and SFP shipment volume, with high-single digit SFP shipment volume growth, and a cigarette shipment volume decline of around 3%;
- Net revenue growth of 5% to 7% on an organic basis;
- Organic operating income growth of 7% to 9%;
-
Full-year amortization of acquired intangibles of
$0.50 per share; - Broadly stable net financing costs;
- An effective tax rate, excluding discrete tax events, of around 21.5%;
-
Operating cash flow around
$13.5 billion at prevailing exchange rates, subject to year-end working capital requirements; -
Capital expenditures of
$1.4 to$1.6 billion , predominantly supporting the smoke-free business; - Further net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio improvement as we target a ratio of close to 2.0x by the end of 2026, at prevailing exchange rates;
- No share repurchases; and
-
Second quarter adjusted diluted EPS of
$2.02 to$2.07 , including an estimated favorable currency impact of2 cents at prevailing exchange rates.
Factors described in the Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements section of this release represent continuing risks to these projections.
|
First-Quarter 2026 Operating Review |
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Net Revenues (in millions) |
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PMI |
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International Smoke-Free |
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International Combustibles |
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2025 |
|
|
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|
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Price |
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461 |
|
88 |
|
454 |
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(80) |
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Volume/Mix |
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(346) |
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399 |
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(542) |
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(203) |
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Other |
|
140 |
|
— |
|
140 |
|
— |
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Currency |
|
590 |
|
273 |
|
310 |
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7 |
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2026 |
|
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|
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|
|
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vs. Q1 2025 |
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9.1% |
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24.7% |
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6.8% |
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(30.8)% |
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Organic growth |
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2.7% |
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15.8% |
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1.0% |
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(31.6)% |
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Gross Profit (in millions) |
|
PMI |
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International Smoke-Free |
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International Combustibles |
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2025 |
|
|
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Price |
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461 |
|
88 |
|
454 |
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(80) |
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Volume/Mix |
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(335) |
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290 |
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(444) |
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(181) |
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Cost/Other |
|
112 |
|
27 |
|
128 |
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(43) |
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Currency |
|
397 |
|
192 |
|
205 |
|
— |
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2026 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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vs. Q1 2025 |
|
10.1% |
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28.6% |
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9.8% |
|
(44.5)% |
|
Adjustments* |
|
6 |
|
1 |
|
— |
|
5 |
|
2026 Adjusted Gross Profit |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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vs. Q1 2025 |
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10.1% |
|
28.6% |
|
9.8% |
|
(44.1)% |
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Organic growth |
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3.8% |
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19.4% |
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3.9% |
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(44.1)% |
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|
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2026 Adj. Gross Profit Margin |
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68.1% |
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70.0% |
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67.5% |
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61.9% |
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vs. Q1 2025 |
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0.6pp |
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2.1pp |
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1.8pp |
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(14.7)pp |
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Organic growth |
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0.7pp |
|
2.1pp |
|
1.9pp |
|
(14.0)pp |
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(*) For a list of adjusting items refer to “Non-GAAP Measures, Glossary and Explanatory Notes” section of this release, in Exhibit 99.2 to the company's Form 8-K dated |
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PMI (in millions) |
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Variance Favorable / (Unfavorable) |
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2026 |
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2025 |
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Change |
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Total |
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Price |
|
Volume / Mix |
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Cost / Other |
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Currency |
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Net Revenues |
|
10,146 |
|
9,301 |
|
|
9.1 |
% |
|
845 |
|
461 |
(346 |
) |
140 |
|
590 |
|
|||||
|
Cost of Sales(1) |
|
(3,241 |
) |
(3,031 |
) |
|
(6.9 |
)% |
|
(210 |
) |
– |
11 |
|
(28 |
) |
(193 |
) |
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Gross Profit |
|
6,905 |
|
6,270 |
|
|
10.1 |
% |
|
635 |
|
461 |
(335 |
) |
112 |
|
397 |
|
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Marketing, Administration and Research Costs(2) |
|
(2,857 |
) |
(2,428 |
) |
|
(17.7 |
)% |
|
(429 |
) |
– |
– |
|
(230 |
) |
(199 |
) |
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Corporate Expenses & Other |
|
(155 |
) |
(298 |
) |
|
48.0 |
% |
|
143 |
|
– |
– |
|
(1 |
) |
144 |
|
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|
Operating Income |
|
3,893 |
|
3,544 |
|
|
9.8 |
% |
|
349 |
|
461 |
(335 |
) |
(119 |
) |
342 |
|
|||||
|
Amortization of intangibles |
|
(251 |
) |
(246 |
) |
|
(2.0 |
)% |
|
(5 |
) |
– |
– |
|
(5 |
) |
– |
|
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|
Restructuring charges |
|
(24 |
) |
– |
|
|
– |
|
|
(24 |
) |
– |
– |
|
(24 |
) |
– |
|
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Adj. Operating Income |
|
4,168 |
|
3,790 |
|
|
10.0 |
% |
|
378 |
|
461 |
(335 |
) |
(90 |
) |
342 |
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Adj. OI Margin |
|
41.1 |
% |
40.7 |
% |
|
0.4 |
pp |
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(1) Includes |
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(2) Includes |
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Note: Sums might not foot to total due to rounding. |
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Total PMI
-
Estimated industry volume (excluding
China and theU.S. ) for cigarettes and HTUs declined by 1.0%. -
Net revenues increased by 2.7% organically, mainly reflecting: a favorable pricing variance mainly driven by international combustibles; partly offset by unfavorable volume/mix, mainly driven by lower international combustibles and
U.S. volumes, notwithstanding higher international smoke-free volumes. - Adjusted operating income increased by 0.9% on an organic basis, reflecting the same factors as for net revenues and higher marketing, administration and research costs.
International Smoke-Free Segment
-
Shipment volume grew by 11.9%, notably due to
Italy , Global Travel Retail,Taiwan andRussia . - Net revenues increased by 15.8% on an organic basis, reflecting: a favorable volume/mix driven by higher HTU and e-vapor volumes and a favorable pricing variance due to higher HTU pricing.
- Adjusted gross profit increased by 19.4% organically mainly due to the same factors as for net revenues.
International Combustibles Segment
-
Shipment volume declined by 5.1% with notable decreases in
Indonesia ,Russia ,Germany andMexico . - Net revenues increased by 1.0% on an organic basis, reflecting: an unfavorable volume/mix; more than offset by a favorable pricing variance and, as expected, the restructuring of distribution terms in certain markets this quarter, shown in "Other".
- Adjusted gross profit increased by 3.9% organically due to the same factors as for net revenues.
- Net revenues decreased by 31.6% organically, reflecting: lower ZYN volumes due to distributor and trade inventory movements in both the current and prior year periods and an unfavorable price comparison due to low levels of ZYN promotional activity in the prior year.
- Adjusted gross profit decreased by 44.1% on an organic basis reflecting the same factors as for net revenues and higher manufacturing costs.
-
Adjusted OCI decreased by 75.3% to
$100 million , reflecting the same factors as for adjusted gross profit and increased investments in marketing, administration and research costs.
|
Conference Call |
A conference call hosted by
Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements
This press release contains projections of future results and goals and other forward-looking statements, including statements regarding expected financial or operational performance; capital allocation plans; investment strategies; regulatory outcomes; market expectations; business plans and strategies. Achievement of future results is subject to risks, uncertainties and inaccurate assumptions. In the event that risks or uncertainties materialize, or underlying assumptions prove inaccurate, actual results could vary materially from those contained in such forward-looking statements. Pursuant to the “safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, PMI is identifying important factors that, individually or in the aggregate, could cause actual results and outcomes to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements made by PMI.
PMI's business risks include: marketing and regulatory restrictions that could reduce our competitiveness, disrupt our SFP commercialization efforts, eliminate our ability to communicate with adult consumers, or ban certain of our products in certain markets or countries; excise tax increases and discriminatory tax structures; health concerns relating to the use of tobacco and other nicotine-containing products; litigation related to tobacco and/or nicotine products and intellectual property rights; intense competition; inability to anticipate changes in adult consumer preferences; use and reliance on third-parties; the adverse effects of global and individual country economic, regulatory and political developments, natural disasters and conflicts; geopolitical instability affecting international trade; the impact and consequences of
PMI is further subject to other risks detailed from time to time in its publicly filed documents, including PMI's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fourth quarter and year ended
Non-GAAP Measures, Glossary and Explanatory Notes
Reconciliations of non-GAAP measures in this release to the most directly comparable
Management reviews net revenues, gross profit, operating companies income, operating income, operating cash flow and earnings per share, or "EPS," on an adjusted basis, which may exclude the impact of currency and other items such as acquisitions, divestitures, restructuring costs, tax items and other special items. Additionally, starting in 2022 and on a comparative basis, for these measures other than net revenues and operating cash flow, PMI includes adjustments to add back amortization expense on acquisition related intangible assets that are recorded as part of purchase accounting and contribute to PMI’s revenue generation, as well as impairment of intangible assets, if any. While amortization expense on acquisition related intangible assets is excluded in these adjusted measures, the net revenues generated from these acquired intangible assets are included in the company's adjusted measures, unless otherwise stated. Currency-neutral and organic growth rates reflect the way management views underlying performance for these measures. PMI believes that such measures provide useful insight into underlying business trends and results. Management reviews these measures because they exclude changes in currency exchange rates and other factors that may distort underlying business trends, thereby improving the comparability of PMI’s business performance between reporting periods. Furthermore, PMI uses several of these measures in its management compensation program to promote internal fairness and a disciplined assessment of performance against company targets. PMI discloses these measures to enable investors to view the business through the eyes of management.
Non-GAAP measures used in this release should neither be considered in isolation nor as a substitute for the financial measures prepared in accordance with
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260421778089/en/
Investor Relations:
InvestorRelations@pmi.com
Media:
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