Omdia: Social media advertising to command nearly half of global online ad revenue by 2030 as market reaches $640 billion
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Global social and non-social media advertising revenue and shares, $bn and %, 2020–30
During the same period, social media’s share of total online advertising is expected to increase by 10 percentage points, from 33% to 44%, making it one of the fastest-growing advertising segments alongside retail media.
Rising user engagement, advertisers' growing preference for full-funnel solutions, and the proliferation of self-serve platforms are key factors underpinning social media platforms’ sustained performance.
Social media advertising revenue is increasingly being driven by video formats such as Reels, TikTok, Shorts, and Stories. In full-year 2025, video accounted for 60% of total social media advertising revenue. Platforms are not only expanding their video advertising revenue but also capturing budgets historically directed toward other digital channels, including online publisher inventory and broadcasters' digital offerings. Over time, increases in high-value video ad load, improved commerce capabilities, and clearer segmentation between performance-driven and premium formats will drive additional revenue growth for social platforms.
Crucially, 90% of global social media advertising revenue is generated by just half a dozen apps, namely Facebook, Instagram, Douyin, YouTube, TikTok, and WeChat, highlighting the segment’s highly concentrated market structure. Meta effectively dominates through ownership of both Facebook and Instagram apps. Together, they accounted for 54% of the social media advertising revenue in 2025, rising to almost 70% when
“AI-driven targeting and recommendation algorithms are turbocharging the advantage of these big players,” said
However, maintaining this dominance will require a balanced approach to both monetization and user experience. Over-saturating feeds with ads can alienate users and undermine long-term engagement. Sustained growth will depend on balancing AI‑driven ad optimization with preserving the user experience.
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Source: Omdia