J.P. Morgan Releases 2025 Alternatives Outlook Highlighting Investor Opportunities Amid Global Policy Shifts
Research explores private equity, private credit, real estate, infrastructure and transport, hedge funds, and secondaries
The Outlook provides investors with insights into how these changes are expected to impact private equity, private credit, real estate, infrastructure and transport, hedge funds, and secondaries, offering opportunities for growth, diversification, and inflation protection.
Some of the key themes revealed across asset classes in the 2025 Alternatives Outlook include:
Real Estate:
- Growth and Inflation Protection: Pro-growth policies are expected to bolster net operating income growth, with real estate offering potential inflation protection through rent increases and property revenue growth.
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Valuation Opportunities:
U.S. real estate presents a generational investment opportunity as valuations appear to be bottoming out, with improving fundamentals.
Infrastructure and Transport:
- Inflation and Trade Dynamics: Infrastructure and transport assets are well-positioned to provide critical inflation protection as we may see reconfigured supply chains and trade agreements evolve.
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Global Transport : Transport assets are expected to benefit from changes in global trade routes and increased demand for domestic logistics.
Secondaries:
- Capital Deployment: Secondaries offer efficient access to private equity and private credit activity, allowing investors to capitalize on growth-oriented companies while mitigating j-curve and blind pool risks. The expansion of alternatives into the private wealth market has also led to a rise in semi-liquid structures, which typically rely on secondaries to source liquidity and invest.
Private Equity:
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Pro-Growth Policies:
U.S. tax reform and deregulation are anticipated to enhance corporate profitability, reviving IPOs, M&A, and lending activities. This environment is expected to create favorable conditions for private equity dealmaking and exits. - Valuation Considerations: Investors should be mindful of valuations, especially for investments initiated in the post-pandemic, low-interest-rate environment.
Private Credit:
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Lending Opportunities: A robust
U.S. growth environment and deregulatory agenda are likely to support both public and private lending, with private credit continuing to capture market share. - Interest Rate Impact: Higher interest rates could pressure lower-quality borrowers, but also create opportunities for distressed and special situations credit strategies.
Hedge Funds:
- Volatility and Alpha Generation: Hedge funds are poised to navigate fiscal and monetary policy shifts, with market volatility offering opportunities for alpha generation, particularly through long/short strategies and macro hedge funds.
- Diversification: Given high correlations in equity and fixed income markets, hedge funds provide compelling diversification benefits and offer uncorrelated sources of retu
To view the full 2025 Alternatives Outlook click here.
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